2016-05-22

2016-05-22

May 22, 2016

Derailment of Amtrak passenger train 188, Philadelphia, PA, May 12, 2015 NTSB/ DCA15MR010

Public meeting of May 17 “… Executive Summary…This report addresses the following safety issues:

  • Crewmember situational awareness and management of multiple tasks….

  • Positive train control. In the accident area, positive train control had not yet been implemented at the time of the accident, but it has since been implemented.  The NTSB found that the accident could have been avoided if positive train control or another control system had been in place to enforce the permanent  speed restriction of 50 mph at the Franklin Junction curve.

  • Read more

Hmmm… Kudos to NTSB for finding “…the accident could have been avoided if positive train control or another control system had been in place to enforce…”

                                              HOWEVER, given that
                                              PCT was [mandated by Congress in 2008](https://www.fra.dot.gov/eLib/Details/L03588)
                                              with a deadline of
                                              December 15, 2015 and
                                              that 6 months before
                                              the deadline PTC had
                                              NOT been implemented
                                              on Amtrak's highest
                                              volume segment
                                              (PHL-NYC) is so
                                              unacceptable that this
                                              deserved to have been
                                              their #1 bullet.  NOT
                                              some poor train
                                              engineer that was
                                              simply trying to do a
                                              job made enormously
                                              more dangerous and
                                              stressful because
                                              Amtrak management
                                              failed to implement in
                                              a timely manner what
                                              had been mandated by
                                              its "sugar daddy"!!
                                              So the NTSB "threw"
                                              the engineer "under
                                              the bus" and
                                              essentially all of the
                                              news reports pointed
                                              to the engineer rather
                                              than Amtrak's senior
                                              (mis)management ([The Atlantic](http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2016/02/the-mystery-of-amtrak-188/458967/), [NBC](http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/Deadly-Amtrak-Crash-Philadelphia-NTSB-Cause-379762581.html),
                                              [Washington Post](https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/trafficandcommuting/ntsb-prepared-to-release-report-on-last-years-deadly-amtrak-wreck/2016/02/01/3c9f7e46-c837-11e5-88ff-e2d1b4289c2f_story.html), [WSJ](http://www.wsj.com/articles/ntsb-says-engineer-in-2015-philadelphia-amtrak-crash-lost-situational-awareness-1463497474),
                                              [NYT](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/magazine/the-wreck-of-amtrak-188.html?_r=0)
                                              etc.  Why didn't the
                                              NYT do a long story on
                                              why Amtrak management
                                              didn't install PTC in
                                              a timely manner???)

                                              My point here is
                                              larger in that this
                                              same issue exists in
                                              the rest of the
                                              transit industry where
                                              crash-avoidance
                                              technology exists
                                              today that can
                                              substantially reduce
                                              collisions and do so
                                              while printing money
                                              for the transit
                                              industry.  [Dr. Jerome Lutin and I](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/LutinKornhauser_2016TRB_BusACAS.pdf)
                                              have pointed out to
                                              deaf ears that
                                              automated collision
                                              avoidance systems
                                              exist today for buses
                                              whose costs are
                                              substantially less
                                              than the net present
                                              value of the liability
                                              that these buses can
                                              be expected to impose
                                              on society.  This is
                                              about the cash
                                              that a hopelessly
                                              bankrupt transit
                                              industry has to pay
                                              out because it isn't
                                              installing existing
                                              crash avoidance
                                              technology that is
                                              available today.  On
                                              top of that cash are
                                              all of the societal
                                              benefits associated
                                              with eliminating
                                              collisions. There is
                                              no rush (not even a
                                              faint heart-beat) by
                                              the industry to do
                                              this. FTA is totally
                                              asleep, yet bus
                                              drivers continue to be
                                              placed in some of the
                                              most stressful and
                                              unsafe working
                                              conditions without the
                                              help that such
                                              technologies can
                                              deliver.  I can't be
                                              more blunt... The
                                              major cause of
                                              accidents in the
                                              transit industry is
                                              the fact that the
                                              management of the
                                              transit industry is
                                              not installing in its
                                              fleets existing and
                                              available automated
                                              collision avoidance
                                              systems.  What is even
                                              more derelict is that
                                              new bus procurement
                                              don't include such
                                              provisions either.
                                              When is the finger
                                              going to finally be
                                              pointed towards
                                              "Management" and the
                                              FTA instead of the
                                              poor bus driver or
                                              train engineer? NTSB
                                              is getting close by at
                                              least  putting  it
                                              2nd, but if the public
                                              is to become aware, it
                                              will need to rise to
                                              the top bullet.  Alain

Senator Mark Green speaks in national forum on autonomous cars, job creation

                                          May 20, "Clarksville
                                          Republican Senator Mark
                                          Green joined technology
                                          and auto industry leaders
                                          at the University of
                                          Maryland's National
                                          Transportation Center in
                                          its program, "[Automated Vehicle Policy and Regulation:  A State Perspective Workshop](https://www.eventbrite.com/e/automated-vehicle-policy-and-regulation-a-state-perspective-workshop-tickets-24499019226)."..."
                                          [Read more](http://www.theleafchronicle.com/story/news/2016/05/20/senator-mark-green-speaks-national-forum-autonomous-cars-job-creation/84657462/)  Hmmm...Good
                                              one day conference
                                              with some [excellent presentations](https://app.box.com/v/AVStatePolicyWorkshop) as
                                              well as [my wrap-up comments](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/Presentations/WrapupUofMD_AV_Workshop.pdf).
                                                Alain

NXP Demonstrates Complete Autonomous Vehicle Platform Using NXP Silicon at Each ADAS Node

Press Release, May 16 “Marking a significant milestone in the fast-approaching self-driving vehicles era, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ:NXPI) today demonstrated a comprehensive and highly manufacturable autonomous vehicles platform leveraging NXP’s new BlueBox engine, and deploying NXP silicon and software solutions at each ADAS node. The system demonstration incorporates the BlueBox central computing engine, together with radar, lidar, and vision sensing, as well as an onboard secure V2X system – all of which are powered by NXP silicon currently in volume production or sampling to customers now…“  Read more  Hmmm…Nice! , but how does it do with DeepDriving?  Alain

Will robot cars drive traffic congestion off a cliff?

J. Lowy, May 15 “…Experts foresee robot cars chauffeuring children to school, dance class and baseball practice. The disabled and elderly will have new mobility. Commuters will be able to work, sleep, eat or watch movies on the way to the office. People may stay home more because they can send their cars to do things like pick up groceries they’ve ordered online.

Researchers believe the number of miles driven will skyrocket…” Read more  Hmmm…Excuse me!… Not all researchers…Yes, we agree that since the dis-utility of travel will diminish substantially, person-miles traveled will go up substantially, HOWEVER, it is not at all clear that the current auto ownership model will survive (read the next article). If we evolve to MoD (Mobility-on-Demand), then the sharing-the-cost financial advantages of ride-sharing as well as its environmental, energy and congestion-relief consequences are likely to be sufficiently compelling that “miles driven” will actually go down. (And go down substantially in peak-hour, peak-direction so as to eradicate congestion.) High-rise apartment dwellers don’t own their own private elevators (except maybe “The Donald”).  They casually ride-share whenever the on-demand warrants.   Alain

Will Robo-Ubers Kill Car Ownership?

D. Pogue, June 1 “…Yes, self-driving cars are revolutionary. But on-demand driverless cars? The changes would be so massive and fast and global, there’s almost nothing about daily transportation that wouldn’t change—mostly for the better.   Inexpensive robotic rides would mean there would be no particular reason to own a car. You wouldn’t have to buy one, maintain it, gas it up…“ Read more  Hmmm…Nice light article stating the obvious. Alain

Want to Buy a Self-Driving Car? Big-Rig Trucks May Come First

J Markoff, May 17, “… led by 15 former Google employees, including eight engineers. Among its staff members are major figures from Google’s self-driving car and maps projects, and it is aiming at the long-haul freeway driving that is the bread and butter of the commercial trucking industry.

                                          The engineers think that
                                          automating trucks rather
                                          than passenger vehicles
                                          could be more palatable
                                          financially and to
                                          regulators....Since the
                                          Google car and map
                                          veterans, Anthony
                                          Levandowski and Lior Ron,
                                          founded Otto in January,
                                          the company has expanded
                                          to 41 employees and has
                                          been test-driving three
                                          Volvo trucks, logging in
                                          more than 10,000 miles..."[Read more](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/17/technology/want-to-buy-a-self-driving-car-trucks-may-come-first.html?_r=0) Hmmm...Interesting,
                                              but does [Ott](https://blog.ot.to/introducing-otto-the-startup-rethinking-commercial-trucking-cfdc502ef452#.zhlld07g1)o
                                              really have more than
                                              [Peloton](http://peloton-tech.com/)
                                              or even [Soterea](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e2dJwKNHr78)
                                              except a better market
                                              focus and
                                              substantially better
                                              PR? Is this another [Cruise](http://fortune.com/2016/03/11/gm-buying-self-driving-tech-startup-for-more-than-1-billion/)?
                                            Alain

You can now sign up to test ride a driverless car in London

  May 16 “…London has opened the doors to the UK’s first public trial of autonomous vehicles.  That means if you are in the UK, you can register with GATEway (Greenwich Automated Transport Environment) and take a ride around London’s Greenwich area in a self-driving electric car…“Read more  Hmmm…PRT without an exclusive overhead guideway. How interesting!. Alain

3D animation of autonomous car interior.

Chesky,  See AnimationHmmm…cute, but who knows how they’ll look??. Alain

Some other

                                          thoughts that deserve your
                                          attention

Maverick “car guy” Bob Lutz still pulls no punches

J. Berr, May 16 “… The veteran auto executive recently discussed the state of the auto industry with CBS MoneyWatch (transcript has been edited for clarity and space)…My argument with Tesla is the business. It’s a cult stock, and I’ve been saying for months that the business model doesn’t work. They’re losing a ton of money. They’re running out of cash. Their sales are sideways to down… “ Read more Hmmm…Ouch!, Interesting perspectives derived from extensive experience.  Worth reading.  Alain

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

Recompiled

                                              Old News & Smiles:

Google reports self-driving car mistakes: 272 failures and 13 near misses

M. Harris, Jan 12, 2016 “…Between September 2014 and November 2015, Google’s autonomous vehicles in California experienced 272 failures and would have crashed at least 13 times if their human test drivers had not intervened, according to a document filed by Google with the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV)….

However, Google admits that its drivers actually took over from their vehicles “many thousands of times” during the period. The company is reporting only 69 incidents because Google thinks California’s regulations require it only to report disengagements where drivers were justified in taking over, and not those where the car would have coped on its own…” Read moreHmmm…Good article about the realities of testing. See also Autonomous Vehicles in California. Alain

Half-baked

                                            stuff that probably
                                            doesn't deserve your
                                            time:

Group Seeks to Pave Way for Nationwide Adoption of Driverless Cars

M. Ramsey, May 18, “ “…A group of business and former military leaders wants to limit states’ ability to regulate driverless cars, calling for sweeping federal legislation to avoid a patchwork of rules they believe could hinder adoption of the technologically advanced vehicles…Other recommendations from the group include allowing auto makers to sell an unlimited number of electric cars that come with a $7,500 tax credit, so long as the vehicle’s price doesn’t eclipse $55,000. The tax credit would be reduced starting in 2021 and no longer be offered by 2023. Currently, the same tax credit disappears once a company sells 200,000 electric vehicles…” Read moreHmmm…Is this an electric car initiatives.  It is likely that the fleet model of autonomousTaxis would be electric powered, but autonomousPersonalCars face the same barriers as today’s conventional personal cars. And why should the public subsidize autonomousTaxis when they have their own solid business case? Alain

###

###

C’mon Man!

                                          (These folks didn't
                                          get/read the memo)

Calendar

                                                  of Upcoming
                                                  Events:

                                              

                                               

http://www.alktechsummit.com/

Connected & Automated Vehicle Conference

What States Need to Know

June 21 &22, 2016

Maritime Institute (near BWI), Lincoln Heights, MD

http://i95coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/I95CCCAVConferencePacketREV4-15-16.pdf?dd650d

Recent

                                                Highlights of:

#

###

                                                      May 15, 2016

Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

                                              Chenyi Chen PhD
                                              Dissertation , "...the
                                              key part of the
                                              thesis, a direct
                                              perception approach is
                                              proposed to drive a
                                              car in a highway
                                              environment. In this
                                              approach, an input
                                              image is mapped to a
                                              small number of key
                                              perception indicators
                                              that directly relate
                                              to the affordance of a
                                              road/traffic state for
                                              driving....." [Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/Theses/chenyiPhDfinal_ExtractingCognitionOutOfImagesForThePurposeOfAutonomousDriving.pdf)  Hmmm..[FPO 10:00am, May 16 , 120 Sherrerd Hall](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/Presentations/ChenyiFPO.pdf),
                                                  Establishing a
                                                  foundation for
                                                  image-based
                                                  autonomous driving
                                                  using DeepLearning
                                                  Neural Networks
                                                  trained in virtual
                                                  environments. Very
                                                  promising. Alain

                                                      May 7, 2016

###

Beverly Hills to Develop Autonomous Vehicles

M. Walker April 15, “The Beverly Hills City Council voted unanimously this week to adopt a resolution to develop driverless vehicles that will provide public transportation throughout the city.

                                              The program is part of
                                              Beverly Hills mayor
                                              John Mirisch's plan
                                              for a municipally
                                              owned fleet of
                                              autonomous vehicles
                                              that would function as
                                              an on-demand car
                                              shuttle service to and
                                              from any address in
                                              the city. .." [Read more](http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/beverly-hills-develop-autonomous-vehicles-884316)
                                                  Hmmm...Communities
                                                      all around the
                                                      nation should
                                                      follow what
                                                      BH, Austin and
                                                      a few other
                                                      communities
                                                      are doing.
                                                      There is an
                                                      opportunity to
                                                      begin
                                                      on-demand
                                                      shared-ride
                                                      "21st Century
                                                      Public
                                                      Transit"
                                                      mobility using
                                                      volunteer
                                                      drivers to
                                                      initiate and
                                                      thoroughly
                                                      demonstrate
                                                      this low-cost
                                                      mobility in
                                                      preparation
                                                      for a massive
                                                      roll-out that
                                                      can take place
                                                      once
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars can
                                                      extend/replace
                                                      the volunteer
                                                      drivers. [Staff report](http://www.beverlyhills.org/cbhfiles/storage/files/148071911817855902/StaffReportAVs3-22-16.pdf) on
                                                  the matter; [another article](http://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/beverly-hills-votes-to-create-autonomous-vehicle-program/?_escaped_fragment_=#); [landing page for the program](http://www.beverlyhills.org/living/autonomousvehicles/#CNTSTN_2296).
                                                  Alain
                                                      April 23, 2016

###

N.J. superintendent killed while jogging was struck by student late for trip

K. Shea, April 19, “…The Robbinsville High School student who was driving the car that struck and killed the district’s superintendent Tuesday morning was late for a school trip when the crash occurred, according to two sources involved in the investigation….” Read more Hmmm…Most tragic in so many dimensions!!! HOWEVER, it was NOT the student that STRUCK the Superintendent, it was the CAR.  AND the CAR needs to start being held responsible for ALLOWING such tragedies to ruin so many lives.  It is very likely that this tragedy could have been averted had the car been equipped with an automated collision avoidance system and/or lane-keeping system.  Given the availability of these “tragedy avoidance systems”, we should all be asking why this CAR wasn’t equipped with such a system and why all cars aren’t so equipped. Certainly innocent runners and dogs need to be asking such questions. So too, that young lady’s car insurance company; it must be muttering: “shouda bought her that upgrade”.  What about the car companies themselves who are largely just sitting on the technology or the dealerships that don’t feel compelled to espouse the benefits of such technology while pushing more “horsepower” and “Corinthian Leather” (and worse yet: “AooleCarXYZ” that distracts drivers).  We all know that Washington is broken.  Them staying out of the way is probably best (although aggressively applying better human-visible paint/laneMarkings and human-readable signs would go a long way to helping both attentive drivers and automated lane-keeping systems). Everyone else has fundamental self-interest at stake and each needs to stop pointing the finger to the frail human driver.  We have the technology and the the self-interest to make mobility substantially safer.  Let’s really get on with it.  It’s time! Alain

                                                      April 9, 2016

Automated Vehicle Operational Guidance Public Meeting

April 8,”At this meeting, NHTSA sought input on planned operational guidelines for the safe deployment of automated vehicles (AV). Of high importance to the agency is information on the roadway scenarios and operational environments that highly automated vehicles will need to address, and the associated design and evaluation processes and methods needed to ensure that AV systems are able to detect and appropriately react to these scenarios”  Read more  Hmmm…Watch testimony  , especially: testimony of Dr. Jerome Lutin.   Alain

                                                      March 25, 2016

Hearing focus of SF 2569 Autonomous vehicles task force establishment and demonstration project for people with disabilities

March 23 Hmmm… Watch the video of the Committee Meeting. The testimony is Excellent and very compelling! Also see Self-Driving Minnesota Alain

                                                      March 17, 2016

U.S. DOT and IIHS announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Press Release, Mar 17, NHTSA & IIHS “announced today a historic commitment by 20 automakers representing more than 99 percent of the U.S. auto market to make automatic emergency braking a standard feature on virtually all new cars no later than NHTSA’s 2022 reporting year, which begins Sept 1, 2022. Automakers making the commitment are Audi, BMW, FCA US LLC, Ford, General Motors, Honda, Hyundai, Jaguar Land Rover, Kia, Maserati, Mazda, Mercedes-Benz, Mitsubishi Motors, Nissan, Porsche, Subaru, Tesla Motors Inc., Toyota, Volkswagen and Volvo Car USA. The unprecedented commitment means that this important safety technology will be available to more consumers more quickly than would be possible through the regulatory process…The commitment takes into account the evolution of AEB technology. It requires a level of functionality that is in line with research and crash data demonstrating that such systems are substantially reducing crashes, but does not stand in the way of improved capabilities that are just beginning to emerge. The performance measures are based on real world data showing that vehicles with this level of capability are avoiding crashes..Watch NHTSA video on AEB  Download AEB video from IIHSRead more  Hmmmm…Fantastic! Automakers leading with regulatory process staying out of the way. Alain March 12, 2016

GM Buying Self-Driving Tech Startup for More Than $1 Billion

D. Patrick Mar 11,”General Motors  GM 1.43%  this morning announced that it will acquire Cruise Automation, a San Francisco-based developer of autonomous vehicle technology. No financial terms were disclosed, but Fortune has learned from a source close to the situation that the deal is valued at “north of $1 billion,” in a combination of cash and stock.

                                              Talks between the two
                                              companies originally
                                              related to a strategic
                                              investment by GM in
                                              Cruise, which was
                                              planning to raise a
                                              new round of venture
                                              capital funding. But
                                              that quickly morphed
                                              into an acquisition
                                              discussion with the
                                              entire agreement
                                              getting hashed out in
                                              less than six weeks. [Read more](http://fortune.com/2016/03/11/gm-buying-self-driving-tech-startup-for-more-than-1-billion/)Hmmmm...That
                                                  sets the bar.
                                                  Reminiscent of [AOL paying $1.1B for MapQuest](http://www.ecommercetimes.com/story/2068.html)
                                                  resulting in [NavTeq getting $8.1B from Nokia](http://mashable.com/2007/10/01/nokia-navteq/#CnEKJL0cUOqM)
                                                  followed by [Here getting $3B from MB et al](http://mashable.com/2007/10/01/nokia-navteq/#CnEKJL0cUOqM).  [Deja vu all over again!](http://yogiberramuseum.org/just-for-fun/yogisms/)  Very
                                                  interesting  :-)
                                                  Alain

                                                      March 3, 2016

THE ROAD NOT TAKEN: How we found (and lost) the dream of Personal Rapid Transit

A. Robertson, Feb 10 , Feb. “…Half a century after its heyday, the Alden StaRRcar clearly wasn’t made for its world. It looks like a white flatiron with wheels or a sleek, plastic bullet, dwarfed by the regal sedans of 1960s Detroit. It belongs in one of Buckminster Fuller’s domed cities, a vehicle for traveling under the geodesics of a bubble-topped Manhattan. Its future wasn’t one of highways, but of narrow cement tracks looping gracefully between city and suburb, connecting increasingly alienated parts of the American landscape…

                                              Once considered a key
                                              to solving urban
                                              blight, the StaRRcar
                                              was part of a public
                                              transit revolution
                                              that never was — but
                                              one that would help
                                              launch one of the
                                              weirdest and most
                                              politicized public
                                              infrastructure
                                              experiments of the
                                              20th century. It's an
                                              old idea that today,
                                              in an age of
                                              self-driving cars,
                                              seems by turns
                                              impractically retro
                                              and remarkably
                                              prescient...

                                              PRT's invention is
                                              attributed to a
                                              transportation expert
                                              named Donn Fichter,
                                              but the central idea
                                              was conceived,
                                              remixed, and adapted
                                              by many in the 1950s
                                              and 1960s. While the
                                              details varied, the
                                              prototypical PRT
                                              system was a network
                                              of narrow guideways
                                              populated by small
                                              passenger pods. When
                                              commuters arrived,
                                              they would hit a
                                              button to select a
                                              destination, calling
                                              one of the pods like a
                                              taxi. Then, instead of
                                              running on a set line,
                                              the pod would use
                                              guideways like a
                                              freeway system,
                                              routing around
                                              stations in order to
                                              take passengers
                                              directly to their
                                              final stop.

                                              The system was
                                              designed to be
                                              everything that
                                              existing public
                                              transportation wasn't.
                                              Pods would carry only
                                              as many people as an
                                              average car,
                                              guaranteeing a nearly
                                              private ride. Riders
                                              wouldn't need to
                                              follow a timetable or
                                              wait for other people
                                              to enter and exit the
                                              system. Because the
                                              pods would only be
                                              dispatched on demand,
                                              cities could run
                                              service to many
                                              low-traffic areas
                                              without worrying about
                                              waste. There were no
                                              drivers to train or
                                              pay, and the pods
                                              could run quietly on
                                              electrical power
                                              instead of with fossil
                                              fuels...

                                              Multiple plans for
                                              personal rapid transit
                                              fell through, whether
                                              because of budget
                                              problems, logistical
                                              issues, or political
                                              power struggles....

                                              And as in the '60s,
                                              we're talking about
                                              whether self-driving
                                              vehicles could spell
                                              the end of private
                                              cars...."[Read more](file:///C:/Users/alaink/Desktop/THE%20ROAD%20NOT%20TAKEN:%20How%20we%20found%20%28and%20lost%29%20the%20dream%20of%20Personal%20Rapid%20Transit)Hmmmm...A
                                                  must read.  Pretty
                                                  much as I remember
                                                  it.  I lived much
                                                  of it, including
                                                  designing 10,000
                                                  station, 10,000
                                                  mile PRT networks
                                                  that could serve
                                                  all of New
                                                  Jersey's needs for
                                                  personal
                                                  mobility.  The
                                                  good news was that
                                                  the area-wide
                                                  systems would
                                                  provide great
                                                  mobility for all.
                                                  The bad news: No
                                                  viable way to
                                                  start.  The best
                                                  starting places
                                                  could each be
                                                  readily served by
                                                  conventional
                                                  systems with no
                                                  technology risk.
                                                  Without a place to
                                                  start, PRT never
                                                  got a chance to
                                                  flourish in the
                                                  vast areas that
                                                  are un-servable by
                                                  conventional
                                                  technology.
                                                  Moreover, PRT
                                                  needed the
                                                  diversion of
                                                  public sector
                                                  capital funds that
                                                  weres already
                                                      in the back
                                                      pocket of
                                                      those pedaling
                                                      the
                                                      conventional
                                                      technologies.
                                                      Consequently,
                                                      the personal
                                                      auto has
                                                      reigned on.

Today is different. With PRT, even the first vehicle needed a couple of stations and interconnecting guideway (and all of the discussion and heartache was about the location and cost of those initial stations and guideway). With autonomous taxis sharing existing roads, one can begin with a single vehicle capable of serving many existing places without needing to pay-for/justify any infrastructure. That is today’s fundamental opportunity, in contrast to PRT’s monumental infrastructure burden even for one vehicle. That’s why aTaxis are destined to finally deliver PRT’s utopian mobility to all and substantially transform our cities and suburbs. Alain

                                                      February 18,
                                                      2016

Motor Vehicle Deaths Increase by Largest Percent in 50 Years

Press Release Feb 16 “With continued lower gasoline prices and an improving economy resulting in an estimated 3.5% increase in motor-vehicle mileage, the number of motor-vehicle deaths in 2015 totaled 38,300, up 8% from 2014.

                                              The 2015 estimate is
                                              provisional and may be
                                              revised when more data
                                              are available. The
                                              total for 2015 was up
                                              8% from the 2013
                                              figure. The annual
                                              total for 2014 was
                                              35,398, a less than
                                              0.5% increase from
                                              2013. The 2013 figure
                                              was 3% lower than
                                              2012. The estimated
                                              annual population
                                              death rate is 11.87
                                              deaths per 100,000
                                              population, an
                                              increase of 7% from
                                              the 2014 rate. The
                                              estimated annual
                                              mileage death rate is
                                              1.22 deaths per 100
                                              million vehicle miles
                                              traveled, an increase
                                              of 5% from the 2014
                                              rate. [Read more](http://www.nsc.org/NewsDocuments/2016/mv-fatality-report-1215.pdf)Hmmmm...This
                                                  is REALLY BAD
                                                  news.  Come on
                                                  insurance. This is
                                                  costing you
                                                  money!  Accident
                                                  rates going up
                                                  means that your
                                                  actuarials are
                                                  behind, your
                                                  regulated pricing
                                                  lags and you are
                                                  losing money.  To
                                                  get ahead of your
                                                  actuarials, you
                                                  MUST incentivize
                                                  the adoption of
                                                  automated
                                                  collision
                                                  avoidance
                                                  systems.  You'll
                                                  then do very well,
                                                  thank you AND help
                                                  society.  Alain
                                                      February 9,
                                                      2016

Budget of the U.S. Government, FY 2017

Feb. 9, “…(3) Accelerate the integration of autonomous vehicles, low-carbon technologies, and intelligent transportation systems into our infrastructure….

  • Providing almost $400 million on average per year in funding over the next 10 years for the deployment of self-driving vehicles. Investments would help develop connected infrastructure and smart sensors that can communicate with autonomous vehicles, support R&D to ensure these vehicles are safe and road ready, and expand at-scale deployment projects to provide “proving grounds” for autonomous self-driving and connected vehicles in urban and highway settings.

Read moreHmmmm…major victory…not only: “…for autonomous self-driving…”, bit also stated before: “… and connected…”.     Alain January 14, 2016

###

Obama’s $4 Billion Plan for Self-Driving Cars Will Make Google Very Happy

M. Bergen, Jan 14 “The Obama Administration has seen the self-driving future, and it’s jumping aboard.  At the Detroit auto show on Thursday morning, U.S. Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx will unveil a plan to develop a national blueprint for autonomous driving technology within the next six months.  He will also announce that President Obama is planning to insert $4 billion into the 2017 budget for a 10-year plan to support and “accelerate” vehicle automation projects.

                                              "We are on the cusp of
                                              a new era in
                                              automotive technology
                                              with enormous
                                              potential to save
                                              lives, reduce
                                              greenhouse gas
                                              emissions, and
                                              transform mobility for
                                              the American people,"
                                              Secretary Foxx said in
                                              a statement. ...But
                                                here's the part of
                                                Foxx's talk that
                                                really matters for
                                                Google: These
                                                national rules will
                                                allow fully
                                                driverless cars..."
                                              [Read More](http://recode.net/2016/01/14/obamas-4-billion-plan-for-self-driving-cars-will-make-google-very-happy/)  Hmmm...
                                                      A [few months ago](http://www.its.dot.gov/press/2015/ngv_tech_announcement.htm)
                                                      it was $42M
                                                      for Connected
                                                      Vehicles.
                                                      Today it is
                                                      100x for
                                                      automated
                                                      vehicles!
                                                      Finally
                                                      Secretary
                                                      Foxx.."[YES! YES! JESUS H. TAP-DANCING CHRIST... I HAVE SEEN THE LIGHT](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lX5tfRdkoY0)"
                                                      (Blue
                                                      Brothers)
                                                      Yea!!!!!   :-)
                                                    Alain
                                                      January 3,
                                                      2016

Google Pairs With Ford To Build Self-Driving Cars

J. Hyde & S. Carty, Dec. 21 “Google and Ford will create a joint venture to build self-driving vehicles with Google’s technology, a huge step by both companies toward a new business of automated ride sharing, …According to three sources familiar with the plans, the partnership is set to be announced by Ford at the Consumer Electronics Show in January. By pairing with Google, Ford gets a massive boost in self-driving software development; while the automaker has been experimenting with its own systems for years, it only revealed plans this month to begin testing on public streets in California….

                                              Google already has
                                              several links to Ford;
                                              the head of the
                                              self-driving car
                                              project, John Krafcik,
                                              worked for 14 years at
                                              Ford, including a
                                              stint as head of truck
                                              engineering, and
                                              several other ex-Ford
                                              employees work in the
                                              unit as well. Former
                                              Ford chief executive
                                              Alan Mulally joined
                                              Google's board last
                                              year.

                                              And Ford executives
                                              have been clear for
                                              years that the company
                                              was ready to embrace a
                                              future where cars were
                                              sold as on-demand
                                              services. Ford CEO
                                              Mark Fields has
                                              repeatedly said Ford
                                              was thinking of itself
                                              "as a mobility
                                              company," and what
                                              that would mean for
                                              its business" [Read more](https://www.yahoo.com/autos/google-pairs-with-ford-to-1326344237400118.html)  Hmmm...Not
                                                      surprising and
                                                      not exclusive.
                                                      :-) Alain
                                                      December 19,
                                                      2015

Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars

Video similar to part of Adam’s Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1.  Hmmm … Watch Video  especially at the 13:12 mark.  Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above! Also see his TipRanks. Alain

                                                    [Mailto:alaink@princeton.edu](Mailto:alaink@princeton.edu) 

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