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Olli @ 3rd Summit

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Saturday, May 18, 2019

http://SmartDrivingCar.com/7.21-3rdSummit-051819
21st edition of the 7th year of SmartDrivingCars

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="126" height="36">  Making Smart Vehicles to Improve the Human Condition

K. Pyle, May 17, "3.5 million and 5+ million deaths per year are a couple of the statistics that stood out from the 2+ day, 3rd annual SmartDrivingCars Summit at Princeton. There are approximately 3.5 million individuals in the United States who never leave their homes and approximately 1.9M of those people have disabilities, according to Robbie Diamond, President & CEO of SAFE. He went on to say that, “Transportation is the biggest predictor of inter-generational upward mobility.”
His comments echoed the conference theme of improving mobility for all people, especially the mobility marginalized, to paraphrase Professor Alain Kornhauser. Kornhauser brought together participants from multiple disciplines and backgrounds to an event that is like no other. This year, he introduced a research element where there were a couple different opportunities to gauge the reactions of everyday people of varying abilities to various levels of autonomous vehicles...."  Read more  Hmmmm... Ken, thank you for such an excellent summary and all of the help.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 104 3rd Summit Anil Lewis & Katherine Freund

F. Fishkin, May 18,, "From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, join Professor Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. In this special edition, the summit's focus on mobility for all with guests Anil Lewis, Executive Director of Blindness Initiatives at the National Federation of the Blind and ITN America Founder Katherine Freund."  Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" .  Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ...  Alain

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 105 3rd Summit John Eggert & Kurtis Hodge

F. Fishkin, May 18, "At the third annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, Velodyne execs John Eggert and Vidya Devarasetty outline the latest, lower cost LiDAR. And co-hosts Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin hop aboard the autonomous Olli for more with Local Motors Economist Kurtis Hodge."  Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" .  Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ...  Ala

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 106 3rd Summit David Kidd & Cecillia Feeley

F. Fishkin, May 18, "From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, David Kidd from the Highway Loss Data Institute joins Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin and then on site preliminary research results on mobility for all with Cecilia Feeley and Andrea Lubin from Rutgers."  Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" .  Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ...  Alain

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 107 3rd Summit Leilei Shinohara & Staff Sergeant Terence McDonnell

F. Fishkin, May 18, "In this special edition from the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Cars Summit, Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by RoboSense VP Leilei Shinohara on the LiDAR's benefits. And view of autonomous technology from law enforcement with New York State Police
Staff Sergeant Terence McDonnell."  Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" .  Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ...  Alain

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 108 3rd Summit Wrapup

F. Fishkin, May 18, "Wrapping up the 3rd annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin zero in on mobility for all and more. It's just getting started. Plus the headlines from Nissan, Tesla, Uber and Lyft. Tune in and subscribe!"  Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" .  Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ...  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.36&filename=ajafjpkfaclhelpc.png" class="" width="44" height="50" border="0">  3rd Annual Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit

A. Kornhauser, May 16,  Read more  Hmmmm... Program with links to the presentations.  Photos1, Photos2 , Pyle's Summary. Other summary findings will be linked in future versions of the SmartDrivingCars eNewsletter.  Thank you to the many who made this a most successful Summit.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="46" height="39">  On the radar: Nissan stays cool on lidar tech, siding with Tesla

N. Tajitsu, May 16, "Nissan Motor Co Ltd said on Thursday it would, for now, stick to self-driving technology which uses radar sensors and cameras, avoiding lidar or light-based sensors because of their high cost and limited capabilities..."  Read more  Hmmmm... Actually this is about as far as you should read without realizing that Nissan is NOT talking about Driverless and really means Self-driving (always adult supervision in the driver's seat, none of this autonomusTaxi/roboTaxi, mobility for all stuff).  Yes, for OEMs, there is fundamentally two different futures... cars driven without adult supervision (Driverless) and those with (Safe-Driving... you can't take your hands off the wheel or feet off the pedals (you can't text!) and Self-driving... under certain well-defined situations you can relax and take your feet off the pedals and hands off the wheel; you can text! (but you must remain alert and ready to take over. In the beginning, you will need to take over often.)). 

OEMs are in the business of making and selling cars to consumers. Today, it is a lot easier and cheaper to make a car that requires adult supervision (... Not necessarily true in the future... The cost of steering wheels, pedals, displays, windshields, conventional crash mitigation, maintenance, insurance, ...  may exceed the cost of sensors, actuators, computers, communications, maintenance, insurance, of a vehicle that explicitly excludes/prevents human intervention.  I again suggest the analogy with elevators and maybe even airport people movers, Personal Rapid Transit and conventional subways... automated elevators may well be cheaper to build than those required to be operated and supervised by human driver/operator.)

Sorry, I digressed... Nissan is simply "following the money" and realizing that there is not much of a business case created by eliminating the need for adult supervision. Once an adult is required to be in the loop, then it is all about saving money in achieving the perception that the driver/adult supervisor can text without having the OEM incur the responsibility/liability of having the driver fail his/her supervising responsibility because he/she was "texting".  What Nissan is saying here is that LiDAR is expendable in reaching that business objective.  Which is basically the same conclusion that Elon expressed since it is clear that he is only promoting the perception of without adult supervision and not really the reality of it... All Teslas have a steering wheel and throttle and brake pedals.   Moreover, Nissan is probably in line with all other OEMs, except the Cruise part of GM.  I sense that they are all bailing from without.

On the Supply side,  without is left with Waymo, Cruise (maybe) and SoftBank, Local Motors, other shuttles and a bunch of startups, none of which have earned their first dollar of customer revenue that they can pin on the wall.  On the demand side without remains strong because it is a necessity for Lyft and/or Uber to survive without a 180 degree pivot (which is no longer a pivot.),  In the end, Without is so valuable that it can afford LiDAR.  ("Affording" is not the same as "needing")

 What OEMs may have not realized in their with strategy is that in order to avoid the liability of enabling texting some of the time, Automated Emergency Braking (AEB) systems MUST work... be able to reliably determine if a stationary object (something with near zero speed in the approach direction) can be safely passed under, or not; if not, then don't hit it.  These systems do NOT work well enough today.  See next article and David Kidd.   Seems as if the combination of radar, images and map data may not be sufficient and LiDAR may be needed to save the with strategy.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Autopilot was active when a Tesla crashed into a truck, killing driver

T. Lee, May 16, "A Tesla Model 3 had Autopilot active in the seconds before it crashed into a semi truck in March, killing the driver, the National Transportation Safety Board reported on Thursday.

Jeremy Banner was driving his Model 3 on a divided four-lane highway in Palm Beach County, Florida. As the car approached a driveway, a semi truck pulled out in front of the car, making a left-hand turn from the driveway to the opposite travel lanes.

The Tesla was moving at 68mph (110km/h) and slid under the truck's trailer. The trailer sheared off the top of the car, killing Banner. The vehicle continued down the road for another 1,600 feet (500m) before coming to a rest in the median....

But it is not good at recognizing stationary objects (or objects, like a truck crossing the road, that are not moving in the car's direction of travel)...."  Read more  Hmmmm... What??? Tim, did you write this??? Of course radar is good at detecting stationary objects if it isn't tuned/programed to explicitly disregard them.  The problem here , as you've written before, that automated emergency braking (AEB) systems explicitly disregard objects whose motion, in the direction of the oncoming car, is zero (or close to zero), because they can't confidently discern between object that will impede the car's progress down the lane and objects that can be passed under (an overpass, overhead sign or a tree canopy that cars normally encounter as they go down the road). Consequently, the AEBs bet with the odds that these stationary objects can simply be passed under.  Brakes are not applied.  THESE SYSTEMS MUST BE IMPROVED.  Joshua Brown was number one, this was number 2.  OEMs, please fix this before we have number 3.  This is a problem with most/all AEBs.  If someone has solved this without using LiDAR, they should do society a favor and place the solution in the public domain.    Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="128" height="30"> Highway Preliminary Report: HWY19FH008

NTSB, May 2019, "...Preliminary data from the vehicle show that the Tesla’s Autopilot system—an advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) that provides both longitudinal and lateral control over vehicle motion—was active at the time of the crash[1].  The driver engaged the Autopilot about 10 seconds before the collision. ... Preliminary vehicle data show that the Tesla was traveling about 68 mph when it struck the semitrailer. Neither the preliminary data nor the videos indicate that the driver or the ADAS executed evasive maneuvers."..."  Read more  Hmmmm...  My emphasis... ADAS and specifically the Automated Emergency Braking (AEB) system is at fault.  It disregards objects whose speed in the vehicle's direction is essentially zero!!! Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="119" height="25">  What Uber Left Behind in Asia

S. Ren, May2, "All it takes is a quick trip to Jakarta to realize that Uber Technologies Inc. missed out on the opportunity of a lifetime.

Go-Jek Indonesia PT and GrabTaxi Holdings Pte, which started out as copycats of the U.S. ride-hailing pioneer, have morphed into something far grander. Not only are their main car-hire businesses thriving, the companies have turned into super-apps that can satisfy a range of personal needs, from paying bills and ordering food to finding house cleaners. That’s helped make them Southeast Asia’s two most valuable unicorns...."  Read more  Hmmmm...    Maybe; however, it is very unlikely that even the entirety of the gig economy could be valued at anything that could substantially contribute to Uber's most lofty/greedy valuation expectations. Such profitability expectations should not be built on the backs of people desperately trying to feed their families. All gig-oriented businesses should be non-profit!   All of the profits should be returned to the gig workers. Note: Uber and Lyft haven't been profitable.  Thank you for the contribution, investment community.  Nice!  However, Goldmine Sachs, JP Morgan and Wall Street have a problem post IPO. Both revenue and costs are proportional to #gigWorkers.  As scale increases the coefficient in front of #gigWorkers on the cost side goes up and on the revenue side goes down.  Neither are good fundamentals!!! Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="50" height="39">  How the Promise of a $120 Billion Uber I.P.O. Evaporated

M. Issac, May 15, "Last September, Uber’s top executives were pitched by some of Wall Street’s biggest banks, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.

The bankers’ presentations calculated Uber’s valuation almost identically, hovering around one particular number: $120 billion.

That was the figure the bankers said they could convince investors Uber was worth when it listed its shares on the stock market, according to three people with knowledge of the talks. Uber’s chief executive, Dara Khosrowshahi, and chief financial officer, Nelson Chai, listened and discussed the presentations, these people said. Then they hired Morgan Stanley as lead underwriter, along with Goldman Sachs and others, to take the company public — and to effectively make the $120 billion valuation a reality.

Nine months later, Uber is worth about half that figure. The ride-hailing firm went public last week at $45 a share and has since dropped to around $41, pegging Uber’s market capitalization at $69 billion — and officially crowning it as the stock market debut that lost more in dollar terms than any other American initial public offering since 1975..." Read more  Hmmmm...  Perfect for another block-buster movie about the greed of Wall Street: "The Ultimate Hustle" (Ultimate greed expected from the backs of those so much need.  So U...G...L...Y, It ain't got no alibi... It's UGLY, It's UGLY, it's UGLY.   More Ugliness... Uber stumbles in most-watched IPO since Facebook — Cramer and other experts on what’s next

What the article fails to highlight is that after Uber killed Elaine Herzber, it ceased becoming an "internet/digital" "mobility machine"/company but just a good old taxi company whose value and size is proportional to the extent to which it can enslave gig workers.  This is actually the antithesis of an "internet/digital" company.  So UGLY!  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> Lyft says drivers tampering with surge pricing could be booted

S. Youn, May 18, "...The statement came after a report from ABC affiliate WJLA alleging that Lyft and Uber drivers at Reagan National Airport organized to turn off their apps until the prices for rides surged enough to deem the fares worthwhile.  "All the airplanes, we know when they land. So five minutes before, we turn all our apps off -- all of us at the same time," one driver, who did not want to identified, told WJLA on camera. "All of us, we turn our apps off. They surge $10, $12, sometimes $19. Then we turn our app on. Everyone will get the surge.”..."  Read more  Hmmmm...  More ugliness, now from the drivers.  This is on top of the recommendation that as a user you have CoPilot running on your phone to make sure that the driver doesn't take the long way to your destination.  It has happened to me at least twice.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.36&filename=ajafjpkfaclhelpc.png" class="" width="44" height="50" border="0">  App-Based Ride-Hailing versus PublicTransit: An Analysis of Modern Transportation Decisions in New York City

J. Magill'19, May 2019, "... An archive of over 300 million taxi and for-hire-vehicle trips in 2018 is used in tandem with a public transit travel time generation model to individually evaluate each ride-hailing journey and the time savings (or losses) it generated in comparison to the public transit equivalent. Various geographic and temporal aggregations are considered to try and find underlying patterns in the travel decisions of New Yorkers.  Citywide analysis suggests that approximately 15% of for-hire-vehicle trips and 18%of taxi trips were in fact longer in length than the equivalent public transit journey, and when just considering trips within Manhattan, those measures rise to 29% and 19% respectively.... "  Read more  Hmmmm...  Look especially @ Figure 5.1, p 29.  Just data!  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.36&filename=ajafjpkfaclhelpc.png" class="" width="44" height="50" border="0">  Ridesharing and Autonomous Taxis: Analysis of a Multi-Modal Transportation Demand Model

L. Bao'19, May 2019, ",,,Using a data set of synthesized vehicle travel demand for the United States and various adjustable parameters, this thesis analyzes the nationwide potential for reducing vehicle miles traveled of car trips by using autonomous taxi trips with other modes of transportation, including walking, transit, and  flight. Using a multi-modal model with autonomous taxis, ridesharing holds enormous potential for drastically increasing nationwide AVO for the United States and substantially reducing greenhouse gas emissions...."  Read more  Hmmmm...  Look especially @ Table 3.2 p 47 which states that transit ridership across the nation could potentially increase by a factor of ~2.5x through aTaxi abilities to address the "first&last mile" problem.    Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.36&filename=ajafjpkfaclhelpc.png" class="" width="44" height="50" border="0">  aTaxis vs. Airlines: The Fall of Domestic Air Travel in an Autonomous Ridesharing Transportation System

H. Johnson'19 , May 2019, "The current transportation system in place in the United States is built around the interstate highway system and personal car ownership. The true potential and efficiency of the highway system in place has not been reached as a result of personal car congestion. The implementation of autonomous ridesharing programs would cut down congestion and increase the overall efficiency of the system. Without drivers behind the wheel, aTaxis will cut travel costs drastically, making long haul ground transportation more a ffordable. This change in pricing will shift the demand curve for short domestic air travel..." Read more  Hmmmm...   Look in particular to Figure 2. Cost Savings per flight Route Aggregated by Trip Distance Ranges, p29 . Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="110" height="23">  Tesla driver gets license suspended after drunkenly falling asleep on Autopilot

F. Lambert, May 17, "...Last night, the police in Eemnes, a municipality and a city in the Netherlands, saw that a Tesla vehicle was strangely driving behind a slower truck even though there was no other traffic on the highway.  They decided to approach the vehicle and saw that the driver was asleep.  

After attempting to stop the vehicle, the driver was finally woken up with the help of a siren."  Read more  Hmmmm... At least AutoPilot kept him from dying.   Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="110" height="23">  First look at Tesla’s new in-car driving visualization

F. Lambert, May 17, "...As we reported earlier this month, Tesla started pushing a new software update (2019.16) to its fleet with a bunch of updates to its Sentry mode and Driving Visualization features, as well as a few new features..."  Read more  Hmmmm...  This is NOT good enough to be released.  The thought is great... show what the software is "seeing" and display it to build user confidence.  The problem is that it is not good enough (see accompanying video) for prime time and may cause users to watch it instead of the road ahead.  It is nice that the display is high up so that some peripheral vision capabilities continue to function when it is gazed upon; however, it may be too enticing to watch causing the driver to not pay sufficient attention to the road ahead.  Again for Elon, great idea, but not yet ready for prime time and should only be used with extreme caution.  Alain

Half-baked stuff that probably doesn't deserve your time

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="46" height="39">  Driverless electric truck starts deliveries on Swedish public road

E. Vaish, May 15, "esembling the helmet of a Star Wars stormtrooper, a driverless electric truck began daily freight deliveries on a public road in Sweden on Wednesday, in what developer Einride and logistics customer DB Schenker described as a world first... 

 An operator, sitting miles away, can supervise and control up to 10 vehicles at once...

The T-Pod has permission to make short trips - between a warehouse and a terminal - on a public road in an industrial area in Jonkoping, central Sweden, at up to 5 km/hr, documents from the transport authority show."  Read more  Hmmmm...   Remotely driven??? A public road (singular) @ 5 km/h  !?.  Maybe this is just Click Bait.  A (very) small step...  Alain

 C'mon Man!  (These folks didn't get/read the memo)

Simply Click Bait

 Calendar of Upcoming Events:

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evening May 19 through May 21, 2019

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

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Recent PodCasts

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 103

April 26, F. Fishkin, "GM's Cruise gets ready to take on Google's Waymo and its new partnership Lyft. Meanwhile Uber's IPO stalls and Tesla restructures its autopilot team. Join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more on the coming week's Smart Driving Car Summit."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 102

April 26, F. Fishkin, "VW unveils an Inclusive Mobility Initiative to help make future transportation better for all...a major theme of the upcoming Smart Driving Car Summit at Princeton. The University's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin tackle that...plus the latest of Uber, Tesla and more in Episode 102 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast!"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 100-A. Greenawalt/Via

April 5, F. Fishkin, "The success of on demand transit company Via is proving that ride sharing systems can work. Public Policy head Andrei Greenawalt joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a wide ranging discussion. Also: Uber, Tesla, Audi, Apple and Nuro are making headlines"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 98- Matt Daus

April 5, F. Fishkin, "Here comes congestion pricing in New York City...but what will it mean? Former city Taxi and Limousine Commission head and transportation expert Matthew Daus joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Also...Tesla, VW and even Brexit! All on Episode 98 of Smart Driving Cars."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 97 - Michael Sena

March 28, F. Fishkin, "The Future Networked Car? From Sweden, The Dispatcher publisher, Michael Sena, joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for the latest edition of Smart Driving Cars. Plus ...the Boeing story has much to do with autonomous vehicles and more. Tune in and subscribe."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 82 - Intel, Sciarappo & Jitsik, Loeb

F. Fishkin,  Jan. 9,  "One of the top chip makers in the world and a start up. Intel's strategic marketing director for autonomous driving Jill Sciarappo and the founder of Jitsik, Dr. Helen Loeb join co-hosts Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and Fred Fishkin for Episode 82 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast from CES."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 81 - nVIDIA, Shapiro & Local  Motors / Olli, Hodge

F. Fishkin,  Jan. 9,  "How NVIDIA is paving the way for self driving cars and a new OLLI automated transport from Local Motors. NVIDIA's Senior Director for Automotive, Danny Shapiro and Kurtis Hodge of Local Motors join co-hosts Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and Fred Fishkin for another edition of Smart Driving Cars from CES 2019.."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 75 - PAVE; Nantel, Erlich, Riccobono   

F. Fishkin,  Jan. 9,  "From CES in Las Vegas, a new industry organization, PAVE, is formed. Partners for Automated Vehicle Education. And some founding members join co-hosts Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and Fred Fishkin for an on site discussion. Guests include National Safety Council VP Kelly Nantel, Voyage VP Justin Erlich and National Federation of the Blind President Mark Riccobono."

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 71-Nader

F. Fishkin,  Dec. 13,  "When it comes to self driving cars, Ralph Nader says "Not so fast."  The renowned political activist and author takes the government and the industry to task in a super sized Episode 71 of the Smart Driving Cars Podcast. Join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more!"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 69 - Chunka Mui

F. Fishkin, Nov 29,  "What will it take for driverless vehicles to become a leading form of transportation? Futurist and author Chunka Mui joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 69 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. Plus...Waymo, GM, Amazon and more. Tune in and subscribe! "

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 68 - Dick Mudge

F. Fishkin, Nov 22,  "The insurance industry hears about the outlook for automated vehicles. Co-author Dick Mudge joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 68 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. Plus...Uber, GM Cruise, Waymo, VW and more. Tune in and subscribe!"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 66 - Bishop & Zimmerman

F. Fishkin, Nov 8,  "Daimler is partnering with Bosch to bring an autonomous ride hailing service to San Jose next year. In this edition, the Director of Engineering at Bosch joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to outline how it will work. Plus Richard Bishop joins us fresh from an International Task Force on Vehicle Highway Automation in Denmark. And more!"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 65 - Bernard Soriano, CA DMV

F. Fishkin, Nov 1,  "California gives Waymo the green light for fully driverless vehicle testing on public roads and the state's deputy director of the Department of Motor Vehicles, Bernard Soriano, joins the Smart Driving Cars podcast with the no nonsense details. Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin explore that and more. Tune in and subscribe!"

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 59-Alex Roy, Basic Urban Mobility

F. Fishkin, Sept 28  "Basic Universal Mobility? Writer, editor, champion endurance driver and thought leader Alex Roy...joins Princeton University's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 59 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. Plus...Alain's take on Tesla and Elon Musk....Toyota...and more..

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 58-Keith Code, Motorcycles

F. Fishkin, Sept 22  "In this edition of the Smart Driving Cars Podcast, Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by the founder of the Superbike School, Keith Code. Keith is an instructor, coach, author and researcher into motorcycle safety...and a champion racer. Beyond that....he's an old high school friend of Alain's! And there's more on BMW, Apple, VW and more! . Tune in and subscribe!"

 Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 55-Larry Burns, Autonomy

F. Fishkin, Sept 6,  "The coming new world of driverless cars! In Episode 55 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast former GM VP and adviser to Waymo Larry Burns chats with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin about his new book "Autonomy: The Quest to Build the Driverless Car and How it Will Reshape Our World"

Recent Highlights of:

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Sunday, May 12, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="197" height="16"> Self-driving car company Cruise raises $1.15bn

S. Bond, May 7, "Cruise, the self-driving division of General Motors, has landed a fresh $1.15bn in funding, boosting its valuation to $19bn including the new funds and giving it additional firepower to launch a planned robo-taxi service this year.

The investment came from T Rowe Price, the mutual fund manager, as well as existing Cruise investors SoftBank’s Vision Fund, Honda and GM, the carmaker said in a statement. Including the latest round, Cruise has raised $7.25bn in equity in the past year, following previous injections from Honda and SoftBank.
.. "  Read more  Hmmmm...   Refer back to  Inside SoftBank's push to rule the road . What if SoftBank added Tesla to this chart.  That really creates a 2-person race with Waymo.  Duopolies aren't bad.  Alain

Sunday, May 5, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="140" height="17">  VW Inclusive Mobility aims to make sure tech takes care of everyone

A. Krok, May 2, "You can't please all the people all the time, but Volkswagen wants to make sure that when it moves into the next era of mobility, it won't leave any groups behind. 

Volkswagen this week unveiled its Inclusive Mobility Initiative, which sees the automaker working directly with outside groups to ensure that its future vehicles are capable of catering to people with disabilities..."  Read more  Hmmmm...This is fantastic and may well be in line with the focus we've taken with the upcoming 3rd Annual Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit 10 days from now.  Our focus is on all people who have been marginalized by the unnecessary/non-inclusive/exclusive designs of our current forms of mobility, .  These designs are especially irresponsible when one no longer needs a person to drive... to keep the car from crashing while on its way from where people are to where the want to go.   What an enormous opportunity to be of service to so many that for what ever reason don't want or can't perform that task.  Yes, there are situations in which a professional is required.  At times, we all need we all need that the help of a professional.  But for all of those situations in which a professional is not needed, we have an enormous opportunity to be so much more inclusive by removing the other unnecessary exclusivities  that have consciously or unconsciously crept into our cars and transit systems.  Our mobility systems no longer need to be big and hold many people to make them affordable, no driver needs to be paid.  They no longer need to be constrained to only go between the few places than many want to go between at only certain times.  They can readily serve where only a few, even one, want to go between at whatever time.  The skill set needed to use and be served diminishes to the skill set needed by the easiest to use elevator. And so on...

Be sure to look VW's Inclusive Mobility Initiative.  Hopefully it encompasses and levels the mobility field  for the people that its cars have marginalized for 100 years.  Alain

Friday, May 3, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> Tesla’s autonomy event: Impressive progress with an unrealistic timeline

T. Lee. April 24, "There's an old joke in the software engineering world, sometimes attributed to Tom Cargill of Bell Labs: "the first 90 percent of the code accounts for the first 90 percent of the development time. The remaining 10 percent of the code accounts for the other 90 percent of the development time."...

You can think of self-driving car development as occurring in two stages. Stage one is focused on developing a static understanding of the world. Where is the road? Where are other cars? Are there any pedestrians or bicycles nearby? What are the traffic laws in this particular area?

Once software has mastered this part of the self-driving task, it should be able to drive flawlessly between any two points on empty roads—and it should mostly be able to avoid running into things even on crowded roads. This is the level of autonomy Musk has dubbed "feature complete." Waymo achieved this level of autonomy around 2015, while Tesla is aiming to reach it later this year....

In this second stage, a company also needs to handle a "long tail" of increasingly unusual situations: ...Waymo has spent the last three years in the second stage...

Tesla says that's a 21-fold improvement over the Nvidia chips the company was using before. Of course, Nvidia has produced newer chips since 2016, but Tesla says that its chips are more powerful than even Nvidia's current Drive Xavier chip—144 TOPS compared to 21 TOPS.

But Nvidia argues that's not a fair comparison. The company says its Xavier chip delivers 30 TOPS, not 21. More importantly, Nvidia says it typically packages the Xavier on a chip with a powerful GPU chip, yielding 160 TOPS of computing power. And like Tesla, Nvidia packages these systems in pairs for redundancy, producing an overall system with 320 TOPS of computing power.... Regardless, both companies are working on next-generation designs, so any advantage either company achieves is likely to be fleeting....", Read more  Hmmmm... An absolute MUST read.  Alain

Friday, April 12, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="152" height="21">  SpaceX Lands Three Falcon Heavy Rocket Boosters After One Launch

J. Torchinsky, April 11, "For the first time ever, yesterday, SpaceX managed to land and recover all three of the Block 5 Falcon 9 rocket boosters that, when combined, form the Falcon Heavy launch vehicle. While the idea of vertically landing a rocket after launch for re-use has been around a while, SpaceX was the first to actually do it, and this triple-landing, part of the Arabsat-6A launch, is the first time three boosters from one launch have been recovered...."   Read more  Hmmmm... If you weren't watching live, then you must watch the video.  2 side landing @ T+7:30+ (also), center@ T+9:40+ See this aerial picture.  See also  [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="59" height="17" border="0"> SpaceX Falcon Heavy Sticks Triple Rocket Landing with 1st Commercial Launch.

In the 70's, after putting a man on the moon, we felt empowered that technologically, everything was possible! However, going 3for3 on bull's eye landings on earth is totally mind boggling.  Technologically, I'm fully confident we soon can have aTaxis serving the mobility disadvantaged throughout our communitie.  But, do we have the the societal/political will to risk even trying.  There simply may be too many gatekeepers of the status quo. Alain

Friday, April 5, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Congestion Pricing Plan for NYC is Coming!

M. Daus, Esq, April 1, "Over the weekend, the New York State legislature agreed to pass congestion pricing legislation as part of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s budget bill for FY 2020. The legislation was finalized in the early hours today, and the Governor is expected to sign the bill into law immediately. The toll is intended to reduce traffic congestion while raising $15 billion between 2020 and 2024 to fix NYC subways and commuter rails.  Starting no sooner than December 31, 2020, motorists will be charged a toll to drive into Manhattan south of 60th street, excluding the FDR Drive and the West Side highway....

Only two categories of vehicles are specifically exempt from the law: emergency vehicles and qualifying vehicles transporting a person with disabilities. The law does not specify what qualifies as a “vehicle transporting a person with disability,” leaving any such determinations to the TBTA. A recent Bloomberg article discusses exemptions for people with disabilities (click here to review full article)..."  Read more  Hmmmm... Congratulations NYC!!! I've never understood why this isn't called "Value Pricing".  Was it the SAE??? or is it just that I don't seem to ever like the semantics used by others? This has been a long time coming and is a tribute to William Vickery, the Canadian-born Columbia University Professor of Economics and Nobel Laureate who tragically passed away shortly after being announced as the winner of the 1996 award in Economics.  Alain

Friday, March 29, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="155" height="20"> 10 Lessons From Uber's Fatal Self-Driving Car Crash



Friday, March 22, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">   Benson, Zwicker & Lampitt Measure Creating Task Force to Study Autonomous Vehicles Now Law

Press release, March 19, "To ensure self-driving cars are safely integrated on New Jersey roads, legislation sponsored by Assembly Democrats Daniel Benson, Andrew Zwicker and Pamela Lampitt to establish a task force to evaluate autonomous vehicles was signed into law by the Governor Monday.

“As major auto companies explore developing semi and fully autonomous cars, we need to prepare for the day when we’ll see only self-driving vehicles on our roadways,” said Benson (Mercer, Middlesex). “The goal of this task force will be to assess how we can introduce autonomous vehicles to our roadways while keeping drivers safe.”

The new mandate (formerly bill AJR-164) creates the New Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task Force, comprised of eight members. The panel will be responsible for conducting a study of autonomous vehicles and recommending laws, rules, and regulations that the state may enact to safely integrate these vehicles on the roads..."  Read more  Hmmmm.... New Jersey is now started.  Hooray!! Alain

Sunday, March 17, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="116" height="32">Automated vehicles could provide mobility to the ‘mobility disadvantaged’

A. Kornhauser, March 13, "The following testimony was provided to the New Jersey State Assembly’s Transportation and Independent Authorities Committee on Monday, March 11....

What we need, what my ask is, that we create in New Jersey a “welcoming environment” for the research, testing and demonstration of this technology and work to focusing it on improving the mobility of the mobility disadvantaged...

While such a demonstration is not prohibited in New Jersey, it is not permitted.  

Consequently, this provides excuses and hurdles to bringing such mobility to our communities and tarnishes any other welcoming efforts aimed at enabling New Jersey to lead instead of follow in what may well address the fundamental objective of this hearing."  Read more  Hmmmm....Seems so simple. I have found it so incredibly hard. Alain

Friday, March 1, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="35" height="38">  FORM S-1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT Lyft, Inc.

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">Autonomous Vehicles

Feb 25, " This workshop brought together experts in cyber-physical systems, machine learning, transportation engineering, and applied mathematics, both from academia and from industry, to help bridge the technical gaps and to facilitate exchange and collaboration across disciplinary boundaries..."  Read more  Hmmmm.... Slides and videos of the presentations are available here.   In particular, see..:

Friday, February 15, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Facing opposition, Amazon scraps New York HQ2 plans

T. Lee, Feb. 14, "Amazon is canceling its controversial plan to build a new corporate campus in the Long Island City neighborhood of Queens. The plan, which included almost $3 billion in subsidies and tax breaks, provoked a grassroots backlash... " Read more  Hmmmm....  An example of what happens when the "Welcome Mat' fails to include on one side...the grass roots... those who were supposed to be direct beneficiaries (those who were supposed to get the jobs) and those whose "back yards" were to be disrupted.  And on the other side ...  those being welcomed failed to "wipe their feet" by extracting too many incentives and failing to be respective of local values. 

Similarly with the California HSR.  California put out the Welcome Mat, but the technology didn't properly wipe its feet by promoting optimistic schedules and low-balling cost estimates, both of which finally caught up to them. 
Driverless Shared-ride mobility will have to avoid making similar faux pas; else, it simply isn't going to happen.  Alain

Friday, February 1, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  NYC NOW KNOWS MORE THAN EVER ABOUT YOUR UBER AND LYFT TRIPS

Friday, January 25, 2019

Friday, January 11, 2019

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> PAVE coalition launches broad-based public education campaign on automated vehicles

Staff, Jan. 8, "A coalition of industry, non-profit and academic institutions has launched a campaign to inform the public and policymakers about the potential and the reality of advanced vehicle technologies and self-driving vehicles.

Partners for Automated Vehicle Education (PAVE) will hold events across the country to introduce driver assistance and self-driving technology to consumers and policymakers; hold educational workshops to help federal, state and local officials make informed policy decisions; and develop educational materials to distribute to retail sales and customer service personnel...."  Read more Hmmmm....  Very important.  Listen to the PodCast.  Alain

Thursday, December 27, 2018

 [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="116" height="18">   Top 10 Potential Surprises for

A. Jonas, Dec. 20, "... #6. Safety drivers not removed from autonomous car fleets. While we are optimistic on the direction and end-state of AVs, we do not expect the tech to be "ready for prime time" in 2019.  Look for expansion of AV fleets in the US to have at least one if not two safety drivers to satisfy regulations and mitigate risk for years to come. ..."  Read more  Hmmmm....  Yipes!!!  Sorry for not ending the year on an optimistic note.  What may be becoming obvious is that the AI technology that replaces the driver may no longer be the critical path item.

"Expansion"  and "safety drivers" are oxymorons.  Expansion, especially in the tech world is only possible if is associated with substantial labor productivity.  Do you think that it is expensive to for NJ Transit to employ bus drivers?  How much must those "Safety Drivers" cost Waymo, Apple, Cruise, etc with their "Silicon Valley"  narcissism  and self-worth.  Figuring out how use Driverless technology such that it is valued and respected by society may well be THE critical path item.   What is known for certain is that, if Driverless is to become mobility as a service, it is necessary that the service has substantially better labor proclivity than today's personal automobile or Uber/Lyft/DiDi Chauffeured mobility. 

The automobile has been able to thrive only because it leveraged its ability to have the driver, the beneficiary of the technology, personally absorb the labor cost of delivering that mobility.  We pay ourselves to Chauffeur ourselves  and never think about paying ourselves.  Our significant others, friends and children endear us to Chauffeur them.  Thus the automobile's labor cost has been elegantly internalized to such an extent that it is perceived to be completely free.  We also internalize the cost of our labor in watching over and maintaining out personal car(s).

All of these internalized costs spill out and become real tangible costs for any system for which we decide, for whatever reason, to not do them for ourselves any more.   So the critical contribution that we make when driving is not actually the shifting of the gears, etc, but, instead,  driving like everyone else.  In a sense, just blending in without being noticed.  Today's cars provide personal mobility without incurring an explicit labor cost.  Just to be even, Driverless cars must do the same.  That means No attendant nor Safety driver and  that's just to be even.  To be better than today's cars, then Driverless will need deliver shared rides.

 For Driverless technology to achieve any worthwhile scale, it will need to do it without one, let alone two, attendants on-board.   Alain

Thursday, November 22, 2018

 [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="94" height="29"> Market Framework and Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

R. Mudge, A. Kornhauser, M. Hardison, Nov, 2018 "The surface transportation industry is in the early stages of a series of profound changes, stimulated by the development of increasingly sophisticated driving safety and automation technologies.   Considerable uncertainty exists regarding the speed with which these changes will take place and the nature of their impacts on safety, the overall demand for travel, vehicle sales, and vehicle ownership.  This report does not attempt to forecast the pace of these changes, instead advancing a list of “trigger points” that might serve as leading indicators of change....

What might these changes mean for actuaries and the insurance industry? Since Driverless vehicles will most likely be available only to fleet operators and not the general public, their actuarial and insurance implication will differ substantially from the implications of Safe and Self technologies that will be on vehicles purchased by consumers. But, will these vehicles continue to be insured in the same way as personal vehicles are today or will this practice change in some way. For example, if the burden of
liability shifts to the technology rather than the driver, then should actuaries focus on product liability rather than personal liability? To what extent does technology rather than personal behavior or demographics become the important link to liability? " Read more  Hmmmm....  This is a very good report. Listen to SmartDrivingCar Podcast 68 with Dick Mudge. (Of course, I'm biased. )  Alain 

Thursday, November 8, 2018

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> We Crash Four Cars Repeatedly to Test the Latest Automatic Braking Safety Systems

B. Tingwall, Nov  2018, "The kick-drum thump of a harmless 30-mph shunt into an inflatable faux car rouses the same visceral remorse as a real car crash. The stomach knots with nausea. Mortification burns deep in every muscle. Within seconds, the brain catalogs the near trauma under Things That Should Not Be Repeated, right next to beer pong played with Captain Morgan.

Against our instincts, we keep taking runs at the balloon car. We nudge, punch, and plow into the generic air-filled Volks­wagen again and again and again, not unlike American drivers, who, in 2016, drove into the back ends of other vehicles 2.4 million times. The rear-end collision is America's favorite way to bend sheetmetal, accounting for nearly one-third of all crashes. ...."   Read more  Hmmmm....  Bottom line.... AEB DOESN'T WORK!!!  Seems as if someone should go back and  start from the beginning.  The intent should NOT be to reduce ...  it should be to "... essentially eliminate the millions of rear-end collisions that happen each year.   Cars should NOT be able to tailgate, period!!!  These are public highways and tailgaters should NOT be enabled to put others at risk.  Cars should NOT be able to cut-in and cars should NOT be able to drive at an excessive speed.  If cars are misused, the car maker, the OEM, should be liable for enabling the car to be misused, ( unless the owner has modified the car, then the modifier should be liable for treble damages).   OEMs have the knowledge and capability to place controls on their cars so that they are NOT misused. OEMs should be held accountable for not implementing those safeguards.   Alain

Thursday, November 1, 2018

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  A Green Light for Waymo’s Driverless Testing in California

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

New Jersey Pending Legislation re: Autonomous Vehicles

Oct 16, Establishes fully autonomous vehicle pilot program A4573 Sponsors:  Zwicker (D16); Benson (D14)

Oct 16, Establishes New Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task Force AJR164 Sponsors:  Benson (D14); Zwicker (D16); Lampitt (D6)

Oct 16, Directs MVC to establish driver's license endorsement for autonomous vehicles A4541 Sponsors:  Zwicker (D16); Benson (D14); Lampitt (D6)..."  Read more Hmmmm.... Things are beginning to move in New Jersey.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="39" height="43"> Testimony of Alain Kornhauser, Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="42" height="39"> Audio Recording of Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

Friday, August 31, 2018

Customers Died. Will That Be a Wake-Up Call for China’s Tech Scene?

Waymo’s Big Ambitions Slowed by Tech Trouble

Why Waymo Is Worth A Staggering $175 Billion Even Before Launching Its Self-Driving Cars

Friday, June 15,  2018

Tuesday, June 12,  2018

 CPUC AUTHORIZES PASSENGER CARRIERS TO PROVIDE FREE TEST RIDES IN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WITH VALID CPUC AND DMV PERMITS

Sunday, June 3,  2018

  Waymo’s fleet of self-driving minivans is about to get 100 times bigger

Friday, May 25,  2018

PRELIMINARY REPORT: HIGHWAY: HWY18MH010 (Uber/Herzberg Crash)

May 24, "About 9:58 p.m., on Sunday, March 18, 2018, an Uber Technologies, Inc. test vehicle, based on a modified 2017 Volvo XC90 and operating with a self-driving system in computer control mode, struck a pedestrian on northbound Mill Avenue, in Tempe, Maricopa County, Arizona.

...The vehicle was factory equipped with several advanced driver assistance functions by Volvo Cars, the original manufacturer. The systems included a collision avoidance function with automatic emergency
braking, known as City Safety, as well as functions for detecting driver alertness and road sign information. All these Volvo functions are disabled when the test vehicle is operated in computer control..." Read more  Hmmmm.... Uber must believe that its systems are better at avoiding Collisions and Automated Emergency Braking than Volvo's.  At least this gets Volvo "off the hook". 

"...According to data obtained from the self-driving system, the system first registered radar and LIDAR observations of the pedestrian about 6 seconds before impact, when the vehicle was traveling at 43 mph..." (= 63 feet/second)  So the system started "seeing an obstacle when it was 63 x 6 = 378 feet away... more than a football field, including end zones!   

"...As the vehicle and pedestrian paths converged, the self-driving system software classified the pedestrian as an unknown object, as a vehicle, and then as a bicycle with varying expectations of future travel path..." (NTSB: Please tell us precisely when it classified this "object' as a vehicle and be explicit about the expected "future travel paths."  Forget the path, please just tell us the precise velocity vector that Uber's system attached to the "object", then the "vehicle".  Why didn't the the Uber system instruct the Volvo to begin to slow down (or speed up) to avoid a collision?  If these paths (or velocity vectors) were not accurate, then why weren't they accurate?  Why was the object classified as a   "Vehicle" ??  When did it finally classify the object as a "bicycle"?  Why did it change classifications?  How often was the classification of this object done.  Please divulge the time and the outcome of each classification of this object.  In the tests that Uber has done, how often has the system mis-classified an object as a "pedestrian"when the object was actually an overpass, or an overhead sign or overhead branches/leaves that the car could safely pass under, or was nothing at all?? (Basically, what are the false alarm characteristics of Uber's Self-driving sensor/software system as a function of vehicle speed and time-of-day?)  

"...At 1.3 seconds before impact, (impact speed was 39mph = 57.2 ft/sec) the self-driving system determined that an emergency braking maneuver was needed to mitigate a collision" (1.3 x 57.2 = 74.4 ft. which is about equal to the braking distance. So it still could have stopped short.

"...According to Uber, emergency braking maneuvers are not enabled while the vehicle is under computer control, to reduce (eradicate??) the potential for erratic vehicle behavior. ..." NTSB:  Please describe/define potential  and erratic vehicle behavior   Also please uncover and divulge the design & decision process that Uber went through to decide that this risk (disabling the AEB) was worth the reward of eradicating " "erratic vehicle behavior".  This is fundamentally BAD design.  If the Uber system's false alarm rate is so large that the best way to deal with false alarms is to turn off the AEB, then the system should never have been permitted on public roadways. 

"...The vehicle operator is relied on to intervene and take action. " Wow!  If Uber's system fundamentally relies on a human to intervene, then Uber is nowhere near creating a Driverless vehicle.  Without its own Driverless vehicle Uber is past "Peak valuation".  

"...The system is not designed to alert the operator. " That may be the only good part of Uber's design.  In a Driverless vehicle, there is no one to warn, so don't waste your time.  If it is important enough to warn, then it is important enough for the automated system to start initiating things to do something about it.  Plus, the Driver may not know what to do anyway.  This is pretty much as I stated in PodCast 30 and the March 24 edition of SmartDrivingCar, See below.Thursday, May 10,  2018

Thursday, April 26,  2018

 This startup’s CEO wants to open-source self-driving car safety testing

Saturday, March 24,  2018

Experts say video of Uber's self-driving car killing a pedestrian suggests its technology may have failed

 

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Tuesday, April 17, 2017

  Don't Worry, Driverless Cars Are Learning From Grand Theft Auto

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.36&filename=ajafjpkfaclhelpc.png" class="" width="44" height="50" border="0">Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Sunday, December 19, 2015

[log in to unmask]" alt="imap:[log in to unmask]:993/fetch%3EUID%3E/INBOX%3E3022058?part=1.38&filename=ccalfjfhllohpdpa.png" class="" width="96" height="63" border="0">Adam Jonas' View on Autonomous Cars

Video similar to part of Adam's Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1.  Hmmm ... Watch Video  especially at the 13:12 mark.  Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above!  Also see his TipRanks.  Alain

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