2014-01-06
January 6, 2014
Self-Driving Cars Moving into the Industry's Driver's Seat
Jan. 2, 2014 "Accident rates will plunge to near zero for SDCs, although other cars will crash into SDCs, but as the market share of SDCs on the highway grows, overall accident rates will decline steadily". Self-driving cars (SDC) that include driver control are expected to hit highways around the globe before 2025 and self-driving "only" cars are anticipated around 2030, according to an emerging technologies study on Autonomous Cars from IHS Automotive, driven by Polk.
In the study, "Emerging Technologies: Autonomous Cars—Not If, But When," IHS Automotive forecasts total worldwide sales of self-driving cars will grow from nearly 230 thousand in 2025 to 11.8 million in 2035 – 7 million SDCs with both driver control and autonomous control and 4.8 million that have only autonomous control. In all, there should be nearly 54 million self-driving cars in use globally by 2035. Read more
U.S. misses deadlines on connected vehicle, automatic braking
David Shepardson Jan 2, 2014: "The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration missed two self-imposed deadlines on deciding whether to require future "smart car" technology — requiring next-generation vehicles to be able to talk to one another and automatic braking systems to avoid frontal collisions....
In January 2013, NHTSA Administrator David Strickland said he planned to make a decision by Dec. 31 on whether the agency would seek to require automakers to install equipment in vehicles that will allow them to communicate with each other to avoid collisions.... The National Transportation Safety Board wants NHTSA to require collision-avoidance technologies — including forward-collision and lane-departure warning systems, adaptive cruise control and automatic braking — on every car. But automakers oppose new mandates and say they could add thousands of dollars to the cost of a new car or truck. So far, NHTSA hasn't imposed any collision-avoidance technologies except electronic stability control, which helps vehicles avoid rollovers or leave a road...." Read more Hmm???? Alain
In planning for highways of 2033, MnDOT should consider driverless cars
Joe Loveland Jan 5, 2014: "... The Minnesota Department of Transportation (MnDOT) released a new 20-year plan in December 2013 – the Minnesota State Highway Investment Plan (MnSHIP). Spoiler alert: MnSHIP says we need more money to build more road capacity. MnSHIP says much more than that, but adding road capacity is a central theme, as has been the case for many years with such long-range plans. At first blush, the call for increased road capacity seems like the most unassailable part of the plan. After all, Minnesota's population is expected to increase over the next 20 years.
But the call for additional road capacity could ultimately turn out to be the most flawed part of the plan. Here's why: One term you won't see in MnSHIP is "driverless car." (emphasis added) ..." Read more
I agree. MnDoT and most other DoTs MUST begin immediately to take SmartDrivingCars seriously as they look even 10 years into the future. Alain
"The New Killer Apps"
How Large Companies Can Out-Innovate Start-Ups" by Chunka Mui and Paul B. Carroll Now Available Highly Recommended. See also Chunka's Dec. 23 Forbes article Debate Continues: Driverless Car Safety vs. Jobs -- Inevitable or False Choice? Be sure to read comments that follow article. Interesting comment from Michel Sena: "Except for AAA, not a single paper map publishing company among the top ten that existed when I was working in that business (1977-1999) remains." Read more
Mandatory Consideration of Automated Vehicles...
An ongoing blog in the ITE site "There are many reasons, in my opinion, for the ITE and the wider transportation-related and Civil Engineering Professions to take immediate cognisance of the potential impacts of automated (autonomous, self-driving, driverless) vehicles (AVs). (Read more from bottom up)
Google Teams With GM, Honda, and Audi to Bring Android to Cars
Read more??? Unfortunately, that's Android, Not SmartDrivingCars and I think that the two are still very far apart. Alain
Calendar of Upcoming Events:
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/TRB%2714/TRB_SmartDrivingCars_Activities.pdf
Day
Session/Event
Topic
Location
Saturday 9:00am->5:00pm
Applications of Automated Transit Network Systems
Sunday 9:00am->5:00pm
Workshop
155C
(Ticket Required)
Is the Partially Automated Car Semiautonomous or Semimanual?
Sunday 9:00am->noon
Workshop
143
Parking Policy and Urban Mobility: Expanding Our Understanding
Hilton
Columbia
Hall 12
Sunday 1:30pm->4:30pm
Workshop
188
Activity-Travel Behavioral Impacts and Travel Demand Modeling Implications of Driverless Cars
Hilton
Columbia Hall 2
Sunday 8:00pm->9:30pm
ATRA
Board
Meeting
Advance
TRransit Association
Annual
Board Meeting (all welcome)
Hilton
Kalorama
Monday 8:00am->9:45am
AP020(1)
Meeting
Shared-Use Vehicle Public Transport Systems Subcommittee, AP020(1)
Hilton
Morgan
Monday 10:15am->noon
AP020,
AP025, AHB15 Meeting
Emerging Ridesharing Solutions Joint Subcommittee of AP020, AP025, AHB15
Hilton
Morgan
Monday 8:00am->noon
ITS
Committee Meeting
Intelligent Transportation Systems Committee
Marriott Wilson A
Monday 8:00am->noon
AP040
Meeting
Automated Transit Systems Committee
Hilton
Columbia
Hall 9
Monday 3:45pm->5:30pm
Session
388
Data Aspects of Vehicle Automation
Marriott
Maryland
A
Monday 3:45pm->5:30pm
Session
417
Pioneers of Autonomous Driving: Automated Guideway Transit
Hilton
Columbia
Hall 5
Monday 3:45pm->5:30pm
Session
387
Automation in Road Transportation: Government Research Programs from the US, EU, and Japan
Marriott Thurgood Marshall West
Monday 7:30pm->9:30pm
Poster
Session
445
ITS Tech & Connected Vehicles: System Control, Safety, and Evaluation
Marriott Salon 2
Tuesday 1:30pm->3:15pm
Session
610
Impact and Implications of Autonomous Driving on Automated Transit Systems
Hilton
Columbia Hall 8
Tuesday 1:30pm->5:30pm
VHA
Committee Meeting
Vehicle-Highway Automation Committee
Marriott Wilson A
Tuesday 5:30pm->7:30pm
Princeton
Univ. TRB Banquet
42nd Annual Princeton University Transportation Program Reunion Banquet
Tuesday 7:30pm->9:30pm
Poster
Session
697
Current Research Findings on Vehicle-Highway Automation Systems
Marriott Salon 2
Tuesday 7:30pm->9:30pm
Session
692
ATIS: Celebrating 15 Years of Innovative Research and Technology*
Marriott Marshall West
Wednesday 8:00am->9:45pm
Session
749
Automated Vehicles: Key Technical and Operational Challenges
Hilton Columbia Hall 5
Wednesday 8:00am->9:45pm
Session
759
Something Old Becomes New: Emerging Mobility Pathways in the 21st Century
Hilton Georgetown East
Wednesday 2:30pm->4:00pm
Session
833
Hail! Hail! Where's My Taxi?
Hilton Jefferson East
Wednesday 4:30pm->6:00pm
Session
845
New
Developments in Vehicle-Highway Automation
Marriott Marshall West
Wednesday 7:30pm->9:30pm
ITS
Committee Meeting
Intelligent Transportation Systems Committee Presentations
Marriott Marshall West
Thursday 9:00am->noon
Session
845
Road Vehicle Automation
(This is the good one)
Marriott Delaware
- I put CoPilot in the consumer market at J&R Computer World in August 1997. So Innovative Consumer offerings have must have preceded "Innovative Research & technology". :-) Alain
42nd Annual Princeton University Transportation Program Reunion Banquet
You are Invited!!
January 14, 2014
Washington, DC
Recent Versions of:
December 27, 2013
December 20, 2013
"The New Killer Apps
How Large Companies Can Out-Innovate Start-Ups" by Chunka Mui and Paul B. Carroll Now Available Highly Recommended. See also Chunka's Dec. 19 Forbes article Will The Google Car Force A Choice Between Lives And Jobs?