2020-07-23

2020-07-23

edition of the 8th year of SmartDrivingCars

Waymo and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA) expand autonomous driving technology partnership

Company News, July 22, “Back in 2016, we announced our very first OEM partner: Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA). Since then, we’ve worked closely with FCA to integrate our Waymo Driver into FCA vehicles, and together we’ve made self-driving history in the proven, capable, L4-ready Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid minivan, including launching the first commercial autonomous ride-hailing service, beginning to offer fully driverless service to our riders, and driving in dozens of cities across diverse geographies and challenging weather conditions. Now, we’re pleased to share that we’ve strengthened our partnership with FCA in several important ways.

                                                      FCA has
                                                      selected Waymo
                                                      as its
                                                      exclusive,
                                                      strategic
                                                      technology
                                                      partner for L4
                                                      fully
                                                      self-driving
                                                      technology
                                                      across FCA's
                                                      full product
                                                      portfolio.
                                                      We've already
                                                      started to
                                                      work together
                                                      to imagine
                                                      future FCA
                                                      products for
                                                      the movement
                                                      of people and
                                                      goods operated
                                                      by the Waymo
                                                      Driver.

                                                      In addition,
                                                      Waymo will
                                                      work
                                                      exclusively
                                                      with FCA as
                                                      our preferred
                                                      partner on the
                                                      development
                                                      and testing of
                                                      L4 autonomous
                                                      light
                                                      commercial
                                                      vehicles* for
                                                      goods
                                                      movement,
                                                      including in
                                                      Waymo Via. We
                                                      will initially
                                                      target
                                                      integration of
                                                      the Waymo
                                                      Driver into
                                                      the Ram
                                                      ProMaster van,
                                                      a highly
                                                      configurable
                                                      platform that
                                                      will enable
                                                      access to a
                                                      broad range of
                                                      global
                                                      commercial
                                                      customers....
                                                      "  [Read more](https://blog.waymo.com/2020/07/waymo-and-fiat-chrysler-automobiles-fca.html)  Hmmm....
                                                      This is big!
                                                      WayFCA v
                                                      AmaZoox
                                                      (+Rivian)!
                                                      Only
                                                      challenges:

a.  WayFCA is missing the Customer leg of the 3-legged stool.  It is only the Zoox (+Rivian) part of AmaZooRiv. Does FedEx or UPS or USPS or WalMart or Maycy’s (heaven forbid) or Sears (heaven forbid squared) or ??? make the Trinity to take on AmaZooRiv, plus

b.  Is the Technology rather than the Customer is wagging the WayFCA??? dog.

In any even, Affordable (Driverless) Home Delivery of Stuff may well be the Elijah for Affordable (Driverless) Mobility for the Mobility Disadvantaged as we debated in SmartDrivingCar Zoom-inar 004 AmaZooks. Alain

SmartDrivingCars PodCast 166 w/Jay Rodgers’95, CEO Local Motors

###

                                                      F. Fishkin 16,
                                                      "Local Motors
                                                      announces a
                                                      partnership
                                                      with Beep to
                                                      broadly deploy
                                                      autonomous
                                                      electric
                                                      shuttles. CEO
                                                      Jay Rogers
                                                      joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin for a
                                                      wide ranging
                                                      chat. Plus the
                                                      Waymo-Fiat
                                                      Chrysler deal,
                                                      Tesla, AutoX,
                                                      Ford, Mobileye
                                                      and more."
                                                        "Alexa,
                                                      play the Smart
                                                      Driving Cars
                                                      podcast!".
                                                      Ditto with Siri,
                                                      and GooglePlay
                                                      ...
                                                      Alain

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode166 w/Jay Rodgers’95, CEO Local Motors

###

###

###

Video version of SmartDrivingCars PodCast 166….  Alain

                                                      Roman"">
                                                      [SmartDrivingCar Zoom-inar Episode 004 AmaZooks](https://viodi.com/2020/07/21/first-packages-then-people-potential-implications-of-the-amazon-zoox-deal/)

F. Fishkin, July 20, “Is Driverless home delivery the fastest route to Affordable Mobility for the Mobility Disadvantaged? … “

Listen/Watch more  Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Then came WayFMC??? Alain

                                                      The
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      eLetter,
                                                      Pod-Casts,
                                                      Zoom-Casts and
                                                      Zoom-inars are
                                                      made possible
                                                      in part by
                                                      support from
                                                      the Smart
                                                      Transportation
                                                      and Technology
                                                      ETF, symbol
                                                      MOTO.   For
                                                      more
                                                      information: [www.motoetf.com](https://www.smartetfs.com/).  Most funding is
                                                      supplied by
                                                      Princeton
                                                      University's
                                                      Department of
                                                      Operations
                                                      Research &
                                                      Financial
                                                      Engineering
                                                      and Princeton
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Vehicle
                                                      Engineering
                                                      (PAVE)
                                                      research
                                                      laboratory as
                                                      part of its
                                                      research
                                                      dissemination
                                                      initiatives.

Beep And Local

                                                      Motors
                                                      Announce
                                                      Strategic
                                                      Partnership To
                                                      Broadly Deploy
                                                      Autonomous,
                                                      Electric
                                                      Shuttles

PRWire, July 23, “Beep, a Florida-based autonomous Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) provider and Local Motors by LM Industries, the world’s first and only digital vehicle manufacturer, today announced a strategic partnership and new reseller agreement. The collaborative agreement is intended to significantly expand the number of AV shuttles on both public and private roads, enabling Beep and Local Motors to bring autonomous solutions to more people and enhance the rider experience through continued testing and safe deployments.

                                                      Under the
                                                      reseller
                                                      agreement,
                                                      Local Motors
                                                      will provide
                                                      Beep with Olli
                                                      2.0
                                                      autonomous,
                                                      electric,
                                                      3D-printed
                                                      shuttles for
                                                      future
                                                      customer
                                                      deployments.
                                                      Beep and Local
                                                      Motors will
                                                      also team up
                                                      to advance and
                                                      expand the
                                                      operating
                                                      domain of
                                                      multi-passenger,
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles in
                                                      concert with
                                                      their ongoing
                                                      testing and
                                                      information
                                                      sharing
                                                      program
                                                      through the
                                                      National
                                                      Highway
                                                      Traffic Safety
                                                      Administration
                                                      (NHTSA).

                                                      "By partnering
                                                      with Beep and
                                                      leveraging our
                                                      existing
                                                      relationship
                                                      with Robotic
                                                      Research, we
                                                      can bring Olli
                                                      to new
                                                      customers in
                                                      expanded
                                                      markets across
                                                      the U.S. and
                                                      abroad," said
                                                      Vikrant
                                                      Aggarwal,
                                                      President of
                                                      Local Motors.
                                                      "We're living
                                                      in a world
                                                      where
                                                      self-driving
                                                      technology is
                                                      needed now
                                                      more than
                                                      ever, and this
                                                      partnership is
                                                      a huge
                                                      validator of
                                                      the increasing
                                                      demand for
                                                      autonomous
                                                      solutions. By
                                                      deploying more
                                                      vehicles and
                                                      introducing
                                                      Olli to new,
                                                      complex
                                                      scenarios on
                                                      public and
                                                      private roads,
                                                      we can provide
                                                      safe,
                                                      sustainable,
                                                      and
                                                      comfortable
                                                      experiences
                                                      for all riders
                                                      now and in the
                                                      future."..."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/fear-transit-bad-cities/612979/)  Hmmm....Nice,
                                                      [watch](https://youtu.be/22ciz5Yr6Pg) / [listen](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-166)
                                                      ZoomCast with
                                                      Local Motors
                                                      CEO Jay
                                                      Rodgers'95.
                                                      Alain

Fear of Public Transit Got Ahead of the Evidence

J. Sadik-Khan, June 14, “The headline of the report read like the title of a 1950s horror film: “The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City.” As America’s densest city became the epicenter of a national pandemic in March, New York’s subway system, which carried 5.5 million people on an average workday in 2019, emerged as the villain from central casting. Landing in mid-April, the report, written by an MIT economics professor, concluded that New York’s subway system was “a major disseminator—if not the principal transmission vehicle” in the city’s COVID-19 outbreak.

                                                      Ominous
                                                      articles
                                                      citing the
                                                      report created
                                                      an uproar
                                                      during the
                                                      opening weeks
                                                      of the
                                                      pandemic. Some
                                                      elected
                                                      officials
                                                      urged Governor
                                                      Andrew Cuomo
                                                      to shut down
                                                      New York's
                                                      transit
                                                      system.
                                                      Conservative
                                                      commentators,
                                                      long skeptical
                                                      of public
                                                      transportation,
                                                      seized on the
                                                      MIT report as
                                                      more evidence
                                                      of transit's
                                                      unviability.

                                                      In recent
                                                      months,
                                                      public-health
                                                      experts in the
                                                      United States
                                                      have urged
                                                      people to
                                                      avoid crowds,
                                                      enclosed
                                                      spaces, and
                                                      time spent in
                                                      close contact
                                                      with
                                                      others—each a
                                                      feature of a
                                                      normally
                                                      functioning
                                                      transit
                                                      system. The
                                                      notion that
                                                      subways
                                                      themselves
                                                      were seeding
                                                      disease
                                                      interrupted
                                                      this social
                                                      contract and
                                                      also played to
                                                      long-standing
                                                      fears of urban
                                                      spaces.... "
                                                      [Read more](https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/fear-transit-bad-cities/612979/)  Hmmm.... All
                                                      of this MUST
                                                      be taken very
                                                      seriously
                                                      because
                                                      Transportation's
                                                      most major
                                                      challenge by a
                                                      long shot is
                                                      ride-sharing.
                                                      Essentially
                                                      every major
                                                      issue..
                                                      affordability,
                                                      congestion,
                                                      the
                                                      environment,
                                                      energy,... is
                                                      caused by the
                                                      lack of ride
                                                      sharing.  In
                                                      the past
                                                      ride-sharing
                                                      has focused on
                                                      many people
                                                      riding togther
                                                      to address the
                                                      affordability
                                                      challenge
                                                      because the
                                                      human driver
                                                      costs money.
                                                      Either lots of
                                                      riders each
                                                      pitch in to
                                                      pay for the
                                                      driver, aka
                                                      conventional
                                                      mass transit,
                                                      or enslave
                                                      yourself to do
                                                      it for free.
                                                      Most people
                                                      are
                                                      willing to do
                                                      that only for
                                                      themselves.
                                                      Doing the
                                                      driving for
                                                      free is
                                                      arguably the
                                                      fundamental
                                                      basis for the
                                                      private
                                                      automobile and
                                                      it is the
                                                      driver's
                                                      predisposition
                                                      to do it for
                                                      free only for
                                                      themselves
                                                      that creates
                                                      the problems
                                                      of congestion,
                                                      pollution, ...

The other possibility is to have a gizmo do the driving. Rails only do the steering so they aren’t much help by themselves without encasement (keeping other things out of the way). Easy to do in elevators, thus tall buildings became affordable to use.  Doable in highly controllable environments like airports where the demand is naturally concentrated.. Also doable when there are many going between few places or underground. The high cost of tunnel construction allows only a few places can be interconnected affordably.

The big opportunity with Driverless is that the gizmo replacing the driver may well become very inexpensive and is NOT fundamentally predisposed to do it only for itself, or one passenger.  It doesn’t mind doing it for just two or three, even if that’s all that could readily travel together. Doubling the Average Vehicle Occupancy for all vehicle trips solves the congestion, energy, pollution and affordability challenges of mobility.

Pre-covid19 that predisposition was engendered by social distancing norms that had a chance of being addressed.  If there is anything nice that can be said about “9-11”  is that it brought New Yorkers closer together. Reduced Social Distancing. Unfortunately Covid-19 has demonized social closeness instead of physical closeness. bans on physical closeness can be lifted as soon as the pandemic ends. The mentality against social closeness may well take very much longer to dissipate. Alain

COVID-19 and Public Transportation: Current Assessment, Prospects, and Research Needs

A. Tirachini, July 2020 “The COVID-19 pandemic poses a great challenge for contemporary public transportation worldwide, resulting from an unprecedented decline in demand and revenue. In this paper, we synthesize the state-of-the-art, up to early June 2020, on key developments regarding public transportation and the COVID-19 pandemic, including the different responses adopted by governments and public transportation agencies around the world, and the research needs pertaining to critical issues that minimize contagion risk in public transportation in the so-called post-lockdown phase. While attempts at adherence to physical distancing (which challenges the very concept of mass public transportation) are looming in several countries, the latest research shows that for closed environments such as public transportation vehicles, the proper use of face masks has significantly reduced the probability of contagion. The economic and social effects of the COVID-19 outbreak in public transportation extend beyond service performance and health risks to financial viability, social equity, and sustainable mobility. …” Read more  Hmmm…  More on what we’ll need to do moving forward. Thank you Robin Chase and Carlos Pardo. Alain

Editorial JTH 16 –The Coronavirus Disease COVID-19 and implications for transport and health

                                                      C.
                                                      Musselwhite,
                                                      Apr 4,
                                                      "...Although
                                                      it was found
                                                      that the use
                                                      of crowded
                                                      public
                                                      transport
                                                      vehicles can
                                                      be associated
                                                      with the
                                                      acquisition of
                                                      infectious
                                                      diseases, it
                                                      can be argued
                                                      that these
                                                      findings do
                                                      not support
                                                      the
                                                      effectiveness
                                                      of suspending
                                                      mass urban
                                                      transport
                                                      systems as a
                                                      pandemic
                                                      countermeasure
                                                      aimed at
                                                      reducing or
                                                      slowing
                                                      population
                                                      spread
                                                      because,
                                                      whatever the
                                                      relevance of
                                                      public
                                                      transport is
                                                      to
                                                      individual-level
                                                      risk,
                                                      household
                                                      exposure most
                                                      likely poses a
                                                      greater
                                                      threat" ([Williams et al., 2010](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7174824/#bib14);
                                                      [Cooley et al., 2011](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7174824/#bib4))...."
                                                      [Read more](https://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2009&context=jpt)  Hmmm...
                                                      Thank you Carlos
                                                      Pardo.

More from Carlos…

Japan

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/japan-ends-its-covid-19-state-emergency

“Reassuringly, they did not trace any clusters to Japan’s notoriously packed commuter trains. Oshitani says riders are usually alone and not talking to other passengers. And lately, they are all wearing masks. “An infected individual can infect others in such an environment, but it must be rare,” he says. He says Japan would have seen large outbreaks traced to trains if airborne transmission of the virus was possible”

Austria:

https://www.ages.at/service/service-presse/pressemeldungen/epidemiologische-abklaerung-am-beispiel-covid-19/

(“Out of 297 local clusters, none was related to public transport”)

Singapore: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/shreya-gadepalli-9a48591b_lawrence-wong-co-chair-of-singapore-ministerial-activity-6675929081944543232-IxFg

“Lawrence Wong co-chair of Singapore Ministerial Covid19 Task Force: ‘We have evidence that the risk of spreading the virus in gatherings and social interactions is much higher than in public transport where people wear masks, don’t talk and travel in disinfected vehicles for a short time’”

“Sorry for bugging everyone with more info, but this point is crucial: the five key factors that we’ve identified and that we want to publish soon (well, I guess not just we, but at least we have been more insistent in our specific recommendations to public transport) are more useful - no particular order: 1- Cleanliness (which everyone knows already for a while) 2- Wearing a mask (which we all know but few are doing…) 3- Being silent (which, unless you have a friend or are singing for money, isn’t a huge problem in transit) 4- Distancing (we have heard the 6 feet endlessly, but see more below) 5- The ventilation system of the vehicle (which is a huge super technical issue that implies doing aerodynamic analysis etc - I wanted to share some of that but we’re not allowed to yet - but it can be summarized as “open your windows wide and always, and confirm that your AC is very good at “renovating” or otherwise don’t use it)). 6- The duration of the trip (anything after 15 min is problematic)

So when you look at the above, you can already note that the combination of all 5 factors creates a situation where there is little to no contagion (see Japan, Paris trains as described in links below, no contagion associated to their use), but if you are missing one or more it becomes complicated. So in ridesharing you may have leeway because you can open the doors, but in elevators you have to be more careful since air renovation is extremely poor BUT the trip is really short.

I hope that helps. And I hope we can publish some of this soon so that I can share it more officially and better explained. And as you notice, I am very happy expanding my views on the topic!

Carlos.” Thank you Carlos!  Alain

First Packages, Then People – Potential Implications of the Amazon-Zoox Deal

K. Pyle, July 21, “Will package delivery via autonomous vehicles provide a path for those people who can least afford mobility, the so-called mobility disadvantaged? Specifically, does Amazon’s purchase of Zoox hint at a world where the world’s largest online seller becomes the low-cost people mover? And, if so, what are the implications for public spaces, the built environment, and human-to-human interaction?…“  Read more  Hmmm…. Excellent summary of our latest DriveTheDebate. Thank you Ken.    Alain

Tesla stock soars more than 5% after company reports surprise Q2 profit, on track for S&P 500

C. Assis, July 22, “Tesla Inc. stock rose more than 5% late Wednesday after the Silicon Valley car maker reported a second-quarter GAAP and adjusted profit, setting it on a course to join the S&P 500 index and surprising investors as most of the quarter was beset with coronavirus-related stoppages.

Tesla (TSLA) said it earned $104 million, or 50 cents a share, in the quarter, contrasting with a loss of $408 million, or $2.31 a share, in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted for one-time items, Tesla earned $2.18 a share, swinging from an adjusted loss of $1.12 a share a year ago. Sales fell 5% to $6.04 billion from $6.35 billion a year ago.

                                                      Analysts
                                                      polled by
                                                      FactSet
                                                      expected an
                                                      adjusted loss
                                                      of 2 cents a
                                                      share on sales
                                                      of $5.15
                                                      billion.

                                                      "Demand is not
                                                      our problem,"
                                                      Chief
                                                      Executive Elon
                                                      Musk told
                                                      analysts on a
                                                      conference
                                                      call after the
                                                      results. Most
                                                      of the
                                                      challenges,
                                                      including some
                                                      parts
                                                      shortages, are
                                                      related to
                                                      supply-chain
                                                      and production
                                                      issues, he
                                                      said. "Don't
                                                      worry about
                                                      demand, that's
                                                      not the
                                                      issue."..." [Read more](https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/tesla-stock-soars-more-than-5-after-company-reports-surprise-q2-profit/ar-BB174cJq?ocid=FinanceShimLayer)  Hmmm....
                                                      Wow!   See
                                                      also Fred
                                                      Lambert's
                                                      take: [T](https://electrek.co/2020/07/22/tesla-tsla-q2-2020-result/)[esla (TSLA) releases Q2 2020 result: delivers profit and crushes expectations](https://electrek.co/2020/07/22/tesla-tsla-q2-2020-result/)  Alain

Tesla’s insane stock price makes sense in a market gone mad

                                                      Russ Mitchell,
                                                      July 22. "Like
                                                      a SpaceX
                                                      rocket lofting
                                                      a Tesla
                                                      Roadster into
                                                      orbit, Tesla
                                                      stock is on a
                                                      vertical trip
                                                      into outer
                                                      space. Since
                                                      March, the
                                                      electric car
                                                      maker's share
                                                      price has more
                                                      than
                                                      quadrupled to
                                                      a
                                                      mind-boggling
                                                      market value
                                                      of $290
                                                      billion.

                                                      That makes
                                                      Tesla, which
                                                      reported
                                                      second-quarter
                                                      earnings
                                                      Wednesday, the
                                                      world's
                                                      highest valued
                                                      car company —
                                                      if far from
                                                      the largest.
                                                      Of the 90
                                                      million cars
                                                      sold around
                                                      the world in
                                                      2019 Tesla
                                                      sold 367,000.
                                                      Take the two
                                                      top-selling
                                                      carmakers in
                                                      the world,
                                                      Toyota and
                                                      Volkswagen,
                                                      toss in Ford;
                                                      the stock
                                                      market still
                                                      values Tesla
                                                      higher than
                                                      all three
                                                      combined.

                                                      On Monday,
                                                      Tesla stock
                                                      climbed nearly
                                                      10%, adding
                                                      $26.5 billion
                                                      to its market
                                                      value in a
                                                      single day. It
                                                      pulled back
                                                      4.5% on
                                                      Tuesday, to
                                                      $1,568.36 a
                                                      share, then
                                                      closed up
                                                      about 1.5%
                                                      Wednesday.
                                                      Shares spiked
                                                      more than 5%
                                                      in after-hours
                                                      trading when
                                                      Tesla reported
                                                      a net
                                                      quarterly
                                                      profit of $104
                                                      million.

                                                      Even Jim
                                                      Cramer, the
                                                      CNBC
                                                      personality
                                                      who has hyped
                                                      Tesla stock
                                                      plenty in the
                                                      past, is
                                                      astounded.
                                                      Asked about
                                                      Tesla stock on
                                                      Twitter on
                                                      Monday, he
                                                      wrote: "I
                                                      don't even
                                                      know if it is
                                                      a stock. it is
                                                      something else
                                                      entirely, like
                                                      a new species
                                                      discovered in
                                                      the wild."

                                                      Or maybe it's
                                                      a more
                                                      familiar
                                                      beast, only
                                                      supercharged.
                                                      Tesla's
                                                      bewildering
                                                      ascent makes
                                                      more sense
                                                      when you think
                                                      of it as a
                                                      hyper-exaggerated
                                                      product of —
                                                      and maybe
                                                      metaphor for —
                                                      a stock market
                                                      that itself
                                                      has stopped
                                                      making sense,
                                                      at least by
                                                      conventional
                                                      measures...."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-07-22/why-the-stock-market-is-so-high-and-tesla-even-higher)  Hmmm....  The
                                                      market now has
                                                      a New Normal.
                                                        See also: [Tesla, posting a crucial profit, unveils Austin factory plan](https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-07-22/tesla-earnings-analysis) Alain

California DMV allows AutoX to test autonomous cars without drivers behind the wheel

K. Wiggers, July 17, “The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) today awarded autonomous car startup AutoX a permit authorizing it to test driverless vehicles on streets within a designated part of San Jose. While AutoX has had state authority to pilot vehicles with safety drivers since 2017, the new license allows the company to test one autonomous vehicle without a driver behind the wheel on streets around its San Jose headquarters.

                                                      With the
                                                      permit — the
                                                      third-ever
                                                      awarded in
                                                      California's
                                                      history,
                                                      following
                                                      issuances to
                                                      Waymo and Nuro
                                                      —  AutoX will
                                                      be able to
                                                      drive its test
                                                      vehicles in
                                                      "fair weather
                                                      conditions"
                                                      and light
                                                      precipitation
                                                      on streets at
                                                      speeds not
                                                      exceeding 45
                                                      miles per
                                                      hour.
                                                      Currently, 62
                                                      companies have
                                                      an active
                                                      permit to test
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles with
                                                      a safety
                                                      driver.

                                                      AutoX, which
                                                      recently
                                                      launched
                                                      robo-taxi
                                                      services in
                                                      Shenzhen and
                                                      Shanghai
                                                      involving
                                                      fleets as
                                                      large as 100
                                                      cars, was
                                                      founded by
                                                      former
                                                      Princeton
                                                      University
                                                      assistant
                                                      professor Xiao
                                                      Jianxiong, who
                                                      also serves as
                                                      the company's
                                                      CEO. Xiao
                                                      launched AutoX
                                                      in 2016 with
                                                      the goal of
                                                      "democratizing"
                                                      autonomy
                                                      through a
                                                      full-stack
                                                      system — AI
                                                      Driver —
                                                      packing
                                                      solid-state
                                                      lidar sensors, high-definition cameras, and a computer that acts as the brains of the
                                                      system. He
                                                      often claims
                                                      that part of
                                                      the company's
                                                      secret sauce
                                                      is a
                                                      custom-designed
                                                      control unit
                                                      dubbed the
                                                      XCU, which
                                                      ostensibly
                                                      delivers
                                                      faster
                                                      processing
                                                      speed and more
                                                      computational
                                                      capability
                                                      than competing
                                                      solutions..
                                                      .... " [Read more](https://venturebeat.com/2020/07/17/california-dmv-allows-autox-to-test-autonomous-cars-without-drivers-behind-the-wheel/)  Hmmm...   Congratulations JianXiong!!
                                                      Non-trivial
                                                      accomplishment.
                                                      Alain

Aurora will test its fleet of self-driving cars and semi trucks in Texas

                                                      A. Hawkins,
                                                      July 20,
                                                      "Aurora, the
                                                      startup
                                                      founded by
                                                      former lead
                                                      engineer for
                                                      Google's
                                                      self-driving
                                                      project Chris
                                                      Urmson, is
                                                      bringing its
                                                      fleet of test
                                                      vehicles to
                                                      Texas. It's
                                                      the latest
                                                      company to
                                                      shift
                                                      resources to
                                                      the Lone Star
                                                      State, which
                                                      has quickly
                                                      become a
                                                      hotbed of
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle
                                                      testing.

                                                      Aurora says it
                                                      is bringing a
                                                      "small" fleet
                                                      of vehicles to
                                                      the
                                                      Dallas-Fort
                                                      Worth area
                                                      within the
                                                      next few
                                                      weeks. The
                                                      company tests
                                                      out its
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle
                                                      hardware and
                                                      software in
                                                      both Chrysler
                                                      Pacifica
                                                      minivans —
                                                      also popular
                                                      with Urmson's
                                                      former
                                                      employers at
                                                      Waymo (née
                                                      Google) — and
                                                      Class 8
                                                      tractor
                                                      trailers.
                                                      Aurora says
                                                      its first
                                                      commercial
                                                      service will
                                                      be in trucking
                                                      "where the
                                                      market is
                                                      largest today,
                                                      the unit
                                                      economics are
                                                      best, and the
                                                      level of
                                                      service
                                                      requirements
                                                      is most
                                                      accommodating."....
                                                      "  [Read more](https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/20/21331418/aurora-self-driving-cars-semi-truck-av-texas-robotaxi)  Hmmm...
                                                      Excellent.
                                                      Alain

###

Why some self-driving startups reject Google’s “moonshot” approach

T. Lee, July 21, “Progress on self-driving technology has been slower than many people expected just a few years ago. Google’s Waymo was aiming to launch a fully driverless taxi service by the end of 2018 but missed its deadline. GM’s Cruise abandoned plans to launch a commercial service in 2019. Tesla has repeatedly fallen short of Elon Musk’s optimistic timelines for delivering fully self-driving technology.

                                                      This isn't a
                                                      crisis for
                                                      these
                                                      companies.
                                                      They have
                                                      plenty of cash
                                                      and can keep
                                                      working on the
                                                      problem as
                                                      long as they
                                                      need to. But
                                                      it is a big
                                                      challenge for
                                                      some of their
                                                      competitors:
                                                      independent
                                                      self-driving
                                                      startups that
                                                      rely on
                                                      venture
                                                      capital to
                                                      stay afloat.
                                                      As the
                                                      timeline for
                                                      self-driving
                                                      technology has
                                                      stretched out,
                                                      fundraising
                                                      has gotten
                                                      more
                                                      difficult.

                                                      "Given the
                                                      amount of
                                                      resources
                                                      required to
                                                      develop an
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle, it
                                                      never made
                                                      sense to have
                                                      dozens of
                                                      companies
                                                      doing the same
                                                      thing," said
                                                      Sam
                                                      Abuelsamid, an
                                                      analyst at
                                                      Guidehouse
                                                      Insights.
                                                      "There was
                                                      always going
                                                      to be a
                                                      shake-out."
                                                      ...

Some of these smaller startups believe they can bring their products to market at a fraction of the cost of the big guys. Voyage raised $31 million last September. May Mobility raised $22 million in February 2019 and another $50 million in December. Optimus Ride raised “nearly $50 million” last November.”  Read more Hmmmm….  . Alain

Autonomous Vehicles, Mobility, and Employment Policy: The Roads Ahead

J. Leonard, July 2020, “Fully autonomous cars, trucks, and buses, able to operate across wide geographical areas with no drivers necessary, would revolutionize ground transportation. The number of accidents and fatalities could drop significantly. Time that people waste stuck in traffic could be recovered for work or leisure. Urban landscapes would change, requiring less parking and improving safety and efficiency for all. New models for the distribution of goods and services—the “physical internet”—would emerge as robotic vehicles move people and objects effortlessly through the world, on demand. …

KEY FINDINGS:

                                                      • The
                                                      widespread
                                                      deployment of
                                                      fully
                                                      automated
                                                      driving
                                                      systems that
                                                      have no safety
                                                      driver onboard
                                                      will take at
                                                      least a
                                                      decade. Winter
                                                      climates and
                                                      rural areas
                                                      will
                                                      experience
                                                      still longer
                                                      transitions.

                                                      • Expansion
                                                      will likely be
                                                      gradual and
                                                      will happen
                                                      region-by-region
                                                      in specific
                                                      categories of transportation, resulting in wide variations in availability across the
                                                      country. ... "[Read more](https://workofthefuture.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2020-07/WotF-2020-Research-Brief-Leonard-Mindell-Stayton.pdf) Hmmmm.... "Widespread" isn't
                                                      defined so the
                                                      first bullet
                                                      is
                                                      "whatever".
                                                      The fact is
                                                      that we
                                                      haven't even
                                                      started yet
                                                      with the game
                                                      changer...
                                                      "no safety
                                                      driver
                                                      onboard"
                                                      (except for a
                                                      very small
                                                      amount of
                                                      rides in
                                                      Chandler).
                                                      Safety improvements
                                                      will kick in
                                                      for cars that
                                                      we all drive
                                                      else it is
                                                      more of the
                                                      same.  Alain

Mobileye expands Ford partnership to power driver-assist features

K. Wiggers, July 20, “Mobileye, Intel’s driverless vehicle R&D division, today expanded its partnership with Ford to offer camera-based detection capabilities for the automaker’s advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Mobileye will provide its suite of EyeQ sensing technologies to bolster features available through Ford’s Co-Pilot 360 suite, including lane-keeping, pedestrian and cyclist detection, auto high beam headlamps, pre-collision assist with automatic emergency braking, and adaptive cruise control with stop-and-go and lane-centering.

                                                      Mobileye's
                                                      collaboration
                                                      with Ford
                                                      isn't new —
                                                      the two
                                                      companies have
                                                      been working
                                                      together for
                                                      years — but
                                                      it's the first
                                                      time Ford has
                                                      committed to
                                                      the company's
                                                      solutions for
                                                      the lifecycle
                                                      of its cars.
                                                      Moreover, it
                                                      marks the
                                                      start of a
                                                      Ford pilot to
                                                      evaluate
                                                      Mobileye's
                                                      Roadbook
                                                      platform,
                                                      which
                                                      leverages
                                                      anonymized,
                                                      crowdsourced
                                                      data from
                                                      vehicle
                                                      cameras to
                                                      build a
                                                      high-definition
                                                      map for
                                                      autonomous
                                                      navigation and
                                                      localization.

                                                      Along with its
                                                      EyeQ family of
                                                      devices,
                                                      Mobileye says
                                                      it will supply vision-processing software to support level 1 and level 2 driver-assist
                                                      systems in
                                                      Ford cars
                                                      globally as a
                                                      part of the
                                                      expanded
                                                      partnership.
                                                      .... " [Read more](https://venturebeat.com/2020/07/20/mobileye-expands-ford-partnership-to-power-driver-assist-features/)  Hmmm...   Good.  Alain

Elon Musk on Tesla Self-Driving: ‘I can almost go from my house to work with no intervention’

                                                      F. Lambert,
                                                      July 23,"Elon
                                                      Musk said that
                                                      he is testing
                                                      Tesla's latest
                                                      alpha built of
                                                      its
                                                      self-driving
                                                      system and
                                                      claim that he
                                                      can "almost"
                                                      go from his
                                                      house to work
                                                      without
                                                      intervention.
                                                      ...."  [Read more](https://electrek.co/2020/07/23/tesla-self-driving-elon-musk-house-to-work/) Hmmmm... Unfortunately, the "almost"
                                                      implies that
                                                      if Elon stops
                                                      paying
                                                      attention or
                                                      hops in the
                                                      back seat, or
                                                      therwise
                                                      misbehaves he
                                                      is likely to
                                                      die.  Please
                                                      don't.  We all
                                                      love you!
                                                      Alain

                                                      Roman"">    [Draft](https://www.dropbox.com/s/p7t7fwkm1wu9n3g/ProgramDraft1_4thAnnualPrincetonSDC_Summit.pdf?dl=0)Princeton
                                                      SmartDrivingCar
                                                      Summit

                                                      Postponed until Evening Oct. 20
                                                      through Oct.
                                                      22, 2020 (But
                                                      will likely
                                                      need to be
                                                      completely
                                                      Virtual,
                                                      possibly in "[Second life](https://secondlife.com/)") A.
                                                      Kornhauser,
                                                      Feb 6, "The
                                                      focus of the
                                                      Summit this
                                                      year will be
                                                      moving beyond
                                                      the AI and the
                                                      Sensors to
                                                      addressing the
                                                      challenges of Commercialization and  the delivery of tangible value to communities.
                                                      We've made
                                                      enormous
                                                      progress with
                                                      the
                                                      technology.
                                                      We're doing
                                                      the
                                                      investment;
                                                      however, this
                                                      investment
                                                      delivers value
                                                      only if is
                                                      commercialized:
                                                      made available
                                                      and is used by
                                                      consumers in
                                                      large
                                                      numbers.
                                                      Demos and
                                                      one-offs are
                                                      "great", but
                                                      to deliver
                                                      value that is
                                                      anywhere near
                                                      commensurate
                                                      with the
                                                      magnitude of
                                                      the investment
                                                      made to date,
                                                      initial
                                                      deployments
                                                      need to
                                                      scale.  We
                                                      can't just
                                                      have
                                                      "Morgantown
                                                      PRT Systems"
                                                      whose initial
                                                      deployment has
                                                      been nothing
                                                      but enormously
                                                      successful for
                                                      45 years (an
                                                      essentially
                                                      perfect safety
                                                      record, an
                                                      excellent
                                                      availability
                                                      record and
                                                      customer
                                                      valued
                                                      mobility).
                                                      Unfortunately,
                                                      the system was
                                                      never expanded
                                                      or duplicated
                                                      anywhere.  It
                                                      didn't scale.
                                                      It is a
                                                      one-off.

Tests, demos and one-offs are nice niche deployments; however, what one really needs are initial deployments that have the opportunity to grow, be replicated and scale.  In 1888, Frank Sprague, successfully deployed a small electric street railway system in Richmond, Va.  which became the reference for many other cites.  “… By 1889 110 electric railways incorporating Sprague’s equipment had been begun or planned on several continents…” Substantial scaled societal benefits emerged virally from this technology. It was eventually supplanted by the conventional automobile but for more than 30 years it delivered substantial improvements to the quality-of-life for many.

                                                      In part, the
                                                      4th Summit
                                                      will focus on
                                                      defining the
                                                      "Richmond" of
                                                      Affordable
                                                      Shared-ride
                                                      On-demand
                                                      Mobility-as-a-Service.
                                                      The initial
                                                      Operational
                                                      Design Domain
                                                      (ODD) that
                                                      safely
                                                      accommodates
                                                      Driverless
                                                      Mobility
                                                      Machines that
                                                      people
                                                      actually
                                                      choose to use
                                                      and becomes
                                                      the envy of
                                                      communities
                                                      throughout the
                                                      Program is
                                                      in flux.
                                                      Consider all
                                                      named
                                                      individuals as
                                                      "Invited yet
                                                      to be
                                                      confirmed".
                                                      Alain

C’mon Man!(These

                                                      folks didn't
                                                      get/read the
                                                      memo)

##

Sunday Supplement

Half-Baked

Click-Bait

Calendar

                                                      of Upcoming
                                                      Events:s

’s

Popular “Shark Tank” Moderated by Richard Mudge

Thursday, July 30

Two Sessions:@ 1pm & 2pm New York Time

Register Here

                                                      Roman""> [DrivingTheDebate Episode 006](https://drivingthedebate.com/) AV
                                                      Shark-Tank:

Topic to be announced

August 10 @ 2pm New York Time

Register Here

                                                      to be Virtual,
                                                      Evening Oct.
                                                      20 -> Oct
                                                      22.

SmartDrivingCar Summit

Princeton University Princeton, NJ

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

###

###

SmartDrivingCars PodCast Episode 165, ZoomCast Episode165 w/Michael Sena

###

                                                      F. Fishkin 16,
                                                      "Is the option
                                                      to buy a car
                                                      at a
                                                      dealership
                                                      going to
                                                      vanish? The
                                                      Dispatcher
                                                      publisher
                                                      Michael Sena
                                                      has a
                                                      provocative
                                                      perspective in
                                                      this edition
                                                      with
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser
                                                      & co-host
                                                      Fred Fishkin.
                                                      Plus..an
                                                      update on the
                                                      Amazon Zoox
                                                      deal,
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles and
                                                      how they can
                                                      help battle
                                                      discrimination
                                                      in
                                                      transportation,
                                                      TuSimple,
                                                      Mobileye,
                                                      Uber, Tesla
                                                      and more."  ...  Alain SmartDrivingCars
                                                      [Pod-Cast 164 Episode 164](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-164),   [Zoom-Cast Episode 163](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VxFEz8tqHJo&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      w/Robbie
                                                      Diamond

###

F. Fishkin, July 9, “Fostering economic opportunity through autonomous technology is the focus of an upcoming report from Security America’s Future Energy. Founder and CEO Robbie Diamond shares details and more in this edition with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus ..are armed police officers really needed for traffic enforcement? And the latest from Tesla, Waymo and more.  …“  …  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 163, Zoom-Cast Episode 163  w/Henry Greenidge F. Fishkin, July 2, “Transportation, racial injustices and changing the thinking around the future of mobility. NYU McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy & Research fellow Henry Greenidge joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in an eye and mind opening episode of Smart Driving Cars. Plus Amazon, Zoox, Waymo, Tesla & more.  .”   … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 162, Zoom-Cast Episode 162 w/Cliff Winston

###

F. Fishkin, June 25, “From the Brookings Institution, Cliff Winston, co-author of Autonomous Vehicles…The Road to Economic Growth? joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus..why are fatal crash rates rising in the midst of a pandemic…plus NVIDIA, Didi, Tesla and more.”

                                                      ...
                                                      Alain
                                                      Roman""> DrivingTheDebate Episode 004  [Insurance: For or Against SmartDrivingCars?](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHlPaNmjeag&feature=youtu.be)

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      June 23, "But
                                                      the debate is
                                                      not really
                                                      about
                                                      technology nor
                                                      is it about
                                                      who delivers
                                                      the best value
                                                      for the money
                                                      or the most
                                                      privacy. It is
                                                      about ..."

Listen/Watch more  Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Alain SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 161, Zoom-Cast Episode 161 w/Alberto Stochino

###

F. Fishkin, June 17, “Is less data sometimes more when it comes to driverless vehicle technology? Perceptive Founder and CEO Alberto Stochino joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the DOT’s new plan for sharing autonomous safety information, the latest from Tesla, EVs from China and more.” …  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 160, Zoom-Cast Episode 160 w/Jessica Cicchino

###

F. Fishkin, June 12, “Insurance Institute for Highway Safety Research VP Jessica Cicchino co-authored a new study saying self driving vehicles could struggle to eliminate most crashes.   She joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to discuss the study.  Plus the latest on Tesla, Ford & VW, Covid-19 and more.  “   “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 159,  Zoom-Cast Episode 159 w/Kara Kockelman

###

F. Fishkin, June 4, “Prof. Kara Kockelman’s focus on smart transportation to save lives, money and the environment has made her a sought after global expert.  The U. of Texas Transportation Engineering Professor joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin on the impact of Covid-19 and much more. Plus Tesla, Uber, Argo AI and the top smart driving headlines. For more on Dr. Kockelman’s work….please visit…  http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman.”

DrivingTheDebate Episode 003  Everyone’s for Connectivity; but… F. Fishkin, June 2, “But the debate is not really about technology nor is it about who delivers the best value for the money or the most privacy. It is about …”

Listen/Watch more  Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 158, Zoom-Cast Episode 158 w/Chunka Mui

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      May 28, "In
                                                      the midst of
                                                      the Covid-19
                                                      pandemic, what
                                                      are the
                                                      smartest ways
                                                      to re-build
                                                      and plan for
                                                      the future?
                                                      Futurist and
                                                      author Chunka
                                                      Mui joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin for
                                                      that plus
                                                      Amazon, Zoox,
                                                      Intel
                                                      Mobileye,
                                                      Tesla, Uber
                                                      and more." SmartDrivingCars
                                                      [Pod-Cast Episode 157](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-157),
                                                      [Zoom-Cast Episode 157](https://youtu.be/AQbuiJ70c7U)
                                                      w/Grayson
                                                      Brulte

F. Fishkin, May 21, “Global auto makers must completely re-think their autonomous mobility strategy as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. So says innovation strategist Grayson Brulte of Brulte & Company….who joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus…Waymo, Tesla, Uber and more.”

###

                                                      DrivingTheDebate
                                                      Episode 002  [The Future of Public Roadway Transit](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3sqBZZzezUg) F.
                                                      Fishkin, May
                                                      14,
                                                      "Will the Bus
                                                      be Thrown
                                                      Under the
                                                      Bus?...

###

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 156, Cars Zoom-Cast Episode 156 w/Danny Shapiro2

###

F. Fishkin, May 14, “With new hardware and software capabilities NVIDIA is expanding into new areas of driver assistance technology. Sr. Director of Automotive Danny Shapiro joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that…plus the latest on Waymo, Voyage, Ford and more. listen and subscribe!”   “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 155, Zoom-Cast Episode 155 w/Alex Roy2

###

F. Fishkin, April 29, “The continuing impact of Covid-19 on autonomous vehicle progress. But it may not be all bad news. Alex Roy…host of the No Parking Podcast and Director of Special Operations at Argo AI joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Intel, Lyft, Uber and more. Listen and subscribe!”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 154, Zoom-Cast Episode 154 w/Dan Sperling

###

F. Fishkin, April 29, “Can ride sharing rebound after the pandemic? Daniel Sperling, founding director of the Institute of Transportation Studies at UC Davis joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Waymo, Ford and more.”

                                                      DrivingTheDebate
                                                      Episode 001 [The Driverless "New Normal" Debate](http://zoom-tank.com/) F.
                                                      Fishkin, April
                                                      27,

###

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 153, Zoom-Cast Episode 153 w/Dick Mudge2

###

F. Fishkin, April 17, “The plummeting price of oil and what it may mean for mobility, ride sharing and the economy.. Dick Mudge, founder and president of Compass Transportation & Technology joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus GM, Uber and more on the Coronavirus impact.”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 152, Zoom-Cast Episode 152  w/Brad Templeton

###

F. Fishkin, April 17, “Can robotaxis survive a pandemic? Internet pioneer, self driving car consultant and author Brad Templeton joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in a wide ranging chat on the impact today and the future. Plus…Uber, Zoox, Waymo, Tesla and more.”   “

###

###

SmartDrivingCars Podcast Episode 148 - Richard Bishop F. Fishkin, March 26, “The Smart Driving Cars podcast with automated driving strategy consultant Richard Bishop joining Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Is automated trucking dead? Also…Covid-19 puts Waymo in park, the latest on Tesla and more. listen and subscribe!” …  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Zoom-Cast Episode 148 - Richard Bishop Video version… Watch our first attempt…. Alain

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 147 - Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, Mach 14, “From Sweden…The Dispatcher editor Michael Sena joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin as Covid-19 takes a toll on Waymo, Uber and more. Plus Saving the Car Industries in the U.S. and the EU… the latest from Future Networked Car 2020 in Geneva and more.” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 142 - J. Hughes

F. Fishkin, Feb 15, “What shifting populations mean for the future of mobility and transportation. Leading expert Jim Hughes of Rutgers University joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the latest on Tesla, GM, Comma AI’s inexpensive autopilot, Aptiv, Lyft and more. Tune in and subscribe! “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 141- A. Roy

F. Fishkin, Feb 7, “The latest glossary of BS in mobility, self driving and autonomy from author, podcaster and cannonball driver Alex Roy on Smart Driving Cars with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus the news from Tesla, Nuro, Waymo, GM and more! “ Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 139- Randal O’Toole

F. Fishkin, Jan 25, “Adaptive cruise control and self driving tech may lead to more urban sprawl. But the Cato Institute’s Randal O’Toole says maybe that isn’t a bad thing. He joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Subaru’s tech, GM’s Cruise, Tesla and more on the Smart Driving Cars podcast. This edition is sponsored by the SmartETFs Smart Transportation and Technology ETF, symbol MOTO. For more information…head to www.motoetf.com   “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 138-Nick Zart

F. Fishkin, Jan 18, “The new mobility on the ground and in the air. Nicolas Zart joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co host Fred Fishkin for a discussion on Urban Air Mobility…plus..Qualcomm, NVIDIA, Mobileye, Waymo and more in this edition of the Smart Driving Cars podcast.” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 136

F. Fishkin, Jan 6, “He’s back! Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser…still on the mend …but opinionated as ever…joins co-host Fred Fishkin for a look at the latest from Waymo, Tesla and more in Episode 136 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. “ Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 135 - with Jim Atkinson

F. Fishkin, Dec 5, “In this special edition… the launch of a new exchange traded fund focused on smart transportation and technology. Guinness Atkinson Asset Management CEO Jim Atkinson joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus..a push by the Coalition for Future Mobility for action in Washington, AutoX wants driverless testing in California and Aptiv grows in Pittsburgh. “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 130 with Dick Mudge & Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, Nov. 1, “An updated outlook for automated vehicles…Tesla, Waymo , Ford, VW and more. Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by guests Michael Sena and Dick Mudge in the latest edition of Smart Driving Cars!”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 112 - J. Hardiman NJM

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 110 - Lance Elliot

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 108 3rd Summit Wrapup

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 107 3rd Summit Leilei Shinohara & Staff Sergeant Terence McDonnell

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 106 3rd Summit David Kidd & Cecillia Feeley

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 104 3rd Summit Anil Lewis & Katherine Freund

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 97 - Michael Sena’69

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 71-Nader’55 Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 69 - Chunka Mui

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 65 - Bernard Soriano, CA DMV

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 58-Keith Code,Motorcycles

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 55-Larry Burns, Autonomy

Recent Highlights of:

                                                      OEMs Driving
                                                      Toward
                                                      Relevance or
                                                      Perdition

###

M. Sena, August 2020, “Are we ready to be online carscribers? Online new car sales and car subscription programs, now being pursued simultaneously by car OEMs, will either lead the OEMs to endless highways paved with gold or two large dead ends. Each of these approaches to putting customers behind the wheel of a car are aimed at different pain points—real or perceived—in the purchase process. With online sales, the customer is in theory spared the visit to car dealers except. Car subscription programs go one step further. The customer is also decoupled from the dealer and in addition is, in theory, shielded from having to care about most of the responsibilities related to car ownership. Who benefits, who thinks they benefit and who loses, either in the short term or in the long term.  Continue reading

Dispatch Central:  Battery Electric Vehicle News Continue reading

Musings of a Dispatcher: The Way Forward: We Continue to Wander in the DesertContinue reading

                                                      Postscript on
                                                      the China
                                                      Series: In The disciples of
                                                      liberal
                                                      democracy
                                                      can be
                                                      forgiven for
                                                      believing that
                                                      China would
                                                      become one of
                                                      them if it was
                                                      invited into
                                                      the World
                                                      Trade
                                                      Organization.
                                                      It was their
                                                      belief—hope—that
                                                      more trade
                                                      with liberal
                                                      democracies
                                                      would would
                                                      make China a
                                                      libral
                                                      democracy that
                                                      drove the
                                                      decision to
                                                      open up to
                                                      China.
                                                      Although [Continue reading](http://www.michaellsena.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/The-Dispatcher_August-2020.pdf)..."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/ltmk5s3hdpwf6nr/The-Dispatcher_August-2020.pdf?dl=0)  Hmmm....
                                                      Listen to
                                                      PodCast 165 or
                                                      watch ZoomCast
                                                      165.  Alain

Fostering Economic Opportunity through Autonomous Vehicle Technology July 8, “SAFE invites you to join us for the release of “Fostering Economic Opportunity through Autonomous Vehicle Technology”, our new paper that addresses how autonomous vehicles (AVs) and autonomous transit can redress imbalances for low-income communities, whose options are limited by inadequacies in today’s transportation.

                                                      To mark the
                                                      launch of the
                                                      paper, SAFE is
                                                      holding a
                                                      panel event on
                                                      July 16 at
                                                      2:00pm ET.
                                                      Alisyn Malek,
                                                      SAFE, will be
                                                      moderating a
                                                      conversation
                                                      between:

                                                      - Courtney
                                                      Ehrlichman,
                                                      CEO,
                                                      Ehrlichman
                                                      Group

                                                      - Dr. Richard
                                                      Ezike, Senior
                                                      Policy
                                                      Associate, The
                                                      Urban
                                                      Institute

                                                      - Dr. Alain
                                                      Kornhauser,
                                                      Director of
                                                      the Program in Transportation, Princeton University

                                                      SAFE would
                                                      appreciate you
                                                      joining us for
                                                      what we expect
                                                      will be an
                                                      illuminating
                                                      discussing on transportation's role in limiting economic opportunities for millions of
                                                      Americans, and
                                                      how AVs and
                                                      autonomous
                                                      transit can be
                                                      part of the
                                                      solutio..."  [Read more](https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_bUHzsV9BSm-tJkKQ6QVNqg)  Hmmm.... [Watch today's PodCast](https://youtu.be/VxFEz8tqHJo) and join
                                                      in on July 16.  Alain

Announcing 2020-2021 Fellow-in-Residence Henry L. Greenidge, Esq. Press release, June 24, “The McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy and Research at New York University has announced transportation policy expert Henry L. Greenidge, Esq. as a 2020-2021 Fellow-in-Residence. …

                                                      "As New York
                                                      City and
                                                      cities around
                                                      the nation
                                                      reopen amid
                                                      COVID-19,
                                                      there is an
                                                      important
                                                      conversation
                                                      to be had
                                                      about the
                                                      intersection
                                                      of
                                                      transportation
                                                      policy with
                                                      poverty, race
                                                      and class. In
                                                      a field where
                                                      there are too
                                                      few thought
                                                      leaders of
                                                      color, Henry
                                                      Greenidge's
                                                      industry
                                                      expertise and
                                                      distinguished
                                                      track record
                                                      of public
                                                      service make
                                                      him an
                                                      invaluable
                                                      addition to
                                                      the NYU
                                                      McSilver
                                                      team," says
                                                      Michael A.
                                                      Lindsey, PhD,
                                                      MSW, MPH,
                                                      Executive
                                                      Director of
                                                      the institute.

                                                      "Race and
                                                      transportation
                                                      have been
                                                      inextricably
                                                      linked since
                                                      the first
                                                      slave ship
                                                      crossed the
                                                      Americas,"
                                                      says Henry
                                                      Greenidge. "As
                                                      our nation
                                                      continues to
                                                      grapple with
                                                      institutional
                                                      racism, which
                                                      serves as the
                                                      fabric for
                                                      every facet of
                                                      the United
                                                      States, the
                                                      inequities of
                                                      transportation
                                                      policies must
                                                      be at the
                                                      center. I am
                                                      humbled and
                                                      excited to be
                                                      working with
                                                      the McSilver
                                                      Institute to
                                                      unpack how
                                                      transportation,
                                                      race, and
                                                      poverty
                                                      intersect.."
                                                      [Read more](https://mcsilver.nyu.edu/henry-greenidge-fellow-in-residence/)  Hmmm....  In
                                                      no uncertain
                                                      terms,
                                                      we must make
                                                      sure that
                                                      inequities and
                                                      racism are not
                                                      explicitly nor
                                                      even
                                                      implicitly
                                                      baked into
                                                      the
                                                      SmartDrivingCar
                                                      r/evolution.
                                                      We are still
                                                      at the very
                                                      beginning, so
                                                      it shouldn't
                                                      be hard nor
                                                      expensive but
                                                      so far it
                                                      doesn't look
                                                      good.  The
                                                      emphasis has
                                                      been on giving
                                                      those that
                                                      already have
                                                      fantastic ways
                                                      to get around
                                                      one more way.
                                                      The focus
                                                      hasn't been on
                                                      the mobility
                                                      disadvantaged
                                                      and certainly
                                                      not on the
                                                      Black
                                                      community.
                                                      Just look
                                                      where the
                                                      testing has
                                                      been taking
                                                      place and the
                                                      folks that
                                                      take part in
                                                      the focus
                                                      groups and
                                                      those that are
                                                      given rides.
                                                      Look at who
                                                      designs and
                                                      writes the
                                                      software and
                                                      the
                                                      investors.
                                                      Sure, one can
                                                      and should
                                                      serve them,
                                                      but if public
                                                      policy is
                                                      going to play
                                                      a role, then
                                                      it can't bake
                                                      in more
                                                      inequities.
                                                      Moreover, the
                                                      private sector
                                                      can also step
                                                      up and realize
                                                      that these
                                                      systems can
                                                      readily serve
                                                      everyone.  The
                                                      technology
                                                      that makes
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      possible is
                                                      not inherently
                                                      racists.  It
                                                      can respect
                                                      and serve
                                                      everyone.
                                                      Henry and
                                                      others can
                                                      help make sure
                                                      that the
                                                      designers and
                                                      deployers of
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      don't
                                                      explicitly nor
                                                      implicitly
                                                      bake in racism
                                                      and bias.
                                                      Alain

                                                      [Motor Vehicle Fatality Rates Jump 36.6% in April Despite Quarantines, Says National Safety Council](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/motor-vehicle-fatality-rates-jump-36-6-in-april-despite-quarantines-says-national-safety-council-301082390.html#:~:text=Preliminary%20estimates%20from%20the%20National,same%20time%20period%20last%20year.)

Press release, June 24, “ Preliminary estimates based on April data from all 50 states indicate that for the second straight month, Americans did not reap any safety benefit from having less roadway traffic. In fact, the roads became even more lethal as miles driven plummeted. Preliminary estimates from the National Safety Council show a year-over-year 36.6% jump in fatality rates per miles driven in April, in spite of an 18% drop in the total number of roadway deaths compared to April 2019. The actual number of miles driven dropped 40% compared to the same time period last year. The mileage death rate per 100 million vehicle miles driven was 1.47 in April compared to 1.08 in 2019….

“Even without traffic, our roads were no safer,” said Lorraine M. Martin, president and CEO of the National Safety Council. “It is heartbreaking to see the carnage on our roadways continue, especially when our medical professionals should be able to focus intently on treating a pandemic rather than preventable car crashes. These numbers underscore our urgent need to change the culture of safety on our roads.” ..”  Read more  Hmmm…. Wow!!! Does COVID-19 have any silver linings??  So highway deaths aren’t as well correlated to VMT as we/I had thought. what are the other big terms is the relationship? Alcohol consumption?, Speed?, all the safe drivers staying home and only the high liability drivers (teenagers and Generation COVIDs out there texting??? Alain

U.S. Transportation Secretary Elaine L. Chao Announces First Participants in New Automated Vehicle Initiative to Improve Safety, Testing, and Public Engagement

Press release, June 15, “The U.S. Department of Transportation today announced nine companies and eight States that have signed on as the first participants in a new Department initiative to improve the safety and testing transparency of automated driving systems, the Automated Vehicle Transparency and Engagement for Safe Testing (AV TEST) Initiative. The participating companies are Beep, Cruise, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, Local Motors, Navya, Nuro, Toyota, Uber, and Waymo. The States are California, Florida, Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Utah.

                                                      "Through this
                                                      initiative,
                                                      the Department
                                                      is creating a
                                                      formal
                                                      platform for
                                                      Federal,
                                                      State, and
                                                      local
                                                      government to
                                                      coordinate and
                                                      share
                                                      information in
                                                      a standard
                                                      way," said
                                                      U.S.
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Secretary
                                                      Elaine L.
                                                      Chao. ...

This initiative aligns with the Department’s leadership on automated driving system vehicles, including AV 4.0:  Ensuring American Leadership in Automated Vehicle Technologies.Read more  Hmmm… Excellent. This is really good because it is promotes and organizes the open sharing of safety information assoiated with automated driving. This is extremely important because safety of these systems is a necessary condition for their adoption.

Unfortunately, a few things seem to be missing from the announcement.

  • a budget (Washington may not have any money left after COVID-19),

  • any mention of mobility for people or for goods.  The testing of safety is conducted without doing any useful mobility, but the value of testing is derived from the delivery of that mobility. Safety in that context requires the active engagement the entities that are being transported. It is very important that this initiative include potential customers and neighborhoods whose streets such automation might use, and

  • the whole Northeast including New Jersey seems to have not “signed on”, nor is Ford/Argo, Zooks, Aurore, Voyage Amazon, Apple….   Alain

  Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19, June 12, 2020 R. Dale Hall, June 12, “…By June 10, 2020, 7.4 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 had been reported worldwide, and the count continues to climb with general agreement that the number is actually higher due to delays in full testing and reporting in many countries. Approximately 188 countries have reported at least one confirmed case and about 416,000 deaths from COVID-19.6 It is important to recognize that the number of reported confirmed cases for any disease typically lags the number of actual confirmed cases. As a result, the number of reported confirmed cases typically continues to rise after the actual number of new confirmed cases declines….” Read more  Hmmm… Excellent!  An enormous amount here. See especially FIg 11 and 17.  These are trully non-uniform distributions. Also Table 1, Figures 21, 22, 24, 25, Table 3, … An enormous amount to digest here. Excellent. Alain

                                                      [Two-way Vehicle Connectivity is a Three-sided Coin That Everyone Wants to Own](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0) M.
                                                      Sena, May 26,
                                                      "Two-way
                                                      vehicle
                                                      connectivity
                                                      has three
                                                      facets. Two of
                                                      them are
                                                      mainly of
                                                      interest to
                                                      vehicle OEMs
                                                      and their
                                                      suppliers.
                                                      They are
                                                      vehicle-centric
                                                      and
                                                      customer-centric. Vehicle-centric connectivity includes functions such emergency
                                                      notification,
                                                      logistics
                                                      tracking and
                                                      over-the-air
                                                      updating.
                                                      Customer
                                                      centric
                                                      connectivity
                                                      includes many
                                                      services that
                                                      are also
                                                      provided by
                                                      mobile apps
                                                      outside of the
                                                      vehicle, such
                                                      as music
                                                      streaming,
                                                      workshop
                                                      service
                                                      booking,
                                                      traffic
                                                      notifications
                                                      and car
                                                      sharing
                                                      applications.
                                                      Two-way
                                                      vehicle
                                                      connectivity
                                                      today is a
                                                      major
                                                      competitive
                                                      factor for the
                                                      OEMs.

The third vehicle connectivity facet is principally of interest to public sector traffic management authorities. It is focused on communicating warnings to vehicles and providing guidance on which roads to use in case of traffic congestion or emergencies. The public authorities view these roadway-centric functions as their domain, and vehicle-to-infrastructure and vehicle-to-vehicle communication as the tools to accomplish the job. They are grouped together under the term V2X. This third facet is not a competitive factor for the OEMs. If it is legislated, V2X will not distinguish one OEM from another since every OEM will have to include it….

                                                      But the debate
                                                      is not really
                                                      about
                                                      technology nor
                                                      is it about
                                                      who delivers
                                                      the best value
                                                      for the money
                                                      or the most
                                                      privacy. It is
                                                      about..."  [R](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0)[ead more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0)  Hmmmm... The
                                                      provacateur's
                                                      lead at the
                                                      beginning of
                                                      our 3rd
                                                      Shark-Tank
                                                      Zoom-inar ([Video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMNLH_fkcI4&feature=youtu.be),
                                                      [Audio](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/zoom-tank-06-02-20-everyone-is-for-connectivitybut))
                                                      Alain

                                                      [Luminaries Battle In Lincoln-Douglas Style Debate About The Future Of Self-Driving Cars](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lanceeliot/2020/04/28/luminaries-battle-in-lincoln-douglas-style-debate-about-the-future-of-self-driving-cars/#35c0455028b6) Lance
                                                      Eliot, April
                                                      28, "Several
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car luminaries
                                                      assembled
                                                      online via a
                                                      Zoom-casted
                                                      battleground
                                                      this week to
                                                      undertake a
                                                      Lincoln-Douglas
                                                      style debate
                                                      about the
                                                      future of the
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Vehicle (AV)
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car industry
                                                      and the advent
                                                      of AI-driven
                                                      mobility.

                                                      Originally
                                                      scheduled for
                                                      one hour, the
                                                      dialogue and
                                                      fielding of
                                                      audience
                                                      questions
                                                      prompted the
                                                      superstars to
                                                      keep going,
                                                      tackling many
                                                      of the most
                                                      vexing and
                                                      unsolved
                                                      matters that
                                                      underlie the
                                                      potential
                                                      success of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      vehicles,
                                                      encompassing
                                                      both
                                                      autonomous
                                                      cars and
                                                      autonomous
                                                      trucks.

                                                      The lively
                                                      discussion was
                                                      civil and
                                                      polite,
                                                      fortunately so
                                                      in these times
                                                      of seemingly
                                                      stark
                                                      polarization
                                                      and guttural
                                                      attacks during
                                                      our
                                                      contemporary
                                                      public
                                                      discourse.
                                                      Yet, even in
                                                      the realm of
                                                      eloquent
                                                      argumentation,
                                                      at times the
                                                      gloves came
                                                      off and there
                                                      were some
                                                      fierce zingers
                                                      and moments of
                                                      rather
                                                      piercing
                                                      cut-the-air-with-a-knife
                                                      verbal
                                                      sparring..."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lanceeliot/2020/04/28/luminaries-battle-in-lincoln-douglas-style-debate-about-the-future-of-self-driving-cars/#35c0455028b6) Hmmmm...  Lance, Thank you for
                                                      the kind and
                                                      thorough
                                                      synopsis of
                                                      our 1st
                                                      Zoom-inar.  We
                                                      were all
                                                      pleased by the
                                                      turnout,
                                                      interaction
                                                      and substance.
                                                         Alain

                                                      [What Negative Oil Prices Mean and How the Impact Could Last](https://www.nytimes.com/article/negative-oil-prices-facts-history.html) V.
                                                      Bajaj, April
                                                      22,"A main
                                                      benchmark for
                                                      the price of
                                                      oil fell
                                                      negative for
                                                      the first time
                                                      ever this
                                                      week. The
                                                      decline —
                                                      more than 300
                                                      percent in
                                                      daily trading
                                                      — raised fresh
                                                      questions
                                                      about the
                                                      damage the
                                                      coronavirus is
                                                      having on the
                                                      global
                                                      economy.

                                                      What does it
                                                      mean for oil
                                                      prices to be
                                                      negative?

                                                      A benchmark
                                                      price for a
                                                      barrel of oil
                                                      to be
                                                      delivered next
                                                      month fell to
                                                      -$37.63 on
                                                      Monday, which
                                                      means that
                                                      sellers would
                                                      have to pay
                                                      someone that
                                                      much to take
                                                      it off their
                                                      hands.

                                                      But that
                                                      historic
                                                      plunge was
                                                      exacerbated by
                                                      a quirk in how
                                                      the oil
                                                      markets work.

                                                      The negative
                                                      price
                                                      concerned only
                                                      contracts for
                                                      delivery of
                                                      barrels in May
                                                      that are
                                                      traded on
                                                      so-called
                                                      futures
                                                      markets. At
                                                      the same time
                                                      trading
                                                      happens for
                                                      May
                                                      deliveries,
                                                      people trade
                                                      on contracts
                                                      ending in
                                                      June, in July
                                                      and so on." [Read more](https://www.nytimes.com/article/negative-oil-prices-facts-history.html) Hmmmm... What???  I realize that
                                                      I'm often "out
                                                      of it",
                                                      but...  In all
                                                      my life I have
                                                      NEVER...
                                                      thought of,
                                                      let alone
                                                      mentioned, nor
                                                      have heard
                                                      anyone else
                                                      mention the
                                                      concept of negative
                                                      oil!
                                                      Often, talked
                                                      about $150/B
                                                      oil, $250/B,
                                                      S20/B even
                                                      $7/B oil.
                                                      NEVER $0/B
                                                      oil,
                                                      negative
                                                      Oil...
                                                      NEVER,NEVER,
                                                      NEVER!!!!  and
                                                      look where we
                                                      are.  UNBELIEVABLE!!!
                                                            Implications:...
                                                      no one's
                                                      models
                                                      extrapolate to
                                                      that regime.
                                                      (it requires
                                                      extrapolation
                                                      because no
                                                      data exists in
                                                      this
                                                      unimaginable
                                                      region.
                                                      Listen to [Pod-Cast](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-153);
                                                      Watch [Zoom-Cast](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nW3AcoFeA8&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      Alain


                                                      [Starsky Robotics Failed. Does That Mean Automated Trucking Is Dead?](https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardbishop1/2020/03/24/starsky-robotics-failed-does-that-mean-automated-trucking-is-dead/#51d50d840c84) R. Bishop,
                                                      Mar 24, "I met
                                                      Stefan
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      for the first
                                                      time in
                                                      November 2015
                                                      at the Florida
                                                      Automated
                                                      Vehicles
                                                      Summit. Not
                                                      long after, we
                                                      met at the
                                                      Blue Danube
                                                      coffee shop in
                                                      Alameda, CA so
                                                      he could tell
                                                      me about his
                                                      vision for
                                                      Starsky
                                                      Robotics. When
                                                      he
                                                      energetically
                                                      described his remote-driving-for-trucks approach, I was skeptical. "Remote driving is
                                                      hard," I said.
                                                      "The military
                                                      has struggled
                                                      with this for
                                                      years. Its
                                                      harder than it
                                                      looks." On the
                                                      technical
                                                      side, latency
                                                      for secure
                                                      communications
                                                      is
                                                      challenging.
                                                      On the
                                                      operational
                                                      side,
                                                      re-creating
                                                      enough on-road
                                                      reality
                                                      (situational
                                                      awareness) for
                                                      a remote
                                                      driver is
                                                      difficult when
                                                      going for the
                                                      high levels of
                                                      safety needed.
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      remained
                                                      bullish on the
                                                      approach and
                                                      at that time
                                                      went on to
                                                      found Starsky
                                                      Robotics as
                                                      one of the
                                                      earliest truck
                                                      AV startups,
                                                      later closing
                                                      a $16.5M
                                                      Series A
                                                      funding round
                                                      in March 2018,
                                                      and then
                                                      hauling
                                                      freight while
                                                      developing
                                                      both remote
                                                      and automated
                                                      driving
                                                      ability.
                                                      Initially,
                                                      Starsky's
                                                      concept was
                                                      all about
                                                      remote driving
                                                      for first/last
                                                      mile. They
                                                      later expanded
                                                      their offering
                                                      to include
                                                      fully
                                                      automated
                                                      highway
                                                      driving on
                                                      limited
                                                      freight
                                                      corridors.

                                                      Now, Starsky
                                                      has become the
                                                      first casualty
                                                      within a
                                                      crowded truck
                                                      automation
                                                      space, and
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      has provided
                                                      us with an
                                                      intriguing
                                                      post-mortem in
                                                      a recent
                                                      Medium post.
                                                      Most of the
                                                      media coverage
                                                      I've seen has
                                                      acted as echo
                                                      chambers for
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher's
                                                      perspective.
                                                      Here I offer a
                                                      counterpoint
                                                      based on my
                                                      longtime
                                                      involvement in
                                                      truck
                                                      automation
                                                      plus
                                                      discussions
                                                      with many
                                                      others in the
                                                      truck
                                                      Automated
                                                      Driving
                                                      Systems (ADS)
                                                      startup space,
                                                      many of them
                                                      irate at what
                                                      they see as
                                                      unfounded
                                                      assertions
                                                      made in the
                                                      original post.
                                                      My sources
                                                      tell me that
                                                      because
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      hasn't
                                                      experienced
                                                      their
                                                      technology nor
                                                      been briefed
                                                      on their
                                                      technical/safety
                                                      approach, he
                                                      has no basis
                                                      to make
                                                      sweeping
                                                      claims about
                                                      the entire
                                                      industry...."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardbishop1/2020/03/24/starsky-robotics-failed-does-that-mean-automated-trucking-is-dead/#51d50d840c84) Hmmmm... [Listen to PodCast 148](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-148).
                                                      or/and [Watch us on YouTube](https://youtu.be/VkzPm5GwEz4).
                                                      Alain

 Waymo suspends robotaxi service except for its truly driverless vehicles K. Korosec, Mar. 17, “Waymo  said Tuesday it is pausing operations of Waymo One, a service in the Phoenix area that allows the public to hail rides in self-driving vehicles with trained human safety operators behind the wheel, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Waymo is also halting testing on public roads in California.

                                                      However, Waymo
                                                      will keep some
                                                      operations up
                                                      and running,
                                                      notably its
                                                      truly
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles,
                                                      which don't
                                                      require a
                                                      human safety
                                                      driver,
                                                      according to
                                                      an
                                                      announcement
                                                      on its website
                                                      Tuesday. These
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles are
                                                      used in the
                                                      Phoenix area
                                                      as part of
                                                      Waymo's early
                                                      rider program
                                                      that lets
                                                      vetted members
                                                      of the public
                                                      hail a
                                                      ride..."   [Read more](https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/17/waymo-suspends-robotaxi-service-except-for-its-truly-driverless-vehicles/)  Yippie!!! Unfortunately, the
                                                      latest is not
                                                      so good...   [Waymo has suspended all services, including the driverless.](https://waymo.com/coronavirus)
                                                      Poopie!!!
                                                      Alain

“Urbs,” “Burbs,” and the Immigration Locomotive

J. Hughes, Feb 2020, “Even more so than the nation, the broad fourstate, 35-county metropolitan region centered on New York City (figure 1) is becoming afflicted by a condition of demographic stagnation. While the United States has been experiencing the lowest population growth rates since the Great Depression, the region has only recently (2016–2018) slipped into absolute population decline, spawned by domestic outmigration. The major counterforce forestalling a demographic catastrophe has been positive international migration. Immigration has become the primary source of population growth—the demographic locomotive. Without it, the region would have to bear fully the economic consequences of what has become a virtual domestic population hemorrhage—a vast exodus of regional residents moving to the rest of the country. This is just one dimension of endemic demographic change that has swept the post–Great Recession world….

The second new reset is a turnaround of the pattern evidenced in the 2010–2016 period, when population growth in the “urbs” surpassed that of the “burbs.” After dominating growth early in the decade (2010–2016), the core—the urban heart of the metropolitan region encompassing New York City and three adjacent counties in New Jersey—suddenly slipped into decline post-2016, causing the region as a whole to lose population. This is the latest transformation in what has become a transmillennial demographic roller coaster ride… “   Read more Hmmmm… Most interesting Demographic Dynamic.   A must read. Alain

2020 Hyundai Sonata stars in Super Bowl ad all about ‘Smaht Pahk’

                                                      S. Szymkowski,
                                                      Jan 27,
                                                      "Hyundai is
                                                      going all in
                                                      on Boston
                                                      accents and
                                                      the 2020
                                                      Sonata for its
                                                      Super Bowl
                                                      advertisement.
                                                      As is often
                                                      the trend
                                                      these days,
                                                      the ad made
                                                      its debut on
                                                      Monday less
                                                      than a week
                                                      before the big
                                                      game, but it's
                                                      quite a clever
                                                      spot...."  [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/dk1wlzbg6rkpqkd/Smaht%20Pahk%20_%202020%20Hyundai%20Sonata%20_%20Hyundai-85iRQdjCzj0.mp4?dl=0) Hmmmm...  This is as
                                                      irresponsible
                                                      of Hyundai as
                                                      [StupidSummon](https://www.theverge.com/2019/10/23/20929438/tesla-smart-summon-use-one-million-q3-2019)
                                                      is for Tesla.
                                                      It may even be
                                                      more
                                                      irresponsible
                                                      because
                                                      Hyundai hasn't
                                                      included the over-the-air-information system that allows them to monitor its use.
                                                      Having the car
                                                      do stuff
                                                      without an
                                                      alert and
                                                      attentive
                                                      driver in the
                                                      driver's seat
                                                      implies
                                                      liability on
                                                      them (their
                                                      system) if
                                                      something bad
                                                      happens.
                                                      Plus,
                                                      squeezing a
                                                      car into a
                                                      parking place
                                                      when the
                                                      people can't
                                                      get into the
                                                      adjacent cars
                                                      is not the
                                                      smartest move
                                                      unless you've
                                                      also made the
                                                      Hyundai [key proof](https://jalopnik.com/keying-somebodys-car-is-just-about-the-worst-thing-you-1821884368).
                                                      There will be
                                                      retaliation.
                                                      Alain

The Disengagement Myth Kyle Vogt, Jan 17, “In a few weeks the California DMV will release disengagements data from Cruise and other companies who test AVs on public roads. This data is really great for giving the public a sense of what’s happening on the roads. Unfortunately, it has also been used by the media and others to compare technology from different AV companies or as a proxy for commercial readiness. Since it’s the only publicly available metric, I don’t really blame them for using it. But it’s woefully inadequate for most uses beyond those of the DMV. The idea that disengagements give a meaningful signal about whether an AV is ready for commercial deployment is a myth. …” Read more Hmmmm…  Amen!   This is a MUST read.  As with everything, details matter.  It is true that figures don’t lie, but but it is easy to game systems such that figures, without the underlying details, do lie.  As Kyle points out, there are important details associated with disengagements. These need to be well understood for disengagements to be a proxy for safety and market readiness. The when, where and associated details of each disengagement is critically important if the objective is safety and market readiness.

What is also most important here is the underlying objective of the companies doing the tests and reporting the data.  As has happened in our secondary education where students are taught what is in and how to take the SATs rather than just learn. The objective is not learning , but getting 800s on the SATs so that they can get into ‘Princeton’. This is perpetuated by the ‘Princetons’ of this world that don’t look into the details of the student’s academic qualities and capabilities. In the academic world, we know these students as ‘box checkers’, gamers of the college admission process.  The gaming is continued by the ‘banks and med schools’ that use simplistic GPA (Grade Point Average, aka ‘disengagements’) cutoffs.  The ‘box checkers’ then take ‘underwater basket weaving’ courses and become grade grubbers. It is lazy and irresponsible to use simplistic measures as proxies to very complex concepts such as intelligence, creativity, compatibility, and all the other details that make a good student, a good employee, a good citizen, a good mobility system.

In our case, testing is assumed to be about safety and market readiness; however, for some, it may be about trying to “make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear” or “putting lipstick on the pig”. It is easy to game the metric ‘Disengagements’ by simply testing in easy places, under easy conditions, instead of really trying to find the corner/edge cases that you don’t know in places and conditions of the Operational Design Domain that you are actually going to serve and make a business out of all of this technology; rather than just trying to get good press, or flipping it to someone else or putting it on an academic self.  The details would readily divulge the real objective of the company doing the testing.

I hope that Kyle, in his next post, will divulge what he, GM’s lawyers and GM’s board are requiring of his system for each of them to sign off and begin to operate an economically viable mobility service to the general public in some ODD. Each will demand that it be safe.  The board will also demand that it be profitable. What details are they requesting that will make each comfortable signing on the bottom line? Alain

###

### Hmmmm… Reflections

A. Kornhauser, Jan 12,    Hmmmm…   Self-driving cars are hot and the OEMs are responding. I’m about to buy a new Subaru Outback and EyeSightis standard.  It is no longer just AutoPilot or expensive options that car salesmen don’t sell. Car companies, as reflected in what is in showrooms and what was promoted at CES, have realized the comfort and convenience of Self-driving technology (cars that have a lot of the Safe-driving car features but also enable you to take your feet off the pedals and hands off the wheel at least for short periods of time. These technologies are really becoming the ‘chrome and fins’ that sell cars to individuals in the 2020s. The momentum is all behind that happening and there is little Washington or Trenton or Princeton Council can do about it. Hopefully part of that momentum will be to make these systems actually work well, especially the Automated Emergency Braking Systems (MUST quit assuming that all stationary objects in the lane ahead can be passed under and consequently each is disregarded. As Tesla is finding out, sometimes those objects are parked firetrucks.) and begin to put hard limits on over-speeding, tailgating and use while driver is impaired. Self-driving cars are unfortunately going to lead to substantial urban sprawl, increased VMT, increased congestion and do nothing to help the energy and pollution challenges of our addiction to the personal automobile. Only ‘Waymo-style Driverless’ (autonomousTaxis, (aTaxis)) tuned to entice ride-sharing can potentially stem the tide of ever more personal car ownership and ever expanding urban sprawl. Alain

A. Kornhauser, Jan. 6,    Hmmmm…   I’m in rehab and hope to go home on Wednesday morning. Thank you to so many of you for all the good wishes and prayers.  They each helped. I’m looking to making a full recovery. Remember, if you don’t feel well, get evaluated by a doctor.  I was totally clueless about what hit me from out of nowhere. Alain

                                                      [Chandler unveils drop-off, pick-up zone for self-driving cars](https://ktar.com/story/2852028/chandler-unveils-drop-off-pick-up-zone-for-self-driving-cars/) G.
                                                      Zetino, Nov.
                                                      25, ""It's
                                                      about to get
                                                      easier for
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars to drop
                                                      off and pick
                                                      up passengers
                                                      in Chandler.
                                                      The city of
                                                      Chandler, in
                                                      partnership
                                                      with Waymo, on
                                                      Friday
                                                      unveiled the
                                                      nation's first
                                                      drop-off and
                                                      pick-up zone
                                                      for autonomous
                                                      ride-hailing
                                                      cars.

Read more  Hmmmm…   The iconic image:

autonomousTaxi (aTaxi) stop facilitating true ride-sharing to any destination within the autonomous transit system’s Operational Design Domain.  The first of what may well become a half million or so others.  Each strategically located to be less that a 5 minute walk from essentially any of the billion or so person trip ends that are made on any typical day in the USA (outside of Manhattan (whose subway stations provide the comparable accessibility). Twenty million or so aTaxi vehicles could readily provide on-demand, share-ride mobility from these ~0.5M aTaxi stops. Provided would be essentially the same 24/7 on-demand level-of-service as we do for ourselves with our own conventional automobiles; however, this mobility would be affordably achieved using half the energy, creating half the pollution, eliminating essentially all the congestion, doubling conventional transit ridership and making such improved mobility available to those who today can’t or wish not to drive a conventional automobile. This is a MAJOR 1st. Alain

Self-driving car capital? One senator thinks it can be Florida R. Wile, Nov 22, “Sen. Jeff Brandes (R-St. Petersburg) had just finished serving in the Army, and was looking to make a name for himself in Tallahassee as a junior representative. He came across a talk given by the founder of Google’s driverless car project.

                                                      He quickly
                                                      realized the
                                                      potential of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars to
                                                      transform many
                                                      aspects of
                                                      daily life.
                                                      Ever since, he
                                                      has made it
                                                      his mission to
                                                      turn Florida
                                                      into what he
                                                      calls "an
                                                      angel
                                                      investor" in
                                                      automation
                                                      policy. "We
                                                      want to have
                                                      policies in
                                                      place for this
                                                      technology to
                                                      flourish,"
                                                      Brandes said
                                                      in an
                                                      interview at
                                                      the 7th Annual
                                                      Florida
                                                      Automated
                                                      Vehicles
                                                      conference in
                                                      Miami, which
                                                      concluded
                                                      Friday.

Brandes has drawn headlines in the tech community for filing legislation allowing virtually any automated vehicle on Florida’s roads; this summer, he helped make Florida one of the first states to make AVs without a human back-up safety driver street legal.

                                                      Among the
                                                      state's
                                                      advantages
                                                      Brandes points
                                                      to that he
                                                      believes makes
                                                      it ideal for
                                                      AV companies:
                                                      no snow, which
                                                      makes lane
                                                      markings more
                                                      visible. That
                                                      also means
                                                      less road
                                                      construction
                                                      in
                                                      general...."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article237625484.html)  Hmmmm... Congratulations Jeff!!! It was a great AV Summit and congratulations on creating such a Welcoming environment and
                                                      intelligently
                                                      shaping the
                                                      birth of this
                                                      technology.
                                                      What you've
                                                      done is enable
                                                      Florida to
                                                      begin to
                                                      enhance
                                                      mobility and
                                                      the quality of
                                                      life for all
                                                      in Florida
                                                      and especially
                                                      those who can
                                                      most benefit
                                                      from these
                                                      mobility
                                                      machines.  It
                                                      was most
                                                      impressive to
                                                      witness the
                                                      enthusiasm for
                                                      nurturing the
                                                      many aspects of this technology from Florida's
                                                      Governor,
                                                      Miami's Mayor,
                                                      Fl DoT's
                                                      Commissioner,
                                                      the heads of
                                                      the toll road
                                                      authorities,
                                                      planning
                                                      agencies and
                                                      educational
                                                      institutions.
                                                      Most
                                                      impressive was
                                                      Ford's comment
                                                      that their
                                                      autonomousTaxi
                                                      efforts are
                                                      focused on
                                                      developing
                                                      driverless
                                                      technology and
                                                      intend to
                                                      operate it to
                                                      deliver
                                                      Mobility-as-a-Service
                                                      in Florida,
                                                      rather than
                                                      sell the
                                                      technology to
                                                      individual
                                                      consumers.  I
                                                      applaud that
                                                      approach and
                                                      hope that Ford
                                                      will look to
                                                      also bringing
                                                      some of those
                                                      vehicles to
                                                      New Jersey so
                                                      that we can
                                                      begin to reap
                                                      the benefits
                                                      of this
                                                      technology.
                                                      What you've
                                                      accomplished
                                                      in Florida is
                                                      THE "best
                                                      practice" for
                                                      us to emulate
                                                      in New
                                                      Jersey.
                                                      Congratulations.
                                                        Alain

PyTorch at Tesla

An Update on the Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

                                                      September 28,
                                                      2019 [Public forum will explore possibility of transit on demand in Princeton](https://planetprinceton.com/2019/09/22/public-forum-will-explore-possibility-of-transit-on-demand-in-princeton/)
                                                      K. Knapp, Sept
                                                      22, "What
                                                      would it take
                                                      to make
                                                      Princeton an
                                                      accessible
                                                      community for
                                                      all, even
                                                      those who
                                                      cannot or
                                                      choose not to
                                                      own or drive a
                                                      car? Princeton
                                                      Future will
                                                      explore the
                                                      question at a
                                                      public forum
                                                      from 9 a.m. to
                                                      noon on Sept.
                                                      28 in the
                                                      community room
                                                      at the
                                                      Princeton
                                                      Public
                                                      Library.

                                                      Princeton
                                                      Future is a
                                                      non-profit
                                                      community
                                                      group that
                                                      studies issues
                                                      related to
                                                      planning,
                                                      development,
                                                      and
                                                      affordability.
                                                      Speakers will
                                                      discuss the
                                                      capabilities
                                                      of a
                                                      transit-on-demand
                                                      system where
                                                      small,
                                                      driverless
                                                      shuttles could
                                                      be summoned by
                                                      a smart phone
                                                      app to a
                                                      location
                                                      within walking
                                                      distance of a
                                                      resident's
                                                      home...."  [Read more](https://planetprinceton.com/2019/09/22/public-forum-will-explore-possibility-of-transit-on-demand-in-princeton/)  Hmmmm.... Listen to a summary of
                                                      the event in [Episode 126 of the SmartDrivingCars PodCasts](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-126).
                                                      See below for
                                                      other info.
                                                      Alain

                                                      August 17,
                                                      2019

Autonomous Vehicles:  A View from Seniors

                                                      March 29, 2019

Automated vehicles could provide mobility to the ‘mobility disadvantaged’

  Market Framework and Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

                                                      October 24,

New Jersey Pending Legislation re: Autonomous Vehicles

Oct 16, Establishes fully autonomous vehicle pilot program A4573 Sponsors: Zwicker (D16); Benson (D14)

Oct 16, EstablishesNew Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task Force AJR164 Sponsors: Benson (D14); Zwicker (D16); Lampitt (D6)

                                                      Oct 16, [Directs MVC to establish driver's license endorsement for autonomous vehicles A4541](https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/2018/Bills/A5000/4541_I1.PDF)
                                                      Sponsors:
                                                      Zwicker (D16);
                                                      Benson (D14);
                                                      Lampitt
                                                      (D6)..."   [Read more](https://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NVIDIA-Self-Driving-Safety-Report-2018.pdf) Hmmmm....
                                                      Things are
                                                      beginning to
                                                      move in New
                                                      Jersey.  Alain

Testimony of Alain Kornhauser, Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

Audio Recording of Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

                                                      June 12,  2018  [CPUC AUTHORIZES PASSENGER CARRIERS TO PROVIDE FREE TEST RIDES IN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WITH VALID CPUC AND DMV PERMITS](http://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/Published/G000/M215/K467/215467801.PDF)

                                                      3,  2018

                                                      [Waymo's fleet of self-driving minivans is about to get 100 times bigger](https://www.theverge.com/2018/5/31/17412908/waymo-chrysler-pacifica-minvan-self-driving-fleet)

                                                      May 25,  2018 [PRELIMINARY REPORT: HIGHWAY: HWY18MH010 (Uber/Herzberg Crash)](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NTSBuberPreliminaryMay2018.pdf)

May 24, “About 9:58 p.m., on Sunday, March 18, 2018, an Uber Technologies, Inc. test vehicle, based on a modified 2017 Volvo XC90 and operating with a self-driving system in computer control mode, struck a pedestrian on northbound Mill Avenue, in Tempe, Maricopa County, Arizona.

…The vehicle was factory equipped with several advanced driver assistance functions by Volvo Cars, the original manufacturer. The systems included a collision avoidance function with automatic emergency

                                                      braking, known
                                                      as City
                                                      Safety, as
                                                      well as
                                                      functions for
                                                      detecting
                                                      driver
                                                      alertness and
                                                      road sign
                                                      information.
                                                      All these
                                                      Volvo
                                                      functions are
                                                      disabled when
                                                      the test
                                                      vehicle is
                                                      operated in
                                                      computer
                                                      control..."[Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NTSBuberPreliminaryMay2018.pdf)
                                                      Hmmmm....
                                                      Uber must
                                                      believe that
                                                      its systems
                                                      are better at
                                                      avoiding
                                                      Collisions and
                                                      Automated
                                                      Emergency
                                                      Braking than
                                                      Volvo's.
                                                      At least this
                                                      gets Volvo
                                                      "off the
                                                      hook".

“…According to data obtained from the self-driving system, the system first registered radar and LIDAR observations of the pedestrian about 6 seconds before impact, when the vehicle was traveling at 43 mph…” (= 63 feet/second) So the system started “seeing an obstacle when it was 63 x 6 = 378 feet away… more than a football field, including end zones!

“…As the vehicle and pedestrian paths converged, the self-driving system software classified the pedestrian as an unknown object, as a vehicle, and then as a bicycle with varying expectations of future travel path…” (NTSB: Please tell us precisely when it classified this “object’ as a vehicle and be explicit about the expected “future travel paths.”  Forget the path, please just tell us the precise velocity vector that Uber’s system attached to the “object”, then the “vehicle”. Why didn’t the the Uber system instruct the Volvo to begin to slow down (or speed up) to avoid a collision?  If these paths (or velocity vectors) were not accurate, then why weren’t they accurate?  Why was the object classified as a “Vehicle” ??  When did it finally classify the object as a “bicycle”? Why did it change classifications? How often was the classification of this object done.  Please divulge the time and the outcome of each classification of this object.  In the tests that Uber has done, how often has the system mis-classified an object as a “pedestrian”when the object was actually an overpass, or an overhead sign or overhead branches/leaves that the car could safely pass under, or was nothing at all?? (Basically, what are the false alarm characteristics of Uber’s Self-driving sensor/software system as a function of vehicle speed and time-of-day?)

“…At 1.3 seconds before impact, (impact speed was 39mph = 57.2 ft/sec) the self-driving system determined that an emergency braking maneuver was needed to mitigate a collision” (1.3 x 57.2 = 74.4 ft. which is about equal to the braking distance. So it still could have stopped short.

“…According to Uber, emergency braking maneuvers are not enabled while the vehicle is under computer control, to reduce (eradicate??) the potential for erratic vehicle behavior. …” NTSB:  Please describe/define potential  and erratic vehicle behavior   Also please uncover and divulge the design & decision process that Uber went through to decide that this risk (disabling the AEB) was worth the reward of eradicating “ “erratic vehicle behavior”.  This is fundamentally BAD design. If the Uber system’s false alarm rate is so large that the best way to deal with false alarms is to turn off the AEB, then the system should never have been permitted on public roadways.

“…The vehicle operator is relied on to intervene and take action. “ Wow!  If Uber’s system fundamentally relies on a human to intervene, then Uber is nowhere near creating a Driverless vehicle. Without its own Driverless vehicle Uber is past “Peak valuation”.

“…The system is not designed to alert the operator. “ That may be the only good part of Uber’s design.  In a Driverless vehicle, there is no one to warn, so don’t waste your time.  If it is important enough to warn, then it is important enough for the automated system to start initiating things to do something about it. Plus, the Driver may not know what to do anyway. This is pretty much as I stated in PodCast 30 and the 24 edition of May 10,  2018

                                                      March 24,
                                                      2018 [Experts say video of Uber's self-driving car killing a pedestrian suggests its technology may have fail](http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-uber-death-video-20180321-story.html)

                                                      April 17, 2017

Don’t Worry, Driverless Cars Are Learning From Grand Theft Auto

Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars Video similar to part of Adam’s Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1.  Hmmm … Watch Video especially at the 13:12 mark. Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above!  Also see his TipRanks. Alain

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