2016-09-09

2016-09-09

September 09, 2016

The Head of CMU’s Robotics Lab Says Self-Driving Cars Are ‘Not Even Close’

J. Peterson, Sept 1, “..To find out what it’s been like to rebuild a top robotics lab after being gutted by one of the most powerful companies in the world, I called up Herman for a candid conversation about what universities can do that corporations can’t, and how CMU has managed to pick up the pieces of what Uber left behind…

Maybe, and maybe not. The objectives of companies like Uber, and our objectives as a university, are different. Uber as a company has to worry about its valuation. I think part of the reason that they released the news about these autonomous taxis is marketing. Technically, I’m not sure if it’s ready. They still have to have engineers in the car. So, for technical reasons, it’s not there. But for non-technical reasons, they decided that it’s a good idea to start talking about it…” Read more Hmmm…Juicy!  Alain

2015 Motor Vehicle Crashes: Overview

                                                      DOT HS 812
                                                      318, Aug,
                                                      2016, "The
                                                      Nation lost
                                                      35,092 people
                                                      in crashes on
                                                      U.S. roadways
                                                      during 2015,
                                                      an increase
                                                      from 32,744 in
                                                      2014. The
                                                      7.2-percent
                                                      increase is
                                                      the largest
                                                      percentage
                                                      increase in
                                                      nearly 50
                                                      years..." [Read more](https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812318) Hmmm...Very bad news.  Can anyone say "texting"!  Alain

Open data and traffic fatalities

                                                      R. Ragupathy,
                                                      Aug 30
                                                      "Traffic
                                                      fatalities in
                                                      the U.S.
                                                      jumped 7.2% to
                                                      35,092 last
                                                      year, the
                                                      sharpest
                                                      increase in
                                                      about 50
                                                      years.
                                                      Yesterday the
                                                      NHTSA's
                                                      Fatality
                                                      Analysis
                                                      Reporting
                                                      System (FARS)
                                                      released final
                                                      2015 data on
                                                      vehicle
                                                      crashes in the
                                                      United States.
                                                      The Department
                                                      of
                                                      Transportation
                                                      (DOT),
                                                      National
                                                      Highway
                                                      Traffic Safety
                                                      Administration
                                                      (NHTSA), and
                                                      the White
                                                      House also
                                                      issued an
                                                      unprecedented
                                                      call to action
                                                      asking for
                                                      help analyzing
                                                      fatality data
                                                      to find ways
                                                      to prevent
                                                      these
                                                      tragedies:...

                                                      Responding to
                                                      this call, we
                                                      created the
                                                      map below to
                                                      show where
                                                      fatal crashes
                                                      have occurred
                                                      over the last
                                                      five years.
                                                      Enter your
                                                      address and
                                                      the
                                                      destination of
                                                      your commute
                                                      to see fatal
                                                      crashes that
                                                      occurred along
                                                      your route
                                                      between 2011
                                                      and 2015.
                                                      Toggle between
                                                      additional
                                                      information,
                                                      such as
                                                      alcohol,
                                                      excessive
                                                      speeding,
                                                      cyclists, or
                                                      pedestrians
                                                      involved and
                                                      compare the
                                                      differences
                                                      between the
                                                      years." [Read more](https://www.mapbox.com/blog/fars-2015/) Hmmm...You must look at their "map below"  It is
                                                      really good!!
                                                      Alain

Michigan Moves to Not Require Human in Driverless Test Cars

                                                      D. Eggert
                                                      (AP), Sept 7,
                                                      "Michigan
                                                      would no
                                                      longer require
                                                      that someone
                                                      be inside a
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car while
                                                      testing it on
                                                      public roads
                                                      under
                                                      legislation
                                                      passed
                                                      unanimously
                                                      Wednesday by
                                                      the state
                                                      Senate, where
                                                      backers touted
                                                      the measures
                                                      as necessary
                                                      to keep the
                                                      U.S. auto
                                                      industry's
                                                      home state
                                                      ahead of the
                                                      curve on
                                                      rapidly
                                                      advancing
                                                      technology...."
                                                      [Read more](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-07/michigan-may-not-require-a-human-in-self-driving-test-cars) Hmmm...This is very significant because, as far as I
                                                      know, we have
                                                      yet to drive
                                                      the first
                                                      meter/foot
                                                      down a normal
                                                      street in a
                                                      normal
                                                      environment
                                                      without anyone
                                                      in a
                                                      self-driving
                                                      (aka... a
                                                      driverless
                                                      self-driving)
                                                      car! This is
                                                      necessary
                                                      legislation to
                                                      negate
                                                      legislation
                                                      requiring that
                                                      a person must
                                                      be in a car
                                                      motoring down
                                                      a street (or
                                                      legislation
                                                      requiring
                                                      remote
                                                      operation of
                                                      an empty
                                                      vehicle.)  Alain

Intel to buy Movidius to help it win in new tech like virtual reality, driverless cars

                                                      A. Kharpal,
                                                      Sept 6, "U.S.
                                                      semiconductor
                                                      giant Intel is
                                                      to acquire
                                                      Movidius, a
                                                      company that
                                                      creates
                                                      so-called
                                                      "computer
                                                      vision" chips
                                                      which will
                                                      play a key
                                                      role in
                                                      technologies
                                                      from virtual
                                                      reality (VR)
                                                      to driverless
                                                      cars, the
                                                      company
                                                      announced
                                                      Tuesday.

                                                      Movidius makes
                                                      processors
                                                      that use
                                                      artificial
                                                      intelligence
                                                      to assess the
                                                      world around
                                                      them. The
                                                      company is
                                                      already
                                                      working with
                                                      Chinese
                                                      dronemaker DJI
                                                      with its tech
                                                      implemented in
                                                      the Phantom 4
                                                      unmanned
                                                      aircraft,
                                                      giving it the
                                                      ability to
                                                      sense and
                                                      avoid
                                                      obstacles in
                                                      real time and
                                                      hover in a
                                                      fixed position
                                                      without the
                                                      need for a GPS
                                                      signal...."[Read more](http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/06/intel-to-buy-movidius-to-help-it-win-in-new-tech-like-virtual-reality-driverless-cars.html) Hmmm...Very interesting!   Alain

Civil Maps Debuts Augmented Reality Maps for Self-Driving Cars

Sept 8, “Civil Maps, a software provider for crowdsourcing continental scale 3D maps for fully autonomous machines, today unveiled a passenger-facing augmented reality (AR) experience that integrates the company’s localization technology with 3D dynamic maps….”  Read more Hmmm…Interesting!   Alain

Driverless bus takes to the road in Perth

                                                      C. Griffith,
                                                      Sept 1, "The
                                                      first
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicle on a
                                                      public
                                                      Australian
                                                      road rolled
                                                      out yesterday,
                                                      mixing it with
                                                      other cars,
                                                      cyclists and
                                                      pedestrians in
                                                      Perth.

                                                      The 11-seater
                                                      French Navya
                                                      shuttle bus
                                                      was bought by
                                                      automotive
                                                      club the [RACWA](http://intellibus.rac.com.au/)
                                                      for $296,000
                                                      and will spend
                                                      the next three
                                                      months
                                                      covering a
                                                      2.7km stretch
                                                      of the South
                                                      Perth
                                                      foreshore
                                                      along the Swan
                                                      River,
                                                      operating at
                                                      speeds of up
                                                      to 25km/h. [Read more](http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/technology/driverless-bus-takes-to-the-road-in-perth/news-story/05b173c19c7474949df57927639586cb) Hmmm...Another first adopters!   Alain

Nvidia and Baidu partner on a ‘top-to-bottom’ platform for self-driving cars

                                                      D.
                                                      Etherington,
                                                      Aug 31,
                                                      "Nvidia
                                                      co-founder and
                                                      CEO Jen-Hsun
                                                      Huang revealed
                                                      a new
                                                      partnership on
                                                      stage at
                                                      Baidu's annual
                                                      Baidu World
                                                      conference
                                                      today. This
                                                      partnership
                                                      with Baidu
                                                      will see
                                                      Nvidia and the
                                                      Chinese tech
                                                      giant work
                                                      together on
                                                      building a
                                                      comprehensive
                                                      autonomous
                                                      driving
                                                      platform.

                                                      "We're going
                                                      to bring
                                                      together the
                                                      technical
                                                      capabilities,
                                                      our expertise
                                                      in AI, and the
                                                      skills of two
                                                      world-class
                                                      companies,"
                                                      Huang said,
                                                      noting that
                                                      the
                                                      partnership
                                                      will the AI
                                                      and deep
                                                      learning
                                                      skills of both
                                                      companies. "By
                                                      combining
                                                      these
                                                      capabilities,
                                                      we will be
                                                      able to
                                                      deliver a
                                                      cloud-to-car
                                                      architecture
                                                      platform that
                                                      promises to
                                                      get cars on
                                                      the road in
                                                      the next
                                                      several
                                                      years."

                                                      Nvidia and
                                                      Baidu will be
                                                      building an
                                                      end-to-end
                                                      solution for
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars,
                                                      according to
                                                      Huang. The end
                                                      goal is a
                                                      platform that
                                                      allows Baidu
                                                      to get a
                                                      self-driving
                                                      taxi fleet on
                                                      the road, and
                                                      the same
                                                      platform is
                                                      also designed
                                                      for use in OEM
                                                      cars, tied
                                                      into the same
                                                      network...." [Read more](https://techcrunch.com/2016/08/31/nvidia-and-baidu-partner-on-a-top-to-bottom-platform-for-self-driving-cars/) Hmmm..."end-to-end" solutions AND supply OEMs!???
                                                      Sound like a
                                                      monopoly???
                                                      Alain

Tesla says Autopilot system not responsible for Dutch crash

                                                      AP, Sept. 7,
                                                      "Tesla Motors
                                                      says the Model
                                                      S sedan
                                                      involved in a
                                                      fatal crash in
                                                      the
                                                      Netherlands
                                                      wasn't
                                                      operating in
                                                      the company's semi-autonomous Autopilot mode and was going more than 96 miles per hour
                                                      when it
                                                      crashed..." [Read more](http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/driver-dies-tesla-slams-tree-central-dutch-town-41921104)  Hmmm...I hate to say this, but maybe it is now time
                                                      for cars to
                                                      keep us from
                                                      behaving
                                                      irresponsibly
                                                      when we
                                                      exercise our
                                                      privileged to
                                                      drive.  It
                                                      is a
                                                      privileged and
                                                      we should be
                                                      doing it
                                                      responsibly.
                                                      If it is
                                                      really
                                                      important that
                                                      we go 96 mph,
                                                      then there
                                                      should be an
                                                      easy way for
                                                      us to get
                                                      permission to
                                                      do it (for
                                                      example if we
                                                      are trying to
                                                      commit
                                                      suicide, or
                                                      ???); else,
                                                      the car should
                                                      not let us do
                                                      it.  In this
                                                      case, the car
                                                      knew it was
                                                      going 96 mph
                                                      and that it
                                                      wasn't on the
                                                      German
                                                      autobahn (and
                                                      that it wasn't
                                                      avoiding
                                                      something).
                                                      While in this
                                                      case no one
                                                      else was
                                                      killed, a
                                                      bunch of
                                                      people had to
                                                      clean up the
                                                      mess that was
                                                      created.
                                                      "AutoPilots"
                                                      should make it
                                                      much more
                                                      difficult/challenging
                                                      for us to
                                                      behave
                                                      irresponsibly.
                                                      [See also](http://www.carscoops.com/2016/09/autopilot-helps-save-tesla-driver-from.html) Alain

Big Carmakers Merge, Cautiously, Into the Self-Driving Lane

                                                      N. Boudette,
                                                      Sept 1,
                                                      "...The big
                                                      carmakers hope
                                                      to avoid the
                                                      criticism that
                                                      has enveloped
                                                      Tesla's
                                                      Autopilot —
                                                      that the
                                                      driver-assistance
                                                      technology can
                                                      lull the
                                                      person behind
                                                      the wheel into
                                                      a
                                                      mind-wandering
                                                      sense of false
                                                      security.
                                                      "Through the
                                                      driver's eyes,
                                                      you can detect
                                                      his or her
                                                      level of
                                                      attention,"
                                                      Mark Reuss,
                                                      G.M.'s
                                                      executive vice
                                                      president for
                                                      global product
                                                      development,
                                                      said in July
                                                      at an auto
                                                      technology
                                                      conference in
                                                      Detroit.

                                                      The monitoring
                                                      system, which
                                                      analyzes
                                                      images of the
                                                      drivers' eyes
                                                      and head to
                                                      tell if they
                                                      are looking
                                                      forward, will
                                                      notice if
                                                      drivers are
                                                      drowsy,
                                                      looking down
                                                      at their
                                                      cellphones or
                                                      have turned to
                                                      reach into the
                                                      rear seat.  If
                                                      the driver
                                                      does not turn
                                                      back to the
                                                      road after a
                                                      few seconds,
                                                      warning tones
                                                      and lights go
                                                      off. If the
                                                      driver does
                                                      not respond,
                                                      SuperCruise
                                                      can (...will???)
                                                      slow or (...safely pull over and ???)stop the car,
                                                      Mr. Reuss
                                                      said.  [Read more](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/02/automobiles/big-carmakers-merge-cautiously-into-the-self-driving-lane.html?_r=1) Hmmm...OK!?!   Alain

‘Best practices’ for autonomous car testing sought by new industry grou

                                                      R. Beene, Sept
                                                      8, "Bolstering
                                                      shaky public
                                                      confidence in
                                                      the safety of
                                                      autonomous
                                                      cars will be a
                                                      key aim for a
                                                      new group of
                                                      transportation,
                                                      research and
                                                      former
                                                      government
                                                      officials
                                                      formed to
                                                      issue
                                                      recommendations
                                                      about how
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars should be
                                                      tested on
                                                      public roads.
                                                      Dubbed the
                                                      Commission on
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Vehicle
                                                      Testing and
                                                      Safety, the
                                                      group will
                                                      study and
                                                      publish "best
                                                      practices" for
                                                      the safe
                                                      testing of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars on public
                                                      streets to
                                                      inform
                                                      automakers and
                                                      policymakers
                                                      working on the
                                                      issue.

                                                      The group is a
                                                      project of
                                                      Securing
                                                      America's
                                                      Future Energy,
                                                      or SAFE, a
                                                      Washington-based
                                                      nonprofit that
                                                      advocates
                                                      reducing U.S.
                                                      dependence on
                                                      petroleum. The
                                                      organization
                                                      has recently
                                                      begun a major
                                                      push for
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles. The
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle
                                                      commission is
                                                      expected to be
                                                      announced by
                                                      SAFE
                                                      today...." [Read more](http://www.autonews.com/article/20160908/OEM11/160909866/group-forms-to-recommend-how-to-test-autonomous-cars) Hmmm...Good!   Alain

Toyota and University announce driverless car project details

K. Linder, Sept 7, “In a continued partnership with the University of Michigan, Toyota announced it will invest $22 million to fund research on driverless cars and methods of artificial intelligence. This is an expansion of the Toyota Research Institute’s April announcement, which revealed TRI will be opening a new facility in Ann Arbor….” Read more Hmmm…Congratulations!  Alain

Volvo will sell its self-driving car tech to other automakers

                                                      J. Golson,
                                                      Sept 6, "Volvo
                                                      is forming a
                                                      joint venture
                                                      with Swedish
                                                      automotive
                                                      safety
                                                      supplier
                                                      Autoliv to
                                                      develop
                                                      autonomous
                                                      driving
                                                      software and
                                                      sell it to
                                                      other
                                                      automakers.
                                                      It's the first
                                                      time an
                                                      automaker has
                                                      partnered with
                                                      a "tier-one"
                                                      supplier to
                                                      develop
                                                      self-driving
                                                      technology...."
                                                      [Read more](http://www.theverge.com/2016/9/6/12805388/volvo-autoliv-autonomous-self-driving-joint-venture)Hmmm...Since we have software folks getting in he
                                                      car business,
                                                      why not have
                                                      car folks in
                                                      the software
                                                      business! Is
                                                      this really
                                                      the "1st"?
                                                      Alain

Volvo first in the world with self-driving truck in underground mine

                                                      Press Release,
                                                      Sept 9,
                                                      "Volvo's fully
                                                      autonomous
                                                      truck is the
                                                      first in the
                                                      world to be
                                                      tested in
                                                      operations
                                                      deep
                                                      underground in
                                                      the
                                                      Kristineberg
                                                      Mine. The
                                                      self-driving
                                                      truck is part
                                                      of a
                                                      development
                                                      project aimed
                                                      at improving
                                                      the transport
                                                      flow and
                                                      safety in the
                                                      mine. The
                                                      truck will
                                                      cover a
                                                      distance of 7
                                                      kilometres,
                                                      reaching 1,320
                                                      metres
                                                      underground in
                                                      the narrow
                                                      mine tunnels.
                                                      [See Video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JwhyoUyJNoY),  [Read more](http://www.volvogroup.com/group/global/en-gb/newsmedia/_layouts/CWP.Internet.VolvoCom/NewsItem.aspx?News.ItemId=152149&News.Language=en-gb)Hmmm...Seems like to would be easier.  Not many
                                                      options.Well
                                                      defined
                                                      edges/walls.
                                                      Alain

Google’s driverless cars fitted with police detection technology

                                                      H. Williams,
                                                      Sept 7, "...A
                                                      supporting US
                                                      patent filing
                                                      revealed that
                                                      Google has
                                                      hoped for a
                                                      system that
                                                      will recognise
                                                      emergency
                                                      services'
                                                      flashing
                                                      lights. The
                                                      sensors would
                                                      be made to
                                                      identify red
                                                      or blue
                                                      colours, as
                                                      well as that
                                                      of ambulance
                                                      vehicles...[Read more](http://www.cbronline.com/news/internet-of-things/smart-technology/googles-driverless-cars-fitted-with-police-detection-technology-4998725)Hmmm...See patent application [20160252905](http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG01&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO%2Fsrchnum.html&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=%2220160252905%22.PGNR.&OS=DN/20160252905&RS=DN/20160252905).
                                                      Alain

How This Tech in Self-Driving Cars Is Paving a Road Beyond Silicon

K. Fehrenbacher, Sept 8, “Ever heard of gallium nitride transistors? You’re about to thanks to Lidar in cars….

                                                      For more on
                                                      how
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars are
                                                      blowing up the
                                                      auto industry,[watch video](http://fortune.com/video/2016/06/23/self-driving-car-market/):
                                                      [Read more](http://fortune.com/2016/09/08/lidar-self-driving-cars/) Hmmm...OK.  Alain

Some other thoughts that deserve your attention

###

Dilbert

Sharing to help solve the snarls of traffic

G. Lombaerde, Sept. 8, “…What Air BnB did to match a house guest with that extra room in your home, Hytch does for empty seats in your car. Sharing the cost of a ride turns that unused asset into a money maker. Imagine 50 to 75 people in your neighborhood who are on your route to work or just a stone’s throw off your route for pickup. If you had 75 options available for sharing a ride, would you take advantage once in a while? Once a week?…” Read more Hmmm…As a former Hitch-hiker, I can’t understand why the smartPhone hasn’t completely rejuvenated THE original of the shared economy?  Alain

Intelligent Technology

H. Varian, Sept 2016, “ …One example of technology veloping services, which are only a small part of photography these days….” Read moreHmmm…Interesting. Alain

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicle (SAEV) Operations across the Austin, Texas Network with a Focus on Charging Infrastructure Decisions

Ben Loeb, Kara Kockelman, and Jun Liu. Under review for presentation at the 96th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board and publication in Transportation Research Record (2017). Read more

Tracking a System of Shared Autonomous Vehicles across the Austin, Texas Network using Agent-Based Simulation

                                                      Jun Liu, Kara
                                                      Kockelman,
                                                      Patrick
                                                      Boesch, and
                                                      Francesco
                                                      Ciari. Under
                                                      review for
                                                      presentation
                                                      at the 96th Annual
                                                      Meeting of the
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Research Board
                                                      and
                                                      publication
                                                      in Transportation
                                                      Research
                                                      Record (2017).
                                                      [Read more](http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB17SAVs_acrossAustin.pdf)

Anticipating the Emissions Impacts of Autonomous Vehicles Using the MOVES Model

                                                      Jun Liu, Kara
                                                      Kockelman
                                                      & Aqshems
                                                      Nichols. Under
                                                      review for
                                                      presentation
                                                      at the 96th Annual
                                                      Meeting of the
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Research Board
                                                      and
                                                      publication
                                                      in Transportation
                                                      Research
                                                      Record (2017).
                                                      [Read more](http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB17CAVEmissions.pdf)

Economic Effects of Autonomous Vehicles

                                                      Lewis Clements
                                                      & Kara
                                                      Kockelman. Under
                                                      review for
                                                      presentation
                                                      at the 96th Annual
                                                      Meeting of the
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Research Board
                                                      and
                                                      publication
                                                      in Transportation
                                                      Research
                                                      Record (2017).
                                                      [Read more](http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB17EconomicEffectsofAVs.pdf)

Anticipating the Regional Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicle Travel in Austin, Texas

                                                      Yong Zhao
                                                      & Kara
                                                      Kockelman. Under
                                                      review for
                                                      presentation
                                                      at the 96th Annual
                                                      Meeting of the
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Research Board
                                                      and
                                                      publication
                                                      in Transportation
                                                      Research
                                                      Record (2017).
                                                      [Read more](http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB17TDMwithCAVsAustin.pdf)

Making the Most of Curb Spaces in a World of Shared Autonomous Vehicles: A Case Study of Austin, Texas

                                                      Qinglu Ma,
                                                      Kara
                                                      Kockelman,
                                                      & Marc
                                                      Segal. Under
                                                      review for
                                                      presentation
                                                      at the 96th Annual
                                                      Meeting of the
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Research Board
                                                      and
                                                      publication
                                                      in Transportation
                                                      Research
                                                      Record (2017).

Read more

Half-baked

                                                      stuff that
                                                      probably
                                                      doesn't
                                                      deserve your
                                                      time:

Older

                                                      stuff that I
                                                      had missed:

C’mon Man!(These folks didn’t get/read the

                                                      memo)

Simulating motion sickness in autonomous cars

J. Duarte, Aug 25, “…That’s right … people are getting sick in simulators in order to make a new generation of vehicles more sensitive to its occupants’ suffering from motion sickness. …“  Read more  Hmmm…Wait a minute, I get sick every time I get in one of those simulators irrespective of what I’m doing, yet when I ride shotgun and my better half is driving, not so much. What???  C’mon man!.  Alain

Calendar of Upcoming Events:

Sept 15 & 16, 2016 Arlington, VA

                                                      [Sept 19-21, 2016 Antwerp, Belgium](http://podcarcity.org/antwerp/)

 Sept 19-23, 2016 Washington, DC

F1/10 Autonomous Racing Competition

Oct 1-2

Wean Hall, Carnegie Mellon U.

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                                                      September 4,
                                                      2016

How Do You Buy a Million Cars When You Can’t Make a Dime?

B. Simpson, Aug 25, “Isn’t this supposed to be a quiet time for business? …Not in transportation technology.

For instance, Ford announced it was working to launch fully autonomous automobiles by 2021. BMW, Intel and Mobileye joined to say they will have vehicles in production for the same target date. Ridesharing titan Uber says it will launch this month driverless vehicles in Pittsburgh, though some employees will be in the car to ensure safety.

Forget the 10 years down the road baloney. We’ll be Level 4 Autonomous in three to five years.

Yet for all the excitement there’s been some downer news…. Lyft was seeking a buyer, despite the $500 million that GM pumped into it …Earlier this year Lyft pledged… to keep its U.S. losses under $50 million a month….Uber told its investors it lost $520 million in the first quarter, and more than $750 million in the second. This after losing about $2 billion in 2015….It’s valuable to keep in mind the shaky foundations of Uber and Lyft because the two have been touted as an important foundation for the growth of autonomous vehicles. Read moreHmmm…Do read more!  It may well be that those that can’t make a dime wont even have the opportunity to buy the driverless vehicles that would allow them to “make a dime”.  The real value of the driverless vehicles may well be in their ability to generate operating cash without needing any of the $10B+ expertise/intellectual property amassed by Uber/Lyft in managing self-employed part-timers that aren’t needed.  If that is the case, then the makers of those vehicles will manage them for their own account rather than selling them at cost-plus (or the price of those vehicles will be such that only their maker is making any money). Alain August 28, 2016

Prepare to be Underwhelmed by 2021’s Autonomous Cars

                                                      T. Simonite,
                                                      Aug 23, "BMW,
                                                      Ford, and Uber
                                                      have all
                                                      recently said
                                                      they plan to
                                                      have "fully
                                                      autonomous"
                                                      cars ready to
                                                      drive
                                                      themselves on
                                                      the road in
                                                      2021 (see
                                                      "2021 May Be
                                                      the Year of
                                                      the Fully
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Car"). Ford
                                                      says its fleet
                                                      of vehicles
                                                      will lack
                                                      steering
                                                      wheels and
                                                      offer a
                                                      robotic taxi
                                                      service.

                                                      But don't
                                                      expect to toss
                                                      out your
                                                      driver's
                                                      license in
                                                      2021. Five
                                                      years isn't
                                                      long enough to
                                                      create
                                                      vehicles good
                                                      enough at
                                                      driving to
                                                      roam
                                                      extensively
                                                      without human
                                                      input, say
                                                      researchers
                                                      working on
                                                      autonomous
                                                      cars. They
                                                      predict that
                                                      Ford and
                                                      others will
                                                      meet their
                                                      targets by
                                                      creating small
                                                      fleets of
                                                      vehicles
                                                      limited to
                                                      small,
                                                      controlled
                                                      areas.

                                                      "Probably what
                                                      Ford would do
                                                      to meet their
                                                      2021 milestone
                                                      is have
                                                      something that
                                                      provides
                                                      low-speed taxi
                                                      service
                                                      limited to
                                                      certain
                                                      roads—and
                                                      don't expect
                                                      it to come in
                                                      the rain,"
                                                      says Steven
                                                      Shladover.
                                                      ...Alain
                                                      Kornhauser,
                                                      ... "By then
                                                      we may be able
                                                      to define [a]
                                                      'fenced'
                                                      region of
                                                      space where we
                                                      can in fact
                                                      let cars out
                                                      there without
                                                      a driver," he
                                                      says. "The
                                                      challenge will
                                                      be making that
                                                      fenced-in area
                                                      large enough
                                                      so that it
                                                      provides a
                                                      valuable
                                                      service."...Jeffrey
                                                      Miller,
                                                      ...says
                                                      figuring out
                                                      how sensors
                                                      limit the
                                                      situations a
                                                      vehicle can
                                                      reliably
                                                      handle on its
                                                      own is one of
                                                      the most
                                                      crucial
                                                      challenges for
                                                      companies
                                                      working on
                                                      autonomous
                                                      driving. [Read more](https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602210/prepare-to-be-underwhelmed-by-2021s-autonomous-cars/)  Hmmm...Achievable reality.  Alain
                                                      August 19,
                                                      2016

Ford Promises Fleets of Driverless Cars Within Five Years

                                                      N. Boudette,
                                                      Aug 16, "In
                                                      the race to
                                                      develop
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars, several
                                                      automakers and
                                                      technology
                                                      companies are
                                                      already
                                                      testing
                                                      vehicles that
                                                      pilot
                                                      themselves on
                                                      public roads.
                                                      And others
                                                      have outlined
                                                      plans to
                                                      expand their
                                                      development
                                                      fleets over
                                                      the next few
                                                      years.

                                                      But few have
                                                      gone so far as
                                                      to give a
                                                      definitive
                                                      date for the
                                                      commercial
                                                      debut of these
                                                      cars of the
                                                      future.  Now
                                                      Ford Motor has
                                                      done just
                                                      that.  At a
                                                      news
                                                      conference on
                                                      Tuesday at the
                                                      company's
                                                      research
                                                      center in Palo
                                                      Alto, Calif.,
                                                      Mark Fields,
                                                      Ford's chief
                                                      executive,
                                                      said the
                                                      company
                                                      planned to
                                                      mass produce
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars and have
                                                      them in
                                                      commercial
                                                      operation in a
                                                      ride-hailing
                                                      service by
                                                      2021....

                                                      "That means
                                                      there's going
                                                      to be no
                                                      steering
                                                      wheel. There's
                                                      going to be no
                                                      gas pedal.
                                                      There's going
                                                      to be no brake
                                                      pedal,'' he
                                                      said. "If
                                                      someone had
                                                      told you 10
                                                      years ago, or
                                                      even five
                                                      years ago,
                                                      that the
                                                      C.E.O. of a
                                                      major
                                                      automaker
                                                      American car
                                                      company is
                                                      going to be
                                                      announcing the
                                                      mass
                                                      production of
                                                      fully
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles, they
                                                      would have
                                                      been called
                                                      crazy or nuts
                                                      or both."...

                                                      Ford also said
                                                      it had
                                                      acquired an
                                                      Israeli
                                                      start-up, [Saips](http://www.saips.co.il/), that specializes in computer
                                                      vision, a
                                                      crucial
                                                      technology for
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars. And the
                                                      automaker
                                                      announced
                                                      investments in
                                                      three other
                                                      companies
                                                      involved in
                                                      major
                                                      technologies
                                                      for driverless
                                                      vehicles....."
                                                      [Read mor](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/17/business/ford-promises-fleets-of-driverless-cars-within-five-years.html?_r=0http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/17/business/ford-promises-fleets-of-driverless-cars-within-five-years.html?_r=0)e
                                                      Hmmm...This
                                                      is significant
                                                      because it
                                                      implies that
                                                      Ford, (or an
                                                      entity under
                                                      its control)
                                                      will operate
                                                      and deliver on
                                                      a day-to-day
                                                      basis MaaS
                                                      (Mobility as a
                                                      Service).  In
                                                      other words it
                                                      will both
                                                      build/assemble
                                                      and operate
                                                      mobility's
                                                      "Cloud".  The
                                                      scale
                                                      economies of
                                                      such a
                                                      mobility
                                                      "cloud" are
                                                      arguably much
                                                      more
                                                      substantial
                                                      than that of
                                                      the data
                                                      storage &
                                                      computing
                                                      "cloud".
                                                      Think about
                                                      it!  Alain
                                                      August 8, 2016

Latest to Quit Google’s Self-Driving Car Unit: Top Roboticist

                                                      J. Markoff,
                                                      Aug 5, " A
                                                      roboticist and
                                                      crucial member
                                                      of the team
                                                      that created
                                                      Google's
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car is leaving
                                                      the company,
                                                      the latest in
                                                      a string of
                                                      departures by
                                                      important
                                                      technologists
                                                      working on the
                                                      autonomous car
                                                      project.

                                                      Chris Urmson,
                                                      a Carnegie
                                                      Mellon
                                                      University
                                                      research
                                                      scientist,
                                                      joined Google
                                                      in 2009 to
                                                      help create
                                                      the
                                                      then-secret
                                                      effort. ...Mr.
                                                      Urmson has
                                                      been unhappy
                                                      with the
                                                      direction of
                                                      the car
                                                      project under
                                                      Mr. Krafcik's
                                                      leadership and
                                                      quarreled
                                                      privately
                                                      several months
                                                      ago with Larry
                                                      Page over
                                                      where it was
                                                      headed,
                                                      according to
                                                      two former
                                                      Google
                                                      employees....

                                                      Mr. Urmson
                                                      said he had
                                                      not decided
                                                      what he will
                                                      do next. "If I
                                                      can find
                                                      another
                                                      project that
                                                      turns into an
                                                      obsession and
                                                      becomes
                                                      something
                                                      more, I will
                                                      consider
                                                      myself twice
                                                      lucky," he
                                                      wrote. [Read more](http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/06/technology/alphabet-google-autonomous-car-chris-urmson.html)Hmmm...Very unfortunate.  What a great job he has
                                                      done. All the
                                                      best. Alain
                                                      August 1, 2016

Mobileye Ends Partnership With Tesla

                                                      M. Ramsey,
                                                      July 26, " A
                                                      key supplier
                                                      of
                                                      semiautonomous
                                                      car technology
                                                      ended a supply
                                                      agreement with
                                                      Tesla Motors
                                                      Inc. following
                                                      [a high-profile traffic fatality](http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-draws-scrutiny-from-regulators-after-autopilot-feature-is-linked-to-a-death-1467319355)
                                                      in May
                                                      involving one
                                                      of the Silicon
                                                      Valley
                                                      company's
                                                      electric
                                                      vehicles.

                                                      Mobileye NV
                                                      said it would
                                                      no longer
                                                      provide its
                                                      computer chips
                                                      and algorithms
                                                      to Tesla after
                                                      a current
                                                      contract ends
                                                      due to
                                                      disagreements
                                                      about how the
                                                      technology was
                                                      deployed.
                                                      Mobileye
                                                      provides core
                                                      technology for
                                                      Tesla's
                                                      Autopilot
                                                      system, which
                                                      allows cars to
                                                      drive
                                                      themselves in
                                                      limited
                                                      conditions....[Read more](http://www.wsj.com/articles/mobileye-ends-partnership-with-tesla-1469544028)Hmmm....Very interesting!! Alain

                                                      And in [Mobileye's Short Trip with Tesla](http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/07/26/mobileyes-short-trip-with-tesla/)
                                                      : D.
                                                      Gallagher,
                                                      July 26, "In
                                                      the emerging
                                                      business of
                                                      autonomous
                                                      driving, even
                                                      the safer road
                                                      isn't free of
                                                      potholes....In
                                                      explaining its
                                                      move, Mobileye
                                                      suggested that
                                                      protecting its
                                                      reputation was
                                                      at least part
                                                      of the
                                                      rationale.
                                                      Below is what
                                                      the company
                                                      said on the
                                                      call:... [Read more](http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/07/26/mobileyes-short-trip-with-tesla/)Hmmm....And why in all of this isn't there a
                                                      discussion of
                                                      Automated
                                                      Emergency
                                                      Braking (AEB) technology/suppliers??  There must be no consumer/regulatory appeal to
                                                      AEB?  Alain
                                                      July 21, 2016

Master Plan, Part Deux

Lessons From the Tesla Crash

                                                      Editorial
                                                      Board, July
                                                      11, "A recent
                                                      fatal crash in
                                                      Florida
                                                      involving a
                                                      Tesla Model S
                                                      is an example
                                                      of how a new
                                                      technology
                                                      designed to
                                                      make cars
                                                      safer could,
                                                      in some cases,
                                                      make them more
                                                      dangerous.
                                                      These risks,
                                                      however, could
                                                      be minimized
                                                      with better
                                                      testing (Hmmm....Yes!) and regulations (Still
                                                      too early, we
                                                      don't know
                                                      enough, yet)...

Hmmm…What we know now (and don’t know):

1.  On May 7, 2016 at about 4:40pm EDT, there was a crash between a Tesla and a Class 8 Tractor-Trailer. The accident is depicted in the Diagram from the Police Report: HSMV Crash Report # 85234095. (1) Google Earth images from the site.

 2. The driver of the Tesla was Joshua Brown.  “No citations have been issued, but the initial accident report from the FHP indicates the truck driver “failed to yield right-of-way.”” (2)

                                                      .  Hmmm....No
                                                      Citations???
                                                      Did the truck
                                                      have a data
                                                      recorder?  Was
                                                      the truck
                                                      impounded, if
                                                      so, how is the
                                                      truck driver
                                                      making a
                                                      living since
                                                      the crash?

Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

                                                      Chenyi Chen
                                                      PhD
                                                      Dissertation ,
                                                      "...the key
                                                      part of the
                                                      thesis, a
                                                      direct
                                                      perception
                                                      approach is
                                                      proposed to
                                                      drive a car in
                                                      a highway
                                                      environment.
                                                      In this
                                                      approach, an
                                                      input image is
                                                      mapped to a
                                                      small number
                                                      of key
                                                      perception
                                                      indicators
                                                      that directly
                                                      relate to the
                                                      affordance of
                                                      a road/traffic
                                                      state for
                                                      driving....." [Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/Theses/chenyiPhDfinal_ExtractingCognitionOutOfImagesForThePurposeOfAutonomousDriving.pdf)
                                                      Hmmm..[FPO 10:00am, May 16 , 120 Sherrerd Hall](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/Presentations/ChenyiFPO.pdf),
                                                      Establishing a
                                                      foundation for
                                                      image-based
                                                      autonomous
                                                      driving using
                                                      DeepLearning
                                                      Neural
                                                      Networks
                                                      trained in
                                                      virtual
                                                      environments.
                                                      Very
                                                      promising. Alain

Hearing focus of SF 2569 Autonomous vehicles task force establishment and demonstration project for people with disabilities

                                                      March 23 Hmmm... [Watch the video of the Committee Meeting](http://mnsenate.granicus.com/MediaPlayer.php?view_id=1&clip_id=235).
                                                      The testimony
                                                      is Excellent
                                                      and very
                                                      compelling!
                                                      Also see [Self-Driving Minnesota](http://www.selfdrivingmn.org/)
                                                      Alain

U.S. DOT and IIHS announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Motor Vehicle Deaths Increase by Largest Percent in 50 Years

Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars

                                                      Video similar
                                                      to part of
                                                      Adam's
                                                      Luncheon talk
                                                      @ 2015 Florida
                                                      Automated
                                                      Vehicle
                                                      Symposium on
                                                      Dec 1.  [Hmmm ... Watch Video](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/AdamJonas10T_MorganStanley.mp4)  especially
                                                      at the 13:12
                                                      mark.
                                                      Compelling;
                                                      especially
                                                      after the 60
                                                      Minutes
                                                      segment
                                                      above!  Also
                                                      see his [TipRanks](https://www.tipranks.com/analysts/adam-jonas).
                                                      Alain

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