http://SmartDrivingCar.com/7.21-3rdSummit-051819
21st edition of the 7th
year of SmartDrivingCars
K. Pyle, May 17, "3.5 million and 5+
million deaths per year are a couple
of the statistics that stood out from
the 2+ day, 3rd annual
SmartDrivingCars Summit at Princeton.
There are approximately 3.5 million
individuals in the United States who
never leave their homes and
approximately 1.9M of those people
have disabilities, according to Robbie
Diamond, President & CEO of SAFE.
He went on to say that,
“Transportation is the biggest
predictor of inter-generational upward
mobility.”
His comments echoed the conference
theme of improving mobility for all
people, especially the mobility
marginalized, to paraphrase Professor
Alain Kornhauser. Kornhauser brought
together participants from multiple
disciplines and backgrounds to an
event that is like no other. This
year, he introduced a research element
where there were a couple different
opportunities to gauge the reactions
of everyday people of varying
abilities to various levels of
autonomous vehicles...." Read more
Hmmmm... Ken,
thank you for such an excellent
summary and all of the help.
Alain
F. Fishkin, May 18,, "From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, join Professor Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. In this special edition, the summit's focus on mobility for all with guests Anil Lewis, Executive Director of Blindness Initiatives at the National Federation of the Blind and ITN America Founder Katherine Freund." Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" . Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ... Alain
F. Fishkin, May 18, "At the third annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, Velodyne execs John Eggert and Vidya Devarasetty outline the latest, lower cost LiDAR. And co-hosts Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin hop aboard the autonomous Olli for more with Local Motors Economist Kurtis Hodge." Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" . Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ... Ala
F. Fishkin, May 18, "From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, David Kidd from the Highway Loss Data Institute joins Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin and then on site preliminary research results on mobility for all with Cecilia Feeley and Andrea Lubin from Rutgers." Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" . Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ... Alain
F.
Fishkin, May 18,
"In
this special edition from
the 3rd Annual Princeton
Smart Driving Cars Summit,
Alain Kornhauser and co-host
Fred Fishkin are joined by
RoboSense VP Leilei
Shinohara on the LiDAR's
benefits. And view of
autonomous technology from
law enforcement with New
York State Police
Staff Sergeant Terence
McDonnell." Just
say "Alexa, play
the Smart Driving
Cars podcast!"
. Ditto with Siri,
and GooglePlay
... Alain
F. Fishkin, May 18, "Wrapping up the 3rd annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin zero in on mobility for all and more. It's just getting started. Plus the headlines from Nissan, Tesla, Uber and Lyft. Tune in and subscribe!" Just say "Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!" . Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay ... Alain
N. Tajitsu, May 16,
"Nissan Motor Co Ltd said on Thursday it
would, for now, stick to self-driving
technology which uses radar sensors and
cameras, avoiding lidar or light-based
sensors because of their high cost and
limited capabilities..." Read
more Hmmmm...
Actually this is about as far as you
should read without realizing that
Nissan is NOT talking about Driverless
and really means Self-driving
(always adult
supervision in the driver's seat,
none of this autonomusTaxi/roboTaxi,
mobility for all stuff). Yes, for
OEMs, there is fundamentally two
different futures... cars driven without
adult supervision (Driverless)
and those with (Safe-Driving...
you can't take your hands off the
wheel or feet off the pedals (you
can't text!) and Self-driving...
under certain well-defined
situations you can relax and take
your feet off the pedals and hands
off the wheel; you can text! (but
you must remain alert and ready to
take over. In the beginning, you
will need to take over often.)).
OEMs are in the business of making and selling cars to consumers. Today, it is a lot easier and cheaper to make a car that requires adult supervision (... Not necessarily true in the future... The cost of steering wheels, pedals, displays, windshields, conventional crash mitigation, maintenance, insurance, ... may exceed the cost of sensors, actuators, computers, communications, maintenance, insurance, of a vehicle that explicitly excludes/prevents human intervention. I again suggest the analogy with elevators and maybe even airport people movers, Personal Rapid Transit and conventional subways... automated elevators may well be cheaper to build than those required to be operated and supervised by human driver/operator.)
Sorry, I digressed... Nissan is simply "following the money" and realizing that there is not much of a business case created by eliminating the need for adult supervision. Once an adult is required to be in the loop, then it is all about saving money in achieving the perception that the driver/adult supervisor can text without having the OEM incur the responsibility/liability of having the driver fail his/her supervising responsibility because he/she was "texting". What Nissan is saying here is that LiDAR is expendable in reaching that business objective. Which is basically the same conclusion that Elon expressed since it is clear that he is only promoting the perception of without adult supervision and not really the reality of it... All Teslas have a steering wheel and throttle and brake pedals. Moreover, Nissan is probably in line with all other OEMs, except the Cruise part of GM. I sense that they are all bailing from without.
On the Supply side, without is left with Waymo, Cruise (maybe) and SoftBank, Local Motors, other shuttles and a bunch of startups, none of which have earned their first dollar of customer revenue that they can pin on the wall. On the demand side without remains strong because it is a necessity for Lyft and/or Uber to survive without a 180 degree pivot (which is no longer a pivot.), In the end, Without is so valuable that it can afford LiDAR. ("Affording" is not the same as "needing")
What OEMs may have not realized in their with strategy is that in order to avoid the liability of enabling texting some of the time, Automated Emergency Braking (AEB) systems MUST work... be able to reliably determine if a stationary object (something with near zero speed in the approach direction) can be safely passed under, or not; if not, then don't hit it. These systems do NOT work well enough today. See next article and David Kidd. Seems as if the combination of radar, images and map data may not be sufficient and LiDAR may be needed to save the with strategy. Alain
T. Lee, May 16, "A Tesla Model 3 had
Autopilot active in the seconds before
it crashed into a semi truck in March,
killing the driver, the National
Transportation Safety Board reported on
Thursday.
Jeremy Banner was driving his Model 3 on
a divided four-lane highway in Palm
Beach County, Florida. As the car
approached a driveway, a semi truck
pulled out in front of the car, making a
left-hand turn from the driveway to the
opposite travel lanes.
The Tesla was moving at 68mph (110km/h)
and slid under the truck's trailer. The
trailer sheared off the top of the car,
killing Banner. The vehicle continued
down the road for another 1,600 feet
(500m) before coming to a rest in the
median....
But it is not good at recognizing stationary objects (or objects, like a truck crossing the road, that are not moving in the car's direction of travel)...." Read more Hmmmm... What??? Tim, did you write this??? Of course radar is good at detecting stationary objects if it isn't tuned/programed to explicitly disregard them. The problem here , as you've written before, that automated emergency braking (AEB) systems explicitly disregard objects whose motion, in the direction of the oncoming car, is zero (or close to zero), because they can't confidently discern between object that will impede the car's progress down the lane and objects that can be passed under (an overpass, overhead sign or a tree canopy that cars normally encounter as they go down the road). Consequently, the AEBs bet with the odds that these stationary objects can simply be passed under. Brakes are not applied. THESE SYSTEMS MUST BE IMPROVED. Joshua Brown was number one, this was number 2. OEMs, please fix this before we have number 3. This is a problem with most/all AEBs. If someone has solved this without using LiDAR, they should do society a favor and place the solution in the public domain. Alain
S. Ren, May2, "All it
takes is a quick trip to Jakarta to
realize that Uber Technologies Inc.
missed out on the opportunity of a
lifetime.
Go-Jek Indonesia PT and GrabTaxi
Holdings Pte, which started out as
copycats of the U.S. ride-hailing
pioneer, have morphed into something far
grander. Not only are their main
car-hire businesses thriving, the
companies have turned into super-apps
that can satisfy a range of personal
needs, from paying bills and ordering
food to finding house cleaners. That’s
helped make them Southeast Asia’s two
most valuable unicorns...." Read more
Hmmmm...
Maybe; however, it is very unlikely
that even the entirety of the gig
economy could be valued at anything
that could substantially contribute
to Uber's most lofty/greedy
valuation expectations. Such
profitability expectations should
not be built on the backs of people
desperately trying to feed their
families. All gig-oriented
businesses should be non-profit!
All of the profits should be
returned to the gig workers. Note:
Uber and Lyft haven't been
profitable. Thank you for the
contribution, investment community.
Nice! However, Goldmine Sachs, JP
Morgan and Wall Street have a
problem post IPO. Both revenue and
costs are proportional to
#gigWorkers. As scale increases the
coefficient in front of #gigWorkers
on the cost side goes up and on the
revenue side goes down. Neither are
good fundamentals!!! Alain
M. Issac, May 15, "Last September,
Uber’s top executives were pitched by
some of Wall Street’s biggest banks,
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
The bankers’ presentations calculated
Uber’s valuation almost identically,
hovering around one particular number:
$120 billion.
That was the figure the bankers said
they could convince investors Uber was
worth when it listed its shares on the
stock market, according to three people
with knowledge of the talks. Uber’s
chief executive, Dara Khosrowshahi, and
chief financial officer, Nelson Chai,
listened and discussed the
presentations, these people said. Then
they hired Morgan Stanley as lead
underwriter, along with Goldman Sachs
and others, to take the company public —
and to effectively make the $120 billion
valuation a reality.
Nine months later, Uber is worth about
half that figure. The ride-hailing firm
went public last week at $45 a share and
has since dropped to around $41, pegging
Uber’s market capitalization at $69
billion — and officially crowning it as
the stock market debut that lost more in
dollar terms than any other American
initial public offering since 1975..." Read
more Hmmmm...
Perfect for another block-buster
movie about the greed of Wall
Street: "The Ultimate Hustle"
(Ultimate greed expected from the
backs of those so much need. So
U...G...L...Y, It ain't got no
alibi... It's UGLY, It's UGLY, it's
UGLY. More
Ugliness... Uber stumbles
in most-watched IPO since
Facebook — Cramer and
other experts on what’s
next
What the
article fails to highlight
is that after Uber killed
Elaine Herzber, it ceased
becoming an "internet/digital"
"mobility
machine"/company but just a
good old taxi company whose
value and size is
proportional to the extent
to which it can enslave gig
workers. This is actually
the antithesis of an
"internet/digital" company.
So UGLY! Alain
S. Youn, May 18, "...The statement came
after a report from ABC
affiliate WJLA alleging that Lyft
and Uber drivers at Reagan National
Airport organized to turn off their apps
until the prices for rides surged enough
to deem the fares worthwhile. "All the
airplanes, we know when they land. So
five minutes before, we turn all our
apps off -- all of us at the same time,"
one driver, who did not want to
identified, told WJLA on camera. "All of
us, we turn our apps off. They surge
$10, $12, sometimes $19. Then we turn
our app on. Everyone will get the
surge.”..." Read
more Hmmmm...
More ugliness, now from the
drivers. This is on top of the
recommendation that as a user you
have CoPilot
running on your phone to make sure
that the driver doesn't take the
long way to your destination. It
has happened to me at least twice.
Alain
J. Magill'19, May 2019, "... An archive
of over 300 million taxi and
for-hire-vehicle trips in 2018 is used
in tandem with a public transit travel
time generation model to individually
evaluate each ride-hailing journey and
the time savings (or losses) it
generated in comparison to the public
transit equivalent. Various geographic
and temporal aggregations are considered
to try and find underlying patterns in
the travel decisions of New Yorkers.
Citywide analysis suggests that
approximately 15% of for-hire-vehicle
trips and 18%of taxi trips were in fact
longer in length than the equivalent
public transit journey, and when just
considering trips within Manhattan,
those measures rise to 29% and 19%
respectively.... " Read
more Hmmmm...
Look especially @ Figure 5.1, p 29.
Just data! Alain
L. Bao'19, May 2019, ",,,Using a data
set of synthesized vehicle travel demand
for the United States and various
adjustable parameters, this thesis
analyzes the nationwide potential for
reducing vehicle miles traveled of car
trips by using autonomous taxi trips
with other modes of transportation,
including walking, transit, and flight.
Using a multi-modal model with
autonomous taxis, ridesharing holds
enormous potential for drastically
increasing nationwide AVO for the United
States and substantially reducing
greenhouse gas emissions...." Read
more Hmmmm...
Look especially @ Table 3.2 p 47
which states that transit ridership
across the nation could potentially
increase by a factor of ~2.5x
through aTaxi abilities to address
the "first&last mile" problem.
Alain
E. Vaish, May 15,
"esembling the helmet of a Star Wars
stormtrooper, a driverless electric
truck began daily freight deliveries on
a public road in Sweden on Wednesday, in
what developer Einride and logistics
customer DB Schenker described as a
world first...
An operator, sitting miles away, can supervise and control up to 10 vehicles at once...
The T-Pod has permission to make short trips - between a warehouse and a terminal - on a public road in an industrial area in Jonkoping, central Sweden, at up to 5 km/hr, documents from the transport authority show." Read more Hmmmm... Remotely driven??? A public road (singular) @ 5 km/h !?. Maybe this is just Click Bait. A (very) small step... Alain
April 26, F. Fishkin, "GM's
Cruise gets ready to take on
Google's Waymo and its new
partnership Lyft. Meanwhile Uber's
IPO stalls and Tesla restructures
its autopilot team. Join Princeton's
Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred
Fishkin for that and more on the
coming week's Smart Driving Car
Summit."
April 26, F. Fishkin, "VW unveils an Inclusive Mobility Initiative to help make future transportation better for all...a major theme of the upcoming Smart Driving Car Summit at Princeton. The University's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin tackle that...plus the latest of Uber, Tesla and more in Episode 102 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast!"
April 5, F. Fishkin, "The success of on demand transit company Via is proving that ride sharing systems can work. Public Policy head Andrei Greenawalt joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a wide ranging discussion. Also: Uber, Tesla, Audi, Apple and Nuro are making headlines"
April 5, F. Fishkin, "Here comes congestion pricing in New York City...but what will it mean? Former city Taxi and Limousine Commission head and transportation expert Matthew Daus joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Also...Tesla, VW and even Brexit! All on Episode 98 of Smart Driving Cars."
March 28, F. Fishkin, "The Future Networked Car? From Sweden, The Dispatcher publisher, Michael Sena, joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for the latest edition of Smart Driving Cars. Plus ...the Boeing story has much to do with autonomous vehicles and more. Tune in and subscribe."
F. Fishkin, Sept 6, "The coming new world of driverless cars! In Episode 55 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast former GM VP and adviser to Waymo Larry Burns chats with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin about his new book "Autonomy: The Quest to Build the Driverless Car and How it Will Reshape Our World"
A. Krok, May 2, "You can't please all
the people all the time, but
Volkswagen wants to make sure that
when it moves into the next era of
mobility, it won't leave any groups
behind.
Volkswagen this week unveiled its Inclusive Mobility Initiative,
which sees the automaker working
directly with outside groups to ensure
that its future vehicles are capable
of catering to people with
disabilities..." Read
more Hmmmm...This
is fantastic and may well be in
line with the focus we've taken
with the upcoming 3rd
Annual
Princeton SmartDrivingCar
Summit 10
days from now. Our focus is on all
people who have been
marginalized by the
unnecessary/non-inclusive/exclusive
designs of our current forms of
mobility, . These designs are
especially irresponsible when one
no longer needs a person to
drive... to keep the car from
crashing while on its way from
where people are to where the want
to go. What an enormous
opportunity to be of service to so
many that for what ever reason
don't want or can't perform that
task. Yes, there are situations
in which a professional is
required. At times, we all need
we all need that the help of a
professional. But for all of
those situations in which a
professional is not needed, we
have an enormous opportunity to be
so much more inclusive by removing
the other unnecessary
exclusivities that have
consciously or unconsciously crept
into our cars and transit
systems. Our mobility systems no
longer need to be big and hold
many people to make them
affordable, no driver needs to be
paid. They no longer need to be
constrained to only go between the
few places than many want to go
between at only certain times.
They can readily serve where only
a few, even one, want to go
between at whatever time. The
skill set needed to use and be
served diminishes to the skill set
needed by the easiest to use
elevator. And so on...
T. Lee. April 24, "There's an old joke in the software engineering world, sometimes attributed to Tom Cargill of Bell Labs: "the first 90 percent of the code accounts for the first 90 percent of the development time. The remaining 10 percent of the code accounts for the other 90 percent of the development time."...
You can think of self-driving car
development as occurring in two
stages. Stage one is focused on
developing a static understanding of
the world. Where is the road? Where
are other cars? Are there any
pedestrians or bicycles nearby? What
are the traffic laws in this
particular area?
Once software has mastered this part
of the self-driving task, it should
be able to drive flawlessly between
any two points on empty roads—and it
should mostly be able to avoid
running into things even on crowded
roads. This is the level of autonomy
Musk has dubbed "feature complete."
Waymo achieved this level of
autonomy around 2015, while Tesla is
aiming to reach it later this
year....
In this second stage, a company also needs to handle a "long tail" of increasingly unusual situations: ...Waymo has spent the last three years in the second stage...
Tesla says that's a 21-fold
improvement over the Nvidia chips
the company was using before. Of
course, Nvidia has produced newer
chips since 2016, but Tesla says
that its chips are more powerful
than even Nvidia's current Drive
Xavier chip—144 TOPS compared to 21
TOPS.
But Nvidia argues that's not a fair
comparison. The company says its
Xavier chip delivers 30 TOPS, not
21. More importantly, Nvidia says it
typically packages the Xavier on a
chip with a powerful GPU chip,
yielding 160 TOPS of computing
power. And like Tesla, Nvidia
packages these systems in pairs for
redundancy, producing an overall
system with 320 TOPS of computing
power.... Regardless, both companies
are working on next-generation
designs, so any advantage either
company achieves is likely to be
fleeting....", Read
more Hmmmm...
An absolute MUST read. Alain
J. Torchinsky, April 11, "For the first time ever, yesterday, SpaceX managed to land and recover all three of the Block 5 Falcon 9 rocket boosters that, when combined, form the Falcon Heavy launch vehicle. While the idea of vertically landing a rocket after launch for re-use has been around a while, SpaceX was the first to actually do it, and this triple-landing, part of the Arabsat-6A launch, is the first time three boosters from one launch have been recovered...." Read more Hmmmm... If you weren't watching live, then you must watch the video. 2 side landing @ T+7:30+ (also), center@ T+9:40+ See this aerial picture. See also [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="59" height="17" border="0"> SpaceX Falcon Heavy Sticks Triple Rocket Landing with 1st Commercial Launch.
In the 70's, after putting a man on the moon, we felt empowered that technologically, everything was possible! However, going 3for3 on bull's eye landings on earth is totally mind boggling. Technologically, I'm fully confident we soon can have aTaxis serving the mobility disadvantaged throughout our communitie. But, do we have the the societal/political will to risk even trying. There simply may be too many gatekeepers of the status quo. Alain
M. Daus, Esq, April 1, "Over the weekend, the New York State legislature agreed to pass congestion pricing legislation as part of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s budget bill for FY 2020. The legislation was finalized in the early hours today, and the Governor is expected to sign the bill into law immediately. The toll is intended to reduce traffic congestion while raising $15 billion between 2020 and 2024 to fix NYC subways and commuter rails. Starting no sooner than December 31, 2020, motorists will be charged a toll to drive into Manhattan south of 60th street, excluding the FDR Drive and the West Side highway....
Only two categories of vehicles are specifically exempt from the law: emergency vehicles and qualifying vehicles transporting a person with disabilities. The law does not specify what qualifies as a “vehicle transporting a person with disability,” leaving any such determinations to the TBTA. A recent Bloomberg article discusses exemptions for people with disabilities (click here to review full article)..." Read more Hmmmm... Congratulations NYC!!! I've never understood why this isn't called "Value Pricing". Was it the SAE??? or is it just that I don't seem to ever like the semantics used by others? This has been a long time coming and is a tribute to William Vickery, the Canadian-born Columbia University Professor of Economics and Nobel Laureate who tragically passed away shortly after being announced as the winner of the 1996 award in Economics. Alain
Press release, March 19, "To ensure
self-driving cars are safely
integrated on New Jersey roads,
legislation sponsored by Assembly
Democrats Daniel Benson, Andrew
Zwicker and Pamela Lampitt to
establish a task force to evaluate
autonomous vehicles was signed into
law by the Governor Monday.
“As major auto companies explore
developing semi and fully autonomous
cars, we need to prepare for the day
when we’ll see only self-driving
vehicles on our roadways,” said
Benson (Mercer, Middlesex). “The
goal of this task force will be to
assess how we can introduce
autonomous vehicles to our roadways
while keeping drivers safe.”
The new mandate (formerly bill
AJR-164) creates the New Jersey
Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task
Force, comprised of eight members.
The panel will be responsible for
conducting a study of autonomous
vehicles and recommending laws,
rules, and regulations that the
state may enact to safely integrate
these vehicles on the roads..." Read
more Hmmmm....
New Jersey is
now started.
Hooray!! Alain
A. Kornhauser, March 13, "The following testimony was provided to the New Jersey State Assembly’s Transportation and Independent Authorities Committee on Monday, March 11....
What we need, what my ask is, that we create in New Jersey a “welcoming environment” for the research, testing and demonstration of this technology and work to focusing it on improving the mobility of the mobility disadvantaged...
While such a demonstration is not
prohibited in New Jersey, it is not
permitted.
Consequently, this provides excuses
and hurdles to bringing such
mobility to our communities and
tarnishes any other welcoming
efforts aimed at enabling New Jersey
to lead instead of follow in what
may well address the fundamental
objective of this hearing." Read
more Hmmmm....Seems
so simple. I
have found it
so incredibly
hard. Alain
Oct 16, Establishes
fully autonomous vehicle pilot
program A4573 Sponsors: Zwicker
(D16); Benson (D14)
Oct 16, Establishes
New
Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle
Task Force AJR164 Sponsors:
Benson (D14); Zwicker (D16); Lampitt
(D6)
May 24, "About 9:58
p.m., on Sunday, March 18, 2018, an
Uber Technologies, Inc. test
vehicle, based on a modified 2017
Volvo XC90 and operating with a
self-driving system in computer
control mode, struck a pedestrian on
northbound Mill Avenue, in Tempe,
Maricopa County, Arizona.
...The vehicle was
factory equipped with several
advanced driver assistance functions
by Volvo Cars, the original
manufacturer. The systems included a
collision avoidance function with
automatic emergency
braking, known as City Safety, as
well as functions for detecting
driver alertness and road sign
information. All these Volvo
functions are disabled when the test
vehicle is operated in computer
control..."
Read more Hmmmm....
Uber must believe that its
systems are better at
avoiding Collisions and
Automated Emergency Braking
than Volvo's.
At least this gets Volvo
"off the hook".
"...According
to data obtained from the
self-driving system, the system
first registered radar and LIDAR
observations of the pedestrian
about 6 seconds before impact,
when the vehicle was traveling
at 43 mph..." (=
63 feet/second) So the
system started "seeing
an obstacle when it was
63 x 6 = 378 feet
away... more than a
football field,
including end zones!
"...As
the vehicle and pedestrian paths
converged, the self-driving
system software classified the
pedestrian as an unknown object,
as a vehicle, and then as a
bicycle with varying
expectations of future travel
path..."
(NTSB:
Please tell us
precisely when it
classified this
"object' as a vehicle
and be explicit
about the expected "future
travel paths." Forget the
path, please just tell us
the precise velocity vector
that Uber's system attached
to the "object", then the
"vehicle". Why didn't the
the Uber system instruct the
Volvo to begin to slow down
(or speed up) to avoid a
collision? If these paths
(or velocity vectors) were
not accurate, then why
weren't they accurate? Why
was the object classified as
a "Vehicle" ?? When
did it finally classify the
object as a "bicycle"? Why did
it change classifications?
How often was the
classification of this
object done. Please divulge
the time and the outcome of
each classification of this
object. In
the tests that Uber has
done, how often has the
system mis-classified an
object as a "pedestrian"when
the object was
actually an
overpass, or an
overhead sign or
overhead
branches/leaves that
the car could safely
pass under, or was
nothing at all??
(Basically, what are
the false alarm
characteristics of
Uber's Self-driving
sensor/software
system as a function
of vehicle speed and
time-of-day?)
"...At 1.3 seconds before impact, (impact speed was 39mph = 57.2 ft/sec) the self-driving system determined that an emergency braking maneuver was needed to mitigate a collision" (1.3 x 57.2 = 74.4 ft. which is about equal to the braking distance. So it still could have stopped short.
"...According
to Uber, emergency
braking maneuvers
are not enabled
while the
vehicle is under
computer control, to
reduce (eradicate??)
the potential
for erratic
vehicle behavior.
..."
NTSB: Please
describe/define potential
and erratic vehicle
behavior Also
please uncover
and divulge
the design
& decision
process that
Uber went
through to
decide that
this risk
(disabling the
AEB) was worth
the reward of
eradicating "
"erratic vehicle behavior". This
is
fundamentally
BAD design.
If the Uber
system's false
alarm rate is
so large that
the best way
to deal with
false alarms
is to turn off
the AEB, then
the system
should never
have been
permitted on
public
roadways.
"...The vehicle operator
is relied on
to intervene
and take
action. " Wow! If Uber's
system
fundamentally
relies on a
human to
intervene,
then Uber is
nowhere near
creating a
Driverless
vehicle.
Without its
own Driverless
vehicle Uber
is past "Peak
valuation".
Video similar to part of Adam's Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1. Hmmm ... Watch Video especially at the 13:12 mark. Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above! Also see his TipRanks. Alain
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