12.15 - Fsd licensing
Glenn,
really impressive, but don't stop paying attention especially when traveling above 25 mph. I could kill me.
Alain
On 4/8/2024 5:43 PM, Glenn Cook wrote:
I have 12.3.3 and is more impressive…
Drove for Orlando to Tampa zero interventions. Drove from Tampa to Ocala… zero interventions. Then drove from Ocala to Saint Augustine, zero interventions.
I've also now allowed for other people to be in the driver seat and engage the system to see what they thought. I've been collecting responses ever since.🤯
Glenn Cook
Founder/CEO
EVTransports dba SafeRydr
www.SafeRydr.com
407-443-5137
glenn@saferydr.com
On Apr 7, 2024, at 8:44 PM, Alain L. Kornhauser alaink@princeton.edu wrote:
Click or tap if you trust this link. Saturday, April 06, 2024
15h edition of the 12th year of SmartDrivingCars eLetter
Tesla's Elon Musk reiterates FSD licensing offer for other automakers
J. Huang, March 18, "With the release and warm reception to FSD V12.3, it appears that Tesla is now leaning towards promoting the advanced driver-assist system as a supervised solution that can make driving a lot easier. This was hinted at in recently leaked emails from Elon Musk and Tesla's own posts on social media.
Tesla FSD V12.3 has been very impressive so far, with many users stating that the advanced driver-assist system can now navigate inner city streets like a fairly capable human driver. This does not mean to say that FSD has become a fully hands-free system, of course, but it does suggest that the system has improved to a degree where it can now navigate the intricacies of inner city driving confidently and safely. ….
While Tesla does seem to be changing its tone somewhat with regard to FSD's marketing, the company's focus on supervised FSD — at least for now — does help emphasize just how far ahead Tesla is compared to other automakers also offering advanced driver-assist solutions. …"
Read More
Hmmmm… As with any offer, one must carefully read the terms & conditions. Supervised FSD involves hardware (sensors, actuators & processors) and software. In today's Teslas, that suite fully integrated is priced @ $12k or $200/month. What Elon may be pitching here is the licensing of the software and IP associated with the integration of the hardware and software into the licensee's vehicle. The question is, what would a consumer be willing to pay Tesla for supervised FSD software on a non-Tesla that has been integrated with the necessary hardware (and OtA updating capabilities; otherwise, a total dumpster fire.)?
Indeed, it can't be $12k or $200/mo. But, it could be that minus scaled volume costs for the hardware, whose incremental costs above what is needed for basic Automated Emergency Braking and other basic tech improvements being incorporated into new cars. So maybe it is $10k or $175/mo. Or even as low as what is today's margin earned by an OEM.
It may actually be true that the value to the end customer of Supervised FSD may be equivalent to the whole rest of the car. Wow!
What is the response by MobilEye? Is this competitive capitalism at work? Alain
Just Published!!! Go to Amazon.com… You can still be first on your block to have one J.
https://www.amazon.com/Real-Case-Driverless-Mobility-Vehicles/dp/0443236852/ref=sr_1_1
SmartDrivingCars
ZoomCast 366 / PodCast 366 Tesla out with Supervised FSD and offers to license it to others.
F. Fishkin, April 6, "With Alain in Texas for hoped for eclipse viewing, on episode 366 of Smart Driving Cars, we take a look at Tesla's release of Supervised FSD and another offer to license it to other carmakers. Plus NHTSA launching campaign to Put the Phone Away or Pay, NVIDIA, Tesla's 1st quarter deliveries decline and the latest on the upcoming Smart Driving Cars Summit! Join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin and subscribe!
- 0:00 Open
- 0:30 Alain in Texas for eclipse viewing
- 2:00 Musk reiterates FSD licensing offer
- 13:53 Tesla's Supervised FSD no long Beta software
- 16:00 Musk denies report that 25 thousand dollar model being abandoned and sets August 8th date to unveil robotaxi
- 18:14 The Verge reports Tesla is dragging Apple into upcoming fatal autopilot crash case
- 19:10 NHTSA launching Put the Phone Away or Pay campaign…with five million dollars.
- 22:48 What does drop in Tesla Q1 deliveries mean?
- 30:35 Techstination report on NVIDIA's Danny Shapiro interview
- 31:31 Smart Driving Summit coming up in Princeton at the end of May
- 0:00 open
- 2:04 from the Dispatcher – using low earth orbit satellites for transport
- 13:25 Toyota Chairman on coming growth of battery electric vehicles
- 32:50 Polestar…a soap opera
- 38:50 An interesting take on carbon offsets
- 41:50 When it comes to AI,.whom can you trust
- 53:25 Tesla pushing supervised FSD offering free demo to car buyers and training
- 59:50 GM slices budget of Cruise…may bring in more investors
- 1:08:15 Smart Driving Cars Summit 2 months away.
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- 21:40 Taking a ride with Tesla FSD V12.3
- 34:15 NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI using AI powered health care agents to outperform nurses at 9 dollars an hour
- 43:45 Waymo service begins in L.A.
- 46:55 VW with Mobileye reportedly ready to bring autonomous driving to large scale production
- 49:20 May Mobility on Fast Company most innovative companies in automotive list
- 52:54 Biden Administration new rule
- 59:45 6th Smart Driving Car Summit coming up at the end of May
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- 21:40 Taking a ride with Tesla FSD V12.3
- 34:15 NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI using AI powered health care agents to outperform nurses at 9 dollars an hour
- 43:45 Waymo service begins in L.A.
- 46:55 VW with Mobileye reportedly ready to bring autonomous driving to large scale production
- 49:20 May Mobility on Fast Company most innovative companies in automotive list
- 52:54 Biden Administration new rule
- 59:45 6th Smart Driving Car Summit coming up at the end of May
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- 21:40 Taking a ride with Tesla FSD V12.3
- 34:15 NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI using AI powered health care agents to outperform nurses at 9 dollars an hour
- 59:50 GM slices budget of Cruise…may bring in more investors
- 1:08:15 Smart Driving Cars Summit 2 months away.
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- 21:40 Taking a ride with Tesla FSD V12.3
- 34:15 NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI using AI powered health care agents to outperform nurses at 9 dollars an hour
- 59:50 GM slices budget of Cruise…may bring in more investors
- 1:08:15 Smart Driving Cars Summit 2 months away.
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- 21:40 Taking a ride with Tesla FSD V12.3
- 34:15 NVIDIA and Hippocratic AI using AI powered health care agents to outperform nurses at 9 dollars an hour
- 59:50 GM slices budget of Cruise…may bring in more investors
- 1:08:15 Smart Driving Cars Summit 2 months away.
- 0:00 open
- 0:30 More notes on IIHS partial automation safeguard ratings..unintended acceleration and shifting
- 13:00 The death of Angela Chao and the reporting on it
- [21:40](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.youtube.com_watch-3Fv-3D59UQeHdLJ2A-26t-3D1300s&d=DwMGaQ&c=euGZstcaTDllvimEN8b7jXrwqOf-v5A_CdpgnVfiiMM&r=q6DiFre9_71aezF6Pm9Jl7w9qGR3W13-VtQBDABhhik&m=6BrkId4vXnRpYhZ02lkJKvcys3Or-fEP-mAsNu1xjY5ZfH1jbbMMf3p
NHTSA's high-visibility enforcement of state distracted driving laws takes place April 4-8 and targets drivers aged 18 to 34 who, according to NHTSA data, are more likely to die in distraction-affected crashes than any other age group. The Put the Phone Away or Pay campaign is supported by a $5 million national media buy in English and Spanish on television, radio, and digital platforms. Campaign ads run from April 1-8.
NHTSA also released its latest projections for traffic fatalities in 2023, estimating more miles driven and lower fatality rates compared to 2022. The agency estimates that 40,990 people died in motor vehicle traffic crashes in 2023, a decrease of about 3.6% as compared to 42,514 fatalities reported to have occurred in 2022. The fourth quarter of 2023 represents the seventh consecutive quarterly decline in fatalities beginning with the second quarter of 2022. The estimated fatality rate for 2023 decreased to 1.26 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled, down from the reported rate of 1.33 per 100 million VMT in 2022. Estimates also show that VMT in 2023 increased by about 67.5 billion miles, a 2.1% increase over 2022.
Hmmmm… Well, there is some good news here, but shouldn't NHTSA be doing more with Apple and Google to deter our abuse of phones while driving? What is the dollar value (not to mention physical and emotional devastation) of the carnage caused by phone misbehavior? How effective is a $5M media campaign expected to be? Alain
6th SmartDrivingCars Summit Evening May 29 - May 31, 2024
Alain Kornhauser, March 8, "We promise civil and lively discussions as to how to improve the Quality-of-Life (QoL) for many while disrupting the QoL to as few as possible. Focus will be on the business aspects…
Giving Oneself a Ride
- Latest on ADAS Safety, Functionality, Regulation and potential Collaboration (given anti-trust relaxation), consumer value
Getting a Driverless Ride
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By people and goods using public roads
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"Proof-of-Concept" (Safety Update and Last "50 feet" delivery concepts)
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"Proof-of-Market" (Arizona, California, Texas, ... rural & beyond)
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"Proof-of-Policy/Politics/Sociology" (Regulation + Opportunities for Collaboration on Safety (given anti-trust relaxation.))
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By people and goods on private property.
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"Proof-of-Concept" (Safety Update)
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"Proof-of-Market" (Return-on-Investment (RoI) focus on: Private "ways", Manufacturing, Ports, Terminals, Warehouses, Mining, Farms)
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"Proof-of-Policy/Politics/CorporateGovernance" (OSHA, Unions)
Workshop
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MOVES – Style Deployments "anywhere". (See Example)
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Design, Analysis, Simulation, Animation & Business Case
Hmmmm… Please pencil in the dates. We are to make publish the sponsorship and registration pages. Given the success that we've had with the past Summits and the quality of the program that we've been able to assemble to date, we fully expect to be sold out. Some sponsorship opportunities remain available. If interested, please simply contact me via email for 'right-of-first refusal" penciled-in commitments". Hope you'll be able to join in with us. Alain
Alain L. Kornhauser, PhD
Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering
Director of Undergraduate Studies, ORFE
Director, Transportation Program
Faculty Chair, Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering
229 Sherrerd Hall
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
alaink@princeton.edu
609-980-1427 (c)