2021-01-15

2021-01-15

January 15, 2021

                                                      blue;
                                                      text-decoration:
                                                      blue;
                                                      text-decoration:
                                                      none;">2nd
                                                      edition of the
                                                      9th year of
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      eLetter

AUTOMATED VEHICLES:  Comprehensive Plan

E. Chao, Jan. 2021, “The Automated Vehicles Comprehensive Plan (Comprehensive Plan) describes how the United States Department of Transportation (U.S. DOT) is supporting the safe integration of Automated Driving Systems (ADS)2 into the surface transportation system. It explains Departmental goals related to ADS, identifies actions being taken to meet those goals, and provides real-world examples of how these Departmental actions relate to emerging ADS applications…   “  Read more Hmmmm…  I guess this is a good plan. Of course, Safety is #1, as it should be. DoT’s #1 public responsibility is Safety. Whether Cyber Security and Privacy are # 2 and 3  and ahead of Enhanced Mobility and Accessibility is certainly debatable. And if the Enhanced Mobility and Accessibility of the “mobility disadvantaged that have been left behind by our current favored transport system”  were to be a category, then that one should be right behind Safety at #2 if not ahead of Safety and a solid #1. The rest. as they should, are appropriately details.  What is most disconcerting about the report are the images. To me, those images depict the current “haves”, not “have-nots” and thus don’t really address the mobility needs and desires of those whose quality-of-life could be most enhanced by automation technology. These images seem to focus the Plan on giving those that already have pretty good ways to get around, yet another way to get around, where, when you finally get right down to it, may at best be only slightly better than what they already have. This Comprehensive Plan should first be focused on providing high-quality affordable mobility to those whose quality-of-life could be most improved by such new technologies and subsequently serve those that already enjoy and can afford other high-quality forms of mobility.

Also, Elaine, thank you for a really good 4 years.  You (and USDoT) were really the star of what was otherwise a most embarrassing Presidency. Also, thanks to Diana Furchtgott-Roth and many others in US DoT.  Alain

SmartDrivingCars

                                                      [Pod-Cast Episode 194](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-194) [Zoom-Cast Episode 194](https://youtu.be/hK4Fj6erScY)
                                                      w/Anuj Pradhan
                                                      UMass

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Jan. 15,
                                                      ""When it
                                                      comes to
                                                      vehicle safety technology...should manufacturers be sharing instead of competing?
                                                      Should there
                                                      be
                                                      standardization?
                                                      Anuj Pradhan,
                                                      co-director of
                                                      the Human
                                                      Performance
                                                      Lab at UMASS
                                                      Amherst joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin for
                                                      that...plus
                                                      the latest
                                                      from GM,
                                                      Tesla,
                                                      Mobileye, Nio
                                                      and more."  Alexa,
                                                      play the Smart
                                                      Driving
                                                      Cars podcast!".
                                                      Ditto with Siri,
                                                      and GooglePlay
                                                      ...
                                                      Alain

                                                      0, 0);"> Annual Princeton [SmartDrivingCars Summit](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/)

4th Live Episode on Zoom

Why Customers are Buying Them

The Unique Selling Proposition for Cars with Automated Driver Assistance Systems

noon ET, Thursday, Georgia, serif;”>

                                                      Georgia,
                                                      serif;"> [Video Summary of 1st Session Setting the Stage](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCc9N8o1dys&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      Georgia,
                                                      serif;"> Princeton
                                                      University Princeton,
                                                      NJ

                                                      The
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      eLetter,
                                                      Pod-Casts,
                                                      Zoom-Casts and
                                                      Zoom-inars are
                                                      made possible
                                                      in part by
                                                      support from
                                                      the Smart
                                                      Transportation
                                                      and Technology
                                                      ETF, symbol
                                                      MOTO.   For
                                                      more
                                                      information: [www.motoetf.com](https://www.smartetfs.com/).  Most funding is
                                                      supplied by
                                                      Princeton
                                                      University's
                                                      Department of
                                                      Operations
                                                      Research &
                                                      Financial
                                                      Engineering
                                                      and Princeton
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Vehicle
                                                      Engineering
                                                      (PAVE)
                                                      research
                                                      laboratory as
                                                      part of its
                                                      research
                                                      dissemination
                                                      initiatives.

  GUIDELINES FOR TRIALS OF AUTOMATED VEHICLES IN AUSTRALIA 2020 G. Allen, Jan 2021, “… The guidelines provide a flexible mechanism to encourage innovation while maintaining safety. They aim to accommodate a range of different automated vehicle technologies and applications, and the management of trials will allow for these differences. For example, the risks posed by the trial of a single, low-speed, driverless shuttle on a set route will be different from those for a trial of a fleet of heavy vehicles on a motorway…. … An automated vehicle trial is not to be considered a deployment of automated vehicles, the requirements for which are still under development….” Read more Hmmmm… If one is going to be using public roads to test one’s technology, this seems like appropriate guidelines that the public should impose in return for the use of those public assets to test one’s technology. Alain

Moynihan Train Hall: It’s Stunning. And, a First Step

M. Kimmelman, Jan 11, “The $1.6 billion Moynihan Train Hall opened at dawn on New Year’s morning — on budget, too, even a couple of months early. Instagram swooned. Tweeters channeled Stefon from “Saturday Night Live.”

                                                      In the midst
                                                      of everything
                                                      else, we
                                                      needed this.
                                                      New York needs
                                                      this.

                                                      No, the huge,
                                                      lofty train
                                                      hall, with its
                                                      soaring
                                                      skylights,
                                                      doesn't
                                                      magically
                                                      resurrect the
                                                      old
                                                      Pennsylvania
                                                      Station or
                                                      extinguish the
                                                      raging
                                                      dumpster fire
                                                      that is the
                                                      current one.
                                                      It leaves all
                                                      sorts of
                                                      herculean
                                                      challenges and
                                                      tasks around
                                                      Penn Station
                                                      unresolved.
                                                      But it
                                                      delivers on
                                                      its promise,
                                                      giving the
                                                      city the
                                                      uplifting
                                                      gateway it
                                                      deserves. When
                                                      was the last
                                                      time you could
                                                      say something
                                                      like that
                                                      about a public
                                                      works
                                                      project?...

Skeptics had expressed fears that the new train hall would be just another publicly subsidized shopping mall masquerading as a railway station like the $4 billion Oculus at the World Trade Center. (I can’t think of a recent project that did more to squander public faith or sour New Yorkers on the value of architecture.)…” Read more Hmmmm…Ouch!!!! I agree!!! Alain

Holiday Surge in Travel Exceeds Last Year for Trips to Places between 50 and 500 Miles Away, but Is Still Less Than Last Year for Local Travel and Trips Over 500 miles

BTS, Jan 8, “ This holiday season, a typical day saw more people staying home.

                                                      As the charts
                                                      below show, on
                                                      average, a
                                                      greater
                                                      percentage of
                                                      Americans
                                                      stayed home
                                                      each day this
                                                      holiday season
                                                      (12/18/2020 -
                                                      1/3/2021) than
                                                      during the
                                                      previous year.
                                                      Similar to
                                                      Thanksgiving
                                                      travel,
                                                      Washington,
                                                      DC, and New
                                                      York State led
                                                      the nation in
                                                      the percentage
                                                      of people
                                                      staying home.
                                                      California
                                                      joined them as
                                                      the third area
                                                      with the
                                                      greatest
                                                      percentage of
                                                      people staying
                                                      home each day
                                                      on average
                                                      during the
                                                      holiday
                                                      period...."  [Read more](https://www.bts.gov/data-spotlight/holiday-travel-surge-in-long-distance-trips) Hmmmm...Very interesting! Alain

Federal rule change would exempt self-driving cars from crash standards

Bloomberg, Jan 14, “President Donald Trump’s administration is starting to update federal motor vehicle safety standards to exempt self-driving cars from crashworthiness standards that are applied to cars operated by humans, a move questioned by safety advocates.

                                                      The National
                                                      Highway
                                                      Traffic Safety
                                                      Administration
                                                      announced
                                                      Thursday it's
                                                      beginning to
                                                      craft rules to
                                                      "clarify
                                                      ambiguities in
                                                      current
                                                      occupant
                                                      protection
                                                      standards for
                                                      vehicles
                                                      equipped with
                                                      automated
                                                      driving
                                                      systems that
                                                      are designed
                                                      without
                                                      traditional
                                                      manual driver
                                                      controls."

                                                      The
                                                      rule-making
                                                      process would
                                                      be conducted
                                                      under the
                                                      administration
                                                      of
                                                      President-elect
                                                      Joe Biden, who
                                                      is to be
                                                      inaugurated
                                                      Jan. 20. But
                                                      consumer
                                                      safety
                                                      advocates say
                                                      new rules are
                                                      needed for
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles
                                                      instead of
                                                      exempting them
                                                      from existing regulations...."  [Read more](https://www.latimes.com/business/technology/story/2021-01-14/federal-rule-change-would-exempt-self-driving-cars-from-crash-standards#:~:text=Email-,Federal%20rule%20change%20would%20exempt%20self%2Ddriving%20cars%20from%20crash,of%20lifesaving%20automated%20driving%20technologies.) Hmmmm...  I tend to agree,
                                                      especially wrt
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars and
                                                      trucks.  These
                                                      are
                                                      substantially
                                                      new
                                                      technologies
                                                      and deserve
                                                      their own
                                                      "modal"
                                                      administration,
                                                      rather being
                                                      an asterisk on
                                                      a conventional
                                                      mode.  Alain

###

Saving a Railroad – Changing His Trajectory – Part 3 of a Conversation with Dr. Kornhauser

K. Pyle, Dec. 21, “It started with a phone call at the end of the 1975 Spring semester. Representative James J. Florio’s office was looking for expert help to evaluate a reorganization plan for the bankrupt railroads in the Northeast Corridor. In many ways, the eyes of the entire country were on this potential legislation and it involved the largest bankruptcy (PDF), Penn Central, in U.S. history……” Read more  Hmmmm… We had a nice conversation. Thank you Ken.  Alain

Nio ET7 First Look: Jumping Headfirst Into Autonomous Driving

N. Yekikian, Jan 11, “If you aren’t familiar with Chinese automaker Nio, there’s a good chance you’re not alone. The Chinese brand sprung up seemingly overnight, hit a rough patch in 2020, but appears to be back and forging ahead with new models. Nio already makes three SUVs—the ES8, EC6, and ES6—and today it took the wraps off of the ET7, their first fully autonomous electric vehicle….

To make the ET7 fully autonomous, Nio’s own Autonomous Driving tech (or NAD for short) comes as an optional subscription service and is powered by 33 sensors in and around the car. The ET7 has 11 eight-megapixel cameras on board, one ultra long range LiDAR unit, five millimeter-wave radar cameras, 12 ultrasonic sensors, and two positioning units (V2X and ADMS). In total, the system can generate up to eight gigabytes of data per second. … Read more  Hmmmm… Sounds like Nio ET7 is brute force rather than elegant.  I sure hope it has an “optimal forgetting algorithm” that throws away most of those data to determine the few pearls of wisdom that will keep it from crashing.  My advice to the driver is… Don’t stop paying close attention to the road ahead.  As with many things, more is not necessarily better.  Also, like many other things that sound too good to be true, they may well not be. We meed some real fact checking here.  Sounds too Nikolaish to me Alain

An Early Nikola Investor Sells All Its Stock

A. Root, Jan. 15, “Steel manufacturer Worthington Industries, an early Nikola investor, finished selling all its Nikola stock this week. The small-cap company realized more than $600 million by providing seed capital to the hydrogen-powered trucking start-up years ago.

                                                      Worthington
                                                      (ticker: WOR)
                                                      sold about 7
                                                      million Nikola
                                                      shares (NKLA)
                                                      for roughly
                                                      $147 million
                                                      on Jan. 13.
                                                      That works out
                                                      to a price of
                                                      about $21 a
                                                      share.

                                                      The
                                                      transaction
                                                      was the third
                                                      big Nikola
                                                      sale for
                                                      Worthington.
                                                      The company
                                                      sold stock
                                                      last August,
                                                      bringing in
                                                      $250 million.
                                                      And it had
                                                      earlier sold
                                                      stock in July,
                                                      bringing in
                                                      another $238
                                                      million.
                                                      Overall,
                                                      Worthington
                                                      sold its
                                                      Nikola stake
                                                      for an average
                                                      price of
                                                      around $34 a
                                                      share.  The
                                                      $600-plus
                                                      million total
                                                      is
                                                      impressive—especially
                                                      for a company
                                                      with a market
                                                      capitalization
                                                      of roughly $3
                                                      billion. But
                                                      it doesn't
                                                      answer the
                                                      question: Why
                                                      did
                                                      Worthington
                                                      invest in a
                                                      hydrogen-powered
                                                      trucking
                                                      start-up at
                                                      all?   ... "
                                                      [Read more](https://www.barrons.com/articles/an-early-nikola-investor-sells-all-its-stock-51610727082)
                                                      Hmmmm...Wow,
                                                      someone is
                                                      still willg to
                                                      pay
                                                      $21/share.
                                                      Alain

Many couldn’t afford a car in 2020. The rich went on a buying spree

R. Mitchell, Jan 8, “New auto sales data shows a sharp divide between a surging market for luxury trucks and SUVs and soft sales for vehicles under $30,000…“  Read more  Hmmmm… What we may well find is that the pandemic really let the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Totally unfair! Alain

Tesla claims you are ‘7x less likely to be in a crash’ with Autopilot, but the data is not that clear

F. Lambert, Jan 14., “… Today, Tesla released its report for Q4 2020:  In the 4th quarter, we registered one accident for every 3.45 million miles driven in which drivers had Autopilot engaged. For those driving without Autopilot but with our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 2.05 million miles driven. For those driving without Autopilot and without our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 1.27 million miles driven. By comparison, NHTSA’s most recent data shows that in the United States there is an automobile crash every 484,000 miles.

                                                      The best
                                                      comparison
                                                      point is
                                                      against the
                                                      same metric
                                                      over the same
                                                      period last
                                                      year to
                                                      account for
                                                      the weather
                                                      and seasonal
                                                      conditions:
  • Autopilot Engaged: It is at one accident for every 3.45 million miles driven in Q4 2020, which is an improvement from every 3.07 million miles driven in Q4 2019.

  • Autopilot disengaged but with active safety features: It is at one accident for every 2.05 million miles driven in Q4 2020, which is actually down from every 2.10 million miles driven in Q4 2019.

  • Autopilot disengaged and without active safety features: It is at one accident for every 1.27 million miles driven in Q4 2020, which is down from every 1.64 million miles driven in Q4 2019.

Therefore, it shows an overall improvement with Autopilot active, but the data also shows worse performance with the safety features only….” Read more  Hmmmm… As is my custom every time Tesla releases this information, I offer to do, pro bono,  an independent analysis of the underlying data in an effort to “fact check” Tesla’s claims. Alain

GM teases new Chevy Bolt with Super Cruise, sets release date for February

A. Hawkins, Jan 12, “GM says that two new versions of the Chevy Bolt are set to be unveiled in February 2021. The company has released a new teaser that highlights a new feature coming to the electric vehicles: GM’s well-regarded advanced driver assist system, Super Cruise…. “ Read more  Hmmmm…Let’s see if this really happens, if it is an option or standard and, if an option, how much extra? Let’s hope that GM actually builds and Dealership actually sell Bolts with SuperCruise. Alain

Tesla (TSLA) could be a $2 trillion company in just ‘1 or 2 years,’ says top Wall Street analyst

F. Lambert, Jan 13., “… Now, one top Wall Street analyst, Daniel Ives of Wedbush, says that it could only be the beginning of Tesla’s stock rise.  In a recent interview with TD Americas, Ives said that he sees Tesla rising over $1.5 trillion over the next year or two:

                                                      "In a year or
                                                      two from now,
                                                      we're not just
                                                      looking at one
                                                      trillion for
                                                      Tesla, but in
                                                      a couple of
                                                      years this
                                                      could be a
                                                      company that
                                                      could start to
                                                      approach 1.5
                                                      trillion – 2
                                                      trillion
                                                      market
                                                      valuation."

                                                      The analyst is
                                                      amongst the
                                                      most
                                                      optimistic on
                                                      Wall Street as
                                                      he sees Tesla
                                                      delivering
                                                      800,000
                                                      vehicles in
                                                      2021.  Ives is
                                                      particularly
                                                      bullish on
                                                      Tesla's
                                                      prospect in
                                                      China, where
                                                      he believes
                                                      Gigafactory
                                                      Shanghai to be
                                                      the "key to
                                                      the company's
                                                      success."
                                                      Furthermore,
                                                      the analyst
                                                      sees Joe Biden
                                                      winning the
                                                      election in
                                                      the US with
                                                      his green
                                                      agenda as a
                                                      positive for
                                                      Tesla.  Here's
                                                      the new
                                                      interview:..."
                                                      [Read more](https://electrek.co/2021/01/13/tesla-tsla-2-trillion-company-top-wall-street-analyst/)  Hmmmm... Crazy!. Alain

Tesla’s main self-driving rival isn’t Google—it’s Intel’s Mobileye

                                                      T. Lee, Jan.
                                                      13, "One of
                                                      the most
                                                      underrated
                                                      companies in
                                                      the
                                                      self-driving
                                                      technology
                                                      sector is
                                                      Mobileye, an
                                                      Israeli
                                                      company that
                                                      Intel
                                                      purchased for
                                                      $15 billion in
                                                      2017. Mobileye
                                                      is the largest
                                                      supplier of
                                                      advanced
                                                      driver-assistance
                                                      systems (ADAS)
                                                      that ship with
                                                      today's cars.
                                                      In a Monday
                                                      interview at
                                                      the virtual
                                                      CES
                                                      conference,
                                                      Mobileye
                                                      explained its
                                                      strategy to
                                                      stay on top as
                                                      the industry
                                                      shifts to
                                                      fully
                                                      self-driving
                                                      vehicles.

                                                      Mobileye's
                                                      self-driving
                                                      strategy has a
                                                      number of
                                                      things in
                                                      common with
                                                      that of Tesla,
                                                      the world's
                                                      most valuable
                                                      automaker.
                                                      Like Tesla,
                                                      Mobileye is
                                                      aiming to
                                                      gradually
                                                      evolve its
                                                      current
                                                      driver-assistance
                                                      technology
                                                      into a fully
                                                      self-driving
                                                      system. So
                                                      far, neither
                                                      company has
                                                      shipped
                                                      products with
                                                      the expensive
                                                      lidar sensors
                                                      used in many
                                                      self-driving
                                                      prototypes..."
                                                      [Read more](https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/01/teslas-main-self-driving-rival-isnt-google-its-intels-mobileye/) Hmmmm...
                                                      Waymo is
                                                      Driverless in
                                                      one place,
                                                      Phoenix.
                                                      Neither Tesla
                                                      not MobilEye
                                                      are driverless
                                                      anywhere. They
                                                      both REQUIRE
                                                      on-board human
                                                      driver
                                                      supervision.
                                                      That's why
                                                      they are only
                                                      Self-driving.
                                                      Alain

US Railroads Finally Meet Positive Train Control Install Mandate

J. Parsons, Dec 30, “With just two days to spare before a year-end implementation deadline, 41 U.S. freight and passenger railroads have met a federal mandate for full deployment of positive train control to prevent potentially deadly crashes.

                                                      The Federal
                                                      Railroad
                                                      Administration
                                                      said on Dec.
                                                      29, that in
                                                      addition to
                                                      being in full
                                                      compliance
                                                      with the
                                                      safety
                                                      technology's
                                                      technical
                                                      requirements
                                                      on more than
                                                      57,500 route
                                                      miles, the
                                                      railroads have
                                                      achieved full interoperability between host and tenant railroads operating on
                                                      PTC-governed
                                                      main lines.
                                                      The group
                                                      includes New
                                                      Jersey
                                                      Transit, which
                                                      the agency
                                                      said last
                                                      month appeared
                                                      at risk for
                                                      not meeting
                                                      the completion
                                                      target based
                                                      on earlier
                                                      data..."  [Read more](https://www.enr.com/articles/50931-us-railroads-finally-meet-positive-train-control-install-mandate) Hmmmm... Now that this has been
                                                      done, when
                                                      will railroads
                                                      begin to move
                                                      to "crewless"
                                                      operation.
                                                      That can't be
                                                      difficult
                                                      technologically. Sociologically, a whole other question.  Train crews need to be bought
                                                      out and
                                                      deserve to be
                                                      bought out.
                                                      Three (3) of
                                                      the Five (5)
                                                      man (they were
                                                      essentially
                                                      all men then)
                                                      crews were
                                                      bought out in
                                                      the 1970s.  It
                                                      is time that
                                                      the railroads
                                                      buy out the
                                                      two remaining
                                                      crew members.
                                                      This would
                                                      allow them to
                                                      run many more
                                                      frequent short
                                                      trains rather
                                                      than a few
                                                      long trains.
                                                      The improved
                                                      service would
                                                      lead to more
                                                      business, more
                                                      short trains
                                                      and more
                                                      employees that
                                                      could be
                                                      represented by
                                                      the BLET.  It
                                                      is not a
                                                      surprise that
                                                      State
                                                      legislators
                                                      are trending
                                                      in the
                                                      opposite
                                                      direction by [mandating 2-person crews](https://www.aar.org/article/freight-rail-crew-size-regulations/).
                                                      Alain

Mobileye is bringing its autonomous vehicle test fleets to at least four more cities in 2021

K. Korosec, Jan. 11, “ Mobileye is bringing its autonomous vehicle test fleets to at least four more cities in 2021…“ Read more Hmmmm… See also: Mobileye Take Autonomous Vehicle For a test Spin In Munich Traffic. Unfortunately, I still see all of this as simply “eye candy” to sell something that actually has no intention of delivering what it is implying.  I still claim that the business case is  ZERO (doesn’t exist) for personally-owned autonomous vehicles. (1.  for it to be purchased by a consumer, it must be able to go on most, if not all roads. We/MobilEye are/is nowhere close to being able to operate safely on most roads, let alone “all” roads. Thus, the consumer market has zero opportunity to scale.  (Heck EVs can’t scale even though their range is at least twice what the average daily driving range).  If MobilEye’s objective is the fleet market operating within a certified Operational deign Domain, then starting in big cities, New York City being the worse of the worse,

As with Waymo, MobilEye should be testing in “Chandler” rather than “NYC”.  But if this is Click Bait and Clicks are the objective, then NYC is right-on. Alain

Bay Area living out of reach for some VTA transit workers who sleep in their cars

S. Herrera, Jan 12, “The longtime bus driver has slept in his SUV for the last two years to save costs and give himself some much-needed rest.

                                                      "There's tons
                                                      of people who
                                                      are commuting
                                                      because they
                                                      can't afford
                                                      to live in the
                                                      Bay Area,"
                                                      said Glinton,
                                                      who has worked
                                                      for VTA for a
                                                      dozen years.
                                                      "On average, I
                                                      make $100,000
                                                      a year easy …
                                                      but who wants
                                                      to give
                                                      $30,000 a year
                                                      to someone
                                                      else for
                                                      rent?"..."  [Read more](https://sanjosespotlight.com/bay-area-living-out-of-reach-for-some-vta-transit-workers-who-sleep-in-their-cars/) Hmmmm...  Not pretty! And it's
                                                      not just
                                                      transit
                                                      workers.
                                                      Apparently it
                                                      is also
                                                      Police, Fire
                                                      and other
                                                      civil
                                                      servants.
                                                      Affordable
                                                      housing also
                                                      needs to have
                                                      affordable
                                                      mobility; else
                                                      it in NOT
                                                      affordable
                                                      living! Alain

Monthly changes in key transportation indexes

                                                      M. Sivak, Jan.
                                                      14, "....The
                                                      changes are in
                                                      percent
                                                      relative to
                                                      the
                                                      corresponding
                                                      month in 2019.
                                                      They are
                                                      adjusted for
                                                      population
                                                      (all but price
                                                      of gasoline)
                                                      and for
                                                      inflation
                                                      (price of
                                                      gasoline)..."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.greencarcongress.com/2020/10/20200923-sivakindex.html)  Hmmmm...  Quantified is the
                                                      enormous YoY
                                                      changes
                                                      (mostly down)
                                                      yet the "stock
                                                      market" seems
                                                      to be going
                                                      nothing but
                                                      up.  Really
                                                      strange!
                                                      Alain

How much did we use different classes of vehicles just before the pandemic?

M. Sivak, Jan. 12, “This analysis examines distances driven per vehicle in different vehicle classes in 2019 (the last year before the pandemic) and compares them with the corresponding values in 2009. … Noteworthy trends are as follows:…” Read more  Hmmmm…  Really strange “per vehicle stats”   Given the increase in population and the economy over the past 10 year period, the number of registered vehicles must have increased “enormously”; else, this is really strange    Alain

                                                      Georgia,
                                                      serif;">4th[Annual Princeton](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/)SmartDrivingCar
                                                      [Summit](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/) [4th Episode at noon on Jan. 21, 2021](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/session/20210121)
                                                      TO BE followed by
                                                      12 more weekly
                                                      episodes
                                                      through to
                                                      April15,
                                                      2021.  Each
                                                      episode
                                                      starting Live
                                                      on Zoom @ noon
                                                      Eastern
                                                      (Princeton
                                                      Time) and
                                                      lasting for
                                                      1.5 hours or
                                                      until
                                                      Discussion
                                                      with audience
                                                      ends. A.
                                                      Kornhauser,
                                                      Feb 6, "The
                                                      focus of the
                                                      Summit this
                                                      year will be
                                                      moving beyond
                                                      the AI and the
                                                      Sensors to
                                                      addressing the
                                                      challenges of Commercialization and  the delivery of tangible value to communities.
                                                      We've made
                                                      enormous
                                                      progress with
                                                      the
                                                      technology.
                                                      We're doing
                                                      the
                                                      investment;
                                                      however, this
                                                      investment
                                                      delivers value
                                                      only if is
                                                      commercialized:
                                                      made available
                                                      and is used by
                                                      consumers in
                                                      large
                                                      numbers.
                                                      Demos and
                                                      one-offs are
                                                      "great", but
                                                      to deliver
                                                      value that is
                                                      anywhere near
                                                      commensurate
                                                      with the
                                                      magnitude of
                                                      the investment
                                                      made to date,
                                                      initial
                                                      deployments
                                                      need to
                                                      scale.  We
                                                      can't just
                                                      have
                                                      "Morgantown
                                                      PRT Systems"
                                                      whose initial
                                                      deployment has
                                                      been nothing
                                                      but enormously
                                                      successful for
                                                      45 years (an
                                                      essentially
                                                      perfect safety
                                                      record, an
                                                      excellent
                                                      availability
                                                      record and
                                                      customer
                                                      valued
                                                      mobility).
                                                      Unfortunately,
                                                      the system was
                                                      never expanded
                                                      or duplicated
                                                      anywhere.  It
                                                      didn't scale.
                                                      It is a
                                                      one-off.

Tests, demos and one-offs are nice niche deployments; however, what one really needs are initial deployments that have the opportunity to grow, be replicated and scale.  In 1888, Frank Sprague, successfully deployed a small electric street railway system in Richmond, Va.  which became the reference for many other cites.  “… By 1889 110 electric railways incorporating Sprague’s equipment had been begun or planned on several continents…” Substantial scaled societal benefits emerged virally from this technology. It was eventually supplanted by the conventional automobile but for more than 30 years it delivered substantial improvements to the quality-of-life for many.

                                                      In part, the
                                                      4th Summit
                                                      will focus on
                                                      defining the
                                                      "Richmond" of
                                                      Affordable
                                                      Shared-ride
                                                      On-demand
                                                      Mobility-as-a-Service.
                                                      The initial
                                                      Operational
                                                      Design Domain
                                                      (ODD) that
                                                      safely
                                                      accommodates
                                                      Driverless
                                                      Mobility
                                                      Machines that
                                                      people
                                                      actually
                                                      choose to use
                                                      and becomes
                                                      the envy of
                                                      communities
                                                      throughout the
                                                      country. " [Read more](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/) Hmmmm... [Draft Program](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/) is
                                                      in flux.
                                                      Consider all
                                                      named
                                                      individuals as
                                                      "Invited yet
                                                      to be
                                                      confirmed".
                                                      Alain

C’mon Man!(These folks didn’t get/read the memo)

Sunday Supplement

Half-Baked

Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence as Simple as Drag and Drop #CES2021

CES2021, Jan 11, “It took decades for Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence to enter the mainstream. Still, it is new enough that it remains the domain of data scientists, machine learning, and software engineers. The challenge is that these experts are in short supply, causing projects to be relatively expensive with relatively long timelines.

                                                      Blaize's AI
                                                      Studio
                                                      promises (my bold) to
                                                      solve that by
                                                      allowing
                                                      subject matter
                                                      experts,
                                                      whether that
                                                      expert is a
                                                      city planner,
                                                      doctor, or
                                                      farmer, to
                                                      directly
                                                      create
                                                      artificial
                                                      intelligence
                                                      applications
                                                      that operate
                                                      locally. This
                                                      code-free,
                                                      visual and
                                                      open standards
                                                      tool allows
                                                      the subject
                                                      matter expert,
                                                      with minimal
                                                      help, to
                                                      prepare &
                                                      train, deploy
                                                      & manage,
                                                      and use &
                                                      monitor an
                                                      edge-based,
                                                      Artificial
                                                      Intelligent
                                                      app.... [Read more](https://viodi.com/2021/01/11/machine-learning-artificial-intelligence-as-simple-as-drag-and-drop-ces2021/)Hmmmm...
                                                      Promises,
                                                      promises...;
                                                      however, when
                                                      it claims "...
                                                      Working with
                                                      the doctor and
                                                      processing
                                                      approximately
                                                      12,000 images
                                                      the AI models
                                                      achieved 90%
                                                      accuracy
                                                      within two
                                                      days. This
                                                      greatly
                                                      exceeds the 76
                                                      to 80%
                                                      accuracy a
                                                      human would
                                                      achieve
                                                      examining
                                                      x-rays...."  ... One must ask "how did it do
                                                      dat???" Who
                                                      was the "God"
                                                      that knew all
                                                      the correct
                                                      answers, such
                                                      that the AI
                                                      was able to
                                                      pat itself in
                                                      the back with
                                                      a score of 90%
                                                      and the human
                                                      that looked
                                                      over the whole
                                                      process only
                                                      got "76 to
                                                      80%".  ... If
                                                      there is a
                                                      "God" that
                                                      always gets
                                                      the right
                                                      answer, then I
                                                      want the "God"
                                                      not this.  If
                                                      there isn't a
                                                      "God" with all
                                                      the right
                                                      answers, and
                                                      the right
                                                      answers come
                                                      from the
                                                      human, then
                                                      these reported
                                                      results are
                                                      simply "the
                                                      luck" of this
                                                      test, rather
                                                      than the
                                                      long-run
                                                      statistical
                                                      performance of
                                                      this
                                                      approach.
                                                      This is really
                                                      half-baked.
                                                      Alain

Click-Bait

Calendar of Upcoming

                                                      Events:s

4th Annual Princeton SmartDrivingCars Summit

4th Live Episode on Zoom

Why Customers are Buying Them

The Unique Selling Proposition for Cars with Automated Driver Assistance Systems

noon ET, Thursday, Georgia, serif;”>

                                                      Georgia,
                                                      serif;"> [Video Summary of 1st Session Setting the Stage](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCc9N8o1dys&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      Georgia,
                                                      serif;"> Princeton
                                                      University Princeton,
                                                      NJ

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

###

These editions are sponsored by the SmartETFs Smart Transportation and Technology ETF, symbol MOTO. For more information head to www.motoetf.com

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 193 Zoom-Cast Episode 193 w/Bobby Hambrick, AutonomousStuff

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Jan. 8, "Bobby
                                                      Hambrick
                                                      started
                                                      AutuonomouStuff
                                                      in a barn in
                                                      Morton,
                                                      Illinois....and
                                                      has pioneered
                                                      much of the
                                                      technology
                                                      moving the
                                                      autonomous
                                                      industry
                                                      forward, now
                                                      as part of
                                                      Hexagon. Bobby
                                                      joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin to
                                                      look back and
                                                      look ahead.
                                                      Plus...Apple,
                                                      Hyundai,
                                                      Waymo, Tesla
                                                      and more! "

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 192 Zoom-Cast Episode 192 w/Danny Shapiro, nVIDIA

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Dec. 30,
                                                      "NVIDIA
                                                      continues on a
                                                      roll powering
                                                      the Zoox robo
                                                      taxi unveiled
                                                      this month by
                                                      Amazon.
                                                      NVIDIA senior
                                                      director of
                                                      automotive
                                                      Danny Shapiro
                                                      outlines the
                                                      progress and
                                                      looks ahead to
                                                      2021 in the
                                                      latest Smart
                                                      Driving Cars
                                                      with
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin. "

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 191 Zoom-Cast Episode 191 w/ Louis Aaron’23 and Joel Johnson

F. Fishkin, Dec. 20, “College student Joel Johnson has been keeping a log of dozens of trips in Waymo’s self driving service in Chandler, Arizona, and posting videos on YouTube. Louis Aaron’23, another student, has been working with Elon Musk’s Boring Company in Las Vegas. The two share their experiences with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in the latest Smart Driving Cars.”  Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 190 Zoom-Cast Episode 190 w/Chris Urmson, Aurora

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Dec. 15, "With
                                                      Aurora taking
                                                      over Uber's
                                                      self driving
                                                      efforts,  what
                                                      is on the
                                                      horizon for
                                                      the start up
                                                      whose leaders
                                                      have roots at
                                                      Waymo,  Tesla
                                                      and Uber?
                                                      Co-founder and
                                                      CEO Chris
                                                      Urmson joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser and
                                                      co-host Fred
                                                      Fishkin in
                                                      this special
                                                      edition of
                                                      Smart Driving
                                                      Cars." SmartDrivingCars
                                                      [Pod-Cast Episode 189](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-189)
                                                      [Zoom-Cast Episode 189](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9ZtgZkjaLo&feature=youtu.be)

###

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Dec. 11, "With
                                                      the 4th Annual
                                                      Princeton
                                                      Smart Driving
                                                      Cars Summit
                                                      about to get
                                                      underway...a
                                                      preview of
                                                      what's to
                                                      come.
                                                      Plus..Aurora
                                                      takes over
                                                      Uber's
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car project,
                                                      Cruise tests
                                                      fully
                                                      driverless
                                                      behind the
                                                      wheel, is
                                                      Apple planning
                                                      a self-driving
                                                      surprise and
                                                      more. Join
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser
                                                      & co-host
                                                      Fred Fishkin
                                                      ...and
                                                      subscribe!"
                                                      SmartDrivingCars
                                                      [Pod-Cast Episode 188](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-188)
                                                      [Zoom-Cast Episode 188](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVWz6F5CHH4&feature=youtu.be)

F. Fishkin, Dec. 6, “The Nikola saga continues, AutoX goes fully driverless with robotaxis in China…plus Luminar, Tesla, TuSimple and more. Join Princeton University’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 188 of Smart Driving Cars.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 187  Zoom-Cast Episode 187 w/Michael Sena,  The Dispatcher

F. Fishkin, Nov 25, “What you should know about electric cars, climate change and more.  The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in an eye opening edition of Smart Driving Cars..”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 186  Zoom-Cast Episode 186 w/Kelly Funkhouser, Consumer Report

F. Fishkin, Nov 24, “When it comes to active driver assistance systems, what works and what needs improvement? Some answers from Kelly Funkhouser… program manager for vehicle interface, head of connected and automated vehicles at Consumer Reports.  She joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 186 of Smart Driving Cars.”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 185 Zoom-Cast Episode 185 w/Dan Smith, Waymo F. Fishkin, Nov 20, “Only Waymo has been transporting customers in driverless vehicles without a safety monitor on board. What goes into that kind of decision? Waymo Assistant General Counsel Dan Smith joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in this special edition of Smart Driving Cars.”  Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 184 Zoom-Cast Episode 184 w/Marjory Blumenthal, Rand F. Fishkin, Nov 20, “So when are driverless vehicles safe enough to be deployed? Senior Rand Corporation policy researcher Marjory Blumenthal joins Princeton University’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to examine her latest report and more.”  Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 183 Zoom-Cast Episode 183 w/Kirsten Korosec F. Fishkin, Nov 13, “Rivian’s hands free driver assistance will be standard equipment…while Ford unveils the E-Transit. TechCrunch Senior Transportation reporter and editor Kirsten Korosec joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Nuro, Tesla, Uber, Lyft, Cruise and more. Plus the coming changes for mobility under a new administration!”  Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 182 Zoom-Cast Episode 182 F. Fishkin, Nov 6, “What will a new administration mean for autonomous mobility? And what about the passage of Proposition 22 in California after Uber’s big campaign? That plus luxury EVs coming from Bentley….and cheap EVs from China. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 181 Zoom-Cast Episode 181  w/Sheldon b & Glenn Mercer F. Fishkin, Oct. 30, “Waymo releases self driving data…while traditional car dealers enjoy surprisingly strong profits during the pandemic. Why?  What about the coming autonomous mobility? Bell Air Partners’ Sheldon Sandler and researcher-consultant Glenn Mercer explain in Episode 181 of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin.  “

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 180  Zoom-Cast Episode 180 w/John Rich, Ford/Argo, part 2 F. Fishkin, Oct. 15, “Ford and Argo AI have unveiled their next generation self-driving test vehicle. Once again, Ford’s Director of Autonomous Vehicle and Technology Development John Rich joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to unveil the technology and the company’s self driving business plans.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 179 Zoom-Cast Episode 179 w/John Rich, Ford/Argo F. Fishkin, Oct. 15, “Which autonomous vehicle platforms will survive? The director of Ford’s Autonomous Vehicle and Technology Development says there may only be two…and Ford /Argo AI will be one of them. John Rich joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more.” SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 178  Zoom-Cast Episode 178 w/Andrew Hawkins, Verge F. Fishkin, Oct. 9, “Here we go! Waymo going fully driverless in Phoenix suburb service. The Verge senior transportation reporter Andrew Hawkins joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla… Amazon… Rivian and more. Subscribe!

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 177   Zoom-Cast Episode 177

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Oct. 2, "New
                                                      grades for
                                                      assisted
                                                      driving
                                                      systems from
                                                      Euro NCAP.
                                                      But Princeton
                                                      Professor
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhauser
                                                      says the devil
                                                      is in the
                                                      details in
                                                      this edition
                                                      with co-host
                                                      Fred Fishkin.
                                                      And there's
                                                      Amazon's
                                                      success
                                                      against Covid
                                                      plusTesla,
                                                      Uber, GM,
                                                      Nikola and
                                                      more. SmartDrivingCars [Pod-Cast Episode 176](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-176)  [Zoom-Cast Episode 176](https://youtu.be/lHjSTXH-GGchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aHvG6Aqt6fk&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      w/Marc
                                                      Scribner

F. Fishkin, Sept. 25, “A new government entity to oversee autonomous vehicles? Marc Scribner, Sr. Transportation Policy Analyst at the Reason Foundation on regulation and more with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus…Tesla, Nikola, GM and the California move to ban new gasoline vehicles.”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 175   Zoom-Cast Episode 175 w/Michael Sena F. Fishkin, Sept. 18, “Automobility and the future of car dealers… “The Dispatcher” publisher Michael Sena offers a different take on how car dealers may battle automakers pushing for direct to consumer subscriptions. That and more in this edition of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin.”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 174 Zoom-Cast Episode 174 w/Kelly Funkhouser, Consumer Reports

F. Fishkin, Sept. 4, “Moving forward with autonomous vehicle testing, the head of safety at Uber’s Advanced Technology Group is pledging safety data transparency. Nat Beuse joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co host Fred Fishkin for that and more on the latest mobility headlines.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 173 Zoom-Cast Episode 173 w/Nathanial Beuse F. Fishkin, Sept. 4, “Moving forward with autonomous vehicle testing, the head of safety at Uber’s Advanced Technology Group is pledging safety data transparency. Nat Beuse joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co host Fred Fishkin for that and more on the latest mobility headlines.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 172Zoom-Cast Episode 172  Special Edition w/Danny Shapiro

F. Fishkin ,Sept. 2, “Mercedes unveils the latest S Class with more computing power than 60 average cars…with NVIDIA playing a big role. NVIDIA’s Director of Automotive Danny Shapiro joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more.” SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 171Zoom-Cast Episode 171 w/Henry Greenidge

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      Aug. 30, "What
                                                      should
                                                      autonomous
                                                      mobility
                                                      companies be
                                                      doing to win
                                                      support from
                                                      black
                                                      communities?
                                                      Why is it
                                                      important?
                                                      Henry
                                                      Greenidge…Fellow
                                                      in residence
                                                      at the
                                                      McSilver
                                                      Institute for
                                                      Poverty Policy
                                                      and Research
                                                      at NYU joins
                                                      Princeton's
                                                      Alain
                                                      Kornhausere
                                                      and co-host
                                                      Fred Fishkin
                                                      for that
                                                      plus...Uber,
                                                      Voyage, Tesla
                                                      and more...."

SmartDrivingCars  PodCast 170  ZoomCast Episode170 w/Michael Sena F. Fishkin, Aug 20, “Tesla grows while other automakers flounder. And creating standards in an era of mistrust. The Dispatcher publisher joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in a thought provoking episode. Plus…transportation planning during and after the pandemic…NVIDIA…and more.”

SmartDrivingCars  PodCast Episode 169 ZoomCast Episode 169  w/Anthony Townsend F. Fishkin Aug 13, “Ghost Road.. Beyond the Driverless Car author Anthony Townsend brings a unique viewpoint to the debate on the future of mobility…and the impact of the pandemic on ride sharing. Townsend joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and the latest developments from Uber, Lyft, Tesla and more.”

SmartDrivingCars  PodCast Episode 168 ZoomCast Episode 168  w/Olaf Sakkers F. Fishkin Aug 8, “Is Tesla a tech stock? Or a fashion product? Maniv Mobility’s Olaf Sakkers authored a piece on Medium with that title and he joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus… GM’s would be Tesla challenger Cadillac Lyriq, TuSimple, Uber, Ford and more.”

SmartDrivingCars  PodCast 167  ZoomCast Episode167 w/Robin Chase, Carlos Pardo & Daniel Sperling F. Fishkin July 29, “In the midst of a pandemic, what is the future of ride sharing and mobility? Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by Robin Chase and Carlos Pardo of the New Urban Mobility Alliance and the director of the Institute for Transportation Studies at U C Davis, Daniel Sperling to dig into the challenges ahead.”

SmartDrivingCars PodCast Episode 166ZoomCast Episode 166 w/Jay Rodgers’95, CEO Local Motors

F. Fishkin 16, “Local Motors announces a partnership with Beep to broadly deploy autonomous electric shuttles. CEO Jay Rogers joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a wide ranging chat. Plus the Waymo-Fiat Chrysler deal, Tesla, AutoX, Ford, Mobileye and more.” Zoom-inar Episode 005 AmaZooks

F. Fishkin, July 20, “Is Driverless home delivery the fastest route to Affordable Mobility for the Mobility Disadvantaged? … “

SmartDrivingCars PodCast Episode 165,ZoomCast Episode165 w/Michael Sena

F. Fishkin 16, “Is the option to buy a car at a dealership going to vanish? The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena has a provocative perspective in this edition with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus..an update on the Amazon Zoox deal, autonomous vehicles and how they can help battle discrimination in transportation, TuSimple, Mobileye, Uber, Tesla and more.”  …  Alain SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast 164 Episode 164,   Zoom-Cast Episode 163 w/Robbie Diamond

F. Fishkin, July 9, “Fostering economic opportunity through autonomous technology is the focus of an upcoming report from Security America’s Future Energy. Founder and CEO Robbie Diamond shares details and more in this edition with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus ..are armed police officers really needed for traffic enforcement? And the latest from Tesla, Waymo and more.  …“  …  Alain SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 163Zoom-Cast Episode 163 w/Henry Greenidge F. Fishkin, July 2, “Transportation, racial injustices and changing the thinking around the future of mobility. NYU McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy & Research fellow Henry Greenidge joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in an eye and mind opening episode of Smart Driving Cars. Plus Amazon, Zoox, Waymo, Tesla & more. .”   … Alain

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 162,  Zoom-Cast Episode 162  w/Cliff Winston

F. Fishkin, June 25, “From the Brookings Institution, Cliff Winston, co-author of Autonomous Vehicles…The Road to Economic Growth? joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus..why are fatal crash rates rising in the midst of a pandemic…plus NVIDIA, Didi, Tesla and more.”    … Alain Episode 004  Insurance: For or Against SmartDrivingCars?

                                                      F. Fishkin,
                                                      June 23, "But
                                                      the debate is
                                                      not really
                                                      about
                                                      technology nor
                                                      is it about
                                                      who delivers
                                                      the best value
                                                      for the money
                                                      or the most
                                                      privacy. It is
                                                      about ..."

Listen/Watch more  Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Alain SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 161,Zoom-Cast Episode 161 w/Alberto Stochino F. Fishkin, June 17, “Is less data sometimes more when it comes to driverless vehicle technology? Perceptive Founder and CEO Alberto Stochino joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the DOT’s new plan for sharing autonomous safety information, the latest from Tesla, EVs from China and more.” …  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 160Zoom-Cast Episode 160  w/Jessica Cicchino F. Fishkin, June 12, “Insurance Institute for Highway Safety Research VP Jessica Cicchino co-authored a new study saying self driving vehicles could struggle to eliminate most crashes.   She joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to discuss the study.  Plus the latest on Tesla, Ford & VW, Covid-19 and more.  ” “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 159,  Zoom-Cast Episode 159 w/Kara Kockelman F. Fishkin, June 4, “Prof. Kara Kockelman’s focus on smart transportation to save lives, money and the environment has made her a sought after global expert.  The U. of Texas Transportation Engineering Professor joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin on the impact of Covid-19 and much more. Plus Tesla, Uber, Argo AI and the top smart driving headlines. For more on Dr. Kockelman’s work….please visit…  http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman.”

                                                      DrivingTheDebate
                                                      Episode 003  [Everyone's for Connectivity; but...](https://youtu.be/DMNLH_fkcI4) F. Fishkin,
                                                      June 2, "But
                                                      the debate is
                                                      not really
                                                      about
                                                      technology nor
                                                      is it about
                                                      who delivers
                                                      the best value
                                                      for the money
                                                      or the most
                                                      privacy. It is
                                                      about ..."

Listen/Watch more  Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 158,  Zoom-Cast Episode 158 w/Chunka Mui

F. Fishkin, May 28, “In the midst of the Covid-19 pandemic, what are the smartest ways to re-build and plan for the future? Futurist and author Chunka Mui joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Amazon, Zoox, Intel Mobileye, Tesla, Uber and more.” SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 157,  Zoom-Cast Episode 157 w/Grayson Brulte

F. Fishkin, May 21, “Global auto makers must completely re-think their autonomous mobility strategy as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. So says innovation strategist Grayson Brulte of Brulte & Company….who joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus…Waymo, Tesla, Uber and more.”

  DrivingTheDebate Episode 002  The Future of Public Roadway Transit F. Fishkin, May 14, ”Will the Bus be Thrown Under the Bus?…

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 156,  Cars Zoom-Cast Episode 156 w/Danny Shapiro2 F. Fishkin, May 14, “With new hardware and software capabilities NVIDIA is expanding into new areas of driver assistance technology. Sr. Director of Automotive Danny Shapiro joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that…plus the latest on Waymo, Voyage, Ford and more. listen and subscribe!” “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 155,Zoom-Cast Episode 155 w/Alex Roy2 F. Fishkin, April 29, “The continuing impact of Covid-19 on autonomous vehicle progress. But it may not be all bad news. Alex Roy…host of the No Parking Podcast and Director of Special Operations at Argo AI joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Intel, Lyft, Uber and more. Listen and subscribe!

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 154Zoom-Cast Episode 154   w/Dan Sperling F. Fishkin, April 29, “Can ride sharing rebound after the pandemic? Daniel Sperling, founding director of the Institute of Transportation Studies at UC Davis joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Waymo, Ford and more.”

   DrivingTheDebate Episode 001 The Driverless “New Normal” Debate F. Fishkin, April 27,

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 153Zoom-Cast Episode 153 w/Dick Mudge2

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 152,Zoom-Cast Episode 152 w/Brad Templeton

SmartDrivingCars Podcast Episode 148 w/Richard Bishop

 SmartDrivingCars Zoom-Cast Episode 148 w/Richard Bishop

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 147 - Michael Sena

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 142 - J. Hughes

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 141- A. Roy

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 139- Randal O’Toole

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 138-Nick Zart

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 136

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 135 - with Jim Atkinson

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 130 with Dick Mudge & Michael Sena

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 112 - J. Hardiman NJM

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 110 - Lance Elliot

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 108 3rd Summit Wrapup

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 107 3rd Summit Leilei Shinohara & Staff Sergeant Terence McDonnell

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 106 3rd Summit David Kidd & Cecillia Feeley

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 104 3rd Summit Anil Lewis & Katherine Freund

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 97 - Michael Sena’69

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 71-Nader’55

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 69 - Chunka Mui

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 65 - Bernard Soriano, CA DMV

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 58-Keith Code,Motorcycles

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 55-Larry Burns, Autonomy

Recent Highlights of:

                                                      blue;
                                                      text-decoration:
                                                      none;">

                                                      January 08,
                                                      2021

  Automatic braking is now on most new cars. But not GM or Fiat Chrysler vehicles C. Isidore, Dec 17, “Automatic braking, once a feature available exclusively to high-end cars, is becoming common across the industry, according to analysis from Consumer Reports and the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety.

                                                      But the
                                                      industry has
                                                      some notable
                                                      exceptions,
                                                      including
                                                      General Motors
                                                      (GM) and Fiat
                                                      Chrysler
                                                      (FCAU), which
                                                      badly trail
                                                      rivals in
                                                      offering
                                                      automatic
                                                      braking as
                                                      standard
                                                      equipment,
                                                      according to
                                                      the safety
                                                      groups.

                                                      Automatic
                                                      braking uses
                                                      sensors to
                                                      apply brakes
                                                      when a vehicle
                                                      ahead is
                                                      stopped, and
                                                      the car's
                                                      onboard
                                                      computer can
                                                      avoid or
                                                      lessen the
                                                      impact of an
                                                      accident. It's
                                                      an
                                                      increasingly
                                                      popular
                                                      feature with
                                                      car buyers.
                                                      Many
                                                      automakers are
                                                      emphasizing
                                                      the feature in
                                                      their
                                                      advertising
                                                      and sales
                                                      pitches.

                                                      Four
                                                      higher-end
                                                      brands already
                                                      had the
                                                      feature on 99%
                                                      or better of
                                                      their vehicles
                                                      before this
                                                      past year:
                                                      Audi,
                                                      Mercedes-Benz,
                                                      Volvo and
                                                      Tesla (TSLA).

                                                      Six more have
                                                      the feature on
                                                      at least 96%
                                                      of the
                                                      vehicles they
                                                      sold in the
                                                      United States
                                                      between
                                                      September 2019
                                                      and September
                                                      2020: BMW,
                                                      Hyundai,
                                                      Mazda, Subaru,
                                                      Toyota (TM)
                                                      and Volkswagen
                                                      (VLKAF). Three
                                                      more
                                                      automakers —
                                                      Ford (F),
                                                      Honda (HMC)
                                                      and Nissan
                                                      (NSANF), had
                                                      automatic
                                                      braking on
                                                      more than 90%
                                                      of their US
                                                      vehicles....
                                                      "  [Read more](https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/17/business/automatic-braking/)  Hmmmm... Set up for the [3rd session of the SDC Summit](https://orfe.princeton.edu/conferences/sdc/session/20210114).
                                                      Alain

                                                      December 31,
                                                      2020   [Sustainable and Attainable: Zoox Unveils Autonomous Robotaxi Powered by NVIDIA](https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2020/12/17/zoox-autonomous-robotaxi-powered-by-nvidia/) D. Shapiro,
                                                      Dec. 17, "When
                                                      it comes to
                                                      future
                                                      mobility, you
                                                      may not have
                                                      to pave as
                                                      many paradises
                                                      for personal
                                                      car parking
                                                      lots.

                                                      This week,
                                                      autonomous
                                                      mobility
                                                      company Zoox
                                                      unveiled its
                                                      much-anticipated
                                                      purpose-built
                                                      robotaxi.
                                                      Designed for
                                                      everyday urban
                                                      mobility, the
                                                      vehicle is
                                                      powered by
                                                      NVIDIA and is
                                                      one of the
                                                      first level 5
                                                      robotaxis
                                                      featuring
                                                      bi-directional
                                                      capabilities,
                                                      providing a
                                                      concrete view
                                                      into the next
                                                      generation of
                                                      intelligent
                                                      transportation...."
                                                      [Read more](https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/2020/12/17/zoox-autonomous-robotaxi-powered-by-nvidia/)  Hmmmm... Watch Zoom-Cast 192.
                                                      Alain

                                                      December 11,
                                                      2020

                                                      [Uber, After Years of Trying, Is Handing Off Its Self-Driving Car Project](https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/07/technology/uber-self-driving-car-project.html)

C. Metz & K. Conger, Dec 7, “Uber, which spent hundreds of millions of dollars on a self-driving car project that executives once believed was a key to becoming profitable, is handing the autonomous vehicle effort over to a Silicon Valley start-up, the companies said on Monday.

                                                      Uber will also
                                                      invest $400
                                                      million in the
                                                      start-up,
                                                      called Aurora,
                                                      so it is
                                                      essentially
                                                      paying the
                                                      company to
                                                      take over the
                                                      autonomous car
                                                      operation,
                                                      which had
                                                      become a
                                                      financial and
                                                      legal
                                                      headache. Uber
                                                      is likely to
                                                      license
                                                      whatever
                                                      technology
                                                      Aurora manages
                                                      to create.

                                                      The deal
                                                      amounts to a
                                                      fire-sale end
                                                      to a
                                                      high-profile
                                                      but
                                                      star-crossed
                                                      effort to
                                                      replace Uber's
                                                      human drivers
                                                      with machines
                                                      that could
                                                      drive on their
                                                      own. It is
                                                      also
                                                      indicative of
                                                      the challenges
                                                      facing other
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle
                                                      projects,
                                                      which have
                                                      received
                                                      billions in
                                                      investments
                                                      from Silicon
                                                      Valley and
                                                      automakers but
                                                      have not
                                                      produced the
                                                      fleets of
                                                      robotic
                                                      vehicles some
                                                      thought would
                                                      be on the
                                                      streets by
                                                      now...." [Read more](https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/07/technology/uber-self-driving-car-project.html) Hmmmm...  Actually a good
                                                      article.
                                                      Alain

                                                      December 04,
                                                      2020

  Nikola Teaches GM a Lesson S. Wilmot, Nov 30, “Nikola Corp. NKLA 0.76% isn’t turning out to be the next Tesla that investors and    were hoping for.

                                                      The
                                                      electric-vehicle
                                                      startup put
                                                      its
                                                      eye-catching
                                                      “Badger”
                                                      pickup-truck
                                                      project on ice
                                                      Monday as part
                                                      of a radically
                                                      shrunken
                                                      version of its
                                                      deal with GM.
                                                      All that is
                                                      left of the
                                                      original
                                                      agreement
                                                      signed in
                                                      September is a
                                                      plan for GM to
                                                      supply Nikola
                                                      with fuel-cell
                                                      technology for
                                                      U.S. big rigs.

Detroit’s biggest auto maker had planned to take an equity stake in Nikola in exchange for building the Badger under contract. But the deal has been in doubt almost from the start after a hedge-fund report detailed the limitations of Nikola’s technology, leading to the resignation of founder Trevor Milton.

                                                      GM won't sell
                                                      Nikola fuel
                                                      cells soon.
                                                      For all its
                                                      fanfare about
                                                      hydrogen, the
                                                      startup is
                                                      currently
                                                      focused on
                                                      battery-powered
                                                      versions of
                                                      its first
                                                      electric
                                                      truck, theTre,
                                                      It hopes to
                                                      start
                                                      full-scale
                                                      production in
                                                      the fourth
                                                      quarter of
                                                      next year in
                                                      Germany and in
                                                      early 2022 in
                                                      Coolidge,
                                                      Ariz. Hydrogen
                                                      trucks won't
                                                      come before
                                                      2023, and in
                                                      Europe Nikola
                                                      is using Bosch
                                                      as its
                                                      fuel-cell
                                                      supplier.
                                                      ..."  [Read more](https://www.wsj.com/articles/nikola-teaches-gm-a-lesson-11606760549) Hmmmm... Lessons for many in this
                                                      endeavor.  See
                                                      also[Andrew Hawkin's take](https://www.theverge.com/2020/11/30/21726594/gm-nikola-deal-equity-badger-truck-hydrogen)
                                                      as well as [David Morris'](https://fortune.com/2020/11/30/nikola-gm-deal-collapses-devastating-news/).
                                                      Alain

                                                      November 26,

 The Vehicle Fuel Debate Has Been Hijacked

M. Sena, Nov. 19, “The lead article this month was inspired by a diagram I received showing how much of the energy that we generate to heat our homes, light up our rooms, make the concrete and steel to build our infrastructure and power our transportation is wasted. It’s over two-thirds. Wasted! Half of it is from producing electricity.

                                                      There are a
                                                      spate of
                                                      battery and
                                                      hybrid
                                                      electric cars
                                                      (and some
                                                      others) on
                                                      their way from
                                                      China to
                                                      Europe and
                                                      North America.
                                                      Some of the
                                                      ones I
                                                      describe in
                                                      the Dispatch
                                                      Central
                                                      section will
                                                      be familiar to
                                                      readers since
                                                      I wrote about
                                                      them earlier.
                                                      I could not
                                                      help writing
                                                      again about
                                                      Volvo's slow
                                                      but steady
                                                      exit from
                                                      Sweden. In the
                                                      self-driving
                                                      and data
                                                      sharing
                                                      section there
                                                      is some
                                                      interesting
                                                      news out of
                                                      the UK and
                                                      Massachusetts,
                                                      a state
                                                      (actually a
                                                      Commonwealth
                                                      just like
                                                      Pennsylvania,
                                                      my home state)
                                                      where I
                                                      registered
                                                      most of the
                                                      cars I have
                                                      owned during
                                                      the eighteen
                                                      years I lived
                                                      there.

                                                      Waymo has
                                                      delivered
                                                      quite a bit of
                                                      news to the
                                                      press during
                                                      the past few
                                                      months. It
                                                      seemed like
                                                      everyone was
                                                      putting the
                                                      same spin on
                                                      what they were
                                                      saying.
                                                      Naturally, I
                                                      decided to
                                                      spin in the
                                                      other
                                                      direction. In
                                                      Musings of a
                                                      Dispatcher I
                                                      have mused
                                                      about who is
                                                      going to be
                                                      sitting in all
                                                      of those
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles. Will
                                                      they be from
                                                      Mars or from
                                                      Venus?..."  [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/lw27g9qlolrjkpb/The%20Dispatcher_December%202020.pdf?dl=0)Hmmmm... What can I say?? Another great
                                                      edition of the
                                                      Dispatcher. Be
                                                      sure to read
                                                      all the way
                                                      through
                                                      including  "[Musings of a Dispatcher: Cars are from Mars](https://www.dropbox.com/s/lw27g9qlolrjkpb/The%20Dispatcher_December%202020.pdf?dl=0)".  Enjoy and listen/watch the
                                                      following [Pod](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-187)/[Zoom](https://youtu.be/eyGCKObQ4e0)-casts.  Alain
                                                      November 20,
                                                      2020

  Active Driving Assistance Systems: Test Results and Design Recommendations

Staff, Nov. 2020, “In line with Consumer Reports’ mission to create a fair, safe, and consumer-driven marketplace, this report has been written for the industry to provide more explanation and guidance on the state of Active Driving Assistance systems based on our recent evaluation. While the systems are not equally capable, and may be designed with different usage intentions, CR’s evaluation focused on real-world driving experience of consumers, keeping safety at the forefront. Our goals:

Support the creation of government policies and company practices to ensure that innovation and safety go hand-in-hand

                                                      Use consumer
                                                      data to inform
                                                      the industry
                                                      of
                                                      best-practices
                                                      to aid in
                                                      development

                                                      Advocate for
                                                      transparency
                                                      and clarity in
                                                      marketing and
                                                      consumer
                                                      education of
                                                      systems

                                                      In October
                                                      2020, Consumer
                                                      Reports
                                                      published
                                                      ratings of
                                                      Active Driving
                                                      Assistance
                                                      Systems,
                                                      defined as
                                                      systems that
                                                      allow the
                                                      driver to use
                                                      Adaptive
                                                      Cruise Control
                                                      (ACC) and Lane
                                                      Keeping
                                                      Assistance
                                                      (LKA) to
                                                      simultaneously
                                                      control both
                                                      the speed and
                                                      steering of
                                                      the vehicle.
                                                      An industry
                                                      webinar was
                                                      also
                                                      held...."  [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/8wpnt54t1t8xpfg/consumer-reports-active-driving-assistance-systems-november-16-2020.pdf?dl=0) Hmmmm.... A MUST read
                                                      along with "[Cadillac's Super Cruise Outperforms Other Driving Assistance Systems](https://www.consumerreports.org/car-safety/cadillac-super-cruise-outperforms-other-active-driving-assistance-systems/)".  Most unfortunately, CR has not
                                                      picked up on
                                                      my main
                                                      complaint
                                                      about ACC:
                                                      Tapping of the
                                                      brakes by the
                                                      driver turns
                                                      off the ACC!
                                                      This is
                                                      BAD!!!  Even
                                                      the hardest,
                                                      let alone the
                                                      slightest,
                                                      engagement of
                                                      the brakes
                                                      should NOTturn
                                                      off the ACC.
                                                      It should ONLYdisengage
                                                      the
                                                      acceleration/throttle
                                                      function of
                                                      the ACC!

Tapping of the brakes by the driver is an indication that the driver no longer wishes to accelerate, NOT that the driver no longer wishes to slow down or stop.  So why do these systems turn off ACC (which disengage both the acceleration and deceleration functions, rather than just turning off the acceleration/throttle function. (I think that I actually know why… it is an SAE “recommendation”. Just another reason why I don’t like the November 13, 2020

  Road Charge Projects: California Four Phase Demonstration K. Pyle, Nov 12, “A key recommendation from the 2017 pilot was to explore whether paying at the pump could work for a road charge just like it does for the gas tax. How could the user experience be as easy as possible? With support from a federal Surface Transportation Funding Alternative grant, California will test how road charge can work with four technologies: usage-based insurance, ridesharing, electric vehicle charging stations/pay-at-the-pump systems, and autonomous vehicles.

                                                      Interested in
                                                      participating?
                                                      The
                                                      demonstration
                                                      will begin in
                                                      January 2021
                                                      and run for
                                                      six months.
                                                      Complete the [Contact Us](http://caroadcharge.com/engage/contact-us/) data
                                                      form to
                                                      express your
                                                      interest in
                                                      volunteering
                                                      for one or
                                                      more
                                                      demonstration
                                                      phases.... "  [Read more](http://www.caroadcharge.com/projects/california-four-phase-demonstration/?utm_source=California+Road+Charge+Education+Program+Interest+List&utm_campaign=e9c783daa5-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_10_29_05_41&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_25691fa868-e9c783daa5-104440609)Hmmmm...  New Jersey is seeking
                                                      volunteers for
                                                      its version of
                                                      this.  Participation is easy.  You will
                                                      enroll via a
                                                      quick, online
                                                      enrollment
                                                      process, plug
                                                      a mileage
                                                      reporting
                                                      device into
                                                      your vehicle
                                                      and drive.
                                                      During the
                                                      pilot, you
                                                      will receive
                                                      monthly
                                                      simulated
                                                      statements
                                                      that compare
                                                      what you pay
                                                      in current
                                                      state fuel
                                                      taxes to what
                                                      you could pay
                                                      in an MBUF
                                                      system.  It is
                                                      okay if you
                                                      are not
                                                      driving as
                                                      much as you
                                                      typically
                                                      would because
                                                      of the
                                                      COVID-19
                                                      Pandemic.
                                                      Your driving
                                                      data and
                                                      feedback
                                                      provided
                                                      through
                                                      anonymous
                                                      online surveys
                                                      will help us
                                                      understand key
                                                      issues such as
                                                      privacy,
                                                      equity and
                                                      administrative
                                                      costs with an
                                                      MBUF
                                                      system.

Please contact zenobia.fields@dot.nj.gov  to participate and help n the New Jersey version.  Use Subject: Please send,  Body:Mileage-Base User Fee (MBUF) Demonstration registration information . We need volunteers. Thank you for helping. Alain

                                                      November 6,
                                                      2020

Edmunds: Where are our self-driving cars?

W. Kaufman, Nov. 4, “Tesla recently made headlines with the beta launch of its Full Self-Driving system. That system comes with a disclaimer saying, “It may do the wrong thing at the worst time, so you must always keep your hands on the wheel and pay extra attention to the road.”

                                                      Tesla's system
                                                      has impressive
                                                      capabilities,
                                                      but it's
                                                      definitely not
                                                      hands-free
                                                      driving. A few
                                                      years ago,
                                                      news stories
                                                      seemed to say
                                                      that
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles were
                                                      just a few
                                                      years away.

                                                      Well, it's
                                                      been a few
                                                      years and
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles are,
                                                      alas, still in
                                                      the future.
                                                      Right now,
                                                      there is no
                                                      car on sale
                                                      that can drive
                                                      itself without
                                                      requiring the
                                                      driver to pay
                                                      attention to
                                                      the road and
                                                      be prepared to
                                                      take control
                                                      of the
                                                      vehicle. In
                                                      fact, some
                                                      automakers
                                                      have slowed
                                                      down their
                                                      timelines.

                                                      Here are three
                                                      reasons why
                                                      you can't buy
                                                      a self-driving
                                                      car today and
                                                      one place
                                                      you're likely
                                                      to find them
                                                      first....

EDMUNDS SAYS: You probably won’t be able to buy an autonomous car any time soon. But expect autonomous fleet services to begin expanding in the near future.” Read moreHmmmm… An now a change in Washington… Alain October 30,

  Sharing our safety framework for fully autonomous operations Waymo Team, Oct. 30, “On October 8th, Waymo opened its fully autonomous ride-hailing service to the general public in Phoenix. Right now members of the public are hailing vehicles with no human driver controlling the car â€â€Ŕ either in the vehicle or remotely â€â€Ŕ to help them get to where they’re going as part of their everyday lives….”  Read more Hmmmm…

  Waymo’s Safety Methodologies and Safety Readiness Determinations N, Webb, Oct. 30, “As the world’s most experienced developer of automated driving systems, Waymo has extensive experience in developing and applying state-of-the-art safety methodologies. Waymo’s methodologies help implement Waymo’s forward-looking safety philosophy: Waymo will reduce traffic injuries and fatalities by driving safely and responsibly, and will carefully manage risk as we scale our operations. Waymo’s safety methodologies, which draw on well established engineering processes and address new safety challenges specific to Automated Vehicle technology, provide a firm foundation for safe deployment of our Level 4 ADS, which we also refer to as the Waymo Driver. Waymo’s determination of its readiness to deploy its AVs safely in different settings rests on that firm foundation and on a thorough analysis of risks specific to a particular Operational Design Domain )….”  Read more Hmmmm…  The process.  Must read!  Alain

  Waymo Public Road Safety Performance Data M. Schwall, Oct. 30, “Waymo’s mission to reduce traffic injuries and fatalities and improve mobility for all has led us to expand deployment of automated vehicles (AVs) on public roads without a human driver behind the wheel.  As part of this process, Waymo is committed to providing the public with informative and relevant data regarding the demonstrated safety of Waymo’s automated driving system (ADS), which we call the Waymo Driver….” Read more Hmmmm…  The substance.  Must read! …

I had the priveledge of reviewing Waymo’s most recent Safety Reports 1 , 2 (above)

In the past, safety reports by the AV community have largely been a response to NHTSA’¢s Voluntary Safety Self-Assessments and have, in my opinion, been largely public relations documents. While generally descriptive about the testing processes they contain very little, if any, substantive information about their safety related experience to-date focused exclusively on driverless operation.

Safe driverless operation is absolutely necessary for AVs to evolve from extremely expensive chauffeured rides to affordable mobility available to essentially anyone throughout an Operational Design Domain (ODD). Affordability requires that the mobility be delivered without a driver or attendant on-board the vehicle.  Only passengers.

The decision to remove the driver/attendant rests in part on the shoulders of public safety regulators who need to allow such operation, but more importantly, on the shoulders of the real decision makers at the AV company. In the end, it is those AV company decision makers who will be held fully responsible for any lapse in the safety of the driverless operation. These decision makers are inside the AV companies and are, of course, privy to all the details and substance about their own safety related driverless operation, which, in the past, has not been shared in their Voluntary Safety Self-assessments.

My impression is that these just released Waymo Safety Reports contain the substantive information that clearly depicts Waymo’s safety-related driverless operational experience. To me, they read like internal documents meant to guide and inform internal decision makers to objectively decide if a sufficiently safe operational experience has been achieved in order to vote to fully accept the safety responsibility of driverless operation in their Operational Design Domain.

Given the information that is contained in these documents, it does not surprise me that Waymo decision makers have decided to proceed with driverless operation in the Phoenix Operational Design Domain. Had I had the responsibility of being one of the decision makers reviewing these documents, I would have also voted yes.

                                                      Alain

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Friday,
                                                      October 23,
                                                      2020    [How Ford's Next-Gen Test Vehicle Lays the Foundation for Our Self-Driving Business](https://medium.com/self-driven/how-fords-next-gen-test-vehicle-lays-the-foundation-for-our-self-driving-business-aadbf247b6ce) J. Davis,
                                                      Oct 20,
                                                      "Launching a
                                                      self-driving
                                                      service is
                                                      complex. Many
                                                      different
                                                      pieces need to
                                                      come together
                                                      to create a
                                                      trusted and
                                                      scalable
                                                      self-driving
                                                      service that
                                                      provides value
                                                      to customers
                                                      and the cities
                                                      they operate
                                                      in. At Ford,
                                                      we are taking
                                                      a thoughtful
                                                      approach to
                                                      how we bring
                                                      together all
                                                      these pieces
                                                      to help shape
                                                      the future of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      vehicles. One
                                                      important part
                                                      of this
                                                      service is the
                                                      vehicle, which
                                                      will allow us
                                                      to stand up
                                                      our
                                                      self-driving
                                                      business.

                                                      Meet the
                                                      Fourth
                                                      Generation
                                                      Self-Driving
                                                      Test Vehicle:
                                                      Beginning to
                                                      roll out this
                                                      month, Ford
                                                      and Argo's fourth-generation self-driving test vehicles are built on the Escape
                                                      Hybrid
                                                      platform and
                                                      feature the
                                                      latest
                                                      advancements
                                                      in sensing and
                                                      computing
                                                      technology.
                                                      The Escape
                                                      Hybrid is also
                                                      the
                                                      architecture
                                                      and platform
                                                      we have chosen
                                                      to use to
                                                      bring our
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicle
                                                      service
                                                      online....." [Read more](https://www.thedetroitbureau.com/2020/10/ford-expands-stake-in-newly-public-velodyne-lidar/#:~:text=Ford%20has%20a%207.6%25%20stake,Lidar%20worth%20about%20%24227.2%20million.&text=The%20automaker%20revealed%20it%20owns,is%20worth%20approximately%20%24227.2%20million.)  Hmmmm....  [See video](https://youtu.be/fZ102xfmH-Y).
                                                      Imprssive.
                                                      Listen/watch SmartDrivingCars [PodCast](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-180) / [ZoomCast](https://youtu.be/ngpKFmQNsxs) with John Rich. [CNBC's take](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/ford-unveils-new-self-driving-test-vehicle-for-2022-launch.html) as
                                                      well as [THe Detroit News](https://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/autos/ford/2020/10/20/ford-argo-ai-chooses-hybrid-escape-self-driving-service/5993329002/).
                                                      Alain

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      October 16,

  Ford Reveals Stake in Newly Public Velodyne Lidar J. Szczesny, Oct 7, “Ford Motor Co’s push to broaden its self-driving vehicle technology portfolio, led to it taking a stake in a Silicon Valley company developing lidar systems needed to help guide autonomous vehicles.

                                                      The automaker
                                                      revealed it
                                                      owns a 7.6%
                                                      stake, or
                                                      13.06 million
                                                      shares, in
                                                      Velodyne
                                                      Lidar,
                                                      according to a
                                                      report filed
                                                      with the
                                                      Securities
                                                      Exchange
                                                      Commission.
                                                      With the
                                                      shares trading
                                                      at $17.40 per
                                                      share, the
                                                      stake is worth
                                                      approximately
                                                      $227.2
                                                      million. Ford
                                                      filed the
                                                      report to
                                                      remain
                                                      compliant with
                                                      the SEC...." [Read more](https://www.thedetroitbureau.com/2020/10/ford-expands-stake-in-newly-public-velodyne-lidar/#:~:text=Ford%20has%20a%207.6%25%20stake,Lidar%20worth%20about%20%24227.2%20million.&text=The%20automaker%20revealed%20it%20owns,is%20worth%20approximately%20%24227.2%20million.)  Hmmmm....  Interesting, but even
                                                      more
                                                      interesting is
                                                      the
                                                      SmartDrivingCars[PodCast](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-179) / [ZoomCast](https://youtu.be/ngpKFmQNsxs) with John Rich.  Alain

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      October 09,
                                                      2020  [Waymo starts to open driverless ride-hailing service to the public](https://techcrunch.com/2020/10/08/waymo-starts-to-open-driverless-ride-hailing-service-to-the-public/)

K. Korosec, Oct. 8, “Waymo, the Google self-driving-project-turned-Alphabet unit, is beginning to open up its driverless ride-hailing service to the public.

                                                      The company
                                                      said that
                                                      starting
                                                      today, members
                                                      of its Waymo
                                                      One service
                                                      will be able
                                                      to take family
                                                      and friends
                                                      along on their
                                                      fully
                                                      driverless
                                                      rides in the
                                                      Phoenix area.
                                                      Existing Waymo
                                                      One members
                                                      will have the
                                                      first access
                                                      to the
                                                      driverless
                                                      terminology
                                                      that means no
                                                      human behind
                                                      the wheel.
                                                      However, the
                                                      company said
                                                      that in the
                                                      next several
                                                      weeks more
                                                      people will be
                                                      welcomed
                                                      directly into
                                                      the service
                                                      through its
                                                      app, which is
                                                      available on
                                                      Google Play
                                                      and the App
                                                      Store.

                                                      Waymo said
                                                      that 100% of
                                                      its rides will
                                                      be fully
                                                      driverless
                                                      which it has
                                                      deemed its
                                                      rider only
                                                      mode. That
                                                      100% claim
                                                      requires a bit
                                                      of unpacking.
                                                      The public
                                                      shouldn't
                                                      expect
                                                      hundreds of
                                                      Waymo-branded
                                                      Chrysler
                                                      Pacifica  no
                                                      human behind
                                                      the  to
                                                      suddenly
                                                      inundate the
                                                      entire
                                                      600-plus
                                                      square miles
                                                      of the greater
                                                      Phoenix area..
                                                      ..."  [Read more](https://techcrunch.com/2020/10/08/waymo-starts-to-open-driverless-ride-hailing-service-to-the-public/)  Hmmmm...  "...fully Driverless...".
                                                      That means
                                                      that Krafcik,
                                                      the Waymo
                                                      "Board",
                                                      Alphabet's
                                                      Board and all
                                                      the lawyers
                                                      have signed
                                                      off and
                                                      said... We are
                                                      safe enough to
                                                      basically bet
                                                      the ranch that
                                                      the expected
                                                      value of the
                                                      mobility that
                                                      we'll be
                                                      putting out on
                                                      the streets
                                                      of our Operational Design Domain, which is under our control,
                                                      is worth
                                                      whatever
                                                      expected risk
                                                      still exists
                                                      that some bad
                                                      things may
                                                      happen.  That
                                                      is an enormous
                                                      hurdle that
                                                      has been
                                                      achieved by an
                                                      entity that
                                                      has an
                                                      enormous
                                                      ranch.  CONGRATULATIONS!!!
                                                      It hasn't come
                                                      easy, nor has
                                                      it come
                                                      without intese
                                                      diligence and
                                                      effort. CONGRATULATIONS!!! Alain
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      October 09,
                                                      2020

  ASSISTED DRIVING GRADINGS Staff, Oct. 2020  “On this page you will find the gradings of cars tested by Euro NCAP on automated driving technologies.

                                                      For its 2020
                                                      assessment of
                                                      Highway Assist
                                                      systems, Euro
                                                      NCAP has
                                                      developed
                                                      dedicated test
                                                      and assessment
                                                      protocols,
                                                      divided into
                                                      two main
                                                      areas:
                                                      Assistance
                                                      Competence,
                                                      based on the
                                                      balance
                                                      between Driver
                                                      Engagement and
                                                      Vehicle
                                                      Assistance,
                                                      and Safety
                                                      Backup...."  [Read more](https://www.euroncap.com/en/ratings-rewards/assisted-driving-gradings/) Hmmmm....Look carefully at each
                                                      component of
                                                      the rating
                                                      system.  NCAP
                                                      has chosen one
                                                      algorithmic
                                                      way of "adding
                                                      apples and
                                                      oranges" to
                                                      get their
                                                      rating.
                                                      Unfortunately
                                                      they don't
                                                      divulge the
                                                      secret
                                                      formula.  To
                                                      me, it doesn't
                                                      seem to be
                                                      sufficiently
                                                      iweighted on
                                                      what I
                                                      consider to be
                                                      the most
                                                      important
                                                      element...
                                                      "Collision
                                                      Avoidance".
                                                      If the system
                                                      doesn't do
                                                      that well,
                                                      then why
                                                      bother being
                                                      good at
                                                      Consumer
                                                      Information
                                                      (unless that
                                                      information
                                                      says clearly
                                                      that the
                                                      system doesn't
                                                      work well".

If NCAP itself did a good job of Consumer Information then it would divulge its algorithm and allow the consumer to edit its weights to trade-off what the consumer believes is more or less important.

In all fairness, NCAP does divulge the individual performance values.  With work, this is really valuable information. This is a must read!  Alain September 25, 2020

  Proposal for a new UN Regulation on uniform provisions concerning the approval of vehicles with regards to Automated Lane Keeping System

UN Economic & Social Council, April 6, “The intention of the Regulation is to establish uniform provisions concerning the approval of vehicles with regard to Automated Lane Keeping Systems (ALKS).

                                                              ALKS
                                                      controls the
                                                      lateral and
                                                      longitudinal
                                                      movement of
                                                      the vehicle
                                                      for extended
                                                      periods
                                                      without
                                                      further driver
                                                      command. ALKS
                                                      is a system
                                                      whereby the
                                                      activated
                                                      system is in
                                                      primary
                                                      control of the
                                                      vehicle.

                                                              This
                                                      Regulation is
                                                      the first
                                                      regulatory
                                                      step for an
                                                      automated
                                                      driving system
                                                      (as defined in ECE/TRANS/WP.29/1140) in traffic and it therefore provides innovative
                                                      provisions
                                                      aimed at
                                                      addressing the
                                                      complexity
                                                      related to the
                                                      evaluation of
                                                      the system
                                                      safety. It
                                                      contains
                                                      administrative
                                                      provisions
                                                      suitable for
                                                      type approval,
                                                      technical
                                                      requirements,
                                                      audit and
                                                      reporting
                                                      provisions and
                                                      testing
                                                      provisions.

                                                              ALKS
                                                      can be
                                                      activated
                                                      under certain
                                                      conditions on
                                                      roads where
                                                      pedestrians
                                                      and cyclists
                                                      are prohibited
                                                      and which, by
                                                      design, are
                                                      equipped with
                                                      a physical
                                                      separation
                                                      that divides
                                                      the traffic
                                                      moving in
                                                      opposite
                                                      directions and
                                                      prevent
                                                      traffic from
                                                      cutting across
                                                      the path of
                                                      the vehicle.
                                                      In a first
                                                      step, the
                                                      original text
                                                      of this
                                                      Regulation
                                                      limits the
                                                      operational
                                                      speed to 60
                                                      km/h maximum
                                                      and passenger
                                                      cars (M1
                                                      vehicles).

                                                          This
                                                      Regulation
                                                      includes
                                                      general
                                                      requirements
                                                      regarding the
                                                      system safety
                                                      and the
                                                      failsafe
                                                      response. When
                                                      the ALKS is
                                                      activated, it
                                                      shall perform
                                                      the driving
                                                      task instead
                                                      of the driver,
                                                      i.e. manage
                                                      all situations
                                                      including
                                                      failures, and
                                                      shall not
                                                      endanger the
                                                      safety of the
                                                      vehicle
                                                      occupants or
                                                      any other road
                                                      users. There
                                                      is however
                                                      always the
                                                      possibility
                                                      for the driver
                                                      to override
                                                      the system, at
                                                      any time.

                                                      The Regulation
                                                      also lays down
                                                      requirements
                                                      on how the
                                                      driving task
                                                      shall be
                                                      safely handed
                                                      over from the
                                                      ALKS to the
                                                      driver
                                                      including the
                                                      capability for
                                                      the system to
                                                      come to a stop
                                                      in case the
                                                      driver does
                                                      not reply
                                                      appropriately.

                                                      Finally, the
                                                      Regulation
                                                      includes
                                                      requirements
                                                      on the
                                                      Human-Machine
                                                      Interface
                                                      (HMI) to
                                                      prevent
                                                      misunderstanding
                                                      or misuse by
                                                      the driver.
                                                      The Regulation
                                                      for instance
                                                      requires that
                                                      on-board
                                                      displays used
                                                      by the driver
                                                      for other
                                                      activities
                                                      than driving
                                                      when the ALKS
                                                      is activated,
                                                      shall be
                                                      automatically
                                                      suspended as
                                                      soon as the
                                                      system issues
                                                      a transition
                                                      demand. These
                                                      measures are
                                                      without
                                                      prejudice to
                                                      driver
                                                      behaviour
                                                      rules on how
                                                      to use these
                                                      systems in the
                                                      Contracting
                                                      Parties as
                                                      currently
                                                      being
                                                      discussed by
                                                      the Global
                                                      Forum for Road
                                                      Traffic Safety
                                                      (WP.1) at the
                                                      time of
                                                      drafting this
                                                      document (See
                                                      e.g. Informal
                                                      Document 4
                                                      Revision 1 of
                                                      the
                                                      seventy-eight
                                                      session of
                                                      WP.1)...."[Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/k9aa8x6p4rqjaxd/Level3RegulatonECE-TRANS-WP29-2020-081e.docx?dl=0)Hmmmm.... A very important read with many very important
                                                      details and
                                                      this is just
                                                      for Automated
                                                      Lane Keeping
                                                      Systems (ALKS)
                                                      which is just
                                                      the 2nd (baby)
                                                      step, after
                                                      adaptive
                                                      cruise control
                                                      on the way of
                                                      "finishing"
                                                      Level 2 and
                                                      tip toeing
                                                      into Level 3
                                                      and beyond.
                                                      Thank you Russ
                                                      for bringing
                                                      this to my
                                                      attention.
                                                      Alain
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      September 11,
                                                      2020  [Tesla's 'Full Self-Driving Capability' Falls Short of Its Name](https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/tesla-full-self-driving-capability-review-falls-short-of-its-name/) M.
                                                      Monticello.
                                                      Sept. 8, The
                                                      features might
                                                      be cutting
                                                      edge, even
                                                      cool, but we
                                                      think buyers
                                                      should be wary
                                                      of shelling
                                                      out $8,000 for
                                                      what electric
                                                      car company
                                                      Tesla calls
                                                      its Full
                                                      Self-Driving
                                                      Capability
                                                      option. Tesla
                                                      claims every
                                                      new vehicle it
                                                      builds
                                                      includes all
                                                      the hardware
                                                      necessary to
                                                      be fully
                                                      autonomous,
                                                      and the
                                                      company says
                                                      that through
                                                      future
                                                      over-the-air
                                                      software
                                                      updates, its
                                                      cars should
                                                      eventually be
                                                      capable of
                                                      driving
                                                      themselves.  .... Anytime anyone uses words
                                                      such as "Full"
                                                      the one thing
                                                      that you know
                                                      that they are
                                                      "Full" of is
                                                      ....   "Full"
                                                      is about a
                                                      perception,
                                                      not a fact.
                                                      Even the
                                                      definition of
                                                      "autonomous"
                                                      has caveats
                                                      (or should I
                                                      say Full of
                                                      caveats?).
                                                      What I
                                                      interpret Elon
                                                      to be selling
                                                      is: sufficient
                                                      hardware
                                                      (sensors,
                                                      memory,
                                                      compute power
                                                      and
                                                      communications
                                                      bandwidth)
                                                      that, with
                                                      more elegant
                                                      software, may
                                                      be able to do
                                                      a way better
                                                      job in safely
                                                      driving a
                                                      car.  What he
                                                      has never said
                                                      is that this
                                                      hardware plus
                                                      future
                                                      software is
                                                      going to be
                                                      good enough
                                                      for him to be
                                                      held
                                                      responsible if
                                                      something bad
                                                      happens when
                                                      the car is
                                                      being driven
                                                      by that
                                                      hardware and
                                                      software
                                                      combination.
                                                      That said,
                                                      lets move
                                                      on...

                                                      But for now,
                                                      Full
                                                      Self-Driving
                                                      Capability,
                                                      which includes
                                                      features that
                                                      can assist the
                                                      driver with
                                                      parking,
                                                      changing lanes
                                                      on the
                                                      highway, and
                                                      even coming to
                                                      a complete
                                                      halt at
                                                      traffic lights
                                                      and stop
                                                      signs, remains
                                                      a misnomer ...Yes!...   Below, we explain each feature in
                                                      the suite, its
                                                      intended use,
                                                      and how each
                                                      performed in
                                                      our tests....
                                                      " [Read more](https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/tesla-full-self-driving-capability-review-falls-short-of-its-name/) Hmmmm.... [See Video](https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/tesla-full-self-driving-capability-review-falls-short-of-its-name/), [Watch Zoom-Cast](https://youtu.be/AfRb9B-9boc).  Help with
                                                      parking....
                                                      no  one parks
                                                      a good car
                                                      into a tight
                                                      parking place;
                                                      else, that
                                                      car's life as
                                                      a god car
                                                      rapidly
                                                      disappears.
                                                      Stupid Summon
                                                      is just
                                                      stupid... your
                                                      car is not
                                                      your dog and
                                                      certainly not
                                                      in the WalMart
                                                      parking lot.
                                                      (or should I
                                                      have said
                                                      WholePaycheck
                                                      parking lot)
                                                      Here puppy,
                                                      here puppy!

I really like what Consumer Reports has been doing on this front. Trying to help consumers understant what is what. Alain rgb(51, 51, September 11, 2020

  Autonomous vehicles could improve policing, public safety, and much more

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      August 20,
                                                      2020   [Creating Standards in an Environment of Mistrust](https://www.dropbox.com/s/6jm74a94rtyd4c0/The-Dispatcher_September-2020.pdf?dl=0)

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Saturday,
                                                       [The Biggest Self-Driving Truck Startup Stumbles in Hitting High Goals](https://www.theinformation.com/articles/the-biggest-self-driving-truck-startup-stumbles-in-hitting-high-goals)
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,
                                                         [Car OEMs Driving Toward Relevance or Perdition](https://www.dropbox.com/s/ltmk5s3hdpwf6nr/The-Dispatcher_August-2020.pdf?dl=0)

###

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,
                                                       [Fostering Economic Opportunity through Autonomous Vehicle Technology](https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_bUHzsV9BSm-tJkKQ6QVNqg)
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,

 Announcing 2020-2021 Fellow-in-Residence Henry L. Greenidge, Esq. Press release, June 24, “The McSilver Institute for Poverty Policy and Research at New York University has announced transportation policy expert Henry L. Greenidge, Esq. as a 2020-2021 Fellow-in-Residence. ..”  Read more  Hmmm….  In no uncertain terms, we must make sure that inequities and racism are not explicitly nor even implicitly baked intothe SmartDrivingCar r/evolution.  We are still at the very beginning, so it shouldn’t be hard nor expensive but so far it doesn’t look good.  The emphasis has been on giving those that already have fantastic ways to get around one more way. The focus hasn’t been on the mobility disadvantaged and certainly not on the Black community. Just look where the testing has been taking place and the folks that take part in the focus groups and those that are given rides. Look at who designs and writes the software and the investors. Sure, one can and should serve them, but if public policy is going to play a role, then it can’t bake in more inequities. Moreover, the private sector can also step up and realize that these systems can readily serve everyone.  The technology that makes SmartDrivingCars possible is not inherently racists.  It can respect and serve everyone. Henry and others can help make sure that the designers and deployers of SmartDrivingCars don’t explicitly nor implicitly bake in racism and bias. Alain rgb(51, 51, 255);”>Thursday,   Motor Vehicle Fatality Rates Jump 36.6% in April Despite Quarantines, Says National Safety Council rgb(51, 51, 255);”>Friday,

  Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19, June 12, 2020

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,
                                                        [Two-way Vehicle Connectivity is a Three-sided Coin That Everyone Wants to Own](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0)

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,

                                                      [Luminaries Battle In Lincoln-Douglas Style Debate About The Future Of Self-Driving Cars](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lanceeliot/2020/04/28/luminaries-battle-in-lincoln-douglas-style-debate-about-the-future-of-self-driving-cars/#35c0455028b6)
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Friday,

  What Negative Oil Prices Mean and How the Impact Could Last rgb(51, 51, 255);”>Friday,

  Starsky Robotics Failed. Does That Mean Automated Trucking Is Dead?

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Friday,
                                                      January 31,
                                                      2020

2020 Hyundai Sonata stars in Super Bowl ad all about ‘Smaht Pahk’

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Sunday,
                                                      January 12,

   Hmmmm… Reflections

A. Kornhauser, Jan 12,    Hmmmm…   Self-driving cars are hot and the OEMs are responding. I’m about to buy a new Subaru Outback and EyeSightis standard.  It is no longer just AutoPilot or expensive options that car salesmen don’t sell. Car companies, as reflected in what is in showrooms and what was promoted at CES, have realized the comfort and convenience of Self-driving technology (cars that have a lot of the Safe-driving car features but also enable you to take your feet off the pedals and hands off the wheel at least for short periods of time. These technologies are really becoming the ‘chrome and fins’ that sell cars to individuals in the 2020s. The momentum is all behind that happening and there is little Washington or Trenton or Princeton Council can do about it. Hopefully part of that momentum will be to make these systems actually work well, especially the Automated Emergency Braking Systems (MUST quit assuming that all stationary objects in the lane ahead can be passed under and consequently each is disregarded. As Tesla is finding out, sometimes those objects are parked firetrucks.) and begin to put hard limits on over-speeding, tailgating and use while driver is impaired. Self-driving cars are unfortunately going to lead to substantial urban sprawl, increased VMT, increased congestion and do nothing to help the energy and pollution challenges of our addiction to the personal automobile. Only ‘Waymo-style Driverless’ (autonomousTaxis, (aTaxis)) tuned to entice ride-sharing can potentially stem the tide of ever more personal car ownership and ever expanding urban sprawl. Alain

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Monday,
                                                      January 6,
                                                      2020

A. Kornhauser, Jan. 6,    Hmmmm…   I’m in rehab and hope to go home on Wednesday morning. Thank you to so many of you for all the good wishes and prayers.  They each helped. I’m looking to making a full recovery. Remember, if you don’t feel well, get evaluated by a doctor.  I was totally clueless about what hit me from out of nowhere. Alain

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Saturday,
                                                      November 23,
                                                      2019 [Self-driving car capital? One senator thinks it can be Florida](https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article237625484.html)
                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Saturday,
                                                      September 28,
                                                      2019 [Public forum will explore possibility of transit on demand in Princeton](https://planetprinceton.com/2019/09/22/public-forum-will-explore-possibility-of-transit-on-demand-in-princeton/)

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Saturday,
                                                      August 17,
                                                      2019 [Autonomous Vehicles:  A View from Seniors](https://www.dropbox.com/s/wi7t4ec5h30i54e/AutonomousVehiclesAViewFromSeniorsFINALDRAFT20190815.docx?dl=0)

                                                      rgb(51, 51,
                                                      255);">Thursday,
                                                      November 22,

  Market Framework and Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

                                                      October 24,

New Jersey Pending Legislation re: Autonomous Vehicles

Oct 16, Establishes fully autonomous vehicle pilot program A4573 Sponsors: Zwicker (D16); Benson (D14)

Oct 16, EstablishesNew Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task Force AJR164Sponsors: Benson (D14); Zwicker (D16); Lampitt (D6)

                                                      Oct 16, [Directs MVC to establish driver's license endorsement for autonomous vehicles A4541](https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/2018/Bills/A5000/4541_I1.PDF) Sponsors:
                                                      Zwicker (D16);
                                                      Benson (D14);
                                                      Lampitt
                                                      (D6)..."  [Read more](https://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NVIDIA-Self-Driving-Safety-Report-2018.pdf)Hmmmm.... Things are beginning to move in New
                                                      Jersey.  Alain

 Testimony of Alain Kornhauser, Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

Audio Recording of Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

 CPUC AUTHORIZES PASSENGER CARRIERS TO PROVIDE FREE TEST RIDES IN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WITH VALID CPUC AND DMV PERMITS

PRELIMINARY REPORT: HIGHWAY: HWY18MH010 (Uber/Herzberg Crash) May 24, “About 9:58 p.m., on Sunday, March 18, 2018, an Uber Technologies, Inc. test vehicle, based on a modified 2017 Volvo XC90 and operating with a self-driving system in computer control mode, struck a pedestrian on northbound Mill Avenue, in Tempe, Maricopa County, Arizona.

…The vehicle was factory equipped with several advanced driver assistance functions by Volvo Cars, the original manufacturer. The systems included a collision avoidance function with automatic emergency

                                                      braking, known
                                                      as City
                                                      Safety, as
                                                      well as
                                                      functions for
                                                      detecting
                                                      driver
                                                      alertness and
                                                      road sign
                                                      information.
                                                      All these
                                                      Volvo
                                                      functions are
                                                      disabled when
                                                      the test
                                                      vehicle is
                                                      operated in
                                                      computer
                                                      control..."[Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NTSBuberPreliminaryMay2018.pdf) Hmmmm.... Uber must believe
                                                      that its
                                                      systems are
                                                      better at
                                                      avoiding
                                                      Collisions and
                                                      Automated
                                                      Emergency
                                                      Braking than
                                                      Volvo's.  At least this gets Volvo
                                                      "off the
                                                      hook".

“…According to data obtained from the self-driving system, the system first registered radar and LIDAR observations of the pedestrian about 6 seconds before impact, when the vehicle was traveling at 43 mph…“ (= 63 feet/second) So the system started “seeing an obstacle when it was 63 x 6 = 378 feet away… more than a football field, including end zones!

“…As the vehicle and pedestrian paths converged, the self-driving system software classified the pedestrian as an unknown object, as a vehicle, and then as a bicycle with varying expectations of future travel path…“ (NTSB: Please tell us precisely when it classified this “object’ as a vehicle and be explicit about the expected ”future travel paths.”  Forget the path, please just tell us the precise velocity vector that Uber’s system attached to the “object”, then the “vehicle”. Why didn’t the the Uber system instruct the Volvo to begin to slow down (or speed up) to avoid a collision?  If these paths (or velocity vectors) were not accurate, then why weren’t they accurate?  Why was the object classified as a “Vehicle” ??  When did it finally classify the object as a ”bicycle”?  Why did it change classifications? How often was the classification of this object done.  Please divulge the time and the outcome of each classification of this object. In the tests that Uber has done, how often has the system mis-classified an object as a”pedestrian”when the object was actually an overpass, or an overhead sign or overhead branches/leaves that the car could safely pass under, or was nothing at all?? (Basically, what are the false alarm characteristics of Uber’s Self-driving sensor/software system as a function of vehicle speed and time-of-day?)

“…At 1.3 seconds before impact, (impact speed was 39mph = 57.2 ft/sec) the self-driving system determined that an emergency braking maneuver was needed to mitigate a collision” (1.3 x 57.2 = 74.4 ft. which is about equal to the braking distance. So it still could have stopped short.

“…According to Uber, emergency braking maneuvers are not enabled while the vehicle is under computer control, to reduce (eradicate??) the potential for erratic vehicle behavior. …“ NTSB:  Please describe/define potential  and erratic vehicle behavior   Also please uncover and divulge the design & decision process that Uber went through to decide that this risk (disabling the AEB) was worth the reward of eradicating “ ”erratic vehicle behavior”.  This is fundamentally BAD design.  If the Uber system’s false alarm rate is so large that the best way to deal with false alarms is to turn off the AEB, then the system should never have been permitted on public roadways.

“…The vehicle operator is relied on to intervene and take action. ” Wow! If Uber’s system fundamentally relies on a human to intervene, then Uber is nowhere near creating a Driverless vehicle. Without its own Driverless vehicle Uber is past “Peak valuation”.

“…The system is not designed to alert the operator. “ That may be the only good part of Uber’s design.  In a Driverless vehicle, there is no one to warn, so don’t waste your time.  If it is important enough to warn, then it is important enough for the automated system to start initiating things to do something about it. Plus, the Driver may not know what to do anyway. This is pretty much as I stated in PodCast of SmartDrivingCar, 10,  2018   Don’t Worry, Driverless Cars Are Learning From Grand Theft Auto

Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Sunday, December 19, 2015 Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars Video similar to part of Adam’s Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1.  Hmmm … Watch Video especially at the 13:12 mark. Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above!  Also see his TipRanks. Alain

Alain L. Kornhauser, PhD

                Professor, Operations Research & Financial
                Engineering

                Director, Transportation Program

                Faculty Chair, Princeton Autonomous Vehicle
                Engineering

229 Sherrerd Hall

                        Princeton University

                        Princeton, NJ

 (o)

 (c)

Alain L. Kornhauser, PhD

          Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering

          Director, Transportation Program

          Faculty Chair, Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering

229 Sherrerd Hall

                  Princeton University

                  Princeton, NJ

alaink@princeton.edu

                  609-258-4657 (o)

                  609-980-1427 (c)

This list is maintained by Alain Kornhauser and hosted by the Princeton University LISTSERV.