2016-03-21

2016-03-21

Daimler offenbar vor Megaauftrag von Uber

                M. Freitag, Mar 18, "Der Stuttgarter Autokonzern
                Daimler hat den wahrscheinlich größten Auftrag
                seiner Geschichte erhalten. Der amerikanische
                Taxidienst Uber wolle langfristig eine sechsstellige
                Zahl an S-Klasse-Karossen abnehmen, berichtet das
                manager magazin in seiner neuesten Ausgabe
                (Erscheinungstermin: 18. März).

                Daimler-Chef Dieter Zetsche und Uber-CEO Travis
                Kalanick hätten dies vereinbart, heißt es in Kreisen
                beider Unternehmen. Die Bestellung hänge allerdings
                noch an diversen Bedingungen.... "  [Read more](http://www.manager-magazin.de/unternehmen/autoindustrie/daimler-uber-soll-autonom-steuernde-s-klassen-bestellt-haben-a-1082886.html)
                    Hmmmm...Also check out the following

Uber seeking to buy self-driving cars: source

                Reuters, Mar 19, "Ride-hailing service Uber
                [UBER.UL] has sounded out car companies about
                placing a large order for self-driving cars, an auto
                industry source said on Friday.  "They wanted
                autonomous cars," the source, who declined to be
                named, said. "It seemed like they were shopping
                around."  Loss-making Uber would make drastic
                savings on its biggest cost -- drivers -- if it were
                able to incorporate self-driving cars into its
                fleet....Earlier on Friday, Germany's Manager
                Magazin reported that Uber had placed an order for
                at least 100,000 Mercedes S-Class cars, citing
                sources at both companies....

                The top-flight limousine, around 100,000 of which
                Mercedes-Benz sold last year, does not yet have
                fully autonomous driving functionality.."  [Read more](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-daimler-uber-idUSKCN0WK1C8)  Hmmmm...Uber
                    has the current valuation to place the order;
                    however, they aren't the only ones that will
                    want to place an advance order for such a
                    fleet.  Lyft will want to, Enterprise-Rent
                    -A-Car (remember, they "pick you up" (while
                    incurring an enormous labor expense) and all of
                    the AlainkAutonomousTaxi companies that see the
                    economic opportunity of providing on-demand
                    mobility without incurring labor cost.  It will
                    be interesting to watch the bidding war for
                    these driverless vehicles.   All of this will be
                    going on while Alphabet gobbles up the market
                    with its own vehicle that it keeps for itself.
                    Advertisers are already in the back seat of
                    conventional cabs.  While that revenue isn't
                    enough to pay for the driver, it is likely to
                    substantially offset aTaxi's operating and
                    capitalization costs. What's Alphabet's other
                    business?? :-)  Alain

###

Sidewalk Labs is making a tool to prep cities for self-driving cars

A. Hawkins, Mar 17, “Sidewalk Labs, the “smart city” company spun off from Google last year, unveiled a new tool Thursday it built to help cities better manage traffic congestion, parking problems, and ultimately prepare themselves for the expected onslaught of self-driving cars. Flow is described as a “transportation platform” that uses aggregated, anonymous traffic data to help city managers identify bottlenecks or redirect trains and buses to transit-starved neighborhoods, as well as drivers get real-time parking information during their commutes…The Quid…: the winning city will also get Sidewalk Labs’ Flow platform, as well as up 100 public Wi-Fi hubs, much like the LinkNYC kiosks the company is currently installing in New York City. If the city authorizes it, those hubs will also contain sensors that the company says can help route drivers directly to available parking, and allow cities to adjust transit routes or change traffic patterns to respond to real-time demands. The Pro Quo…: Flow will also gather data from third-party apps like Google Maps and Waze (both owned by Sidewalk Labs’ parent company). Read more  Hmmmm…OK, I guess it is a deal!?!  Alain

Autonomous Cars Aren’t Perfect, but How Safe Must They Be?

                T. Krisher, Mar 17, "In Austin, Mayor Steve Adler
                says Google cars in his city haven't caused any
                crashes, and he believes they bring safety benefits.
                "We don't get perfection with regular drivers
                either," he says..." [Read more](http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/autonomous-cars-perfect-safe-37721238)  Hmmmm...A
                    reasonable, brief back and forth on the issues.
                    Perfection, it is not; but Perfection
                    doesn't exist anywhere.  It is the best
                    opportunity to improve the status quo. Stay with
                    what you tolerate today, or evolve into a better
                    future.  Your call, Ms/Mr Politician. Alain

Hyundai Motor to Invest 2 Trillion Won in Self-driving Car Commercialization within 5 Years

                J. Suk-yee, Mar 16, ". Krisher, Mar 17, "Hyundai
                Motor Group is gearing up efforts to develop
                self-driving cars amid explosive interest in the
                historic go match between Google's artificial
                intelligence (AI) AlphaGo and Korea's top-ranked Lee
                Se-dol.

                Google is a step ahead in this sector. However,
                Hyundai Motor will be competitive enough when the
                company jumps into the business in earnest since
                there is only a small technical gap.

                According to industry sources on March 15, Hyundai
                Motor and its smaller affiliate Kia Motors are
                aiming to commercialize self-driving cars within
                five years. In order to do so, they will invest over
                2 trillion won (US$1.68 billion), and make every
                effort to develop various autonomous driving
                technologies, including the autonomous driving
                system in congested areas, and hire more expert..."
                [Read more](http://www.businesskorea.co.kr/english/news/ict/14106-investment-car-ai-hyundai-motor-invest-2-trillion-won-self-driving-car)  Hmmmm...Sure!
                    Alain

Self-Driving Cars Won’t Work Until We Change Our Roads—And Attitudes

                A. NG, Mar 15,"AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WILL join human
                drivers on our roads sooner than most people think.
                At Baidu, we plan to put commercial, self-driving
                cars on the roads by 2018. But the way to make them
                safe is not to make them act just like human driven
                cars—in fact, the limitations of today's technology
                mean that's not feasible. Instead, we should make
                modest changes to our infrastructure, program these
                cars to behave as predictably as possible, and teach
                the public new ways to interact with them..."[Read more](http://www.wired.com/2016/03/self-driving-cars-wont-work-change-roads-attitudes/)Hmmm...
                    An appropriate part of the discussion, but we
                    should continue to move forward as much as we
                    can without waiting for the infrastructure
                    improvements, including moving forward in
                    limited areas where no improvements are
                    necessary. Alain

Standards to Support Connected Vehicle Deployment

                ITSJPO, Mar 17,  "The U.S. Department of
                Transportation (USDOT) is pleased to announce IEEE's
                publication of three standards to support connected
                vehicle deployment.

                These standards are:

Some other

                    thoughts that deserve your attention

Google’s AI Wins Fifth And Final Game Against Go Genius Lee Sedol

                C. Metz, Mar 13,"The win puts an exclamation point
                on a significant moment for artificial intelligence.
                ... Lee Sedol could not climb back to finish within
                one win of his artificially intelligent rival. But
                he did lead Game Five in the early going, after a
                significant error by AlphaGo—an error that looked
                amateurish to the human eye. As the Google machine
                dug out of its hole in the second half of the
                contest, Game Five grew into the most exciting of
                the series, a game balanced on a knife edge,
                exceeding even the drama of Lee Sedol's win in Game
                Four.

                The Korean showed—in swashbuckling fashion—that
                humans still carry talents that no machine can
                duplicate. Yes, early in the five-game series, he
                struggled to deal with the pressure—a very human
                failing. But as the match continued, he adapted to
                what he saw from his opponent in previous
                games—something AlphaGo can't yet do...

                AI is flawed. But it is here.[Read more](http://www.wired.com/2016/03/googles-ai-wins-fifth-final-game-go-genius-lee-sedol/)Hmmmm..
                    It's all over!! Alain

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

Recompiled Old News

                        & Smiles:

Increasing Mobility in Southern California: A New Approach

B. Feigenbaum, Nov 2015: “….While the region continues to spend significant resources on new rail lines, Southern California residents are taking fewer transit trips per capita today than 20 years ago. Transit-dependent residents must rely on a smaller bus network that fails to adequately serve their needs…This study examines Southern California’s mobility challenges in detail. While the Southern California Association of Governments’ (SCAG) Long Range Transportation

                      Plan includes some new capacity, it does not
                      allocate nearly enough resources to improving
                      mobility. The region's planned transportation
                      approach of investing heavily in fixed-rail
                      transit and land-use changes to reduce the
                      extent of driving can benefit the region but
                      the approach will not significantly reduce
                      traffic congestion or improve transit service
                      in Southern California. The current plan would
                      lead to only a modest increase in transit's
                      market share, while overall congestion would
                      continue to increase. While non-automobile
                      alternatives—including a larger and
                      better-designed bus network, sidewalks for
                      walking and a bike network for
                      commuting—definitely have an important role to
                      play, they alone cannot reduce congestion...."
                      [Read more](http://reason.org/files/southern_california_mobility_plan.pdf)    Hmmmm...Good

                          news: It recognizes that continuing the
                          current spending on infrastructure is
                          non-optimal; however, it doesn't seem to
                          be aware of the possibility of driverless
                          shared-ride transit.  Maybe

                              we will just walk and ride bikes?
                          Oh well?? :-(    It is old
                          news (2015) and it does have a good
                          compilation of statistics that document
                          the past.  Alain

Peuguot Autonomous Road Trip Wraps Up With 600 Kilometers Through Spain

K. Field, Mar 18, “I few months ago, Peugeot embarked on a 3,000 kilometer road trip through France and Spain. This would normally not be a big deal, as humans all around the world take road trips a few thousand kilometers long, myself included… however, Peugeot took this road trip in its new autonomous driving Citroen…” Read moreand see video Hmmmm…Old news but video worth watching. Alain

Half-baked

                      stuff that probably doesn't deserve your time:

Car Safety at Any Price

                  M Naranjo, Feb 23, "Consumer Reports sees FCW and
                  AEB as the most promising safety breakthroughs in
                  the automobile industry since the advent of
                  electronic stability control almost two decades
                  ago. We are urging automakers to make
                  those features standard on all cars, from luxury
                  to economy models, as quickly as possible...." [Read more](http://www.consumerreports.org/car-safety/car-safety-at-any-price/) Hmmmm...It is
                      very nice that CR is urging automakers to
                      ..., (something that they have just done);
                      unfortunately, it is really disappointing to
                      read everything else that is in their [April 2016 Annual Auto Issue](http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/magazine/2016/04/index.htm). It reads
                      as if it was written by Madison Avenue or Mad
                      Men and should be titled "Using 1960 Mentality
                      in Buying a Car".  The cover is all Machismo
                      with a 3/4 shot of a red "Power of Prius"
                      improving the lowly "Green" car.  Their brand
                      Profiles each lead with the size of the engine
                      and Safety is never mentioned (although it is
                      an afterthought with "...and Safety").  Their
                      comparison table of attributes has the Safety
                      column filled with "NA"s. I guess "Safety" is
                      Not Applicable to their ratings??   Safety is
                      essentially absent from the very publication
                      that is supposed to provide independent sanity
                      to consumer purchasing.  No
                          wonder Safety doesn't sell. The
                      consumer product that is the largest cause of
                      death for those of us between the ages of 5-35
                      and for which there is evolving technology
                      that can substantially mitigate that statistic
                      is brushed under the carpet by CR with a
                      simple "NA".  What a shame!  Alain

Railway Rises on Oahu, as Does Anger Over Cost

A. Nagourney, Mar 20, “From the start — when Honolulu officials began talking about building a 20-mile elevated train line near the southern coast of Oahu — there were concerns. How much would it cost? What would it do to the character of a state that has long celebrated its natural beauty and isolation? Can an island in the middle of the Pacific Ocean handle the kind of ambitious public works project one would associate with urban centers like Boston and New York?

                    Eight years after voters in Hawaii approved a
                    referendum clearing the way for construction of
                    the rail line, many of the concerns that have
                    been voiced during a 40-year debate over the
                    project have turned out to have merit.  The
                    project was initially projected to cost $4.6
                    billion, but that number now is $6.7 billion,
                    forcing the city in January to approve a
                    five-year extension of a general excise tax
                    surcharge to help cover the overrun...it could
                    have the distinction of being, on a per-capita
                    basis, the most expensive transit project in the
                    country's history ..." [Read Mor](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/21/us/hawaii-struggles-to-keep-rail-project-from-becoming-a-boondoggle.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=wide-thumb&module=mini-moth&region=top-stories-below&WT.nav=top-stories-below)e Hmmmm...At
                        least it is the first driverless system in
                        US and (hopefully?) the last.  Just think
                        what a $5B infusion into autonomousTaxis
                        would do...produce more and better mobility
                        but the construction trade unions wouldn't
                        be happy.  The[Simpsons saw this coming in January 199](http://www.kisspanda.net/the-simpsons-season-4-episode-12-marge-vs-the-monorail/)3;

                        [the Simpson Monorail song](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhpO_WcR_jE) . Alain

WhitePaper: Automated Driving and Platooning: Issues and Opportunities

                  Tech & Maintenance Council, Sept 21,2015,
                  "This white paper examines the intensive activity
                  in the development and introduction of Automated
                  Vehicles (AVs) and identifies potential issues and
                  opportunities.  The paper is intended to promote
                  better understanding of this emerging technology
                  and serve as a platform for discussing key areas
                  of interest and concern on the part of commercial
                  fleets..."[Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/ITFVHA15AutomatedDrivingAndPlatooning_Sept_2015.pdf)Hmmmm...The AV part is somewhat OK, but
                      the platoon part fails to identify what % of
                      current truck-miles are operated such that
                      there are even two trucks going in the same
                      direction at the same time at about the same
                      location on any highway.  Those are the only
                      truck-miles that could benefit from platooning
                      if all trucks have the enabling
                      technology.  Except for the (short) truck
                      corridor outside the Port of Long Beach, the
                      Northern section of the NJ Turnpike, parts of
                      the XBronx DistressWay, and the upper decks of
                      the GWB and the Verrazano,  the % of truck
                      miles is very small, likely less than 5% .  On
                      those named sections it is likely less than
                      50% (and combined they account for a very
                      small portion of the nation's truck miles).
                      If only half of the fleet is so equipped, then
                      all of these numbers need to be multiplied by
                      the product of the penetration percentage (in
                      this case: 0.25).  So these are very very
                      small opportunities.  No wonder the report
                      said nothing about this.  Nor mentioned was
                      the disruption that would be caused to current
                      operations if trucks were somehow coordinated
                      to maximize platooning.  Chances that the
                      benefits of platooning could outweigh the
                      additional costs incurred by the needed
                      disruption is, in my mind, Slim2None. No wonder these issues aren't
                      contained in this "grey paper"  (doesn't
                      deserve to be called a "white paper").
                      Moreover, it doesn't cover the short-term
                      benefits of AV in the form of Automated
                      Braking and Automated Lane Keeping on
                      insurance (self and otherwise) and driver
                      quality-of-life.  At best Half-Baked!  Sorry!
                    Thanks to G. Mercer for
                          sending a copy of this "white" paper. Alain

How George Hotz Plans To Beat Tesla And Google With His Robocar Startup

                  Mar 2016, "Behind his showboating lies a keen
                  desire to build a real company around self-driving
                  cars and, more importantly, artificial
                  intelligence. ..."[Read more](http://www.forbes.com/sites/aarontilley/2016/03/08/george-hotz-comma-ai/?utm_campaign=ForbesTech&utm_source=TWITTER&utm_medium=social&utm_channel=Technology&linkId=22222007#6b2230f8493b)Hmmmm...You are welcome to join the club,
                      but at some point you'll need substance. Alain

###

C’mon Man!

                    (These folks didn't get/read the memo)

Revisiting Street Intersections Using Slot-Based Systems

                R. Tachet, Mar. 16,  Hmmmm...This

                    is just &*^%$*.  I can't even suggest any
                    part of this to read. Slotted intersections were
                    thoroughly studied 40 years ago with PRT if not
                    before and have no hope of seeing the light of
                    day unless all cars are centrally managed.  Why
                    was this re-visitation published??? [C'mon Man!](https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=7&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjuqNHt9c_LAhXL0h4KHZdyAcYQtwIIMTAG&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DKC3loQ2EV8M&usg=AFQjCNEfhqUstISkgRS1BrcXSNkC10gQvg&sig2=2J4WR2NTLDO5PiNgnY5-fA&bvm=bv.117218890,d.dmo)Alain

Calendar

                            of Upcoming Events:

The Business of Autonomous Vehicles

March 22-23, 2016

                                Crowne Plaza Hotel, San Francisco
                                Airport

http://driverlessmarket.com/

Workshop on Automated Vehicle Policy and Regulation:

A State Perspective

The National Transportation Center, University of Maryland

                      May 18, 2016

Preliminary Program

Recent

                                                    Highlights of:

#

###

U.S. DOT and IIHS announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

                                                  Press Release, Mar
                                                  17, NHTSA &
                                                  IIHS "announced
                                                  today a historic
                                                  commitment by 20
                                                  automakers
                                                  representing more
                                                  than 99 percent of
                                                  the U.S. auto
                                                  market to make
                                                  automatic
                                                  emergency braking
                                                  a standard feature
                                                  on virtually all
                                                  new cars no later
                                                  than NHTSA's 2022
                                                  reporting year,
                                                  which begins Sept
                                                  1, 2022.
                                                  Automakers making
                                                  the commitment are
                                                  Audi, BMW, FCA US
                                                  LLC, Ford, General
                                                  Motors, Honda,
                                                  Hyundai, Jaguar
                                                  Land Rover, Kia,
                                                  Maserati, Mazda,
                                                  Mercedes-Benz,
                                                  Mitsubishi Motors,
                                                  Nissan, Porsche,
                                                  Subaru, Tesla
                                                  Motors Inc.,
                                                  Toyota, Volkswagen
                                                  and Volvo Car USA.
                                                  The unprecedented
                                                  commitment means
                                                  that this
                                                  important safety
                                                  technology will

                                                      be available
                                                      to more
                                                      consumers more
                                                      quickly than
                                                      would be
                                                      possible
                                                      through the
                                                      regulatory
                                                      process...The

                                                  commitment takes
                                                  into account the
                                                  evolution of AEB
                                                  technology. It
                                                  requires a level
                                                  of functionality
                                                  that is in line
                                                  with research and
                                                  crash data
                                                  demonstrating that
                                                  such systems are
                                                  substantially
                                                  reducing crashes,
                                                  but

                                                      does not stand
                                                      in the way of
                                                      improved
                                                      capabilities
                                                      that are just
                                                      beginning to
                                                      emerge.
                                                  The performance
                                                  measures are based
                                                  on real world data
                                                  showing that
                                                  vehicles with this
                                                  level of
                                                  capability are
                                                  avoiding crashes..[Watch NHTSA video on AEB](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Src2jhS4wcA)  [Download AEB video from IIHS](https://www.hightail.com/download/ZWJVbGtNR3NrWTg4RmNUQw)[Read more](http://www.nhtsa.gov/About+NHTSA/Press+Releases/nhtsa-iihs-commitment-on-aeb-03172016)  Hmmmm...Fantastic!

                                                      Automakers
                                                      leading with
                                                      regulatory
                                                      process
                                                      staying out of
                                                      the way.
                                                      Alain

GM Buying Self-Driving Tech Startup for More Than $1 Billion

D. Patrick Mar 11,”General Motors  GM 1.43% this morning announced that it will acquire Cruise Automation, a San Francisco-based developer of autonomous vehicle technology. No financial terms were disclosed, but Fortune has learned from a source close to the situation that the deal is valued at “north of $1 billion,” in a combination of cash and stock.

                                                  Talks between the
                                                  two companies
                                                  originally related
                                                  to a strategic
                                                  investment by GM
                                                  in Cruise, which
                                                  was planning to
                                                  raise a new round
                                                  of venture capital
                                                  funding. But that
                                                  quickly morphed
                                                  into an
                                                  acquisition
                                                  discussion with
                                                  the entire
                                                  agreement getting
                                                  hashed out in less
                                                  than six weeks. [Read more](http://fortune.com/2016/03/11/gm-buying-self-driving-tech-startup-for-more-than-1-billion/)Hmmmm...That

                                                      sets the bar.
                                                      Reminiscent of
                                                      [AOL paying $1.1B for MapQuest](http://www.ecommercetimes.com/story/2068.html)
                                                      resulting in [NavTeq getting $8.1B from Nokia](http://mashable.com/2007/10/01/nokia-navteq/#CnEKJL0cUOqM)
                                                      followed by [Here getting $3B from MB et al](http://mashable.com/2007/10/01/nokia-navteq/#CnEKJL0cUOqM).

                                                      [Deja vu all over again!](http://yogiberramuseum.org/just-for-fun/yogisms/)
                                                      Very
                                                      interesting
                                                      :-)  Alain

THE ROAD NOT TAKEN: How we found (and lost) the dream of Personal Rapid Transit

                                                  A. Robertson, Feb
                                                  10 , Feb. "...Half
                                                  a century after
                                                  its heyday, the
                                                  Alden StaRRcar
                                                  clearly wasn't
                                                  made for its
                                                  world. It looks
                                                  like a white
                                                  flatiron with
                                                  wheels or a sleek,
                                                  plastic bullet,
                                                  dwarfed by the
                                                  regal sedans of
                                                  1960s Detroit. It
                                                  belongs in one of
                                                  Buckminster
                                                  Fuller's domed
                                                  cities, a vehicle
                                                  for traveling
                                                  under the
                                                  geodesics of a
                                                  bubble-topped
                                                  Manhattan. Its
                                                  future wasn't one
                                                  of highways, but
                                                  of narrow cement
                                                  tracks looping
                                                  gracefully between
                                                  city and suburb,
                                                  connecting
                                                  increasingly
                                                  alienated parts of
                                                  the American
                                                  landscape...

                                                  Once considered a
                                                  key to solving
                                                  urban blight, the
                                                  StaRRcar was part
                                                  of a public
                                                  transit revolution
                                                  that never was —
                                                  but one that would
                                                  help launch one of
                                                  the weirdest and
                                                  most politicized
                                                  public
                                                  infrastructure
                                                  experiments of the
                                                  20th century. It's
                                                  an old idea that
                                                  today, in an age
                                                  of self-driving
                                                  cars, seems by
                                                  turns
                                                  impractically
                                                  retro and
                                                  remarkably
                                                  prescient...

                                                  PRT's invention is
                                                  attributed to a
                                                  transportation
                                                  expert named Donn
                                                  Fichter, but the
                                                  central idea was
                                                  conceived,
                                                  remixed, and
                                                  adapted by many in
                                                  the 1950s and
                                                  1960s. While the
                                                  details varied,
                                                  the prototypical
                                                  PRT system was a
                                                  network of narrow
                                                  guideways
                                                  populated by small
                                                  passenger pods.
                                                  When commuters
                                                  arrived, they
                                                  would hit a button
                                                  to select a
                                                  destination,
                                                  calling one of the
                                                  pods like a taxi.
                                                  Then, instead of
                                                  running on a set
                                                  line, the pod
                                                  would use
                                                  guideways like a
                                                  freeway system,
                                                  routing around
                                                  stations in order
                                                  to take passengers
                                                  directly to their
                                                  final stop.

                                                  The system was
                                                  designed to be
                                                  everything that
                                                  existing public
                                                  transportation
                                                  wasn't. Pods would
                                                  carry only as many
                                                  people as an
                                                  average car,
                                                  guaranteeing a
                                                  nearly private
                                                  ride. Riders
                                                  wouldn't need to
                                                  follow a timetable
                                                  or wait for other
                                                  people to enter
                                                  and exit the
                                                  system. Because
                                                  the pods would
                                                  only be dispatched
                                                  on demand, cities
                                                  could run service
                                                  to many
                                                  low-traffic areas
                                                  without worrying
                                                  about waste. There
                                                  were no drivers to
                                                  train or pay, and
                                                  the pods could run
                                                  quietly on
                                                  electrical power
                                                  instead of with
                                                  fossil fuels...

                                                  Multiple plans for
                                                  personal rapid
                                                  transit fell
                                                  through, whether
                                                  because of budget
                                                  problems,
                                                  logistical issues,
                                                  or political power
                                                  struggles....

                                                  And as in the
                                                  '60s, we're
                                                  talking about
                                                  whether
                                                  self-driving
                                                  vehicles could
                                                  spell the end of
                                                  private cars...."[Read more](THE%20ROAD%20NOT%20TAKEN:%20How%20we%20found%20%28and%20lost%29%20the%20dream%20of%20Personal%20Rapid%20Transit)Hmmmm...A

                                                      must read.
                                                      Pretty much as
                                                      I remember
                                                      it.  I lived
                                                      much of it,
                                                      including
                                                      designing
                                                      10,000
                                                      station,
                                                      10,000 mile
                                                      PRT networks
                                                      that could
                                                      serve all of
                                                      New Jersey's
                                                      needs for
                                                      personal
                                                      mobility.  The
                                                      good news was
                                                      that the
                                                      area-wide
                                                      systems would
                                                      provide great
                                                      mobility for
                                                      all.  The bad
                                                      news: No
                                                      viable way to
                                                      start.  The
                                                      best starting
                                                      places could
                                                      each be
                                                      readily served
                                                      by
                                                      conventional
                                                      systems with
                                                      no technology
                                                      risk.  Without
                                                      a place to
                                                      start, PRT
                                                      never got a
                                                      chance to
                                                      flourish in
                                                      the vast areas
                                                      that are
                                                      un-servable by
                                                      conventional
                                                      technology.
                                                      Moreover, PRT
                                                      needed the
                                                      diversion of
                                                      public sector
                                                      capital funds
                                                      that weres already in the back pocket of those pedaling the
                                                      conventional
                                                      technologies.
                                                      Consequently,
                                                      the personal
                                                      auto has
                                                      reigned on.

Today

                                                      is different.
                                                      With PRT, even
                                                      the first
                                                      vehicle needed
                                                      a couple of
                                                      stations and
                                                      interconnecting
                                                      guideway (and
                                                      all of the
                                                      discussion and
                                                      heartache was
                                                      about the
                                                      location and
                                                      cost of those
                                                      initial
                                                      stations and
                                                      guideway).
                                                      With
                                                      autonomous
                                                      taxis sharing

                                                      existing
                                                      roads, one can
                                                      begin with a
                                                      single vehicle
                                                      capable of
                                                      serving many
                                                      existing
                                                      places without
                                                      needing to
                                                      pay-for/justify
                                                      any
                                                      infrastructure.
                                                      That is today's fundamental
                                                      opportunity,
                                                      in contrast to
                                                      PRT's
                                                      monumental
                                                      infrastructure
                                                      burden even
                                                      for one
                                                      vehicle.
                                                      That's why
                                                      aTaxis are
                                                      destined to
                                                      finally
                                                      deliver PRT's
                                                      utopian
                                                      mobility to
                                                      all and
                                                      substantially
                                                      transform our
                                                      cities and
                                                      suburbs. Alain

Vancouver councillor wants city to prepare for driverless cars  T. Fletcher, Feb 18 “Driverless cars might seem like a futuristic dream, but a city councillor doesn’t want Vancouver to take a hands-off approach to the emerging technology.  Coun. Geoff Meggs is steering a motion slated for next Tuesday’s council meeting asking city staff to look into the impact of self-driving vehicles and how to maximize the benefits of the technology for Vancouver and the city’s economy.

                                                  Although the
                                                  city's
                                                  transportation
                                                  2040 plan, which
                                                  outlines a
                                                  strategy for how
                                                  people and goods
                                                  will move in and
                                                  around Vancouver
                                                  for the next 30
                                                  years, was adopted
                                                  only four years
                                                  ago, Meggs said it
                                                  fails to address
                                                  driverless
                                                  technology....
                                                  "It may be a
                                                  powerful tool or
                                                  there may be
                                                  problems with it,
                                                  but at the moment,
                                                  it's an empty
                                                  category in a lot
                                                  of our thinking,"
                                                  Meggs told Metro.
                                                  "We don't want our
                                                  (transportation)
                                                  plan, which we
                                                  just did, to
                                                    be obsolete
                                                    before it even
                                                    starts."..."  [Read more](http://www.nsc.org/NewsDocuments/2016/mv-fatality-report-1215.pdf)Hmmmm...Yup!

                                                      Obviously,
                                                      "obsolescence
                                                      before ribbon
                                                      cutting" is
                                                      something all
                                                      cities should
                                                      try to avoid.
                                                      Alain

Motor Vehicle Deaths Increase by Largest Percent in 50 Years

                                                  Press Release Feb
                                                  16 "With continued
                                                  lower gasoline
                                                  prices and an
                                                  improving economy
                                                  resulting in an
                                                  estimated 3.5%
                                                  increase in
                                                  motor-vehicle
                                                  mileage, the
                                                  number of
                                                  motor-vehicle
                                                  deaths in 2015
                                                    totaled 38,300,
                                                    up 8% from 2014.

                                                  The 2015 estimate
                                                  is provisional and
                                                  may be revised
                                                  when more data are
                                                  available. The
                                                  total for 2015 was
                                                  up 8% from the
                                                  2013 figure. The
                                                  annual total for
                                                  2014 was 35,398, a
                                                  less than 0.5%
                                                  increase from
                                                  2013. The 2013
                                                  figure was 3%
                                                  lower than 2012.
                                                  The estimated
                                                  annual population
                                                  death rate is
                                                  11.87 deaths per
                                                  100,000
                                                  population, an
                                                  increase of 7%
                                                  from the 2014
                                                  rate. The
                                                  estimated annual
                                                  mileage death rate
                                                  is 1.22 deaths per
                                                  100 million
                                                  vehicle miles
                                                  traveled, an
                                                  increase of 5%
                                                  from the 2014
                                                  rate. [Read more](http://www.nsc.org/NewsDocuments/2016/mv-fatality-report-1215.pdf)Hmmmm...This

                                                      is REALLY BAD
                                                      news.  Come on
                                                      insurance.
                                                      This is
                                                      costing you
                                                      money!
                                                      Accident rates
                                                      going up means
                                                      that your
                                                      actuarials are
                                                      behind, your
                                                      regulated
                                                      pricing lags
                                                      and you are
                                                      losing money.
                                                      To get ahead
                                                      of your
                                                      actuarials,
                                                      you MUST
                                                      incentivize
                                                      the adoption
                                                      of automated
                                                      collision
                                                      avoidance
                                                      systems.
                                                      You'll then do
                                                      very well,
                                                      thank you AND
                                                      help society.
                                                      Alain

Budget of the U.S. Government, FY 2017

Feb. 9, “…(3) Accelerate the integration of autonomous vehicles, low-carbon technologies, and intelligent transportation systems into our infrastructure….

  • Providing almost $400 million on average per year in funding over the next 10 years for the deployment of self-driving vehicles. Investments would help develop connected infrastructure and smart sensors that can communicate with autonomous vehicles, support R&D to ensure these vehicles are safe and road ready, and expand at-scale deployment projects to provide “proving grounds” for autonomous self-driving and connected vehicles in urban and highway settings.

Read moreHmmmm…major

                                                      victory...not
                                                      only: "...for

                                                      autonomous
                                                      self-driving...",

                                                      bit also
                                                      stated before:
                                                      "... and connected...".
                                                          Alain

London’s first driverless cars revealed

                                                  The consortium
                                                  behind the trial
                                                  has decided to
                                                  adapt electric
                                                  passenger shuttles
                                                  that are currently
                                                  in service at
                                                  Heathrow Airport
                                                  for use in
                                                  Greenwich.  Unlike
                                                  the Heathrow pods,
                                                  they will not need
                                                  dedicated tracks.

                                                  The Greenwich
                                                  trial is one of
                                                  four in the UK to
                                                  test driverless
                                                  technology and
                                                  public reaction to
                                                  it..."This vehicle
                                                  has millions of
                                                  miles under its
                                                  belt and now we
                                                  have to take it
                                                  outside of the
                                                  track and modify
                                                  it for use on
                                                  pavements," he
                                                  added.  The
                                                  so-called
                                                  UltraPODs
                                                  currently in
                                                  service at
                                                  Heathrow carry
                                                  passengers between
                                                  the car park and
                                                  Terminal 5. In the
                                                  five years they
                                                  have been in use,
                                                  they have carried
                                                  1.5 million
                                                  passengers and
                                                  traveled three
                                                  million kilometers
                                                  (1.8 million
                                                  miles)...."   [Read more](http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-35432687)   Hmmm...Wow!! ... PRT
                                                      evolving to be
                                                      autonomousTaxis!

                                                      Wow!!!  :-) Alain

###

Obama’s $4 Billion Plan for Self-Driving Cars Will Make Google Very Happy

                                                  M. Bergen, Jan 14
                                                  "The Obama
                                                  Administration has
                                                  seen the
                                                  self-driving
                                                  future, and it's
                                                  jumping aboard.
                                                  At the Detroit
                                                  auto show on
                                                  Thursday morning,
                                                  U.S.
                                                  Transportation
                                                  Secretary Anthony
                                                  Foxx will unveil a
                                                  plan to develop a
                                                  national blueprint
                                                  for autonomous
                                                  driving technology
                                                  within the next
                                                  six months.  He
                                                  will also announce
                                                  that President
                                                  Obama is planning
                                                  to insert $4
                                                  billion into the
                                                  2017 budget for a
                                                  10-year plan to
                                                  support and
                                                  "accelerate"
                                                  vehicle automation
                                                  projects.

                                                  "We are on the
                                                  cusp of a new era
                                                  in automotive
                                                  technology with
                                                  enormous potential
                                                  to save lives,
                                                  reduce greenhouse
                                                  gas emissions, and
                                                  transform mobility
                                                  for the American
                                                  people," Secretary
                                                  Foxx said in a
                                                  statement. ...But
                                                    here's the part
                                                    of Foxx's talk
                                                    that really
                                                    matters for
                                                    Google: These
                                                    national rules
                                                    will allow fully
                                                    driverless cars..."

                                                  [Read More](http://recode.net/2016/01/14/obamas-4-billion-plan-for-self-driving-cars-will-make-google-very-happy/)  Hmmm... A [few months ago](http://www.its.dot.gov/press/2015/ngv_tech_announcement.htm)
                                                      it was $42M
                                                      for Connected
                                                      Vehicles.
                                                      Today it is
                                                      100x for
                                                      automated
                                                      vehicles!
                                                      Finally
                                                      Secretary
                                                      Foxx.."[YES! YES! JESUS H. TAP-DANCING CHRIST... I HAVE SEEN THE LIGHT](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lX5tfRdkoY0)"
                                                      (Blue
                                                      Brothers)
                                                      Yea!!!!!   :-)

                                                      Alain

Google Pairs With Ford To Build Self-Driving Cars

                                                  J. Hyde & S.
                                                  Carty, Dec. 21
                                                  "Google and Ford
                                                  will create a
                                                  joint venture to
                                                  build self-driving
                                                  vehicles with
                                                  Google's
                                                  technology, a huge
                                                  step by both
                                                  companies toward a
                                                  new business of
                                                  automated ride
                                                  sharing,
                                                  ...According to
                                                  three sources
                                                  familiar with the
                                                  plans, the
                                                  partnership is set
                                                  to be announced by
                                                  Ford at the
                                                  Consumer
                                                  Electronics Show
                                                  in January. By
                                                  pairing with
                                                  Google, Ford gets
                                                  a massive boost in
                                                  self-driving
                                                  software
                                                  development; while
                                                  the automaker has
                                                  been experimenting
                                                  with its own
                                                  systems for years,
                                                  it only revealed
                                                  plans this month
                                                  to begin testing
                                                  on public streets
                                                  in California....

                                                  Google already has
                                                  several links to
                                                  Ford; the head of
                                                  the self-driving
                                                  car project, John
                                                  Krafcik, worked
                                                  for 14 years at
                                                  Ford, including a
                                                  stint as head of
                                                  truck engineering,
                                                  and several other
                                                  ex-Ford employees
                                                  work in the unit
                                                  as well. Former
                                                  Ford chief
                                                  executive Alan
                                                  Mulally joined
                                                  Google's board
                                                  last year.

                                                  And Ford
                                                  executives have
                                                  been clear for
                                                  years that the
                                                  company was ready
                                                  to embrace a
                                                  future where cars
                                                  were sold as
                                                  on-demand
                                                  services. Ford CEO
                                                  Mark Fields has
                                                  repeatedly said
                                                  Ford was thinking
                                                  of itself "as a
                                                  mobility company,"
                                                  and what that
                                                  would mean for its
                                                  business" [Read more](https://www.yahoo.com/autos/google-pairs-with-ford-to-1326344237400118.html)  Hmmm...Not surprising
                                                      and not
                                                      exclusive.
                                                      :-) Alain

Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars

                                                  Video similar to
                                                  part of Adam's
                                                  Luncheon talk @
                                                  2015 Florida
                                                  Automated Vehicle
                                                  Symposium on Dec
                                                  1.  [Hmmm ... Watch Video](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/AdamJonas10T_MorganStanley.mp4)  especially

                                                      at the 13:12
                                                      mark.
                                                      Compelling;
                                                      especially
                                                      after the 60
                                                      Minutes
                                                      segment
                                                      above!  Also
                                                      see his [TipRanks](https://www.tipranks.com/analysts/adam-jonas).

                                                      Alain

                                                      [Mailto:alaink@princeton.edu](Mailto:alaink@princeton.edu) 

                                                      This list is
                                                      maintained by
                                                      [Alain Kornhauser](mailto:alaink@princeton.edu) and hosted by the [Princeton University LISTSERV](http://lists.princeton.edu).
Unsubscribe Re-subscribe

This list is maintained by Alain Kornhauser and hosted by the Princeton University LISTSERV.