2020-06-18

2020-06-18

edition of the 8th year of SmartDrivingCars

U.S. Transportation Secretary Elaine L. Chao Announces First Participants in New Automated Vehicle Initiative to Improve Safety, Testing, and Public Engagement

Press release, June 15, “The U.S. Department of Transportation today announced nine companies and eight States that have signed on as the first participants in a new Department initiative to improve the safety and testing transparency of automated driving systems, the Automated Vehicle Transparency and Engagement for Safe Testing (AV TEST) Initiative.  The participating companies are Beep, Cruise, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, Local Motors, Navya, Nuro, Toyota, Uber, and Waymo.  The States are California, Florida, Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Utah.

                                                "Through this
                                                initiative, the
                                                Department is
                                                creating a formal
                                                platform for
                                                Federal, State, and
                                                local government to
                                                coordinate and share
                                                information in a
                                                standard way," said
                                                U.S. Transportation
                                                Secretary Elaine L.
                                                Chao. ...

This initiative aligns with the Department’s leadership on automated driving system vehicles, including AV 4.0:  Ensuring American Leadership in Automated Vehicle Technologies.Read more  Hmmm… Excellent. This is really good because it is promotes and organizes the open sharing of safety information assoiated with automated driving. This is extremely important because safety of these systems is a necessary condition for their adoption.

Unfortunately, a few things seem to be missing from the announcement.

  • a budget (Washington may not have any money left after COVID-19),

  • any mention of mobility for people or for goods.  The testing of safety is conducted without doing any useful mobility, but the value of testing is derived from the delivery of that mobility. Safety in that context requires the active engagement the entities that are being transported. It is very important that this initiative include potential customers and neighborhoods whose streets such automation might use, and

  • the whole Northeast including New Jersey seems to have not “signed on”, nor is Ford/Argo, Zooks, Aurore, Voyage Amazon, Apple…. :-(  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 161 - Alberto Stochino

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F. Fishkin, June 17, “Is less data sometimes more when it comes to driverless vehicle technology? Perceptive Founder and CEO Alberto Stochino joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the DOT’s new plan for sharing autonomous safety information, the latest from Tesla, EVs from China and more.”   “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Zoom-Cast Episode 161 - Alberto Stochino

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###

Video version of SmartDrivingCars PodCast 161 …. Alain

                                                  The
                                                  SmartDrivingCars
                                                  eLetter,
                                                  Pod-Casts,
                                                  Zoom-Casts and
                                                  Zoom-inars are
                                                  made possible in
                                                  part by support
                                                  from the Smart
                                                  Transportation and
                                                  Technology ETF,
                                                  symbol MOTO.   For
                                                  more information:
                                                  [www.motoetf.com](https://www.smartetfs.com/).
                                                  Most funding is
                                                  supplied by
                                                  Princeton
                                                  University's
                                                  Department of
                                                  Operations
                                                  Research &
                                                  Financial
                                                  Engineering and
                                                  Princeton
                                                  Autonomous Vehicle
                                                  Engineering (PAVE)
                                                  research
                                                  laboratory as
                                                  part of its
                                                  research
                                                  dissemination
                                                  initiatives.

SmartDrivingCar Zoom-inar 004Insurance: For or Against SmartDrivingCars?

###

Live: Tuesday, June 23, 2:00pm New York Time

Free Pre-registration is required

Michigan, Fiat Chrysler join federal self-driving car initiative

K. Laing, June 15, “… But safety advocates sharply criticized the transportation department for sticking with an voluntary approach to self-driving regulation that critics have described as toothless, citing fatal accidents involving partially autonomous cars that have been operated in recent years by companies such as Tesla and Uber. “ Read more  Hmmm… How much more “teeth” could regulations and US DoT contribute that make a dent in the “teeth” that the economy sink into Uber’s bottom for its pathetic system design and implementation that disregarded stationary objects in the lane ahead. That caused $60B in valuation to evaporate.

Tesla has somewhat of an excuse to disregard stationary objects in the lane ahead. It explicitly puts that responsibility on the human driver.  If bad things happen, it is the driver’s misbehavior that’s the root cause. AutoPilots have always required driver supervision whether they be in Boeings or Teslas. Alain

The Plan to Merge Geely Auto and Volvo Cars, plus more

M. Sena, July, 2020 issue, “The July issue of The Dispatcher continues the theme of the impact of China on the global automotive industry by looking at the proposal of Volvo Car’s parent company, Geely, to merge Volvo Cars and Geely Auto and take the combined company public. In Musings I discuss the issue of vehicle connectivity again, and in Dispatch Central I review current attempts to promote electrification through incentives that are also aimed at helping the automobile industry get through the COVID-19 pandemic….” Read more  Hmmm…  Another excellent issue.   See especially the whole section: Musings of a Dispatcher: Vehicle Connectivity

                                                      We're all
                                                      speaking
                                                      different
                                                      languages.
                                                  ... a follow-up
                                                    to the most
                                                    interesting [Zoom-tank Zoom-inar 003](https://youtu.be/DMNLH_fkcI4) on
                                                    Connectivity in
                                                    which Michael
                                                    was the
                                                    provacteur.
                                                    Alain

Renault Rattled by Threat From Chinese Electric Cars Imports

T. Patel, June 12, “A flood of Chinese electric cars coming ashore in Norway – one of the biggest markets for battery-powered vehicles in Europe – is a sign of the “ferocious competition” awaiting the region’s automakers.

                                                That warning by
                                                Jean-Dominique
                                                Senard, chairman of
                                                struggling French
                                                carmaker Renault SA,
                                                comes as European
                                                manufacturers roll
                                                out more electric
                                                cars in the midst of
                                                a deep slump brought
                                                on by the
                                                coronavirus.

                                                Tighter emissions
                                                rules across the
                                                European Union have
                                                prodded automakers
                                                to lean into the
                                                transition to
                                                electric powertrains
                                                or face big fines
                                                this year. To
                                                further spur
                                                electric-car sales,
                                                the governments of
                                                France and Germany
                                                have included extra
                                                incentives for the
                                                purchase of electric
                                                vehicles in economic
                                                stimulus packages.

                                                As a result, the
                                                Chinese models are
                                                arriving in a market
                                                that's becoming
                                                increasingly crowded
                                                with new EVs,
                                                including Renault's
                                                updated and
                                                best-selling Zoe
                                                subcompact and
                                                Volkswagen AG's
                                                coming ID.3...." [Read more](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-11/renault-rattled-by-threat-from-imports-of-chinese-electric-cars)  Hmmm... Will
                                                      this look like
                                                      the Electric
                                                      Scooter
                                                      invassion
                                                      Re-read
                                                      Michael Sena's
                                                      Dispatchers
                                                      from [March](http://www.michaellsena.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/The-Dispatcher_March-2020.pdf),
                                                      [May](http://www.michaellsena.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/The-Dispatcher_May-2020.pdf)
                                                      and [June](http://www.michaellsena.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/The-Dispatcher_June-2020.pdf)
                                                      for more
                                                      background.
                                                      Alain

FORD CO-PILOT360™ TECHNOLOGY ADDS HANDS-FREE DRIVING, OVER-THE-AIR UPDATES AND MORE TO HELP FORD CUSTOMERS FEEL MORE RELAXED AND CONFIDENT

Press release, June 18, “Ford Co-Pilot360™ Technology – a comprehensive collection of available driver-assist features – adds new offerings including Active Drive Assist, allowing for hands-free driving on more than 100,000 miles of divided highways in all 50 states and Canada.

                                                "The stress of long
                                                highway drives
                                                remains a huge issue
                                                for drivers around
                                                the world," said Hau
                                                Thai-Tang, Ford's
                                                chief product
                                                development and
                                                purchasing officer.
                                                "By introducing
                                                driver-assist
                                                technologies like
                                                Active Drive Assist,
                                                Ford's version of
                                                hands-free driving,
                                                we're allowing our
                                                customers to feel
                                                more confident
                                                whenever they're
                                                behind the wheel."

                                                Active Drive Assist
                                                is the next
                                                evolution of
                                                Intelligent Adaptive
                                                Cruise Control with
                                                Lane Centering from
                                                Ford, adding a
                                                first-for-Ford
                                                Hands-Free Mode with
                                                the potential for
                                                more enhancements in
                                                the future.1..."  [Read more](https://media.ford.com/content/fordmedia/fna/us/en/news/2020/06/18/ford-co-pilot360-technology-adds-hands-free-driving.html) Hmmmm.... Excellent... Active Drive Assist sounds very
                                                      much like [GM's Super Cruise](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a30795396/gm-super-cruise-self-driving-2023/)
                                                      and their TM
                                                      Co-Pilot360
                                                      may well
                                                      infringe on
                                                      ALK's [CoPilot](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.alk.copilot.mapviewer&hl=en_US)
                                                      wich was
                                                      trademarked
                                                      last century.

                                                      Alain

Cadillac Super Cruise vs. Tesla Autopilot

R. Glon, June 10, “Tesla’s Autopilot technology is one of the most-hyped and best-known suites of electronic driving aids, but it’s not the only (or the best) system of its kind on the market. Cadillac’s Super Cruise isn’t as well known, yet it’s outstandingly safe and, in some ways, smarter than Autopilot. Join us for a look at how these rivaling systems work, the ways they’re similar, and the areas where they differ….” Read more Hmmmm…. Informative. Alain

We’re never going to get meaningful data on self-driving car testing

A. Hawkins, June 15, “The US Department of Transportation launched a new voluntary program to collect and share data from autonomous vehicle operators. Companies testing AVs on public roads are invited to submit information to the government, which will then publicize it online. But given the voluntary nature of the program, safety advocates say the effort is likely to fall short of providing useful data to the public.

                                                There is currently
                                                no federal rule
                                                requiring AV
                                                companies to submit
                                                information about
                                                their testing
                                                activities to the
                                                government. Instead,
                                                a patchwork of
                                                state-by-state
                                                regulations govern
                                                what is and isn't
                                                disclosed.
                                                California has the
                                                most stringent
                                                rules, requiring
                                                companies to obtain
                                                a license for
                                                different types of
                                                testing, disclose
                                                vehicle crashes,
                                                list the number of
                                                miles driven, and
                                                the frequency at
                                                which human safety
                                                drivers were forced
                                                to take control of
                                                their autonomous
                                                vehicles (also known
                                                as a
                                                "disengagement").
                                                Unsurprisingly,[AV companies hate California's requirements](https://www.theverge.com/2020/2/26/21142685/california-dmv-self-driving-car-disengagement-report-data)....
                                                ". [Read more](https://www.theverge.com/2020/6/15/21292014/dot-nhtsa-self-driving-car-test-data-voluntary) Hmmmm....Testing with "safety drivers" behind the wheel
                                                      is really just
                                                      like driving a
                                                      Tesla with
                                                      autoPilot.  No
                                                      need for the
                                                      Feds or States
                                                      to require
                                                      anything.

More importnt is the understanding of the decision process and the evidence that a company will use to offer mobility services without a driver or attendant on-board. Those data and evidence should be captured in a certification process, not a testing process.  What process will convince a community, a State, a Federal government, a …  to welcome such driverless mobility services in its prescribed Operational Design Domain (ODD). Alain

Tesla admits its approach to self-driving is harder but might be only way to scale

                                                F. Lambert, June 18,
                                                "Tesla's head of AI
                                                admitted that the
                                                automaker's approach
                                                to self-driving is
                                                harder than what
                                                most companies in
                                                the industry are
                                                doing, but he says
                                                it's the only way to
                                                scale.

                                                There are dozens of
                                                high-profile
                                                companies working on
                                                solving self-driving
                                                and virtually as
                                                many different
                                                approaches, but
                                                there are two main
                                                differences: those
                                                who rely mainly if
                                                not entirely on
                                                computer vision and
                                                those who rely on HD
                                                mapping.  Tesla
                                                falls in the former
                                                category of relying
                                                on computer vision.

                                                Andrej Karpathy,
                                                Tesla's head of AI
                                                and computer vision,
                                                is leading this
                                                effort.  Earlier
                                                this week, he
                                                participated in a
                                                CVPR'20 workshop on
                                                "Scalability in
                                                Autonomous Driving"
                                                during which he gave
                                                an update on the [status of Tesla's program and talked about the scalability challenges](https://youtu.be/g2R2T631x7k):...
                                                " [Read more](https://electrek.co/2020/06/18/tesla-approach-self-driving-harder-only-way-to-scale/) Hmmmm...   Must  [Watch video!](https://youtu.be/uMkRgxL7CGc) At
                                                      2:30 in, does
                                                      AutoPlot
                                                      actually know
                                                      the clearance
                                                      in the lane
                                                      ahead under
                                                      the 2nd
                                                      overpass?   I
                                                      sure hope so.

The problem with “relying” on HD maps is that they contain zero information about the objects moving in the scene ahead,  You need something else (vision) to  “see” these objects and to tag their location, velocit, acceleration relative to you so you can avoid hitting them or them hitting you. Since vision can also deal with the stationary objects, the HD aspects of digital maps are not necessary and tough to justify even as a redundancy. Alain

New method makes more data available for training self-driving cars

CMU, June 17, “…In the past, state-of-the-art methods for training such a system have required the use of labeled datasets—sensor data that has been annotated to track each 3-D point over time. Manually labeling these datasets is laborious and expensive, so, not surprisingly, little labeled data exists. As a result, scene flow training is instead often performed with simulated data, which is less effective, and then fine-tuned with the small amount of labeled real-world data that exists.

Mittal, Held and robotics Ph.D. student Brian Okorn took a different approach, using unlabeled data to perform scene flow training. Because unlabeled data is relatively easy to generate by mounting a lidar on a car and driving around, there’s no shortage of it.

The key to their approach was to develop a way for the system to detect its own errors in scene flow. At each instant, the system tries to predict where each 3-D point is going and how fast it’s moving. In the next instant, it measures the distance between the point’s predicted location and the actual location of the point nearest that predicted location. This distance forms one type of error to be minimized… “   Read more Hmmmm….  I don’t understand… “the actual location of the point nearest that predicted location” is a label.  Something had to classify/label that “actual” point.  LiDAR doesn’t classify each point.  If it did, you wouldn’t need any “method”, new or not. ???? Alain

Tesla deliveries unsurprisingly crash in US amid pandemic but it’s not that bad

                                                F. Lambert, June 17,
                                                "Tesla deliveries
                                                have fallen ~37% in
                                                California and ~30%
                                                in the US based on
                                                registration data,
                                                but it's not
                                                surprising amid the
                                                pandemic and
                                                actually not even
                                                that bad of a
                                                drop.   Due to the
                                                pandemic, Tesla had
                                                to shut down its
                                                Fremont factory for
                                                just over a month in
                                                March and April.

                                                It is where Tesla
                                                produces most of its
                                                vehicles and
                                                therefore, the
                                                shutdown is expected
                                                to have a major
                                                impact on Tesla's
                                                sales and ultimately
                                                its financial
                                                results during the
                                                second quarter.

                                                The Wall Street
                                                Journal now reports
                                                data registration
                                                for Tesla in
                                                California, Tesla's
                                                biggest market in
                                                the US, and it shows
                                                a 37% drop in April
                                                and Ma:... " [Read more](https://electrek.co/2020/06/17/tesla-deliveries-california-amid-pandemic-registrations/) Hmmmm...
                                                      Impressive.
                                                      Need to wait
                                                      for China
                                                      deliveries in
                                                      those months.
                                                      Could be
                                                      really
                                                      impressive.
                                                      Alain

Driver free but virus free? Robo cars hit new speed bump

T. Krisher, June 17, “… An executive with self-driving car company Waymo said Wednesday that the coronavirus pandemic forced it to put its limited ride service in the Phoenix area on hold to make sure human backup drivers and passengers were safe.

                                                The
                                                passenger-carrying
                                                service hasn't
                                                resumed yet, but
                                                testing restarted on
                                                May 8. Some of the
                                                rides were shifted
                                                toward delivery,
                                                Patrick Cadariu,
                                                Waymo's head of
                                                supply chain
                                                operations, said on
                                                a webinar...."  [Read more](https://apnews.com/de78208122f116d05b170e10627f9e7d) Hmmmm....  On the positive side, the coders continue to
                                                      imprve the
                                                      code  Making
                                                      these
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars
                                                      safe,remains
                                                      to be the
                                                      "critical
                                                      path" to
                                                      driverless
                                                      mobility
                                                      services.
                                                      This may not
                                                      have hit a
                                                      speed bump,
                                                      but instead
                                                      has
                                                      accelerated
                                                      because the
                                                      coders may
                                                      have actually
                                                      become more
                                                      productive.
                                                      Just a
                                                      thought.
                                                      Alain

Watch This Stopped Tesla Model 3 Get Violently Rear Ended By A Chevy SUV

S. Loveday,  June 11, “Watch This Stopped Tesla Model 3 Get Violently Rear Ended By A Chevy SUV…’‘   Read more  Hmmm…  See video.  So much for the automated emergency braking system on the Chevy SUV.. It either didn’t have one or the one it had didn’t work. Alain

  Toyota Looks Pretty Smart Right Now On Autonomous Vehicles T. Davenport, June 10, “…All of which makes Toyota’s strategy on smart cars the smartest one around. For years it’s been pursuing Guardian—a project at the Toyota Research Institute (TRI) focused on making human driving smarter and safer. …“  Read more  Hmmm… What I’ve been calling Safe-driving cars. Nice that Toyota continue to work on these.  It would be nice if they were available in showrooms.  It would be pretty smart if they were in showrooms now.  Alain

###

Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit

                                                Postponed
                                                      until Evening
                                                      Oct. 20
                                                      through Oct.
                                                      22, 2020
                                                      (Maybe???) A.
                                                Kornhauser, Feb 6,
                                                "The focus of the
                                                Summit this year
                                                will be moving
                                                beyond the AI and
                                                the Sensors to
                                                addressing the
                                                challenges of
                                                Commercialization
                                                and  the delivery of
                                                tangible value to
                                                communities.  We've
                                                made enormous
                                                progress with the
                                                technology. We're
                                                doing the
                                                investment; however,
                                                this investment
                                                delivers value only
                                                if is
                                                commercialized: made
                                                available and is
                                                used by consumers in
                                                large numbers.
                                                Demos and one-offs
                                                are "great", but to
                                                deliver value that
                                                is anywhere near
                                                commensurate with
                                                the magnitude of the
                                                investment made to
                                                date, initial
                                                deployments need to
                                                scale.  We can't
                                                just have
                                                "Morgantown PRT
                                                Systems" whose
                                                initial deployment
                                                has been nothing but
                                                enormously
                                                successful for 45
                                                years (an
                                                essentially perfect
                                                safety record, an
                                                excellent
                                                availability record
                                                and customer valued
                                                mobility).
                                                Unfortunately, the
                                                system was never
                                                expanded or
                                                duplicated
                                                anywhere.  It didn't
                                                scale.  It is a
                                                one-off.

Tests, demos and one-offs are nice niche deployments; however, what one really needs are initial deployments that have the opportunity to grow, be replicated and scale.  In 1888, Frank Sprague, successfully deployed a small electric street railway system in Richmond, Va.  which became the reference for many other cites. “… By 1889 110 electric railways incorporating Sprague’s equipment had been begun or planned on several continents…” Substantial scaled societal benefits emerged virally from this technology.  It was eventually supplanted by the conventional automobile but for more than 30 years it delivered substantial improvements to the quality-of-life for many.

                                              In part, the 4th
                                              Summit will focus on
                                              defining the
                                              "Richmond" of
                                              Affordable Shared-ride
                                              On-demand
                                              Mobility-as-a-Service.
                                              The initial
                                              Operational Design
                                              Domain (ODD) that
                                              safely accommodates
                                              Driverless Mobility
                                              Machines that people
                                              actually choose to use
                                              and becomes the envy
                                              of communities
                                              throughout the
                                                Read more
                                                    Hmmmm... [Draft Program](https://www.dropbox.com/s/p7t7fwkm1wu9n3g/ProgramDraft1_4thAnnualPrincetonSDC_Summit.pdf?dl=0) is
                                                    in flux.
                                                    Consider all
                                                    named
                                                    individuals as
                                                    "Invited yet to
                                                    be confirmed".
                                                    Alain

C’mon Man!(These

                                                  folks didn't
                                                  get/read the memo)

##

Sunday

                                                  Supplement

Half-Baked

Click-Bait

Calendar

                                                of Upcoming Events:s

SmartDrivingCar Zoom-inar 004 AV Shark-Tank:

Insurance: For or Against SmartDrivingCars?

Live Tuesday, June 23 @ 2pm New York Time

Register Here

                                                  Evening Oct. 20
                                                  -> Oct 22.

SmartDrivingCar Summit

Princeton University Princeton, NJ

On the More Technical Side

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/

###

SmartDrivingCars  Pod-Cast Episode 159,  Zoom-Cast Episode 159 w/Kara Kockelman

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F. Fishkin, June 4, “Prof. Kara Kockelman’s focus on smart transportation to save lives, money and the environment has made her a sought after global expert.  The U. of Texas Transportation Engineering Professor joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin on the impact of Covid-19 and much more. Plus Tesla, Uber, Argo AI and the top smart driving headlines.  For more on Dr. Kockelman’s work….please visit…  http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman.”

                                          [SmartDrivingCars Zoom-inar 003 Everyone's for Connectivity; but...](https://youtu.be/DMNLH_fkcI4) F. Fishkin, June 2, "But
                                          the debate is not really
                                          about technology nor is it
                                          about who delivers the
                                          best value for the money
                                          or the most privacy. It is
                                          about ..."

Listen/Watch more Hmmm…   We only scratched the surface. Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 158, Zoom-Cast Episode 158 w/Chunka Mui

###

                                                  F. Fishkin, May
                                                  28, "In the midst
                                                  of the Covid-19
                                                  pandemic, what are
                                                  the smartest ways
                                                  to re-build and
                                                  plan for the
                                                  future? Futurist
                                                  and author Chunka
                                                  Mui joins
                                                  Princeton's Alain
                                                  Kornhauser and
                                                  co-host Fred
                                                  Fishkin for that
                                                  plus Amazon, Zoox,
                                                  Intel Mobileye,
                                                  Tesla, Uber and
                                                  more." SmartDrivingCars [Pod-Cast Episode 157](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-157),  [Zoom-Cast Episode 157](https://youtu.be/AQbuiJ70c7U)
                                          w/Grayson Brulte

F. Fishkin, May 21, “Global auto makers must completely re-think their autonomous mobility strategy as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic. So says innovation strategist Grayson Brulte of Brulte & Company….who joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus…Waymo, Tesla, Uber and more.”

###

                                          SmartDrivingCars
                                            Zoom-inar 002  [The Future of Public Roadway Transit](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3sqBZZzezUg)

(Will the Bus be Thrown Under the Bus?)

###

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 156Cars Zoom-Cast Episode 156 w/Danny Shapiro2

###

F. Fishkin, May 14, “With new hardware and software capabilities NVIDIA is expanding into new areas of driver assistance technology. Sr. Director of Automotive Danny Shapiro joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that…plus the latest on Waymo, Voyage, Ford and more. listen and subscribe!”   “Alexa, play the Smart Driving Cars podcast!”. Ditto with Siri, and GooglePlay … Alain

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 155, Zoom-Cast Episode 155  w/Alex Roy2

###

F. Fishkin, April 29, “The continuing impact of Covid-19 on autonomous vehicle progress. But it may not be all bad news. Alex Roy…host of the No Parking Podcast and Director of Special Operations at Argo AI joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Intel, Lyft, Uber and more. Listen and subscribe!”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 154, Zoom-Cast Episode 154   w/Dan Sperling

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F. Fishkin, April 29, “Can ride sharing rebound after the pandemic? Daniel Sperling, founding director of the Institute of Transportation Studies at UC Davis joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Waymo, Ford and more.”

SmartDrivingCars Zoom-inar 001 The Driverless New Normal Debate

###

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 153, Zoom-Cast Episode 153 w/Dick Mudge2

###

F. Fishkin, April 17, “The plummeting price of oil and what it may mean for mobility, ride sharing and the economy.. Dick Mudge, founder and president of Compass Transportation & Technology joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus GM, Uber and more on the Coronavirus impact.”

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 152, Zoom-Cast Episode 152 w/Brad Templeton

###

F. Fishkin, April 17, “Can robotaxis survive a pandemic? Internet pioneer, self driving car consultant and author Brad Templeton joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin in a wide ranging chat on the impact today and the future. Plus…Uber, Zoox, Waymo, Tesla and more.”   “

###

###

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 151,  Zoom-Cast Episode 151 w/Joe Moye

F. Fishkin, April 9, “In the midst of the Coronavirus pandemic, fully autonomous, driverless vehicles are carrying medical supplies and Covid-19 tests to the Mayo Clinic in Florida. They’re provided by Beep and the CEO, Joe Moye, joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that, plus the latest from Nuro, Tesla and more.”

SmartDrivingCars Podcast Episode 150 - Andrei Greenawalt

###

F. Fishkin, April 3, “Coronavirus devastates transportation and mobility. How does it recover? Matthew Daus, former NYC Taxi and Limousine Commission chairman, joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and much more. Watch,  subscribe,

Video version… Watch episode 150 with Andrei Greenawalt

SmartDriving CarsPodcast Episode 149 - Matt Daus

F. Fishkin, Mar. 26, “The Smart Driving Cars podcast with automated driving strategy consultant Richard Bishop joining Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Is automated trucking dead? Also…Covid-19 puts Waymo in park, the latest on Tesla and more. listen and subscribe!” … Alain

Video version… Watch episode 149 with Matt Daus….  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Podcast Episode 148 - Richard Bishop

F. Fishkin, Mar. 26, “The Smart Driving Cars podcast with automated driving strategy consultant Richard Bishop joining Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Is automated trucking dead? Also…Covid-19 puts Waymo in park, the latest on Tesla and more. listen and subscribe!” …  Alain

SmartDrivingCars Zoom-Cast Episode 148 - Richard Bishop Video version… Watch our first attempt…. Alain

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 147 - Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, Mar. 14, “From Sweden…The Dispatcher editor Michael Sena joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin as Covid-19 takes a toll on Waymo, Uber and more. Plus Saving the Car Industries in the U.S. and the EU… the latest from Future Networked Car 2020 in Geneva and more.” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 142 - J. Hughes

F. Fishkin, Feb 15, “What shifting populations mean for the future of mobility and transportation. Leading expert Jim Hughes of Rutgers University joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the latest on Tesla, GM, Comma AI’s inexpensive autopilot, Aptiv, Lyft and more. Tune in and subscribe! “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 141- A. Roy

F. Fishkin, Feb 7, “The latest glossary of BS in mobility, self driving and autonomy from author, podcaster and cannonball driver Alex Roy on Smart Driving Cars with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus the news from Tesla, Nuro, Waymo, GM and more! “ Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 140 - C. Mericli

F. Fishkin, Jan 31, “How self driving tech can increase profits in the trucking industry. Locomation’s CEO joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Waymo’s partnership with UPS, Tesla’s rocket ride, Hyundai’s Smart Park Super Bowl ad and more.  “ Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 139- Randal O’Toole

F. Fishkin, Jan 25, “Adaptive cruise control and self driving tech may lead to more urban sprawl. But the Cato Institute’s Randal O’Toole says maybe that isn’t a bad thing. He joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Subaru’s tech, GM’s Cruise, Tesla and more on the Smart Driving Cars podcast. This edition is sponsored by the SmartETFs Smart Transportation and Technology ETF, symbol MOTO. For more information…head to www.motoetf.com   “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 138-Nick Zart

F. Fishkin, Jan 18, “The new mobility on the ground and in the air. Nicolas Zart joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co host Fred Fishkin for a discussion on Urban Air Mobility…plus..Qualcomm, NVIDIA, Mobileye, Waymo and more in this edition of the Smart Driving Cars podcast.” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 136

F. Fishkin, Jan 6, “He’s back! Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser…still on the mend …but opinionated as ever…joins co-host Fred Fishkin for a look at the latest from Waymo, Tesla and more in Episode 136 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. “ Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 135 - with Jim Atkinson

F. Fishkin, Dec 5, “In this special edition… the launch of a new exchange traded fund focused on smart transportation and technology. Guinness Atkinson Asset Management CEO Jim Atkinson joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus..a push by the Coalition for Future Mobility for action in Washington, AutoX wants driverless testing in California and Aptiv grows in Pittsburgh. “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 130 with Dick Mudge & Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, Nov. 1, “An updated outlook for automated vehicles…Tesla, Waymo , Ford, VW and more. Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by guests Michael Sena and Dick Mudge in the latest edition of Smart Driving Cars!” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 126 - Sturges & Caudill F. Fishkin, Sept 19 , “From the public library in Princeton, NJ… a special edition of the Smart Driving Cars podcast following a public forum conducted by Princeton Future on the potential for transit on demand for all. Join Princeton professor Alain Kornhauser, co-host Fred Fishkin and special guests for that…plus…the latest on Waymo, Tesla, Hyundai, Aptiv and more. “ Pictures from the Princeton Future Public Forum on Driverless Mobility for All.

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 121 - Ken Pyle F. Fishkin, Aug 22 , “Daimler and Bosch hold a community meeting in San Jose as they ready plans for autonomous vehicle testing. Community board member Ken Pyle joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. Plus…Waymo, Tesla and more.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 116 - Jerome Lutin F. Fishkin, July 20, “Can technology dramatically improve the safety of bus transportation for pedestrians, riders and drivers? The lead investigator in a national study, Jerry Lutin,  joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin on episode 116 of the Smart Driving Cars Podcast. Plus…Tesla’s new safety report, the latest from Lyft, Aptiv and a NY Times report on why driverless cars are taking longer than expected. Tune in and subscribe!.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 112 - J. Hardiman NJM F. Fishkin, June 9, “Should the insurance industry be pushing more safety and autonomous tech in cars? It’s a win, win says Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser. Joining him in the discussion along with co-host Fred Fishkin is NJM’s John Hardiman, a board member of the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. Also…Fiat Chrysler, Ford and more.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 110 - Lance Elliot F. Fishkin, May 25, “ The untold secrets of driverless car videos. Dr. Lance Eliot joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a liveley discussion. Plus…Waymo brings back self driving trucks, so will Daimler and is the future driverless for Uber and Lyft. Tune in and subscribe!” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 108 3rd Summit Wrapup

###

F. Fishkin, May 18, “Wrapping up the 3rd annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin zero in on mobility for all and more. It’s just getting started. Plus the headlines from Nissan, Tesla, Uber and Lyft. Tune in and subscribe!”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 107 3rd Summit Leilei Shinohara & Staff Sergeant Terence McDonnell

F. Fishkin, May 18, “In this special edition from the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Cars Summit, Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by RoboSense VP Leilei Shinohara on the LiDAR’s benefits. And view of autonomous technology from law enforcement with New York State Police

                                          Staff Sergeant Terence
                                          McDonnell." [Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 106 3rd Summit David Kidd & Cecillia Feeley](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-106)

F. Fishkin, May 18, “From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, David Kidd from the Highway Loss Data Institute joins Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin and then on site preliminary research results on mobility for all with Cecilia Feeley and Andrea Lubin from Rutgers.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 104 3rd Summit Anil Lewis & Katherine Freund

F. Fishkin, May 18,, “From the 3rd Annual Princeton Smart Driving Car Summit, join Professor Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. In this special edition, the summit’s focus on mobility for all with guests Anil Lewis, Executive Director of Blindness Initiatives at the National Federation of the Blind and ITN America Founder Katherine Freund.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 100 - Andrei Greenawalt’99/Via

April 5, F. Fishkin, “The success of on demand transit company Via is proving that ride sharing systems can work. Public Policy head Andrei Greenawalt joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a wide ranging discussion. Also: Uber, Tesla, Audi, Apple and Nuro are making headlines”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 97 - Michael Sena’69

March 28, F. Fishkin, “The Future Networked Car? From Sweden, The Dispatcher publisher, Michael Sena, joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for the latest edition of Smart Driving Cars. Plus …the Boeing story has much to do with autonomous vehicles and more. Tune in and subscribe.”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 81 -nVIDIA, Shapiro & Local Motors / Olli, Hodge

F. Fishkin,  Jan. 9,  “How NVIDIA is paving the way for self driving cars and a new OLLI automated transport from Local Motors. NVIDIA’s Senior Director for Automotive, Danny Shapiro and Kurtis Hodge of Local Motors join co-hosts Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and Fred Fishkin for another edition of Smart Driving Cars from CES 2019..”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 71-Nader’55

F. Fishkin,  Dec. 13,  “When it comes to self driving cars, Ralph Nader says “Not so fast.”  The renowned political activist and author takes the government and the industry to task in a super sized Episode 71 of the Smart Driving Cars Podcast. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more!” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 69 - Chunka Mui F. Fishkin, Nov 29,  “What will it take for driverless vehicles to become a leading form of transportation? Futurist and author Chunka Mui joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 69 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. Plus…Waymo, GM, Amazon and more. Tune in and subscribe! “

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 68 - Dick Mudge F. Fishkin, Nov 22,  “The insurance industry hears about the outlook for automated vehicles. Co-author Dick Mudge joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for Episode 68 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast. Plus…Uber, GM Cruise, Waymo, VW and more. Tune in and subscribe!” Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 65 - Bernard Soriano, CA DMV

F. Fishkin, Nov 1, “California gives Waymo the green light for fully driverless vehicle testing on public roads and the state’s deputy director of the Department of Motor Vehicles, Bernard Soriano, joins the Smart Driving Cars podcast with the no nonsense details. Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin explore that and more. Tune in and subscribe!”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 58-Keith Code,Motorcycles

F. Fishkin, Sept 22  “In this edition of the Smart Driving Cars Podcast, Alain Kornhauser of Princeton University and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by the founder of the Superbike School, Keith Code. Keith is an instructor, coach, author and researcher into motorcycle safety…and a champion racer. Beyond that….he’s an old high school friend of Alain’s! And there’s more on BMW, Apple, VW and more! . Tune in and subscribe!”

Smart Driving Cars Podcast Episode 55-Larry Burns, Autonomy

F. Fishkin, Sept 6,  “The coming new world of driverless cars! In Episode 55 of the Smart Driving Cars podcast former GM VP and adviser to Waymo Larry Burns chats with Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin about his new book “Autonomy: The Quest to Build the Driverless Car and How it Will Reshape Our World”

Recent Highlights of:

  Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19, June 12, 2020 R. Dale Hall, June 12, “…By June 10, 2020, 7.4 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 had been reported worldwide, and the count continues to climb with general agreement that the number is actually higher due to delays in full testing and reporting in many countries. Approximately 188 countries have reported at least one confirmed case and about 416,000 deaths from COVID-19.6 It is important to recognize that the number of reported confirmed cases for any disease typically lags the number of actual confirmed cases. As a result, the number of reported confirmed cases typically continues to rise after the actual number of new confirmed cases declines….” Read more  Hmmm… Excellent!  An enormous amount here. See especially FIg 11 and 17.  These are trully non-uniform distributions. Also Table 1, Figures 21, 22, 24, 25, Table 3, … An enormous amount to digest here. Excellent. Alain

                                                      [Two-way Vehicle Connectivity is a Three-sided Coin That Everyone Wants to Own](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0) M.
                                                      Sena, May 26,
                                                      "Two-way
                                                      vehicle
                                                      connectivity
                                                      has three
                                                      facets. Two of
                                                      them are
                                                      mainly of
                                                      interest to
                                                      vehicle OEMs
                                                      and their
                                                      suppliers.
                                                      They are
                                                      vehicle-centric
                                                      and
                                                      customer-centric. Vehicle-centric connectivity includes functions such emergency
                                                      notification,
                                                      logistics
                                                      tracking and
                                                      over-the-air
                                                      updating.
                                                      Customer
                                                      centric
                                                      connectivity
                                                      includes many
                                                      services that
                                                      are also
                                                      provided by
                                                      mobile apps
                                                      outside of the
                                                      vehicle, such
                                                      as music
                                                      streaming,
                                                      workshop
                                                      service
                                                      booking,
                                                      traffic
                                                      notifications
                                                      and car
                                                      sharing
                                                      applications.
                                                      Two-way
                                                      vehicle
                                                      connectivity
                                                      today is a
                                                      major
                                                      competitive
                                                      factor for the
                                                      OEMs.

The third vehicle connectivity facet is principally of interest to public sector traffic management authorities. It is focused on communicating warnings to vehicles and providing guidance on which roads to use in case of traffic congestion or emergencies. The public authorities view these roadway-centric functions as their domain, and vehicle-to-infrastructure and vehicle-to-vehicle communication as the tools to accomplish the job. They are grouped together under the term V2X. This third facet is not a competitive factor for the OEMs. If it is legislated, V2X will not distinguish one OEM from another since every OEM will have to include it….

                                                      But the debate
                                                      is not really
                                                      about
                                                      technology nor
                                                      is it about
                                                      who delivers
                                                      the best value
                                                      for the money
                                                      or the most
                                                      privacy. It is
                                                      about..."  [R](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0)[ead more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/eyomgyelgm4q6fl/Sena_Two-way%20Vehicle%20Connectivity_2-3.pdf?dl=0)  Hmmmm... The
                                                      provacateur's
                                                      lead at the
                                                      beginning of
                                                      our 3rd
                                                      Shark-Tank
                                                      Zoom-inar ([Video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMNLH_fkcI4&feature=youtu.be),
                                                      [Audio](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/zoom-tank-06-02-20-everyone-is-for-connectivitybut))
                                                      Alain

Amazon in Advanced Talks to Buy Self-Driving-Car Tech Company Zoox C. Lombardo & T. Higgins, , May 26, “Amazon.com Inc. is in advanced talks to buy Zoox Inc. in a move that would expand the e-commerce giant’s reach in autonomous-vehicle technology. The companies are discussing a deal that would value Zoox at less than the $3.2B it achieved in a funding round in 2018…“  Read more Hmmmm… This would be a real bargain for Amazon and bring on some real talent to focus on the algorithmic side of driverless delivery while leveraging Rivian on the vehicle side.   See also Financial Times Alain

  Technology driving safer transport

H. Zhao, May 1, “This edition of ITU News Magazine discusses the latest trends in connected cars, new

                                                      ITU
                                                      initiatives to
                                                      improve smart
                                                      transportation
                                                      — and key
                                                      insights from
                                                      the annual
                                                      Symposium

                                                      on the Future
                                                      Networked Car
                                                      (FNC‑2020), a
                                                      gathering of
                                                      top experts
                                                      hosted by ITU
                                                      and UNECE.
                                                      Participants
                                                      at the 5 March
                                                      event
                                                      discussed the
                                                      technical,
                                                      business and
                                                      regulatory
                                                      actions
                                                      required to
                                                      build public
                                                      trust in
                                                      connected,
                                                      automated
                                                      vehicles.

They highlighted the state of the art in automotive cybersecurity. Together, they explored the status

                                                      and future of safety-critical radio‑ communications for the road, and they presented
                                                      the latest
                                                      developments
                                                      in the review
                                                      of regulations
                                                      governing road
                                                      transport.

FNC‑2020 participants also had the opportunity to consider the crucial role of the latest 5G connectivity technologies in delivering safer and more effective transport. Read on to learn about the experts’ insightful discussions at the event, how ITU’s work is supporting the development of Intelligent Transport Systems —

                                                      and what key
                                                      industry
                                                      players are
                                                      doing to
                                                      leverage the
                                                      power of ICTs
                                                      for better
                                                      transport."  [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/83pfrexwacnnqy8/ConnectedCars2020_ITUNews01-en.pdf?dl=0) Hmmmm...
                                                      This topic
                                                      will be at the
                                                      heart on the
                                                      next Zoom-Tank
                                                      Zoom-inar on
                                                      June 1 (or
                                                      June 15??)@
                                                      2PM.  An
                                                      eloquent
                                                      summary of
                                                      this
                                                      topic/symposium
                                                      was presented
                                                      by Michael
                                                      Sena in his [April 2020 edition of The Dispatcher](https://www.dropbox.com/s/74cp2mjt2h0907w/The%20Dispatcher_April%202020.pdf?dl=0).
                                                        Alain

                                                      [Luminaries Battle In Lincoln-Douglas Style Debate About The Future Of Self-Driving Cars](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lanceeliot/2020/04/28/luminaries-battle-in-lincoln-douglas-style-debate-about-the-future-of-self-driving-cars/#35c0455028b6) Lance
                                                      Eliot, April
                                                      28, "Several
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car luminaries
                                                      assembled
                                                      online via a
                                                      Zoom-casted
                                                      battleground
                                                      this week to
                                                      undertake a
                                                      Lincoln-Douglas
                                                      style debate
                                                      about the
                                                      future of the
                                                      Autonomous
                                                      Vehicle (AV)
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car industry
                                                      and the advent
                                                      of AI-driven
                                                      mobility.

                                                      Originally
                                                      scheduled for
                                                      one hour, the
                                                      dialogue and
                                                      fielding of
                                                      audience
                                                      questions
                                                      prompted the
                                                      superstars to
                                                      keep going,
                                                      tackling many
                                                      of the most
                                                      vexing and
                                                      unsolved
                                                      matters that
                                                      underlie the
                                                      potential
                                                      success of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      vehicles,
                                                      encompassing
                                                      both
                                                      autonomous
                                                      cars and
                                                      autonomous
                                                      trucks.

                                                      The lively
                                                      discussion was
                                                      civil and
                                                      polite,
                                                      fortunately so
                                                      in these times
                                                      of seemingly
                                                      stark
                                                      polarization
                                                      and guttural
                                                      attacks during
                                                      our
                                                      contemporary
                                                      public
                                                      discourse.
                                                      Yet, even in
                                                      the realm of
                                                      eloquent
                                                      argumentation,
                                                      at times the
                                                      gloves came
                                                      off and there
                                                      were some
                                                      fierce zingers
                                                      and moments of
                                                      rather
                                                      piercing
                                                      cut-the-air-with-a-knife
                                                      verbal
                                                      sparring..."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lanceeliot/2020/04/28/luminaries-battle-in-lincoln-douglas-style-debate-about-the-future-of-self-driving-cars/#35c0455028b6) Hmmmm...  Lance, Thank you for
                                                      the kind and
                                                      thorough
                                                      synopsis of
                                                      our 1st
                                                      Zoom-inar.  We
                                                      were all
                                                      pleased by the
                                                      turnout,
                                                      interaction
                                                      and substance.
                                                         Alain

                                                      [What Negative Oil Prices Mean and How the Impact Could Last](https://www.nytimes.com/article/negative-oil-prices-facts-history.html) V.
                                                      Bajaj, April
                                                      22,"A main
                                                      benchmark for
                                                      the price of
                                                      oil fell
                                                      negative for
                                                      the first time
                                                      ever this
                                                      week. The
                                                      decline —
                                                      more than 300
                                                      percent in
                                                      daily trading
                                                      — raised fresh
                                                      questions
                                                      about the
                                                      damage the
                                                      coronavirus is
                                                      having on the
                                                      global
                                                      economy.

                                                      What does it
                                                      mean for oil
                                                      prices to be
                                                      negative?

                                                      A benchmark
                                                      price for a
                                                      barrel of oil
                                                      to be
                                                      delivered next
                                                      month fell to
                                                      -$37.63 on
                                                      Monday, which
                                                      means that
                                                      sellers would
                                                      have to pay
                                                      someone that
                                                      much to take
                                                      it off their
                                                      hands.

                                                      But that
                                                      historic
                                                      plunge was
                                                      exacerbated by
                                                      a quirk in how
                                                      the oil
                                                      markets work.

                                                      The negative
                                                      price
                                                      concerned only
                                                      contracts for
                                                      delivery of
                                                      barrels in May
                                                      that are
                                                      traded on
                                                      so-called
                                                      futures
                                                      markets. At
                                                      the same time
                                                      trading
                                                      happens for
                                                      May
                                                      deliveries,
                                                      people trade
                                                      on contracts
                                                      ending in
                                                      June, in July
                                                      and so on." [Read more](https://www.nytimes.com/article/negative-oil-prices-facts-history.html) Hmmmm... What???  I realize that
                                                      I'm often "out
                                                      of it",
                                                      but...  In all
                                                      my life I have
                                                      NEVER...
                                                      thought of,
                                                      let alone
                                                      mentioned, nor
                                                      have heard
                                                      anyone else
                                                      mention the
                                                      concept of negative
                                                      oil!
                                                      Often, talked
                                                      about $150/B
                                                      oil, $250/B,
                                                      S20/B even
                                                      $7/B oil.
                                                      NEVER $0/B
                                                      oil,
                                                      negative
                                                      Oil...
                                                      NEVER,NEVER,
                                                      NEVER!!!!  and
                                                      look where we
                                                      are.  UNBELIEVABLE!!!
                                                            Implications:...
                                                      no one's
                                                      models
                                                      extrapolate to
                                                      that regime.
                                                      (it requires
                                                      extrapolation
                                                      because no
                                                      data exists in
                                                      this
                                                      unimaginable
                                                      region.
                                                      Listen to [Pod-Cast](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-153);
                                                      Watch [Zoom-Cast](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nW3AcoFeA8&feature=youtu.be)
                                                      Alain

                                                      [Can Robotaxis Survive A Pandemic?](https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2020/04/13/can-robotaxis-survive-a-pandemic/#247ed3bd2ca6)

                                                      B. Templeton,
                                                      April, 13,
                                                      "Almost all
                                                      the
                                                      self-driving
                                                      car fleets are
                                                      out of
                                                      operation
                                                      right now. The
                                                      primary reason
                                                      is that
                                                      testing these
                                                      cars is not an
                                                      "essential
                                                      service" and
                                                      so the safety
                                                      drivers who
                                                      supervise them
                                                      are not
                                                      allowed to
                                                      come to work.
                                                      Most companies
                                                      use a team of
                                                      two people in
                                                      each car,
                                                      which would
                                                      create a
                                                      disease risk,
                                                      and to top it
                                                      off, the roads
                                                      are empty and
                                                      this
                                                      unnaturally
                                                      easy, making
                                                      testing less
                                                      valuable.

                                                      Questions
                                                      arise about
                                                      what happens
                                                      in the robocar
                                                      world if we
                                                      need to suffer
                                                      another
                                                      pandemic in
                                                      the future.
                                                      The Covid-19
                                                      crisis took
                                                      place before
                                                      the commercial
                                                      deployment of
                                                      robocars, but
                                                      that won't be
                                                      true later. I
                                                      covered some
                                                      issues in my
                                                      article on
                                                      delivery
                                                      robots, but
                                                      let's consider
                                                      what we've
                                                      learned this
                                                      year: Uber/Lyft
                                                      LYFT and Taxi
                                                      rides are way,
                                                      way down, and
                                                      not just
                                                      because all
                                                      travel is way
                                                      down
  • Transit ridership has cratered, and service has been cut

  • Delivery demand has vastly increased

  • People worry if drivers might be infectious

  • People don’t want to touch things, from seats to scooter handlebars, that others are touching

                                                        All travel is
                                                        way down, but
                                                        people are
                                                        particularly
                                                        suspicious of
                                                        travel with
                                                        other people,
                                                        be it transit,
                                                        or riding with
                                                        a driver. They
                                                        are also
                                                        concerned
                                                        about sitting
                                                        down in a
                                                        vehicle where
                                                        somebody else
                                                        just sat. With
                                                        parking
                                                        plentiful,
                                                        there are
                                                        incentives to
                                                        go back to
                                                        using your own
                                                        car even if
                                                        you previously
                                                        used something
                                                        else. Scooter
                                                        services like
                                                        Lime and Bird
                                                        have also
                                                        suffered major
                                                        declines.
    
                                                        As noted in
                                                        the delivery
                                                        article, while
                                                        delivery
                                                        robots are
                                                        always good in
                                                        a time when
                                                        there is a
                                                        massive surge
                                                        in demand for
                                                        delivery, it's
                                                        pretty easy
                                                        for a driver
                                                        in a van with
                                                        an automatic
                                                        door to never
                                                        have to touch
                                                        the packages,
                                                        just like a
                                                        delivery
                                                        robot. With
                                                        massive
                                                        unemployment,
                                                        human driven
                                                        vans are
                                                        probably the
                                                        best answer to
                                                        the delivery
                                                        demand
                                                        surge...."  [Read more](https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2020/04/13/can-robotaxis-survive-a-pandemic/#247ed3bd2ca6) Hmmmm... Not a pretty picture,
                                                        but with every
                                                        challenge,
                                                        comes
                                                        opportunities...
                                                        Listen watch
                                                        more on [Pod-Cast_152](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-152)/[Zoom-Cast_152](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xuIbtSJjDck&feature=youtu.be).
                                                        Alain
    

Autonomous shuttles help transport COVID-19 tests at Mayo Clinic in Florida

                                                      Press
                                                      release,
                                                      April, 2, "For
                                                      the first time
                                                      in the U.S.,
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles are
                                                      being used to
                                                      transport
                                                      medical
                                                      supplies and
                                                      COVID-19 tests
                                                      at Mayo Clinic
                                                      in Florida.

                                                      At a time when
                                                      health care
                                                      resources and
                                                      staff are
                                                      stretched
                                                      thin, the
                                                      Jacksonville
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Authority
                                                      (JTA) has
                                                      partnered with
                                                      Beep and NAVYA
                                                      to use
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles to
                                                      safely
                                                      transport
                                                      COVID-19 tests
                                                      collected at a
                                                      drive-thru
                                                      testing
                                                      location at
                                                      Mayo Clinic in
                                                      Florida.

                                                      "This
                                                      development is
                                                      a historic
                                                      moment for the
                                                      Jacksonville
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Authority,"
                                                      says Nathaniel
                                                      P. Ford, Sr.,
                                                      CEO of
                                                      Jacksonville
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Authority.
                                                      "Along with
                                                      our partners,
                                                      Beep, NAVYA
                                                      and Mayo
                                                      Clinic, we are
                                                      leveraging our
                                                      learnings from
                                                      three years of
                                                      testing
                                                      autonomous
                                                      vehicles
                                                      through our
                                                      Ultimate Urban
                                                      Circulator
                                                      program. Our
                                                      innovative
                                                      team saw this
                                                      as an
                                                      opportunity to
                                                      use technology
                                                      to respond to
                                                      this crisis in
                                                      Northeast
                                                      Florida and
                                                      increase the
                                                      safety of
                                                      COVID-19
                                                      testing."..."
                                                      [Read more](https://newsnetwork.mayoclinic.org/discussion/autonomous-shuttles-help-transport-covid-19-tests-at-mayo-clinic-in-jacksonville/) Hmmmm... While not mentioned in
                                                      the article,
                                                      they
                                                      are operating Driverlessly... without attendant or safety driver.  Yea!!!  (People
                                                      aren't being
                                                      moved, just
                                                      goods and the
                                                      Operational
                                                      Design Domain
                                                      is
                                                      constrained,
                                                      but it it is
                                                      driverless
                                                      none the
                                                      less!)  Listen
                                                      watch more on
                                                      [Pod-Cast_151](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-151)/[Zoom-Cast_151](https://youtu.be/YAuqHS5W53c). Alain

  Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19

D. Hall, Mar 25, “… The result in late March 2020 has been one where a confluence of risks has come together. Additional operational and financial risks may emerge as additional events compound on the current situation. Actuaries will be watching for any additional risk events that layer on to the current environment, especially ones that may cause additional property, mortality and health risks such as catastrophic weather events. Morbidity, mortality, asset/liability management and operational risks are all a part of the initial and evolving story. This update to the Society of Actuaries Research Brief has been constructed to highlight some of the key continuing and new features of the pandemic all around the world and contemplate the risks for the actuarial profession to consider in their work…”   Read more Hmmmm… This is one of the best reports that I have seen and will be updated  every 10 days or so.   A good summary of the materials, podcasts and other good sources are here:

https://www.soa.org/resources/newsroom/covid-19-updates/#research

https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2020/impact-coronavirus/

ECDPC Daily data GitHub Covid19 data

Cases of COVID-19

Alain

###

###

###

###

Starsky Robotics Failed. Does That Mean Automated Trucking Is Dead?

R. Bishop, Mar 24, “I met Stefan Seltz-Axmacher for the first time in November 2015 at the Florida Automated Vehicles Summit. Not long after, we met at the Blue Danube coffee shop in Alameda, CA so he could tell me about his vision for Starsky Robotics. When he energetically described his remote-driving-for-trucks approach, I was skeptical. “Remote driving is hard,” I said. “The military has struggled with this for years. Its harder than it looks.” On the technical side, latency for secure communications is challenging. On the operational side, re-creating enough on-road reality (situational awareness) for a remote driver is difficult when going for the high levels of safety needed. Seltz-Axmacher remained bullish on the approach and at that time went on to found Starsky Robotics as one of the earliest truck AV startups, later closing a $16.5M Series A funding round in March 2018, and then hauling freight while developing both remote and automated driving ability. Initially, Starsky’s concept was all about remote driving for first/last mile. They later expanded their offering to include fully automated highway driving on limited freight corridors.

                                                      Now, Starsky
                                                      has become the
                                                      first casualty
                                                      within a
                                                      crowded truck
                                                      automation
                                                      space, and
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      has provided
                                                      us with an
                                                      intriguing
                                                      post-mortem in
                                                      a recent
                                                      Medium post.
                                                      Most of the
                                                      media coverage
                                                      I've seen has
                                                      acted as echo
                                                      chambers for
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher's
                                                      perspective.
                                                      Here I offer a
                                                      counterpoint
                                                      based on my
                                                      longtime
                                                      involvement in
                                                      truck
                                                      automation
                                                      plus
                                                      discussions
                                                      with many
                                                      others in the
                                                      truck
                                                      Automated
                                                      Driving
                                                      Systems (ADS)
                                                      startup space,
                                                      many of them
                                                      irate at what
                                                      they see as
                                                      unfounded
                                                      assertions
                                                      made in the
                                                      original post.
                                                      My sources
                                                      tell me that
                                                      because
                                                      Seltz-Axmacher
                                                      hasn't
                                                      experienced
                                                      their
                                                      technology nor
                                                      been briefed
                                                      on their
                                                      technical/safety
                                                      approach, he
                                                      has no basis
                                                      to make
                                                      sweeping
                                                      claims about
                                                      the entire
                                                      industry...."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardbishop1/2020/03/24/starsky-robotics-failed-does-that-mean-automated-trucking-is-dead/#51d50d840c84) Hmmmm... [Listen to PodCast 148](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-148).
                                                      or/and [Watch us on YouTube](https://youtu.be/VkzPm5GwEz4).
                                                      Alain

 Waymo suspends robotaxi service except for its truly driverless vehicles K. Korosec, Mar. 17, “Waymo  said Tuesday it is pausing operations of Waymo One, a service in the Phoenix area that allows the public to hail rides in self-driving vehicles with trained human safety operators behind the wheel, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Waymo is also halting testing on public roads in California.

                                                      However, Waymo
                                                      will keep some
                                                      operations up
                                                      and running,
                                                      notably its
                                                      truly
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles,
                                                      which don't
                                                      require a
                                                      human safety
                                                      driver,
                                                      according to
                                                      an
                                                      announcement
                                                      on its website
                                                      Tuesday. These
                                                      driverless
                                                      vehicles are
                                                      used in the
                                                      Phoenix area
                                                      as part of
                                                      Waymo's early
                                                      rider program
                                                      that lets
                                                      vetted members
                                                      of the public
                                                      hail a
                                                      ride..."   [Read more](https://techcrunch.com/2020/03/17/waymo-suspends-robotaxi-service-except-for-its-truly-driverless-vehicles/)  Yippie!!! Unfortunately, the
                                                      latest is not
                                                      so good...   [Waymo has suspended all services, including the driverless.](https://waymo.com/coronavirus)
                                                      Poopie!!!
                                                      Alain

NTSB slams Tesla, Apple and regulators over a fatal Autopilot crash

R. Mitchell, Feb. 25, “The nation’s top safety investigator slammed Tesla on Tuesday for failing to take adequate measures to prevent “foreseeable abuse” of its Autopilot driver-assistance technology, in a hearing into the fatal 2018 crash of a Tesla Model X SUV in Mountain View, Calif.

                                                      The National
                                                      Transportation
                                                      Safety Board
                                                      said
                                                      38-year-old
                                                      Walter Huang,
                                                      an Apple
                                                      software
                                                      engineer, had
                                                      Autopilot
                                                      engaged in his
                                                      2018 Tesla
                                                      Model X and
                                                      was playing a
                                                      video game on
                                                      his iPhone
                                                      when the car
                                                      crashed into a
                                                      defective
                                                      safety barrier
                                                      on U.S.
                                                      Highway
                                                      101.The board
                                                      also blamed
                                                      the highway
                                                      safety arm of
                                                      the U.S.
                                                      Department of
                                                      Transportation
                                                      for failing to
                                                      properly
                                                      regulate
                                                      rapidly
                                                      evolving
                                                      robot-car
                                                      technology....
                                                      The board
                                                      adopted[a long list of measures](https://t.co/mEFsCDf1dB)
                                                      meant to
                                                      reduce such
                                                      accidents as
                                                      "partially
                                                      automated
                                                      driving"
                                                      technologies
                                                      become more
                                                      popular in new
                                                      vehicles.... Sumwalt
                                                      made clear the
                                                      Mountain View
                                                      crash was not
                                                      an isolated
                                                      incident, but
                                                      illustrative
                                                      of the safety
                                                      issues
                                                      involved as
                                                      humans and
                                                      robot systems
                                                      increasingly
                                                      share the
                                                      driving, not
                                                      just in Teslas
                                                      but in
                                                      vehicles from
                                                      all
                                                      manufacturers.
                                                      "It's time to
                                                      stop enabling
                                                      drivers in any
                                                      partially
                                                      automated
                                                      vehicle to
                                                      pretend that
                                                      they have
                                                      driverless
                                                      cars," he
                                                      said.

…….  the Model X drove straight down the middle of a “gore lane,” a white-striped zone where cars aren’t supposed to go,” … It is clear from the images that the gore area was NOT white-striped as is supposed to be and the lane markings are badly worn.  Why didn’t NTSB fault the CA DoT for its poor maintenance and marking practices.  CA DoT needs to be severely reprimanded. “ … a Toyota Prius crashed into it 11 days earlier…” to what extent did NTSB investigate the Prius crash.  It didn’t have autoPilot, so that’s not the common factor.  I suspect that the confusing lane markings and the lack of striping is the root cause… “ … The car’s collision avoidance system did not detect the crash barrier.” … I suspect that this is NOT true.  The system detected the stationary object, but the coded logic disregards stationary objects (classifies them as false alarms) because false positives are too likely. NTSB made a similar error in the Joshua Brown crash where the system didn’t mis-identify the stationary trailer ahead as being background sky, but instead classified the stationary object in the lane ahead as a false positive . NTSB investigators have failed to ask the right questions in these investigations…

                                                      " ....The
                                                      car's forward
                                                      collision
                                                      warning system
                                                      did not
                                                      provide an
                                                      alert, and the
                                                      automatic
                                                      braking system
                                                      did not
                                                      activate."... Again, the system
                                                      classified
                                                      stationary
                                                      objects in the
                                                      lane ahead as
                                                      phantom
                                                      objects and
                                                      disregards
                                                      them.  Once
                                                      disregarded,
                                                      there is no
                                                      reason to
                                                      initiate a
                                                      warning or
                                                      apply
                                                      Emergency
                                                      Brakes.
                                                      Yipes!
                                                        [Read more](https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-02-25/tesla-autopilot-crash-hearing) Hmmmm... Hopefully this will
                                                      curtail the
                                                      misbehavior in
                                                      the use of
                                                      these
                                                      systems.  The
                                                      Self-driving
                                                      systems
                                                      require
                                                      constant
                                                      adult
                                                      supervision. I
                                                      suspect that
                                                      NHTSA will
                                                      place
                                                      extraordinarily
                                                      onerous
                                                      regulations on
                                                      personally
                                                      owned
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars that will
                                                      effectively
                                                      ban the
                                                      ability to
                                                      sleep, play
                                                      video games,
                                                      text or
                                                      otherwise be
                                                      non-vigilant
                                                      in all
                                                      non-driverless
                                                      vehicles.
                                                      Driverless
                                                      vehicles will
                                                      be required to
                                                      be operated
                                                      and maintained
                                                      by a
                                                      responsible
                                                      fleet manager
                                                      and not have
                                                      any straight
                                                      forward way
                                                      for a human to
                                                      drive them.
                                                      Certainly no
                                                      steering wheel
                                                      or pedals.  I
                                                      expect that
                                                      they'll also
                                                      ban the use of Stupid-Summon-like systems outside of one's own personal property.  They
                                                      should.
                                                      Alain

“Urbs,” “Burbs,” and the Immigration Locomotive

J. Hughes, Feb 2020, “Even more so than the nation, the broad fourstate, 35-county metropolitan region centered on New York City (figure 1) is becoming afflicted by a condition of demographic stagnation. While the United States has been experiencing the lowest population growth rates since the Great Depression, the region has only recently (2016–2018) slipped into absolute population decline, spawned by domestic outmigration. The major counterforce forestalling a demographic catastrophe has been positive international migration. Immigration has become the primary source of population growth—the demographic locomotive. Without it, the region would have to bear fully the economic consequences of what has become a virtual domestic population hemorrhage—a vast exodus of regional residents moving to the rest of the country. This is just one dimension of endemic demographic change that has swept the post–Great Recession world….

The second new reset is a turnaround of the pattern evidenced in the 2010–2016 period, when population growth in the “urbs” surpassed that of the “burbs.” After dominating growth early in the decade (2010–2016), the core—the urban heart of the metropolitan region encompassing New York City and three adjacent counties in New Jersey—suddenly slipped into decline post-2016, causing the region as a whole to lose population. This is the latest transformation in what has become a transmillennial demographic roller coaster ride… “   Read more Hmmmm… Most interesting Demographic Dynamic.   A must read. Alain

NHTSA Grants Nuro Exemption Petition for Testing Low-Speed Driverless Vehicle

2020 Hyundai Sonata stars in Super Bowl ad all about ‘Smaht Pahk’

                                                      S. Szymkowski,
                                                      Jan 27,
                                                      "Hyundai is
                                                      going all in
                                                      on Boston
                                                      accents and
                                                      the 2020
                                                      Sonata for its
                                                      Super Bowl
                                                      advertisement.
                                                      As is often
                                                      the trend
                                                      these days,
                                                      the ad made
                                                      its debut on
                                                      Monday less
                                                      than a week
                                                      before the big
                                                      game, but it's
                                                      quite a clever
                                                      spot...."  [Read more](https://www.dropbox.com/s/dk1wlzbg6rkpqkd/Smaht%20Pahk%20_%202020%20Hyundai%20Sonata%20_%20Hyundai-85iRQdjCzj0.mp4?dl=0) Hmmmm...  This is as
                                                      irresponsible
                                                      of Hyundai as
                                                      [StupidSummon](https://www.theverge.com/2019/10/23/20929438/tesla-smart-summon-use-one-million-q3-2019)
                                                      is for Tesla.
                                                      It may even be
                                                      more
                                                      irresponsible
                                                      because
                                                      Hyundai hasn't
                                                      included the over-the-air-information system that allows them to monitor its use.
                                                      Having the car
                                                      do stuff
                                                      without an
                                                      alert and
                                                      attentive
                                                      driver in the
                                                      driver's seat
                                                      implies
                                                      liability on
                                                      them (their
                                                      system) if
                                                      something bad
                                                      happens.
                                                      Plus,
                                                      squeezing a
                                                      car into a
                                                      parking place
                                                      when the
                                                      people can't
                                                      get into the
                                                      adjacent cars
                                                      is not the
                                                      smartest move
                                                      unless you've
                                                      also made the
                                                      Hyundai [key proof](https://jalopnik.com/keying-somebodys-car-is-just-about-the-worst-thing-you-1821884368).
                                                      There will be
                                                      retaliation.
                                                      Alain

The Disengagement Myth Kyle Vogt, Jan 17, “In a few weeks the California DMV will release disengagements data from Cruise and other companies who test AVs on public roads. This data is really great for giving the public a sense of what’s happening on the roads. Unfortunately, it has also been used by the media and others to compare technology from different AV companies or as a proxy for commercial readiness. Since it’s the only publicly available metric, I don’t really blame them for using it. But it’s woefully inadequate for most uses beyond those of the DMV. The idea that disengagements give a meaningful signal about whether an AV is ready for commercial deployment is a myth. …” Read more Hmmmm…  Amen!   This is a MUST read.  As with everything, details matter.  It is true that figures don’t lie, but but it is easy to game systems such that figures, without the underlying details, do lie.  As Kyle points out, there are important details associated with disengagements. These need to be well understood for disengagements to be a proxy for safety and market readiness. The when, where and associated details of each disengagement is critically important if the objective is safety and market readiness.

What is also most important here is the underlying objective of the companies doing the tests and reporting the data.  As has happened in our secondary education where students are taught what is in and how to take the SATs rather than just learn. The objective is not learning , but getting 800s on the SATs so that they can get into ‘Princeton’. This is perpetuated by the ‘Princetons’ of this world that don’t look into the details of the student’s academic qualities and capabilities. In the academic world, we know these students as ‘box checkers’, gamers of the college admission process.  The gaming is continued by the ‘banks and med schools’ that use simplistic GPA (Grade Point Average, aka ‘disengagements’) cutoffs.  The ‘box checkers’ then take ‘underwater basket weaving’ courses and become grade grubbers. It is lazy and irresponsible to use simplistic measures as proxies to very complex concepts such as intelligence, creativity, compatibility, and all the other details that make a good student, a good employee, a good citizen, a good mobility system.

In our case, testing is assumed to be about safety and market readiness; however, for some, it may be about trying to “make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear” or “putting lipstick on the pig”. It is easy to game the metric ‘Disengagements’ by simply testing in easy places, under easy conditions, instead of really trying to find the corner/edge cases that you don’t know in places and conditions of the Operational Design Domain that you are actually going to serve and make a business out of all of this technology; rather than just trying to get good press, or flipping it to someone else or putting it on an academic self.  The details would readily divulge the real objective of the company doing the testing.

I hope that Kyle, in his next post, will divulge what he, GM’s lawyers and GM’s board are requiring of his system for each of them to sign off and begin to operate an economically viable mobility service to the general public in some ODD. Each will demand that it be safe.  The board will also demand that it be profitable. What details are they requesting that will make each comfortable signing on the bottom line? Alain

###

### Hmmmm… Reflections

A. Kornhauser, Jan 12,    Hmmmm…   Self-driving cars are hot and the OEMs are responding. I’m about to buy a new Subaru Outback and EyeSightis standard.  It is no longer just AutoPilot or expensive options that car salesmen don’t sell. Car companies, as reflected in what is in showrooms and what was promoted at CES, have realized the comfort and convenience of Self-driving technology (cars that have a lot of the Safe-driving car features but also enable you to take your feet off the pedals and hands off the wheel at least for short periods of time. These technologies are really becoming the ‘chrome and fins’ that sell cars to individuals in the 2020s. The momentum is all behind that happening and there is little Washington or Trenton or Princeton Council can do about it. Hopefully part of that momentum will be to make these systems actually work well, especially the Automated Emergency Braking Systems (MUST quit assuming that all stationary objects in the lane ahead can be passed under and consequently each is disregarded. As Tesla is finding out, sometimes those objects are parked firetrucks.) and begin to put hard limits on over-speeding, tailgating and use while driver is impaired. Self-driving cars are unfortunately going to lead to substantial urban sprawl, increased VMT, increased congestion and do nothing to help the energy and pollution challenges of our addiction to the personal automobile. Only ‘Waymo-style Driverless’ (autonomousTaxis, (aTaxis)) tuned to entice ride-sharing can potentially stem the tide of ever more personal car ownership and ever expanding urban sprawl. Alain

A. Kornhauser, Jan. 6,    Hmmmm…   I’m in rehab and hope to go home on Wednesday morning. Thank you to so many of you for all the good wishes and prayers.  They each helped. I’m looking to making a full recovery. Remember, if you don’t feel well, get evaluated by a doctor.  I was totally clueless about what hit me from out of nowhere. Alain

                                                      [Chandler unveils drop-off, pick-up zone for self-driving cars](https://ktar.com/story/2852028/chandler-unveils-drop-off-pick-up-zone-for-self-driving-cars/) G.
                                                      Zetino, Nov.
                                                      25, ""It's
                                                      about to get
                                                      easier for
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars to drop
                                                      off and pick
                                                      up passengers
                                                      in Chandler.
                                                      The city of
                                                      Chandler, in
                                                      partnership
                                                      with Waymo, on
                                                      Friday
                                                      unveiled the
                                                      nation's first
                                                      drop-off and
                                                      pick-up zone
                                                      for autonomous
                                                      ride-hailing
                                                      cars.

Read more  Hmmmm…   The iconic image:

autonomousTaxi (aTaxi) stop facilitating true ride-sharing to any destination within the autonomous transit system’s Operational Design Domain.  The first of what may well become a half million or so others.  Each strategically located to be less that a 5 minute walk from essentially any of the billion or so person trip ends that are made on any typical day in the USA (outside of Manhattan (whose subway stations provide the comparable accessibility). Twenty million or so aTaxi vehicles could readily provide on-demand, share-ride mobility from these ~0.5M aTaxi stops. Provided would be essentially the same 24/7 on-demand level-of-service as we do for ourselves with our own conventional automobiles; however, this mobility would be affordably achieved using half the energy, creating half the pollution, eliminating essentially all the congestion, doubling conventional transit ridership and making such improved mobility available to those who today can’t or wish not to drive a conventional automobile. This is a MAJOR 1st. Alain

Self-driving car capital? One senator thinks it can be Florida R. Wile, Nov 22, “Sen. Jeff Brandes (R-St. Petersburg) had just finished serving in the Army, and was looking to make a name for himself in Tallahassee as a junior representative. He came across a talk given by the founder of Google’s driverless car project.

                                                      He quickly
                                                      realized the
                                                      potential of
                                                      self-driving
                                                      cars to
                                                      transform many
                                                      aspects of
                                                      daily life.
                                                      Ever since, he
                                                      has made it
                                                      his mission to
                                                      turn Florida
                                                      into what he
                                                      calls "an
                                                      angel
                                                      investor" in
                                                      automation
                                                      policy. "We
                                                      want to have
                                                      policies in
                                                      place for this
                                                      technology to
                                                      flourish,"
                                                      Brandes said
                                                      in an
                                                      interview at
                                                      the 7th Annual
                                                      Florida
                                                      Automated
                                                      Vehicles
                                                      conference in
                                                      Miami, which
                                                      concluded
                                                      Friday.

Brandes has drawn headlines in the tech community for filing legislation allowing virtually any automated vehicle on Florida’s roads; this summer, he helped make Florida one of the first states to make AVs without a human back-up safety driver street legal.

                                                      Among the
                                                      state's
                                                      advantages
                                                      Brandes points
                                                      to that he
                                                      believes makes
                                                      it ideal for
                                                      AV companies:
                                                      no snow, which
                                                      makes lane
                                                      markings more
                                                      visible. That
                                                      also means
                                                      less road
                                                      construction
                                                      in
                                                      general...."
                                                      [Read more](https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article237625484.html)  Hmmmm...  Congratulations Jeff!!!
                                                      It was a great
                                                      AV Summit and congratulations on creating such a Welcoming environment and
                                                      intelligently
                                                      shaping the
                                                      birth of this
                                                      technology.
                                                      What you've
                                                      done is enable
                                                      Florida to
                                                      begin to
                                                      enhance
                                                      mobility and
                                                      the quality of
                                                      life for all
                                                      in Florida
                                                      and especially
                                                      those who can
                                                      most benefit
                                                      from these
                                                      mobility
                                                      machines.  It
                                                      was most
                                                      impressive to
                                                      witness the
                                                      enthusiasm for
                                                      nurturing the
                                                      many aspects of this technology from Florida's
                                                      Governor,
                                                      Miami's Mayor,
                                                      Fl DoT's
                                                      Commissioner,
                                                      the heads of
                                                      the toll road
                                                      authorities,
                                                      planning
                                                      agencies and
                                                      educational
                                                      institutions.
                                                      Most
                                                      impressive was
                                                      Ford's comment
                                                      that their
                                                      autonomousTaxi
                                                      efforts are
                                                      focused on
                                                      developing
                                                      driverless
                                                      technology and
                                                      intend to
                                                      operate it to
                                                      deliver
                                                      Mobility-as-a-Service
                                                      in Florida,
                                                      rather than
                                                      sell the
                                                      technology to
                                                      individual
                                                      consumers.  I
                                                      applaud that
                                                      approach and
                                                      hope that Ford
                                                      will look to
                                                      also bringing
                                                      some of those
                                                      vehicles to
                                                      New Jersey so
                                                      that we can
                                                      begin to reap
                                                      the benefits
                                                      of this
                                                      technology.
                                                      What you've
                                                      accomplished
                                                      in Florida is
                                                      THE "best
                                                      practice" for
                                                      us to emulate
                                                      in New
                                                      Jersey.
                                                      Congratulations.
                                                        Alain

PyTorch at Tesla

An Update on the Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

 Waymo to customers: “Completely driverless Waymo cars are on the way”

Your Tesla Can Now Pick You Up R. Mitchell, Oct. 4, “ Smart Summon is for parking lot use.  But drivers have other ideas.

Tesla unleashed the latest twist in driverless car technology last week, raising more questions about whether autonomous vehicles are outracing public officials and safety regulators.

…Using a smartphone, a person can now command a Tesla to turn itself on, back out of a parking space and drive to the smartphone holder’s location - say at a curb in front of a Costco store..”  Read more  Hmmmm…. Russ, great article. A must read!

Elon, please stop.  StupidSummon was a bad Valley-entitled idea before you released it.  Now that it is out there it will ruin all that is good about Tesla, AutoPilot and Driverless cars.  The shorters are going to have a field day.

While you are at it also remove all of the DistractTainment add ons or limit their use when AutoPilot is NOT on and drivers are engaged in driving.  Just go back to V09!  Along the way also get the Automated Emergency Braking (AEB) system to work properly (See NTSBbelow). To do that, maybe you should take a serious look at Velodyne’s new Tesla LiDAR. It may be able to tell you if the stationary object in the lane ahead is high enough above the road surface before your AEB system decides to disregard it. Then Tesla’s may stop decapitating drivers.

If you don’t remove StupidSummon then at least be sure to limit its use to the Tesla owner’s own private property by responsible users.  (You know the GPS coordinates of where each owner lives, so you can geofence it.  You also know each irresponsible use (You get the videos). Irresponsible use (use in the violation of the conditions spelled out in the user’s manual) should void its future availability in that car unless proper amend are made.  If not, then insurance companies should clearly state that insuring the use of this feature requires a substantial additional premium; else, you’re not covered.  Courts should view that use of this feature implies premeditated harm and demonstrates an extreme indifference to human life. Parking Lot owners should install signs forbidding the use of this feature on their property to protect themselves from being dragged into the claims process.

What is most disturbing about this feature is that its only value is to enhance the self-perceived manhood of Entitled Silicon Valley XXs and may well cause the public sector to over react and ruin to opportunity of responsible driverless mobility to substantially enhance the quality-of-life of those who can’t or choose not to drive a car, enhance the environment, subdue our energy use and reduce congestion.  Elon, shame on you September 28, 2019 Public forum will explore possibility of transit on demand in Princeton K. Knapp, Sept 22, “What would it take to make Princeton an accessible community for all, even those who cannot or choose not to own or drive a car? Princeton Future will explore the question at a public forum from 9 a.m. to noon on Sept. 28 in the community room at the Princeton Public Library.

                                            Princeton Future is a
                                            non-profit community
                                            group that studies
                                            issues related to
                                            planning, development,
                                            and affordability.
                                            Speakers will discuss
                                            the capabilities of a
                                            transit-on-demand system
                                            where small, driverless
                                            shuttles could be
                                            summoned by a smart
                                            phone app to a location
                                            within walking distance
                                            of a resident's
                                            home...."  [Read more](https://planetprinceton.com/2019/09/22/public-forum-will-explore-possibility-of-transit-on-demand-in-princeton/)  Hmmmm....
                                                  Listen to a
                                                  summary of the
                                                  event in [Episode 126 of the SmartDrivingCars PodCasts](https://soundcloud.com/smartdrivingcar/smart-driving-cars-episode-126).
                                                  See below for
                                                  other info. Alain
                                                    September 20,
                                                    2019 [Waymo's robotaxi pilot surpassed 6,200 riders in its first month in California](https://techcrunch.com/2019/09/16/waymos-robotaxi-pilot-surpassed-6200-riders-in-its-first-month-in-california/)

                                                    August 17, 2019

Autonomous Vehicles:  A View from Seniors

                                                  March 29, 2019

Automated vehicles could provide mobility to the ‘mobility disadvantaged’ March 1, 2019

  FORM S-1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT Lyft, Inc. Autonomous Vehicles Feb 25, “ This workshop brought together experts in cyber-physical systems, machine learning, transportation engineering, and applied mathematics, both from academia and from industry, to help bridge the technical gaps and to facilitate exchange and collaboration across disciplinary boundaries…“  Read more  Hmmmm…. Slides and videos of the presentations are available here.   In particular, see..:

  • Andrea Censi: “Liability, Ethics, and Culture-Aware Behavior Specification using Rulebooks”  Abstract, Slides, video (via click on  Schedule 11:30 Monday;

  • Adam Oberman:”Generalization and adversarial robustness of Regularized Deep Neural Networks “ Abstract, Slides, video (via click on Schedule 11:30 Tuesday);

  • Alain Kornhauser: “Market Forces and Market Potential for SmartDrivingCars (aka Autonomous Vehicles) “  Slides,video, (via click on  Schedule 11:15 Tuesday);

  • Hani Mahmassani: “Shared Autonomous Fleet Services and Multimodal Urban Mobility: Optimization, Prediction and Dynamic Network Modeling “  Abstract, video, (via click on  Schedule 4:00 Thursday);

  Market Framework and Outlook for Automated Vehicle Systems

New Jersey Pending Legislation re: Autonomous Vehicles

Oct 16, Establishes fully autonomous vehicle pilot program A4573 Sponsors:  Zwicker (D16); Benson (D14)

Oct 16, EstablishesNew Jersey Advanced Autonomous Vehicle Task Force AJR164 Sponsors:  Benson (D14); Zwicker (D16); Lampitt (D6)

                                        Oct 16, [Directs MVC to establish driver's license endorsement for autonomous vehicles A4541](https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/2018/Bills/A5000/4541_I1.PDF)
                                        Sponsors:  Zwicker (D16);
                                        Benson (D14); Lampitt
                                        (D6)..."   [Read more](https://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NVIDIA-Self-Driving-Safety-Report-2018.pdf) Hmmmm....
                                                      Things are
                                                      beginning to
                                                      move in New
                                                      Jersey.  Alain

Testimony of Alain Kornhauser, Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

Audio Recording of Assembly Science, Innovation and Technology - Monday, October 22, 2018 - 10:00:00 AM

                                                June 12,  2018  [CPUC AUTHORIZES PASSENGER CARRIERS TO PROVIDE FREE TEST RIDES IN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WITH VALID CPUC AND DMV PERMITS](http://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/Published/G000/M215/K467/215467801.PDF)

                                                3,  2018

  Waymo’s fleet of self-driving minivans is about to get 100 times bigger

PRELIMINARY REPORT: HIGHWAY: HWY18MH010 (Uber/Herzberg Crash)

May 24, “About 9:58 p.m., on Sunday, March 18, 2018, an Uber Technologies, Inc. test vehicle, based on a modified 2017 Volvo XC90 and operating with a self-driving system in computer control mode, struck a pedestrian on northbound Mill Avenue, in Tempe, Maricopa County, Arizona.

…The vehicle was factory equipped with several advanced driver assistance functions by Volvo Cars, the original manufacturer. The systems included a collision avoidance function with automatic emergency

                                            braking, known as City
                                            Safety, as well as
                                            functions for detecting
                                            driver alertness and
                                            road sign information.
                                            All these Volvo
                                            functions are disabled
                                            when the test vehicle is
                                            operated in computer
                                            control..."[Read more](http://orfe.princeton.edu/%7Ealaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/NTSBuberPreliminaryMay2018.pdf)  Hmmmm....
                                                    Uber must
                                                    believe that its
                                                    systems are
                                                    better at
                                                    avoiding
                                                    Collisions and
                                                    Automated
                                                    Emergency
                                                    Braking than
                                                    Volvo's.
                                                    At least this
                                                    gets Volvo "off
                                                    the hook".

“…According to data obtained from the self-driving system, the system first registered radar and LIDAR observations of the pedestrian about 6 seconds before impact, when the vehicle was traveling at 43 mph…” (= 63 feet/second) So the system started “seeing an obstacle when it was 63 x 6 = 378 feet away… more than a football field, including end zones!

“…As the vehicle and pedestrian paths converged, the self-driving system software classified the pedestrian as an unknown object, as a vehicle, and then as a bicycle with varying expectations of future travel path…” (NTSB: Please tell us precisely when it classified this “object’ as a vehicle and be explicit about the expected “future travel paths.”  Forget the path, please just tell us the precise velocity vector that Uber’s system attached to the “object”, then the “vehicle”. Why didn’t the the Uber system instruct the Volvo to begin to slow down (or speed up) to avoid a collision?  If these paths (or velocity vectors) were not accurate, then why weren’t they accurate? Why was the object classified as a

                                                "Vehicle" ??
                                                    When did it
                                                    finally classify
                                                    the object as a
                                                  "bicycle"?
                                                    Why did it
                                                    change
                                                    classifications?
                                                    How often was
                                                    the
                                                    classification
                                                    of this object
                                                    done.  Please
                                                    divulge the time
                                                    and the outcome
                                                    of each
                                                    classification
                                                    of this object.  In the tests that
                                                      Uber has done,
                                                      how often has
                                                      the system
                                                      mis-classified
                                                      an object as a
                                                      "pedestrian"when the object was
                                                      actually an
                                                      overpass, or
                                                      an overhead
                                                      sign or
                                                      overhead
                                                      branches/leaves
                                                      that the car
                                                      could safely
                                                      pass under, or
                                                      was nothing at
                                                      all??
                                                      (Basically,
                                                      what are the
                                                      false alarm
                                                      characteristics
                                                      of Uber's
                                                      Self-driving
                                                      sensor/software
                                                      system as a
                                                      function of
                                                      vehicle speed
                                                      and
                                                      time-of-day?)

“…At 1.3 seconds before impact, (impact speed was 39mph = 57.2 ft/sec) the self-driving system determined that an emergency braking maneuver was needed to mitigate a collision” (1.3 x 57.2 = 74.4 ft. which is about equal to the braking distance. So it still could have stopped short.

“…According to Uber, emergency braking maneuvers are not enabled while the vehicle is under computer control, to reduce (eradicate??) the potential for erratic vehicle behavior. …” NTSB:  Please describe/define potential  and erratic vehicle behavior   Also please uncover and divulge the design & decision process that Uber went through to decide that this risk (disabling the AEB) was worth the reward of eradicating “ “erratic vehicle behavior”.  This is fundamentally BAD design. If the Uber system’s false alarm rate is so large that the best way to deal with false alarms is to turn off the AEB, then the system should never have been permitted on public roadways.

“…The vehicle operator is relied on to intervene and take action. “ Wow!  If Uber’s system fundamentally relies on a human to intervene, then Uber is nowhere near creating a Driverless vehicle. Without its own Driverless vehicle Uber is past “Peak valuation”.

“…The system is not designed to alert the operator. “ That may be the only good part of Uber’s design.  In a Driverless vehicle, there is no one to warn, so don’t waste your time.  If it is important enough to warn, then it is important enough for the automated system to start initiating things to do something about it. Plus, the Driver may not know what to do anyway. This is pretty much as I stated in PodCast 30 and the 24 edition of May 10,  2018

Experts say video of Uber’s self-driving car killing a pedestrian suggests its technology may have fail

  Don’t Worry, Driverless Cars Are Learning From Grand Theft Auto

Extracting Cognition out of Images for the Purpose of Autonomous Driving

announce historic commitment of 20 automakers to make automatic emergency braking standard on new vehicles

Adam Jonas’ View on Autonomous Cars Video similar to part of Adam’s Luncheon talk @ 2015 Florida Automated Vehicle Symposium on Dec 1.  Hmmm … Watch Video especially at the 13:12 mark. Compelling; especially after the 60 Minutes segment above!  Also see his TipRanks. Alain

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